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    challenges remain: Indonesia’s investment climate for conventional oil & gas is broadly uncompelling

    both regionally and globally. Some of these issues can cross over into unconventional, particularly

    ones of above ground operating and regulatory environment. Others are potentially amplified in an

    unconventional setting. Much of this can be addressed via clear, supportive and enabling regulation.

    Additionally, fiscal terms are critical in competing for the internationally mobile skills and capital that

    shale intensively utilises. Ultimately, Indonesia is highly fiscally motivated to stimulate shale activity.

    Figure 1. Seven major Indonesian shale basins

    Source: www.riscoenergy.com

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    Joint operation of Natuna block proposed

    Raras Cahyafitri 

    thejakartapost.com

    Thu, January 7 2016 | 05:43 pm

    Following years of delays in the development of a number of gas projects around the

    Natuna Islands, an exploration committee is planning to propose a joint developmentinvolving a number of blocks in the area as part of moves to make costly projects more

    feasible.

    Andang Bachtiar, the head of an ad-hoc national exploration committee established in 2015,

    said the team was currently working on the plan for five blocks in the environs of the

    archipelago.'We will propose a joint POD [plan of development] for five blocks. Under the

    plan, each party will be responsible for the development of certain facilities, but

    management will be shared,' Andang said. According to Andang, the five blocks include East

    Natuna block 'previously known as Natuna D-Alpha ', Tuna block and South Natuna Sea

    Block B.

    East Natuna block has total proven reserves of 46 trillion cubic feet ( tcf ), making it the

    largest gas reserve in Asia. Unfortunately, the gas field has a high CO2 level of around 71

    percent, necessitating advanced technology and huge investme nt to develop the block. As

    reported earlier, the block needs between US$20 billion and $40 billion in investment.

    State-owned Pertamina, US-based ExxonMobil, France's Total SA and Thailand's PTT

    Exploration and Production ( PTT EP ) are among oil and gas firms reportedly interested in

    the block.Development of East Natuna is estimated to be feasible only if oil prices exceed

    $100 per barrel. Currently, the global glut has pushed the price to a level of $37 per barrel.

    Meanwhile, Tuna block is operated by Premier Oil, which holds a 65 percent stake. The

    remaining 35 percent is held by the Mitsui Exploration Company. On the other hand, South

    Natuna Sea Block B contractors are Conoco Phillips with 40 percent ownership, leaving

    Chevron and Inpex with 25 percent and 35 percent, respectively. According to a recent

    report, the contractors are seeking to release part of their stake to new partners.

    According to Andang, all the planned blocks are located in remote areas, and there has been

    no discussion among operators. 'If we work together, I'm sure we can shift the politicalconstellation as well as the constellation of oil and gas prices, because the reserves there

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    are huge,' he said, adding that the plan had to be formulated as soon as possible, as

    implementation would take two or three years.

    Meanwhile, Pertamina director for upstream affairs Syamsu Alam said earlier that the

    contractors had asked for a two-year extension to the period of principal of agreement

    (POA) of East Natuna block, which expired on Dec. 10.

    The POA for East Natuna field, formerly known as the Natuna D-Alpha block, was seen as an

    important stage prior to the signing of a production-sharing contract ( PSC ). The POA was

    signed in 2011, the same year the PSC for East Natuna was expected to be concluded.

    However, no progress has been reported to date. 'Even if the extension is granted, it's

    unlikely the block will be producing by 2030,' Syamsu said.

    The Natuna Islands in the South China Sea are Indonesia's northernmost territory. While

    they lie far from the so-called nine-dash-line claimed to mark China's territory, recenttensions have driven the government to exert its stake over the area.

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    Energy holding company to speed up

    gas infrastructure development:

    Indonesian official

    Kamis, 21 April 2016 18:10 WIB | 1.625 Views

    Jakarta (ANTARA News) - A holding company in the energy sector would help speed up

    massive development of gas infrastructure, an official said. "We very much support plan to

    put PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGN) in a holding company under Pertamina as the parentcompany," Oil and Gas Director General IGN Wiratmaja Puja said here on Thursday.

