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28 February 2012 ANALYST BRIEFING FY11 Performance Results

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  • 28 February 2012

    ANALYST BRIEFINGFY11 Performance Results

  • Disclaimer

    The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking

    information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by PT.Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk. Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of

    an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction

  • Agenda

    1. Introduction

    2. Operational Review

    3. Commercial Review

    4. Financial Review

  • DisclaimerAgenda

    1. Introduction

  • Highlights of 4Q11 & FY11 Results

    Q-Q

    +8%

    0%

    0%

    +19%

    +5%

    Unit: USD Million

    Coal sales

    7.1 MtUp 0.3 Mt

    +4% Q-Q

    FY10

    1,645

    32%

    363

    204

    $74.9

    y-y

    +45%

    +5%

    +95%

    +168%

    +30%

    Coal sales

    24.7 MtUp 2.5 Mt

    +11% y-y

    FY11

    2,382

    37%

    707

    546

    $97.1

    Total Revenue

    Gross Profit Margin

    EBIT

    Net Income

    ASP (USD/ton)

    3Q11

    678

    39%

    219

    156

    $98.4

    4Q11

    733

    39%

    220

    185

    $103.1

  • DisclaimerAgenda

    2. Operational Review

  • Reserves upgrade 2011

    JORONGINDOMINCO KITADIN EMB & TMTRUBAINDO BHARINTO

    • In-Pit Crushing Conveying (‘IPCC’) system means it will be economic to go deeper (and mine more resources)

    • IPCC facilitates cheaper and quicker OB removal costs from deeper pits (enabling overall OB costs per bcm to remain competitive)

    • Exploration work has also boosted reserves at IndomincoEast Block in 2011

    • Further reserves upgrades are planned at Indominco East Block based on additional exploration and mining studies.

    RESERVES UPGRADE : INDOMINCO EAST BLOCK

    • Engineering studies (including IPCC) and further exploration drilling have boosted reserves estimates

    • Further reserves upgrades are planned at Bharinto based on additional exploration and mining studies.

    RESERVES UPGRADE : BHARINTO

    Unit: Mt

    YE 2010 YE 2011

    SALES

    25

    -17 6

    RESERVES UPGRADE

    YE 2010 YE 2011

    SALES

    -15150+39 174

    YE 2010 YE 2011

    SALES

    -225 23

    YE 2010 YE 2011

    SALES

    -7109 102

    YE 2010 YE 2011

    45

    +67 112

    RESERVES UPGRADE

    Total reserves as of 31 Dec 2011: 417 Mt

  • Coal reserves growth

    Organic increase in reserves*

    Exploration, study and LT price:

    Exploration, study and LT price:

    Study: Exploration, study and LT price:

    Exploration, new technology (IPCC):

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    +3Mt

    +106Mt

    +92Mt

    +46Mt

    +63Mt

    Indominco (+39)

    Bharito (+67)

    Indominco (+19)

    Kitadin (+10)

    Bharito (+18)

    Indominco (+66)

    Trubaindo (+27)

    Trubaindo (+3) Indominco (+29)

    Trubaindo (+36)

    *Not including the effect of sales depletion

  • Reserves upgrade 2011: note on IPCC method

    100 m

    50 m

    PIT BENCHES

    BACKHOEEXCAVATOR

    TRUCK

    IN-PITCRUSHER

    IN-PITCONVEYORS

    SPREADER STOCKPILE

    100 m

    50 m

    IPCC ILLUSTRATION

    • IPCC, electricity-based mining method, tends to require higher capex but lower opex as compared to diesel excavation and trucking

    • It also requires sufficient mine life (10 years+) and sufficient volume• Typically allows economic OB and coal excavation at depths of 100-200m

    where conventional truck/shovel method would not be economic.

    .

    SEMI-MOBILE CRUSHER

    CONVEYOR

    SPREADER

  • .

    Indominco14.8mt output in FY11. Output target of 15.0mt for 2012

    Captive coal-fired power

    Trubaindo7.1mt output in FY11.

