is it weather or is it climate? what’s the...
TRANSCRIPT
Pam Knox, The University of Georgia INITIAL PUBLICATION MAY 2014
Is It Weather or Is It Climate? What’s the Difference?
KEY POINTS• WEATHER represents short-term and small-scale
changes in the atmosphere.
• CLIMATE describes the distribution of weather over
longer periods.
• Humans have adapted to deal with the day-to-day
changes of weather.
• Changes in climate can impact every aspect of life
on Earth, especially if they happen rapidly or are
large changes.
WEATHER AND CLIMATE
Both weather and climate rely on observations of
temperature, pressure, sunlight, clouds, rain, and
snow. The main difference between the two is the time
scale over which the conditions are described. Weather
is generally a snapshot of the atmosphere at a single
time or over a few days. Climate generally refers to
conditions spanning months, years, and even decades.
One way to remember the difference between weather
and climate is: Weather tells you what to wear on any
given day; climate tells you what wardrobe to own.
MEASURING THE ATMOSPHEREFor most of us, weather and climate are two different
ways of looking at measurements of atmospheric
conditions. These measurements are taken at
surface weather stations and at higher levels of the
atmosphere with weather balloons. For consistency,
those measurements should be taken from standard
instruments at locations that are stable over long
periods. In that respect, weather is easier to measure
consistently. Climate scientists have to be mindful of
changes in the record caused by relocation of observa-
tions sites, changes in times of observations, changes
in the instruments used to collect the measurements,
or changes at the sites due to construction, growth of
trees, or expansion of cities over time.
Animal Agriculture &Climate Change
Livestock and Poultry Environmental Learning Center
This project was supported by Agricultural and Food Research
Initiative Competitive Grant No. 2011-67003-30206 from the
USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture.
CONTENTS
Key Points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
Weather and Climate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
Measuring the Atmosphere . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
Describing the Atmosphere . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2
Modeling Weather
vs . Modeling Climate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2
2IS IT WEATHER OR IS IT CLIMATE? WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE?Visit www.animalagclimatechange.org for more information and a full list of available fact sheets.
DESCRIBING THE ATMOSPHEREAtmospheric scientists use both time and space to
describe weather and climate. Some of the methods
they use in their descriptions are weather maps,
timelines, and climate maps. A series of weather maps
shows the variability of weather across a location over
a day, week, or year. A weather timeline shows how
the weather at one location has changed over time.
A climate map shows the spatial variations of
atmospheric conditions from one location to another
that are caused by elevation, presence of lakes and
oceans, and latitude. A climate timeline or trend line
would show changes in temperature, for example
over many years.
Most people can adjust to changes in weather by
choosing different clothes from their closets. But,
adapting to climate change can be more difficult.
Not only might people need different clothing, they
might also need to transform houses, roads, and
business practices to adapt to the new conditions.
MODELING WEATHER VS. MODELING CLIMATESkeptics sometimes say that if we can’t even predict
the weather, how can we predict the future climate?
Weather and climate models are used to predict future
conditions. The models are created using the same
physical laws of motion and energy, but they are
applied over different time and space scales.
A weather model responds to changing initial condi-
tions, or weather observations taken around the world
(at least twice daily), and must excel at getting the
details of fronts and storms correct for the next week,
but it is not designed to model the long-term state of
the atmosphere.
Atlanta GA - 2013
Record High Temperatures
Observed High and Low Temperatures
Record Low Temperatures
BelowAverage
NearAverage
AboveAverage
Average High and Low Temperatures
Total Observed PrecipitationBelow
AverageAbove
Average
Average Precipitation
Daily High
Daily Low
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun AugJul Sep Oct Nov Dec
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun AugJul Sep Oct Nov Dec
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
65
Prec
ipita
tion
(inch
es)
Tem
pera
ture
(deg
F)
6055504540353025201510
50
Weather timeline. Source: NOAA.
3IS IT WEATHER OR IS IT CLIMATE? WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE?Visit www.animalagclimatechange.org for more information and a full list of available fact sheets.
A climate model needs to predict expected
patterns of temperature and rainfall over
wide areas but it is not focused on the
effects of individual storms. Climate models
are more sensitive to changes in forcing,
like sea surface temperatures, land and ice
surfaces and greenhouse gas concentrations,
rather than initial conditions.
Both weather and climate models have
improved greatly over time, and each type
performs well at the task for which it was
designed; neither model is good at tasks
for which it was not created.
WEATHER MODEL CLIMATE MODELUses physical equations of motion & energy
Yes Yes
Grid size Very small, on the order of miles . Large, on the order of 100 miles .
Time step Very short, on the order of minutes . At most a few per day .
Length of run Most models up to 72 hours; longer range models up to 15 days .
Models run for up to 100 years after an initial stabilization period .
Assumptions Climatic factors like atmospheric composition, incoming solar radiation are held constant; precipitation processes parameterized because they happen on sub-grid scale .
Precipitation processes parameterized due to large grid spacing; oceans are usually simplified or held constant
although new models include interactive oceans .
Number of models used
Approximately ten well-documented ones . Approximately 100 models with different assumptions .
Strengths Can provide detailed, small-scale descriptions of a specific weather event for up to five days
ahead (no skill for more than 10 days) .
Can provide realistic representations of average weather conditions across the globe on long time scales .
WeaknessesDo not provide good climatological simulations when
run for long time periods due to design for getting short-term correct which magnifies errors over time .
Do not predict individual storms well due to grid and time spacing; simplify spatial patterns in mountains and
along coasts where spatial detail is high; tend to drift over time; do not always capture current climate well .
Weather map. Source: NOAA.
4IS IT WEATHER OR IS IT CLIMATE? WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE?Visit www.animalagclimatechange.org for more information and a full list of available fact sheets.
Extension programs and employment are available to all without discrimination. Evidence of noncompliance may be reported through your local Extension office.
This project was supported by Agricultural and Food Research Initiative Competitive Grant No. 2011-67003-30206 from the USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture.
www.animalagclimatechange.org
PARTICIPATING UNIVERSITIESCornell University
Texas A&M University
University of Georgia
University of Minnesota
University of Nebraska-Lincoln
Washington State University
Animal Agriculture &Climate Change
Climate trend graph. Source: NOAA.