ivl: empowering potential€¦ · management $0.3b = net debt $4.5b capital structure net debt...

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Reaffirming the Capital Markets Day IVL: Empowering Potential August 8 , 2019

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Page 1: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Reaffirming the Capital Markets Day

IVL: Empowering Potential

August 8 , 2019

Page 2: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

2

Disclaimer

This presentation and certain statements included herein contain “forward-looking statements” about the [financial condition and results of operations] of Indorama

Ventures Public Company Limited (the “Company”), which are based on management’s current beliefs, assumptions, expectations and projections about future

economic performance and events, considering the information currently available to the management. Any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the

words “targets”, “believes”, “expects”, “aims”, “intends”, “will”, “may”, “anticipates”, “would”, “plans”, “could”, “should, “predicts”, “projects”, “estimates”, “foresees” or

similar expressions or the negative thereof, identify or signal the presence of forward-looking statements as well as predictions, projections and forecasts of the

economy or economic trends of the markets, which are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the Company. Such forward-looking statements,

as well as those included in any other material discussed at the presentation, are not statements of historical facts and concern future circumstances and results and

involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the Company’s control that could cause the actual results, performance or

achievements of the Company to be materially different from the expectations of future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-

looking statements.

Factors that could contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to: the highly competitive nature of the industries in which the Company operates; a

potential recurrence of regional or global overcapacity; exposures to macro-economic, political, legal and regulatory risks in markets where the Company operates;

dependence on availability, sourcing and cost of raw materials; ability to maintain cost structure and efficient operation of manufacturing facilities; shortages or

disruptions of supplies to customers; operational risks of production facilities; costs and difficulties of integrating future acquired businesses and technologies;

dependence of informal relationships with other Indorama group entities in Indonesia and India; project and other risks carried by significant capital investments

including future development of new facilities; exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations; pending environmental lawsuits; changes in laws and regulations relating

beverage containers and packaging; the impact of environmental, health and safety laws and regulations in the countries in which the Company operates.

All such factors are difficult or impossible to predict and contain uncertainties that may materially affect actual results. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is

not possible for management to predict all such factors or to assess the impact of each such factor on the Company. Such forward-looking statements are also based

on numerous assumptions and estimates regarding the Company and its subsidiaries’ present and future business strategies and the environment in which the

Company will operate in the future. Any forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and speak only as at the date of this presentation, and

none of the Company, nor any of its agents, employees or advisors intends or has any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any such forward-

looking statements to reflect any change in the Company’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such

statements are based or whether in the light of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable laws and stock exchange

regulations. The above and other risks and uncertainties are described in the Company’s most recent annual registration statement (Form 56-1), and additional risks or

uncertainties may be described from time to time in other reports filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand and the Stock

Exchange of Thailand. Given the aforementioned and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking

statements as a prediction of actual results or otherwise.

The results of operations for the periods reflected herein are not necessarily indicative of results that may be achieved for future periods, and the Company’s actual

results may differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors not foreseen at the time of giving this presentation.

This presentation must not be treated as advice relating to legal, taxation, financial, accounting or investment matters. By attending this presentation, you acknowledge

that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and of the risks and merits of any investment in the

Shares, and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of the Company’s

business.

Page 3: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

3

Agenda

I

II

Continued Value Growth

Strong Portfolio Development

III Strategic Roadmap to 2023

Page 4: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

I Continued Value Growth

Page 5: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

5

Important Corporate Developments

Reinforced

Business

Profile

Improve

the quality of

earnings

Strengthened

Capital

Structure

Strategic Initiatives

Expansion into Integrated Oxides and Derivatives segment

with acquisitions of Huntsman EO/PO Assets

Entry into rPET in a big way with 1 MMT of recycled Flake

which includes Chemical , SPS and Mechanical recycling.

