ispor real world data brainstorming session · pdf filethe ispor scientific presentation...
TRANSCRIPT
ISPOR
Real World Data
Brainstorming Session
Agenda
Getting started and background material (30 minutes)– Intros
– Meeting agenda and objectives
– Brief review of existing RWD & related TF reports
– Publication trends review
Brainstorming on individual topics (60 minutes)– Review topics – any that should be added or combined?
– For each topic (approx. 10 minutes per topic)
• What are the key issues here?
• What elements could a TF reasonably address with clarity?
Prioritization exercise (20 minutes)– Review of topics and discussion of relevance/importance, again consider need to
combine or distinguish topics
– Voting exercise
Summary and next steps (10 mins)
2
Today’s objectives
Review and discuss issues in RWD analysis where
– Guidance would be useful to ISPOR members and researchers in general
AND
– Best practices can reasonably be identified, or
– Emerging practices are worthy of being called out and reviewed
NOT
- A policy proposal
Prioritize qualifying topics for potential Task Force focus
This is not the initiation of a Task Force per se
– Task Force initiation involves creation of a formal proposal and approval by
the Health Sciences Policy Council
3
What is the remit of a Task Force?
ISPOR Good Practices for Outcomes Research Reports are
consensus guidance recommendations for conducting
outcomes research (clinical, economic, and patient-reported
outcomes) or for using outcomes research in health care
decisions.
4
Original RWD TF report
Garrison Jr. LP, Neumann PJ, Erickson P, et al. Using real-world data for coverage and payment decisions: The ISPOR real-world data task force report. Value Health 2007;10:326-35.
Defined RW data as data used for decision-making that are not collected in conventional randomized controlled trials (RCTs).
Considered several characterizations: – by type of outcome (clinical, economic, and patient-reported),
– by hierarchies of evidence (which rank evidence according to the strength of research design),
– by type of data source (supplementary data collection alongside RCTs, large simple trials, patient registries, administrative claims database, surveys, and medical records).
Discussed eight key issues: 1) the importance of RW data;
2) limitations of RW data;
3) the fact that the level of evidence required depends on the circumstance;
4) the need for good research practices for collecting and reporting RW data;
5) the need for good process in using RW data in coverage and reimbursement decisions;
6) the need to consider costs and benefits of data collection;
7) the ongoing need for modeling; and
8) the need for continued stakeholder dialogue on these topics
5
Previous RWD-related TF reports
Motheral B, Brooks J, Clark MA, et al. A checklist for retroactive database studies –
Report of the ISPOR Task Force on Retrospective Databases. Value in Health 2003;
6:90-7
Berger ML, Mamdani M, Atkins D, Johnson ML. Good research practices for
comparative effectiveness research: defining, reporting and interpreting
nonrandomized studies of treatment effects using secondary data sources: The ISPOR
good research practices for retrospective database analysis task force report—Part
I. Value Health 2009;12:1044-52.
Cox E, Martin BC, Van Staa T, Garbe E, Siebert U, Johnson ML, Good research
practices for comparative effectiveness research: approaches to mitigate bias and
confounding in the design of non-randomized studies of treatment effects using
secondary data sources: The ISPOR good research practices for retrospective
database analysis task force–Part II. Value Health 2009;12:1053-61.
Johnson ML, Crown W, Martin BC, et al. Good research practices for comparative
effectiveness research: analytic methods to improve causal inference from
nonrandomized studies of treatment effects using secondary data sources: The ISPOR
good research practices for retrospective database analysis task force report—Part
III. Value Health 2009;12:1062-73.
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RWE Literature Review Results
05/23/2016
University of Utah TeamDiana Brixner
Tianze Jiao
Junjie MA
Word Cloud
Fellows, Ian. "wordcloud: Word Clouds. R package version 2.2." (2012).
https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/wordcloud/wordcloud.pdf
Method
Part One: Several searches were conducted using “real world
evidence” or “real world data” as keywords on PubMed,the
ISPOR scientific presentation database, ISPOR Annual
International Meeting Program and the Internet.
Part Two: A literature review was conducted in PubMed to
investigate the trends around RWE from following areas:
– Study design
– Perspective
– Data sources
– Methodology
Part One Results
Table 1. The number of RWD and RWE publications from different
resources
2001-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015
PubMed:
Real world evidence 4 11 93
Real world data 60 194 602
The ISPOR scientific presentation
database:
Real world evidence 0 0 31
Real world data 0 0 31
ISPOR Annual International Meeting
Program:
Issue Panel 0 1 6
Work Shop 0 19 31
Internet RWE Reports:
Real world evidence 0 0 7
Real world data 0 0 3
Part Two Results:
964 abstracts in Pubmed
After title review: 474
abstracts were excluded
Duplications: 14
Statistics: 179
Non medical: 168
Biomedical informatics: 110
Comment: 3
490 abstracts
After reviewed the full abstract, 162 abstracts were
excluded
No abstract: 62
Duplicates: 2
Irrelevant: 7
RCT: 2
Proposal: 3
Statistics: 17
Non medical: 14
Biomedical informatics: 28
Comment: 27
328 full abstracts
Figure 1. Flow chart
Study design
Figure 2. Number of abstracts by study designs in 5 years interval
There are 9, 53, 266 abstracts in 2001-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2015
independently.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Study design
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Figure 3. Proportion of abstracts by specific study designs in 5 years
interval
• The trend of study design is constant.