    Wiratmaja said with the combination, it would be easier for the energy and mineral

    resources ministry in assigning massive infrastructure program in the energy sector.

    Meanwhile lawmaker Satya W Yudha from the Commission VIII of the Parliament said the

    merger would improve efficiency in the development of gas infrastructure. Executive

    director of Energy Watch Indonesia Ferdinand Hutahean said after the combination the first

    step to be taken is to determine a strategy and priority scale for gas infrastructure

    development. Development of household gas infrastructure should be a priority that thepeople could have cheaper energy replacing more expensive LPG, Ferdinand said. Networks

    of gas infrastructure for industry should also be expanded that the countrys manufactured

    products would be more competitive in prices with the use of cheaper energy, he said.

    Earlier, Minister for State Enterprises (BUMN) Rini Soemarno said PT Perusahaan Gas

    Negara (PGN) would become a subsidiary of Pertamina. Pertamina would be the parent

    company. The shares owned by the government in PGN would be handed over to

    Pertamina, whicyh is wholly owned by the government, Rini said. She said the process of

    forming the energy holding company has been in the final phase and it is expected to be

    wrapped up in September this year. Implementation is waiting only for a draft government

    regulation which is expected to be issued in mid July, she added. She said the plan is part of

    the program of grouping state companies in a number of holding companies. She said

    holding companies would also be formed in five other sectors - finance, construction and

    engineering, toll road, mining and housing. She said PT Pertagas, which is a subsidiary of

    Pertamina operating in gas production, could be combined with PGN that they would not

    operate separately.

    The office of the state enterprises minister said the energy holding company would be

    formed before July this year. This year, Pertamina was asked by the government to build city

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    gas networks in six areas for 23,158 households to add to 26,225 households already having

    gas supply in March 2016. Gas pipe networks are already installed and operational in six

    cities including Prabumulih, South Sumatra for 4,650 households, Jambi 4,000 households,

    and Sengkang, regency of Wajo, South Sulawesi 4,172 households, Bulungan,EastKalimantan

    3,300 households; Sidoarjo, East Java 6,154 households and Bekasi, West Java 3,949households. PT PGN also plans to expand its gas pipe networks by a total of 600 kilometers

    in 10 cities this year including Jakarta, Bekasi, Cirebon, Pasuruan, Surabaya, Sidoarjo,

    Semarang, Medan, Batam, etc. PGN already distributed gas to more than 107,690

    households until early 2016.

    (Uu.H-ASG/O001)

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    The need for a national strategic petroleum

    reserve 

    Montty Girianna - director for energy, mineral resources and mining at the

     National Development Planning Board ( BAPPENAS )

    Jakarta | Wed, February 13 2013 | 08:48 am

    The fact that our fuel demand is increasingly met through higher imports is really alarming.

    Today, not only do imports comprise two-thirds of gasoline and one-third of diesel fuel for

    domestic consumption, but also one-third of crude oil for intake to our refineries. Exposure

    to international oil markets is thus astonishingly huge.

    Our crude production is falling; it has steadily decreased to much less than 1 million barrels

    a day. Mature oil fields with declining rates of production and a shortage of investment in

    new exploration contributes to low rates of production. Our refining capacity also remains

    stagnant. We have not expanded our refining capacity over the past20 years.

    The combination of an unfavorable rate of crude production and a shortage of refining

    capacity, in the face of avid domestic consumption, has led to increasing dependency on

    imports —  increased vulnerability in our energy security. In fact in 2005, this country was

    the only OPEC member that was a net oil importer.

    Too heavy a dependency on imports is risky in many ways. As we set fuel prices fixed below

    the international market rate, soaring and volatile import prices have led to a large and

    unpredictable subsidy allocation, creating an excessive fiscal burden. Sadly, this forces us to

    forego vital investments such as in health, education and infrastructure, and makes the

    subsidy allocation difficult to predict leading to numerous government-budget revisions.