1/3rd share in Corpus Christie PET/ PTA JV – Achieving

lowest operating cost /unit of PET & PTA

Establishing Fibre presence in the high growth large

Indian market by acquiring controlling stake in IRSL

Acquisition of Sinterama provides high value customer

access for our Mobility solutions

Implementing Industry 4.0 and SAP IT solutions

Focus on Operating cash flows to maintain healthy

financial profile

Page 6: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

6

Improving Financial and Business Performance

Volume (MMT) 9.10 10.42 11.66

Utilization Rate (%) 88% 88% 86%

Spread ($/MT) 337 380 362

Revenue ($ B) 8.44 10.74 11.67

EBITDA Growth (%) 30% 44% 10%

Operating ROCE (%) 12% 14% 12%

Net D/E 0.75 0.87 0.94

2017 2018 LTM 2Q19IVL Core Financials

Page 7: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

7

Reinforced Financial ProfileDebt $4.7B

Less Cash & Cash under

management $0.3B

= Net Debt $4.5B

Capital Structure

Net Debt Equity

Net D/E = 0.9 times

Sufficient Headroom

Over Bank and

Debentures Covenants

DebtUSD EUR

THB Others

Natural Hedge

AA-

Credit Rating

by TRIS

(reaffirmed in

Oct’18)

DebtLT Loan ST Loan

Debentures

Note: These are based on LTM 2Q 2019

Sound Liquidity Position and Robust Balance Sheet

Page 8: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

8

Strong Cash Generation

High Cash Flow Returns

Continuous Efforts

to Lower Capital

Employed per ton

Continuous Efforts

to Enhance

Operating Cash

Flow

Liquidity of Around

~$1.9 Billion

in June 2019

Note: NWC= Net Working Capital/t, FC = Fixed Capital//t and Op. Cash = Operating Cash Flow less maintenance CAPEX

Financials are LTM2Q19

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1H18 1H19

Core EBITDA $M OCF $M

97%Cash

Conversion

US $ m

39%

Page 9: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

9

Market Forces Driving Inventory Gains/LossesStrong Correlation with Industry Price Movements

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19

$/MT

Changes in PX Price Asia (LHS) IVL Inventory Gain/(Loss) (RHS)

$/MT

Active Inventory Management

Note: 2014 figures based on management estimates and they may or may not change materially when published

Source: Industry, IVL Data & Analysis

Page 10: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

10

More disposable income

Higher GDP growth

Tailwinds from Low Crude Environment

Lower input costs

Lower transportation costs

Lower absolute prices reduce working

capital needs

Lower energy costs

Lower inflation

Higher Demand

for Our Products

Helping our

End Customer

Industries

Lower

Working Capital

Requirements

Lower

Conversion

Cost

$

Page 11: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

11

Business Environment 2019

Economy

Heightened Volatility in Global

Markets

Crude Oil

Low crude environment

More disposable income

Higher demand

Lower cost

Currency & Interest

Rate

Hedged Portfolio

Industry

Inventory re-stocking leading to

higher demand growth across

the value chain

Page 12: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

II Strong Portfolio Development

Page 13: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

13

Indorama Ventures, A Unique Petrochemical Play

Maximizing Shareholder Value

Global Leader

#1 player in 70% of

our business

Unique Global, Local

Reach

>90% of sales within

the region

Differentiated,

High Growth Portfolio

Doubling EBITDA every

5 years

31Countries

101Sites

19,581People

$11.7BRevenue

533Patents(1)

Note: Revenue and other details as of LTM 2Q19

(1) As of 2018

Page 14: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

14

Global Reach with Local Presence Creates Advantage

GLOBALReach

Truly

LOCALBALANCED

Footprint

COMPETITIVELandscape

101 Sites

>90%30% of Sales in Asia

31%31 Countries

4 Continents

of Sales in EMEADomestic

Sales

39% of Sales in America

13%of PX

83%of PTA

13%of MEG

Global Integration(1)