    Output target of 7.1 Mt for 2012

    Jorong1.4mt output in FY11. Output

    target of 1.0mt for 2012

    Bharinto0.7mt output target in

    2012Kitadin-Embalut1.3 Mt output in FY11. Output target of 0.7mt for 2012

    Kitadin-Td.Mayang0.4mt output in FY11 and 2.7mt output target for 2012. Also worked in FY11 as mining contractor at IMM area

    FY11 output: 25mt and FY12 target: c.27mt

    Operation in 2012

  • Indominco Mandiri

    3.1

    EAST BLOCK

    Santan River Port stock yard

    Bontang City

    Asphalt haul road 2.5Km

    35Km

    Sea conveyor

    Mine stockyard

    Inland conveyor 4km

    0 106 82 km4

    WEST BLOCK

    Operations

    Stockpile

    Ports

    Hauling

    Crusher

    ROM stockpile

    INDOMINCO-BONTANG SCHEMATIC

    Post Panamax

    95,000DWT

    INDOMINCO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

    3.1 3.44.2 4.1

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    20112012

    SR 13.511.8

    12.0 12.1

    West Block

    1.8 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.0

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    East Block

    1.3 1.6 1.62.1 2.1

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    SR 15.8 12.513.1 13.3

    10.1 10.910.9 10.9

    Volume

    FY11 output: 14.8mt; FY12 target: 15.0mt

    Volume

    MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATESFY11 production achieved as target mainly from better weather condition in 2H11 and additional mining equipment from PAMA Continue the pre-feasibility study for washing plant at East Block areaCompleted pre-feasibility study on In-Pit Crushing Conveyer (IPCC) system Conduct study to expand existing port capacity and to expand mine-stock capacity by consultant

  • Trubaindo and Bharinto

    Mahakam River

    Operation

    Stockpile

    Hauling

    Barge Port

    Crusher

    South Block 1(Dayak Besar)

    North Block

    40kmMine to port

    KedangpahuRiver

    ROM stockpile

    BunyutPort

    0 10 2515 205 km

    Product coal conveyor, stacking,

    stockpile

    TRUBAINDO-BHARINTO SCHEMATIC

    EAST KALIMANTAN

    Bharinto 60km south west of

    TrubaindoNorth Block

    South Block 2(Biangan)

    PT. BHARINTO

    PT. TRUBAINDO

    TRUBAINDO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

    1.5 1.6 1.7 1.82.1

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    SR : 10.0 11.9 14.1

    12.4FY11 output: 7.1mt; FY12 target: 7.1mt

    20112012Volume :

    BHARINTO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    FY12 target: 0.7mt

    Volume : 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00.0

    20112012

    MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATESTrubaindo:

    FY11 production was slightly lower than target due to full stockyard capacity as a result of Kutai Kartanegara Bridge Collapse

    Bharinto: Already started pre-stripping activities since Jan 2012Coal hauling road to port is expected to be completed by 1Q12Expect to commence operations in 2Q12

  • Kitadin Embalut and Td.Mayang

    Balikpapan

    MahakamRiver Samarinda to Muara Berau

    Bontang city

    EMBALUT

    Embalut Port

    to Muara Jawa

    ROM stockpile

    Operations

    Stockpile

    Ports

    Hauling

    Crusher

    0 106 82 km4

    5km Mine to port

    TD. MAYANG

    EAST KALIMANTAN

    IMM EB

    KITADIN SCHEMATIC

    IMM WB

    Bontang Port

    EMBALUT PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

    0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    SR : 8.9 8.7 11.211.5

    FY11 output: 1.3mt; FY12 target: 0.7mt

    Volume :

    TD.MAYANG PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    Volume :0.0 0.0 0.0

    0.2

    FY11 output: 0.4mt; FY12 target: 2.7mt

    20112012

    201120120.4

    0.5

    15.1SR :

    MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATESKitadin Embalut:

    FY11 production achieved higher than plan supported by good performance of mining contractorsLower production in 2012 due to approaching difficult mining condition (hard-band materials) and land compensation

    Kitadin Tandung Mayang: Already have production from its own area since 3Q11 and expect 2.7mt production in 2012Currently also has some fleets working as mining contractor at Indominco area