• Cohort design is still dominant.
Perspective
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Decisionmaking
Economicstudies
Outcomesresearch
QoL Qualitativeanalysis
Review
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Figure 4. Proportion of abstracts by different perspectives in 5 years
interval * The overall proportion is larger than 1 for each 5 years interval.
• Outcomes research is still the main perspective.
• Over time, more studies were conducted from
multiple perspectives.
Perspective
Figure 5. Number of abstracts that have multiple perspectives in 5 years interval
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Data source
Figure 6. Proportion of abstracts by different data source in 5 years interval
• Data sources have become more diverse over the years.
• Researchers started to use multiple data sources after 2010.• Real world data (EMR, RCT) and data in the literature was applied to
economic modeling
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Methodology
Figure 7. Proportion of abstracts by different methods in 5 years interval
• Over time more advanced methods were applied• Cox regression, PS, MSM, G-computation
• Multiple methods were applied in one study after 2010
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
Methodology
Figure 9. Proportion of abstracts
that applied different propensity
score methods in 2011-2015
27%
4%
5%
23%
9%
32%
Cox regression+PS Cox regression+GLM+PS
Decision tree+PS GLM+PS
MIX+PS PS
100%
Propensity score
Figure 8. Proportion of abstracts
that applied different propensity
score methods in 2006-2010
1
abstract
22
abstract
s
Sample size
Figure 10. Scatter plot of sample size by individual year
• There is an increasing trend on sample size
(insignificant)
• More studies have large sample size The largest
sample size:
2001 - 2005 85,617
2005 - 2010 149,785
2011 - 2015 587,691
Kruskal–Wallis test p=0.387
Summary
Study design and perspective have been consistent in
the past 15 years
Data sources are more diverse than in previous years
There is an increasing trend for researchers to apply
several data sources in one study
– Real world data (RCT, EMR etc.) was integrated with data from
literature to build economic models
More advanced methods were applied after 2010
After 2010, causal inference emerged, which better
investigates causality
– Applying PS matching, MSM, G-computation
Pre-identified topics
1. Implementation issues: Use of RWE (including CER results) in several different, but related, health sector decision-making contexts
2. Better use of causal inference methods in RWE to reduce bias in causal effect estimates.
3. Incorporating patient-reported outcomes into retrospective claims and EMR databases – What’s involved?
4. Addressing the quality of observational data—particularly, how to control for missing variables through data linkage?
5. Regulation and certification of RWE
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1. Implementation issues
Use of RWE (including CER results) in several different, but
related, health sector decision-making contexts:
– Update regulatory label information.
– Support physician-patient shared decision-making
– Inform and update clinical treatment guidelines
– Update price and access conditions for on-market products
– Potential follow-on topics:
• How is RWE currently used specifically in each of these contexts?
• What the barriers (if any) to more effective use?
• How could its use be improved in each specific context? Both locally and
globally?
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What are the key issues here?
What elements could a TF reasonably address with clarity?
2. Better use of causal inference methods in RWE
Used to reduce bias in causal effect estimates.
Such methods could be employed to test model-based or
network meta-analysis predictions of comparative cost and
effectiveness used at product launch.
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What are the key issues here?
What elements could a TF reasonably address with clarity?
3. Incorporating patient-reported outcomes into RWD
What’s involved in introducing more PRO/COA data into
retrospective claims and EMR databases?
24
What are the key issues here?
What elements could a TF reasonably address with clarity?
4. Addressing the quality of observational data
How to control for missing variables through data linkage?
25
What are the key issues here?
What elements could a TF reasonably address with clarity?
5. Regulation and certification of RWE
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What are the key issues here?
What elements could a TF reasonably address with clarity?
Prioritization exercise
What are your thoughts? Let’s discuss …
Straw poll
You are receiving XX sticky dots – please place one or more of
them on the various topics, depending on your sense of their
priority
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Summary and next steps
Points from today will be written up and circulated
Further thoughts, expressions of interest are welcome
If a new Task Force seems warranted,
– Co-chairs will be solicited
– A formal proposal must be written
– HSPC must review and approve
– A Leadership Group would then be solicited
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THANK YOU!
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