Note: (1) as of LTM 2Q19

Page 15: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

15

Differentiated, High Growth Portfolio

IVL Portfolio Financial Highlights Products Regions

Integrated PET

• Capacity: 11.0 MMT

• Revenue: $7.9B

• Core EBITDA: $882M

PET, PTA, PX, Recycling Asia, EMEA, America

Fibers

• Capacity: 2.1 MMT

• Revenue: $3.1B

• Core EBITDA: $244M

Fibers, Polyester, Nylon,

Rayon, WoolAsia, EMEA, America

Packaging

• Capacity: 0.3 MMT

• Revenue: $0.3B

• Core EBITDA: $59M

Preforms, Closures Asia, EMEA, America

Integrated Oxides and

Derivatives

• Capacity: 0.55 MMT

• Revenue: $0.3B

• Core EBITDA: $130M

EO, MEG America

Specialty Chemicals

• Capacity: 1.1 MMT

• Revenue: $1.0B

• Core EBITDA: $88M

NDC, IPA, Specialty PET Asia, EMEA, America

Effective Capacity: 15 MMT Revenue: $11.7B Core EBITDA: $1,401 MIVL

Note: Capacity as of 2019, Revenue and Core EBITDA: as of LTM 2Q19

Total of all segments may not match to IVL due to holding

Page 16: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

16

16

PET Strong Leadership Position with GDP+ Growth

Business Mix

Market Potential

6%

HVA

(Recycled PET)

94%

Necessities

(PET, PTA, PX)

Net Revenue

by Business(2)

Leader Position

Largest PET player in the

world with 25% market

share(2)

>$32b addressable PET

market expanding at >2x

global GDP(3)

Structural growth driven by

sustainability trends

6.2

2.5 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

Alp

ek

FE

NC

CR

C

SF

X

He

ngyi

Zh

en

gka

i

Che

ng

old

RIL

Lott

e

Top 10 – 2018 (Capacity in MMt)

Americas EMEA Asia

Presence in 15 countries

38 Manufacturing sites

100% PTA integration

5,266 employees

Success Enablers

Serving Top-Tier FMCG Customers

90%

Domestic Sales

10%

Export Sales

Net Revenue

by Business(2)

Note: (1) Including JVs; (2) As of 2018; (3) By 2021, based on industry data and management estimates

Page 17: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

17

17

Fibers Strong Market Leading Positions

#1 global supplier with

25% of premium baby

diapers market

#1 global integrated

supplier of airbag fabrics &

yarns with 16% share(1)

#2 total solution provider

to global tire industry with

17% share

#1 global supplier of

safety fibers to premium

markets with 45% share

Market Leading PositionsRisk-Free From Trade

Barriers Our Customers

Presence in 17 countries

38 Manufacturing sites

9 R&D centers

11,641 employees

Success Enablers

88%

Domestic Sales

12%

Export Sales

Net

Revenue

by Business

Note: As of 2019 (1) Includes UTT

Source: Industry data, management estimates

Page 18: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

18

Core Business Stability vs Upstream

-200

-100

0

100

200

2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19

PX IVL Asia PET Integrated

Energy & Upstream FeedstockIntermediate

FeedstockDownstream

PX

Ethylene MEG

PTA

PET, FibersCrude Oil/ NG

Volatility Index - Asia

Spread Change - Quarterly ($/MT)

IVL Core

Source: Industry, IVL Data & Analysis

Page 19: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

19

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

2016 2017 2018

Asia MEG Spread Asia Polyethylene Spread IVL Petchem Spread

Core Business Stability vs Upstream

Energy & Upstream Feedstock Intermediate Feedstock Downstream

Source: Industry, IVL Data & Analysis

Note: Asia MEG Spread = NEA MEG Spot Price – 0.58 x NEA Ethylene Cash Cost from Naphtha;

Asia Polyethylene Spread = SEA HDPE Spot Price – SEA Ethylene Cash Cost from Naphtha;

IVL Petchem Spread = Blended EO EG and EODs EBITDA Margin post Huntsman EO/PO Assets Acquisition

Ethylene

Propylene PO

EO

Polyurethane

Shale Gas

IVL

EG & EODs

Volatility Index – IVL Petchem vs. Asian Petchems

Index (2016)