  • Jorong

    Coal terminal

    Jorong

    Pelaihari

    Pacific Ocean

    Haul road

    Operations

    Stockpile

    Hauling

    Barge Port

    0 10 2515 205 km

    20km

    JORONG SCHEMATIC JORONG PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

    0.3 0.2

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

    SR :

    FY11 output: 1.4mt; FY12 target: 1.0mt

    8.6

    Volume :0.4

    8.6

    0.4

    8.6

    201120120.3

    8.6

    MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES

    FY11 production achieved according to target due to good contractor performance

    Maintain production level of around 1.0mt per annum due to limited reserves

  • DisclaimerAgenda

    3. Commercial Review

  • Main 2012 coal market driver update

    Weather Chinese Demand World Growth

    Sources: Country Forecast February 2012 from The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2012

    • Gas/oil (and nuclear) favor the coal.

    • Develop scarcity for benchmark coal quality

    • Growing supply (and demand) for off-spec coal

    • Europe is on supply issue but not on demand issue

    • Can US continue to sell below cost?

    • How much low-ranked coal can be shipped in 2012?

    • How long can Indian politics cap tariffs/ slow growth/ and cap currency?

    • World growth forecast 2.0% Asian growth forecast 6.0%

    • Indonesia wet season seems normal (↓ 20% rain) but some operations affected more than others. Can 2H2012 be as good as 2H 2011?

    • Chinese winter is normal. Will wet season boost hydro?

    • Australian weather damage yet to appear.

    • Currently demand weak, stocks high, but not if compared consumption level.

    • Production varies by region, transportation and lower quality still a constraint.

    • 1Q 2011 weak, improving in 2Q and exceptionally strong in 3Q and 4Q.

    • Could 2012 similar? But with higher starting base?

  • Thermal coal benchmark prices

    Coal price benchmarksIndonesian indices follow seasonal impact more than other indices

    South African index is affected by higher railing, coinciding with greater competition from Indonesia and lately Australia and Colombia for the off-spec coal

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12

    US$

    / to

    nne

    FOB Richards Bay 6000 kcal/kg, NARFOB Newcastle 6300 kcal/kg, GARFOB Kalimantan 5900 kcal/kg, GARFOB Kalimantan 5000 kcal/kg, GAR

  • Average Selling Prices

    USD per tonne

    NEX* Feb 11, 2012$116.10

    Comparative ASP trend shows traditional lag, due to a mix of pricing and contract length versus the spot indices

    ASP captured earlier premium so that the impact of lower quality tons was limited (or be it at higher margin)

    ASP 4Q11 $103.1/t

    ASP FY11 $97.1/t

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    Mar

    -07

    Jun-

    07

    Sep

    -07

    Dec

    -07

    Mar

    -08

    Jun-

    08

    Sep

    -08

    Dec

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Jun-

    09

    Sep

    -09

    Dec

    -09

    Mar

    -10

    Jun-

    10

    Sep

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Mar

    -11

    Jun-

    11

    Sep

    -11

    Dec

    -11

    Monthly BJI

    Quarterly BJI

    Quarterly ASP

    Monthly NEX

    Quarterly NEX

    Quarterly ASP

  • Indicative 2012 Coal Sales

    51%

    31%

    6%13%

    Coal sales contract and pricing status Comment

    Marginally higher-priced commitment than usual for risk management

    Can still capture upside in unpriced portion and in the decreasingly elastic price of indices

    Coal sales contract and pricing status

    Contract Status Price Status

    Contracted Fixed

    Index

    TARGET SALES 2012: C. 27 Mt

    UncontractedUnpriced

    Unsold

    87%

    13%

  • Coal Sales by Geographic Destination JAPAN (16%)

    INDIA (9%)

    INDONESIA (9%)

    PHILIPPINES (5%)

    HONG KONG (4%)

    TAIWAN (8%)

    S.KOREA (5%)

    THAILAND (7%)

    2012 trend expectation

    2012

    *Includes small, non-regular purchasers

    Coal sales 2011 (total 24.7 Mt)

    OTHERS* (0%)

    2012

    CHINA (23%)