    This mismatch is even worse when we project our demand for the next 10 to 20 years. We

    are committed to having economic growth of 7 percent a year and with that commitment, a

    huge volume of gasoline and diesel needs to be secured to fuel the engine of development.

    In the coming 10 yea rs, the demand for gasoline will double and that for diesel will increase

    by one-third.

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    Of course we have to work on the demand side by promoting efficiency measures, as well

    as on the supply side by increasing production. But more fundamentally, when we are

    relying on imports, is to develop a mechanism or an instrument by which price shocks can

    be effectively absorbed, and our budget securely set, hedged against uncertainty.

    We should consider what the International Energy Agency (IEA) has initiated. The IEA,

    established in the wake of the 1973 oil crisis, requires its members to have a Strategic

    Petroleum Reserve ( SPR ) as a way to hedge against oil price shocks. The members have to

    maintain an oil stock sufficient to fulfill demand for three months, either held exclusively for

    emergency purposes or for commercial and operational use.

    The US, an IEA member, has an SPR of 174 days, of which 98 days is held by industry and the

    balance by the government. The UK is another IEA member having an SPR of 268 days

    entirely held by industry. Non-IEA countries such as China and India have launched their

    own reserve programes to hold the same stock levels mandated by the IEA.

    We cannot wait to have an SPR until we are in a very bad shape. At least, for now, the

    government has to provide legislation as well as policies on the long-term perspective for an

    SPR, and start collaborating with industry to formulate a scenario of fuel stockholding

    obligations.

    Policies have to be developed to ensure that the SPR is a part of price-smoothing

    instruments to “protect” consumers from volatile import prices. Given the present

    circumstances, the Mid-Oil Platts Singapore ( MOPS ) price would best serve as a basis for

    developing a scenario for an SPR.

    We cannot fully pass the volatility of MOPS on to domestic prices, and the SPR has to be

    designed to fulfill that intention. In addition, an SPR has to be seen as a hedging mechanism

    against oil price jumps that are deemed to have a major impact on our national economy. A

    definition of “major impact” must be set to justify the need and the size for the SPR, and

    later on as a basis for triggering a release of SPR stocks.

    Also, the SPR has to be developed as a building block to mitigate a severe fuel supplydisruption. An unplanned refinery shutdown would be a major reason to justify holding

    back-up fuel stocks.

    Power outages can be avoided by providing buffer stocks of fuel for a power plant. An SPR

    should hold fuel stocks that are consumed in a large quantity by consumers. Today, we

    should focus on stocks for gasoline and diesel, but later on a stock of liquid petroleum gas (

    LPG ) and crude would also be necessary.

    Finally, the SPR has to be developed both for emergency purposes through public stocks, as

    well as for commercial and operational use via stockholding obligations on industry or

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    private stocks. We might expect stock levels held by the public to be generally larger than

    the government’s stockholding obligation. Currently, Pertamina holds fuel stock for 20 days

    for commercial and operational use. Public stocks should be much larger than that.

    The revision of Oil and Gas Law No. 22/2001 should define the fundamental traits of anySPR. The law should clarify who will ultimately be accountable for implementing the SPR,

    who will own the stock, and the roles of our state-owned oil company Pertamina and

    industry players, etc.

    In the mean time, we can identify and assess what is the current available infastructure,

    including refineries, oil terminals, pipelines, floating storage units, etc., and their capacity.

    How can they be pledged for SPR?

    The expansion of existing refineries and development of new refineries and crude terminals

    has to be within the framerwork of SPR implementation. Exploring potential access to

    neighboring storage and oil trading hubs in Singapore might also be necessary for short-

    term purposes. It is important to have a consensus among policymakers on a realistic

    timeframe for SPR development, short- and medium-term, as well as long-term.

    Overall, the aim of having an SPR is to ensure the security and sustainability of adequate

    fuel supplies, i.e., gasoline and diesel, for the domestic fuel market. A key task of course is

    to guarantee the availability and smooth distribution of fuel to everyone anytime,

    anywhere.