Page 20: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

20

IVL - Financial Performance including committed project

8.70 9.10 10.40

18.60

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

2016 2017 2018 2023F

MMT

Volume

89110

138

0

200

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$/MT

EBITDA/T

7.2 8.410.7

19.6

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$B

Revenue

7751004

1441

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$M

EBITDA

EBITDA /Ton

Production

EBITDA

Revenue

Note: 2016-18 are based on actual reported

Page 21: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

III Strategic Roadmap to 2023

Page 22: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

22

Converting Vision into Value

To be an admired

organization with focus on

customers, stakeholders

and employees

To be a leader in

petrochemical industry

delivering superior,

sustainable shareholder

value

To be a champion of

circular economy and a

role model that inspires

others

Capacity ~21 MMT+

ROCE ~15%+

Net Debt / Equity <1x

Core Portfolio

HVA

Necessities

Derivatives

Organizational Strength

Sustainability

Operational Excellence

Vision Strategy Aspiration 2023

Expand in attractive, high

value-added products

and markets

A

Integrate the value

chain for margin

resilience and stability

C

B

Reach all key

developed

and emerging

markets

Page 23: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

23

Accelerate EBITDA by 2023Supported by four Key Pillars

2018 + Spindle top (Proforma)

IVL (existing)

Implied time to doubling EBITDA $ m*

2023 (P)

2x ~5 years

Build on our key

success factors

Actively shape our

portfolio

Strengthen our

organization and

be future ready

Strong financial

discipline

1

2

3

4

Spindletop Organic Growth

CAGR 16%

1,441 1,441

363 363

M&A : Inorganic*

* based on Core financials , Additional Debt Capacity US $ 2.5B ( Net D/E) for M&A

Page 24: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

24

We Will Continue to Leverage our Key Success Factors1

Note : Spindletop is Huntsman EO/PO & Derivatives business

Relentless Focus on Creating Value for our Stakeholders

Global Scale &

Diversification

IntegrationValue Chain

HVAFocused Products

M&AStrategy to Build

New Segments

3.1 MMT

3 countries

USGC

Ethylene

Ethylene Oxides

Surfactants

PG / EG

Ethanolamine's

LAB

Oxyfuels

Management Bandwidth

EPS Accretive

Technology & IP

Sp

ind

leto

p Sp

ind

leto

p

Page 25: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

25

Enhanced Portfolio of Attractive BusinessesLeveraging Leadership Positions and Growth Opportunities = Strategic Thrust2