    2012 2012

    2012

    2012

    20122012

    2012

    4.1 4.2 4.5

    4.1

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    2.4

    0.6

    1.8 1.4

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    2012

    -

    0.9 1.2 0.9

    -

    0.20

    0.40

    0.60

    0.80

    1.00

    1.20

    1.40

    2008 2009 2010 20111.6

    3.1

    5.1 5.8

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8

    -

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    2.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011 1.7

    2.6 2.4 2.0

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    1.6 1.8

    1.1 1.3

    -

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    2.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    1.4 1.3 0.5

    2.1

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    2.1 2.0

    1.5 1.7

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    0.1 0.2 0.2

    - -

    0.1

    0.1

    0.2

    0.2

    0.3

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    MALAYSIA (5%) 2012

    1.3 0.9 1.1

    1.3

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    0.1

    2.2

    0.9

    2.3

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    ITALY (7%)

  • DisclaimerAgenda

    4. Financial Review

  • Sales Revenue

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Units: Million TonSALES VOLUME

    Units: USD/Ton

    AVERAGE SELLING PRICE

    Units: USD Million

    REVENUE* GROWTH

    IndomincoTrubaindo

    JorongKitadin

    * excluding port revenue2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    18.1 17.7

    +11%YoY

    21.022.2

    73.9

    42.3

    +30%YoY

    71.574.9

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    765

    1,311

    1,5011,658

    +45%YoY

    24.7

    97.1

    2,397

  • Average Gross Margin

    * COGS included royalty

    Units: USD million

    ITM Consolidated Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin Jorong2009 2009 2009 2009 2009

    1,501

    38%

    1,052

    30%

    473

    28%

    41% 124

    19%

    111

    26%2010

    1,645

    32%

    2010

    1,293

    23%

    2010

    540

    32%

    2010

    192

    21%

    2010

    4119%

    Total Revenue

    GPM* (%)

    2011

    2,382

    37%

    28%

    1,758

    28%

    2011 2011 2011 2011

    815

    37% 219

    32%105

    18%

  • EBITDAUnits: USD million CONSOLIDATED

    MINE BY MINE

    *COGS = Prod cost + Transport cost + Inv. movement

    Revenue20102009 2011

    415.7

    COGS SellingRoyalty Admin

    491.9

    290.7

    148.0

    42.820.3

    Indominco Trubaindo2009

    Kitadin Jorong2010 2011

    248.0

    119.9

    49.7(10.8)

    Units: USD million

    763.9(96.2)

    +737.2

    +84%YoY

    450.3

    224.9

    79.1

    13.5

    (23.5) (6.6)

    Royalty increased with revenues

    Higher ASP by 30%Higher Volume by 11%

    (262.7)

    2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011

  • Net Income

    2010 2011OthersEBIT IncomeTax

    DerivativeTransactions

    FOREXNet Fin.Charges

    2009

    CONSOLIDATED

    MINE BY MINE

    Units: USD million

    335.5

    546.1

    208.2

    20.7

    94.5

    7.4

    Indominco Trubaindo JorongKitadin

    111.280.5

    21.8

    Units: USD million

    (16.9)

    +344.0+22.2 +168%

    YoY

    204.2

    +2.4

    Derivative gain

    340.0

    155.5

    48.1

    (2.0)

    (4.5)

    +88.4

    (110.6)

    Higher ASP by 30%Higher Volume by 11%

    2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011

  • Balance Sheet

    Net Gearing (%)

    Net D/E (times)

    (30%)

    (0.34)(0.36)

    (34%)

    (Units: USD million)

    CASH POSITION

    2007 2008

    258222

    (Units: USD million)

    DEBT POSITION

    2007 2008

    92

    11

    55

    2009

    429

    (0.47)

    (44%)

    2009

    2011

    612

    0

    2011

    (0.57)

    (57%)

    295

    2010

    0

    2010

    (0.41)

    (41%)

    2007 2008 2009 20112010

  • 2012 Capital Expenditure Plan

    Units: USD million

    Note: Total capex plan including Jakarta office

    Indominco Trubaindo Bharinto Kitadin Jorong ITM Consolidated*

    209

    80

    108

    96

    2

    In-pit crushing conveyor systemPort expansionCrushing plant & washing plant

    Trubaindo infrastructureCrushing plant

  • Disclaimer

    Question & Answer

  • DisclaimerAgenda

    Appendices

  • ITM Structure and History

    ITMG

    65.00%

    Indominco Trubaindo Bharinto Jorong

    PT Indominco Mandiri

    (CCOW Gen.I)

    PT Trubaindo Coal Mining

    (CCOW Gen II)

    PT Kitadin-Embalut

    (KP)

    PT Bharinto Ekatama

    (CCOW Gen III)

    PT Jorong Barutama Greston

    (CCOW Gen II)

    50.00%

    PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk.