Integrated PET• Largest integrated recyclable PET

producer and only global player

Integrated Oxides

and Derivatives• Leading producer of PEO in USA

Fibers• Market-leading positions in Mobility,

Hygiene & Lifestyle

Specialty

Chemicals

• Leadership in 2 products & sole

producer of NDC

Packaging

• Opportunity to broaden footprint &

geographies with new applications in

sustainable packaging

Maintain our Global

Leadership

Expanding rapidly recycling

footprint

End applications used in

daily life

Maintain our HVA

Leadership

Adjacent Market

Opportunities

New Growth Engine

Leadership Positions Strategic ThrustGrowth

Opportunities

Spindletop

Spindletop

Page 26: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

26

…and Continue to Enhance Our capabilities

Leveraging Industry 4.0

Continued Focus on Human

Capital

Transforming our IT systems

Commitment

to

sustainability

and circular

economy

Leading in SET Index:2017 Bloomberg ESG Disclosure Scores

3

Page 27: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

27

Strong Financial Discipline

Domestic Credit Rating from TRIS AA-

4

* Assuming closing of spindletop by Jan 2020

Note: based on Core financials

$ m $ m X times

3.29

2.81 2.73 2.69

3.32

3.48

2.73

2.01

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

Net OCF Avg Net Op Debt/Net OCF

x Times

0.88

0.54

0.60 0.62

1.12

0.92

0.72

0.47

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

Net Debt * Net Op D/E

Strong Cash flows Generation Disciplined Balance Sheet

Page 28: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

28

Aspiration 2023 Plan

Corpus Christi

PTA and PET

Indonesia PTA India Fibers

Recycling

India JV Consol

Sinterama

Note: * Integrated Ethylene Oxides & Propylene Oxides

Lake Charles

Cracker

Integrated PET

Integrated

Oxides &

Derivatives

Fibers PackagingSpecialty

Chemicals

Brownfield Brownfield BrownfieldBrownfieldBrownfield

Huntsman* Huntsman*

IVL Core

2019-2023

Strengthening Core Portfolio

Invista PETCorpus Christi

PTA and PET

Indonesia PTA

Recycling

Brownfield

Page 29: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

29

Growth Capex Plan - 2019-2023

Core Business

Growth Capex ∑: ~5$B

No new equity raise needed under this plan

Core BusinessBy Segment

Core Strategy

M&A

75%

Organic

25%

Enhancing Recycling Portfolio

Integrated Oxides & Derivatives

Niche opportunities in fibers

Strengthen Specialty Chemicals

12%

20%

40%

15%

1%11%

PTA & PET

Recycling

Integrated Oxides &DerivativesFibers

Packaging

Specialty Chemicals

Integrated PET

Page 30: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

30

13.0

16.6

17.6 18.4

18.6

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

EBITDA NOCF Volume

Delivering Value Growth

Note: Financials are management estimates and they may or may not change materially when published

EBITDA per ton on Performa basis

~ 12% ~13% ~13%~13% ~13%EBITDA

Margin (%)

Page 31: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

31

Strong Cash Flow Provides Financial Flexibility

Entire Growth Funded By Internal Accrual and Debt ,Capped @0.8x Equity

EBITDA 2019-23

Outflow onWorkingCapital

MaintenanceCapex

Cash Tax Net OperatingCashflow

Interest Growth Capex Dividend Headroom @0.8x

~$2.5B

room for

growth capex

∑:

~$5B

$M

Page 32: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

32

IVL 2023 – Maximizing Shareholder Returns

13.00

16.60 17.60 18.40 18.60

0

5

10

15

20

2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

MMT

12.0% 12.6% 12.6% 12.8% 13.0%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

0.62

1.12 0.92

0.72

0.47

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

Times

12% 12% 12% 13% 14%

0%

10%

20%

2019E 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

Core ROCE% = Earnings

Growing Production = Leadership

Lower Net Operating D/E = Discipline

EBITDA Margin = Performance

Note: Core ROCE= Core Return on Operating Capital Employed (Capital Employed less spending on projects that are under project stage)

Net Operating D/E = Net Debt Less Non Operating Debt

2014 financials are management estimates and they may or may not change materially when published

Percent

Percent

Page 33: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Integrated PET“Creating the Difference that Matters”

Largest integrated PET producer and only global player

Commited to be the leader in sustainable, recyclable PET

Gaining traction from focus on Circular Economy

Page 34: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

34

Sustainable PET: A Top Priority Focus Area for IVL

3.5 MMtPX Requirement

5.2 MMtPTA Requirement

2.0 MMtMEG Requirement

7.2 MMtTotal Virgin and

Recycled PET

Polymer

Production

Virgin PET

Virgin Fibers

PET with 25% Recycled Content

100% Recycled Fibers

2.9 MMtProduction

0.9 MMtProduction

3.2 MMt

Production

0.2 MMtProduction

Captive Supply 3rd Party Purchases

5.2 MMt

100%2.8 MMt

81%

1.4 MMt

73%

PET: sustainable, 100%

recyclable, material of

choice

Clear strategy for strong

growth in rPET

Tailwinds from surplus

in PX and MEG

1.5 MMtBales Requirement

1.0 MMtFlake Production

IVL Polyester Value Chain Material Balance - 2023

Recycling

Page 35: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

35

Multiple Solutions to Address Customer NeedsAll Technologies Need Flake

rPET

Content

Capex

Requirement

Operating

CostScale

100% Medium Medium Medium

10-30% Medium Medium High

100% High High High

100% HighMedium-

HighHigh

Flakes

Flakes

Flakes

Flakes

rPET

Pellets

SPS

Resin

Chemical

rPET

Chemical

rPET

+ Virgin PET

BHET

rDMT

+ Low grade

waste

+ Low grade

waste+ MEG

Mechanical

Recycling

Single-

Pellet

Solution

Bales

Page 36: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

36

Virgin and Recycled PET Pricing has De-LinkedrPET Prices follow Bale Prices

Virgin PET vs rPET Price Dynamics Virgin PET vs rPET Price Dynamics

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Jan

-16

Ma

r-16

Ma

y-1

6

Jul-1

6

Se

p-1

6

Nov-1

6

Jan

-17

Ma

r-17

Ma

y-1

7

Jul-1

7

Se

p-1

7

Nov-1

7

Jan

-18

Ma

r-18

Ma

y-1

8

Jul-1

8

Se

p-1

8

Nov-1

8

Jan

-19

Ma

r-19

Ma

y-1

9

€/MT

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Jan

-16

Ma

r-16

Ma

y-1

6

Jul-1

6

Se

p-1

6

Nov-1

6

Jan

-17

Ma

r-17

Ma

y-1

7

Jul-1

7

Se

p-1

7

Nov-1

7

Jan

-18

Ma

r-18

Ma

y-1

8

Jul-1

8

Se

p-1

8

Nov-1

8

Jan

-19

Ma

r-19

Ma

y-1

9

$/MT

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Ja

n-1

6

Ma

r-1

6

Ma

y-1

6

Ju

l-16

Se

p-1

6

No

v-1

6

Ja

n-1

7

Ma

r-1

7

Ma

y-1

7

Ju

l-17

Se

p-1

7

No

v-1

7

Ja

n-1

8

Ma

r-1

8

Ma

y-1

8

Ju

l-18

Se

p-1

8

No

v-1

8

Ja

n-1

9

Ma

r-1

9

Ma

y-1

9

Bales Melt Virgin PET rPET

Bales: WM Avg Bottle Open Market (EU), Recycling Markets Avg FOB East Coast (US); rPET: WM Food Grade Clear WE (EU);

IHS PCR Pellet FOB East Coast IV 0.8 or higher; Virgin PET: PET ICIS Low (EU), PAL + 1 c/lb (US); Melt: ICIS (EU); IHS Published (US)

Source: IHS; PAL; Wood Mackenzie; IVL Analysis

Page 37: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Integrated PET - Financial Performance 2023

6.59 6.84 7.80

12.43

2016 2017 2018 2023F

MMT

Volume

58 61

101

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$/MT

EBITDA/t

4.66 5.377.00

11.12

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$B

Revenue

384 414

791

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$M

EBITDA

EBITDA /Ton

Production

EBITDA

Revenue

Note: 2023F data is based on proforma basis41

Page 38: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Integrated Oxides and Derivatives

“Realizing the Power of Downstream”

Strong, predictable margins from EO / PO and derivatives

Integrated value chain, with USGC attractive feedstock positions

Page 39: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

39

PO / EO / EOD : Provides Superior, Increasing Margins

Pharmaceutical industry

Household and Industrial surfactant

Personal care

Polyurethane systems

Solvent and fuels

1,055

590

420

A IVL+

Huntsman

B Hunts-man

C D IVL E F G

Total Current US EO Capacity ~ 4.7 MMTPA

kt (EO eq.) EO for EODs

EO for PEO

EO for EG

EO swing vol. for

PEO/EG/EODs

EG MerchantPEO Sales

SpindletopSurfactants

NewSpecialty

SurfactantsProject

1.3x

2x

3.5x

Addressable Market of

>$80bnIVL is a Key Player Higher Value addition

Local market with no imports and balanced supply/demand

Source: Industry Data, IVL Analysis

Page 40: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

40

Expansion into High-Margin EO/PO Derivatives BusinessAttractive market ©US $ 100 b driven by mega-trends and fast-growing economies

2014 2018 2022F

Ethoxylates Ethanolamines Polyols

Glycol Ethers PEGs Others

4.9%

CAGR

5.3%

CAGRMMT

910

12

2014 2018 2022F

Polyether Polyols Propylene GlycolButanediol Others

MMT ~70% driven by polyether polyols

+4%

CAGR

+4%

CAGR -

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

2016 2017 2018

EG EO PO* Surf Spec. Surf

Oxides and Derivatives Contribution Margin

Strong Global EODs Demand Growth

810

12

Global Propylene Oxide Demand Growth ~GDP+

Page 41: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Integrated Oxides and Derivatives - Financial Performance 2023

0.41 0.48 0.52

2.52

2016 2017 2018 2023F

MMT

Volume

160

303

450

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$/MT

EBITDA/t

0.31 0.42 0.45

1.85

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$B

Revenue

65 145

232

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$M

EBITDA

EBITDA /Ton

Production

EBITDA

Revenue

Note: 2023F data is based on proforma basis46

Page 42: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Fibers

“Growth Fueled by Megatrends”