    Banpu Minerals (Singapore) Pte Ltd

    99.99% 99.99% 99.99%99.99% 99.67%

    174 Mt

    695 MtResources

    Reserves102 Mt

    327 MtResources

    Reserves13 Mt

    150 MtResources

    Reserves112 Mt

    298 MtResources

    Reserves6 Mt

    144 MtResources

    Reserves

    Banpu Minerals Co.Ltd

    Reserves 417* Mt

    Resources 1,627* Mt

    BMS

    99.99%

    BMC

    Banpu PCLBanpu

    Public35.00%

    Kitadin

    PT Kitadin-Td.Mayang

    (KP)

    10 Mt13 Mt

    Resources

    Reserves

    BCI50.00%

    100.00%Banpu Coal

    Investment Co.Ltd

    Note: * Updated Coal Resources and Reserves as of 31 Dec 2011

    East Kalimantan East Kalimantan South KalimantanEast KalimantanEast / Central Kalimantan

    INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGEIPO 18th Dec 2007

    6,500-7,300 kcal/kg6,000-6,300 kcal/kg 5,800 kcal/kg6,400-6,800 kcal/kg 6,700 kcal/kg 5,300 kcal/kg

  • Coal Resources and Reserves (as of 31 Dec 2011)

    Indominco

    Kitadin-Td.Mayang

    Jorong

    Trubaindo

    W.Block

    E.Block

    242 Mt

    28 Mt

    453 Mt

    151 Mt

    14Mt

    144 Mt

    6Mt

    327 Mt

    102 Mt

    298 Mt

    112 Mt

    12Mt

    RESOURCES

    RESERVES

    Kitadin-Embalut

    Total Reserves: 417 Mt

    Total Resources: 1,627 Mt

    146 Mt

    9Mt

    Bharinto

    Note: * Updated Coal Resources and Reserves as of 31 Dec 2011 is based on estimates prepared by Competent Persons (considered suitably experienced under the JORC Code) & technical studies and audits conducted by the following international coal mining consulting companies

  • Income Statement

    Unit: US$ thousand FY11 FY10 YoY%

    Net Sales 2,381,875 1,644,650 45%Gross Profit 892,068 518,053 72%GPM 37% 31%SG&A (185,153) (155,145) EBIT 706,915 362,908 95%EBIT Margin 30% 22%EBITDA 763,947 415,659 84%EBITDA Margin 32% 25%Net Interest Income / (Expenses) 4,684 2,179 FX Gain / (Loss) 639 5,131 Derivative Gain / (Loss) 34,304 (54,091) Others (16,604) (38,773) Profit Before Tax 729,938 277,354 163%Income Tax (183,812) (73,203) Net Income 546,126 204,151 168%Net Income Margin 23% 12%

  • Income Statement

    Unit: US$ thousand 4Q11 3Q11 4Q10 QoQ% YoY%

    Net Sales 733,123 678,440 439,655 8% 67%Gross Profit 285,596 265,624 108,443 8% 163%GPM 39% 39% 25%SG&A (65,788) (46,814) (43,894) EBIT 219,808 218,810 64,549 0% 241%EBIT Margin 30% 32% 15%EBITDA 234,566 232,773 76,442 1% 207%EBITDA Margin 32% 34% 17%Net Interest Income / (Expenses) 2,035 1,354 1,257 FX Gain / (Loss) (1,222) (2,756) 617 Derivative Gain / (Loss) 37,180 (7,698) (38,303) Others (9,346) (1,913) (3,987) Profit Before Tax 248,455 207,797 24,133 20% 930%Income Tax (63,539) (51,917) (5,846) Net Income 184,916 155,880 18,287 19% 911%Net Income Margin 25% 23% 4%