Market-leading positions across Mobility, Hygiene and Lifestyle

Protected markets with long-term economic moats

Page 43: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

43

Market Growth Drivers

Mobility Hygiene Lifestyle

>$10b >$11b >$19b

Airbag demand growing faster than

car production

Driven by safety mega trends

Limited number of qualified

producers, innovation-driven, IP

protected

Demand for hygiene products (baby,

feminine, adult) increasing

Driven by increase in incomes,

education & urbanization trends

Limited number of qualified

producers, innovation-driven, IP

protected

Rapidly increasing demand

(especially from young consumers)

Driven by increase in incomes,

social media & access to fast

fashion

Opportunity to innovative & remain

ahead of the curve; high margins

Attractive, Protected Market Non-discretionary, Protected Market Largest Market

Light weighting Sustainability Safety

Note: Market potential by 2021 based on industry data and management estimates

Page 44: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Fibers - Financial Performance 2023

1.15 1.12 1.29

2.29

2016 2017 2018 2023F

MMT

Volume

154 161 164

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$/MT

EBITDA/t

1.82 2.112.75

5.83

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$B

Revenue

176 181 211

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$M

EBITDA

EBITDA /Ton

Production

EBITDA

Revenue

Note: 2023F data is based on proforma basis50

Page 45: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Packaging

“Our Next Growth Engine”

Focus on sustainable packaging

Ambitious growth plan with significant inorganic opportunities

Page 46: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Packaging - Financial Performance 2023

0.09 0.12

0.16

0.29

2016 2017 2018 2023F

MMT

Volume

318 308 294

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$/MT

EBITDA/t

0.15 0.180.25

0.40

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$B

Revenue

29 37

48

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$M

EBITDA

EBITDA /Ton

Production

EBITDA

Revenue

Note: 2023F data is based on proforma basis53

Page 47: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Specialty Chemicals

“Innovating to add value”

Portfolio of highly differentiated and unique businesses

Sole producer of NDC & Technology holder for Oxyfuels

Page 48: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

48

NDC Specialty PET Resins IPA

Portfolio of Differentiated and Unique Businesses

Sole supplier globally with

proprietary technology

Leading global solution provider

of barrier resins

Largest producer of IPA in

Europe and US combined

Oxyfuels

Largest producer in US and

Technology holder

Page 49: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Specialty Chemicals - Financial Performance 2023

0.50 0.54 0.65

1.78

2016 2017 2018 2023F

MMT

Volume

217

427

245

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$/MT

EBITDA/t

0.700.91

1.041.24

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$B

Revenue

108

229

158

2016 2017 2018 2023F

$M

EBITDA

EBITDA /Ton

Production

EBITDA

Revenue

Note: 2023F data is based on proforma basis56

Page 50: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

“We Continue Shaping Our Industry Leadership”

Sustainably doubling EBITDA every 4-5 years

Increase the quality of Earnings, EPS

Continuing development as an organization

Return superior value to all stakeholders

“Compelling value drivers”

Page 51: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

7.8

0.51.3

0.6

By Segment

Consistent Margins Driven by Western Portfolio

51

1,440

2018A 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

Core EBITDA ($m)

138

2018A 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

Core EBITDA ($/t)

3.4

3.3

3.7

By Region

5.3

5.1

8.2

By Region

Note: Financials are management estimates and they may or may not change materially when published

EBITDA per ton on Performa basis

2018

Production (MMt)

2023

Production (MMt)

Integrated PET Integrated Oxides and Derivatives Fibers Packaging Specialty Chemicals

Asia AmericasEMEA

10.4

18.6

IVL Overall EBITDA/t

10.4

2.5

2.3

1.8

By Segment

18.6

11.8

Page 52: IVL: Empowering Potential€¦ · management $0.3B = Net Debt $4.5B Capital Structure Net Debt Equity Net D/E = 0.9 times Sufficient Headroom ... Working Capital Requirements Lower

Thank You for Your Attention