jacksonville public education fund 2016-2017 public education perceptions poll

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2016-17 Public Education Perceptions Poll January 31, 2017 Taking the pulse of the community

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Page 1: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

2016-17 Public Education Perceptions Poll

January 31, 2017

Taking the pulse of the community

Page 2: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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•  Poppy Clements, Chair

•  Judge Brian Davis, Vice-Chair

•  Dr. Jordan Baker

•  Ricardo Bedoya

•  Gary Chartrand

•  Cindy Edelman

•  Ronnie Ferguson

•  Hugh Greene

•  Kevin Hyde

•  Coley Jones

•  Ronnie King

•  Marsha Oliver

•  Donna Orender

•  Kay Park, ex-officio

•  Dr. Shannon Perry

•  Matt Rapp

•  Anita Vining

•  Dr. Nikolai Vitti, ex-officio

•  Michael Ward

•  Buck Williams

•  Paula D. Wright, ex-officio

Board Leadership

Page 3: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

Why We Do This Poll

About Us

Page 4: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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“A sample in which the relevant characteristics of the sample members are generally the same as the

characteristics of the population.”

ActualPopula+on

Representa+veSample✔

Unrepresenta+veSample✖

A sample of 500 Jacksonville citizens can provide an

accurate representation of the views of the general

population as long as the variation and diversity within

the city are reflected in the group polled (i.e., gender, race,

education, age, etc.).

What is a representative sample?

Page 5: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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• Survey conducted January 9-15 by the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida –  Changed from prior year polling conducted in November

to avoid potential conflicts with election season

• Random-digit-dialing methodology for both landlines and cell phones utilized

• 510 residents of Duval County over the age of 18 answered the survey

• Margin of error +/- 4.34 percentage points)

• Results weighted by age, gender, education, and race to the estimated 2015 American Community Survey

Poll methodology

Page 6: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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• Perception trails reality on education improvement

• Parents rate their children’s school and teacher highly

• Three-quarters of respondents support a tax increase for public education

• More believe DCPS takes public opinion into account when making decisions

Key findings

Page 7: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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Education remains second most important issue facing Jacksonville in people’s minds

49% 21% said the

ECONOMY, about the same as

last year.

13% 7% 7% said

TRANSPOR-TATION, up

significantly from last

year.

said EDUCATION,

up slightly from last

year.

said CRIME, down

slightly from last

year.

said Other, down somewhat from last

year.

In your opinion, what is the most important issue or problem facing Jacksonville?

Page 8: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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63% 68%

72% 74%

77% 79%

61% 62%

29% 29% 27% 27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

Perception is not keeping pace with reality of education improvement

Duval County actual graduation rate

Percent rating DCPS as “excellent” or “good”

Perception of Duval County graduation rate

Page 9: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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Parents tend to rate their own schools more favorably than state ratings would indicate

36%

31%

21%

7% 6%

17% 19%

37%

22%

5% 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

A B C D F

Parent Perceptions State Accountability

If it were up to you, based on your own experience, how would you grade your child’s current school?

67% of parents grade their own school as an “A” or “B”

Page 10: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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26%

34%

45%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

All respondents (All teachers)

Parents (All DCPS teachers) Parents (Own children's teachers)

Percent of teachers rated “Very effective” by…

Similarly, perceptions of teacher effectiveness steadily increase with firsthand experience

Page 11: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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No significant confidence change in DCPS leadership or teachers

58 55.9 54.5

52.5

76.4 76.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

DCPS SB (15-16) DCPS SB (16-17) Supt. Vitti (15-16) Supt. Vitti (16-17) DCPS Teachers (15-16)

DCPS Teachers (16-17)

% of respondents rating each as either Very or Somewhat Effective

(-2.1) (-2.0)

(+0.5)

Page 12: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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How respondents see supporting high-quality teaching

31.5%

58.7%

40.5%

51.7%

45.3%

41.2%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

Statistical analysis of

student test performance

(VAM)

Classroom observations

Identifying & replacing

ineffective teachers

More professional

development for all teachers

Pay teachers more

Invest more in teacher support

staff & technology

To enhance teacher quality, focus primarily on…

To recruit & retain high quality teachers, invest primarily in…

To monitor teacher quality, rely primarily on…

Page 13: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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Increasing support for spending on schools

Would you support or oppose a small increase in taxes if those taxes go to support public education?

67%

60%

70%

74%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

(+4%)

Page 14: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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39%

49%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

2015-16

2016-17

More believe the school district listens

Percent who agree that DCPS usually considers public opinion when making decisions.

Page 15: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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Something to watch: Small but significant decrease in beliefs about post-secondary attainment

25%

20%

21%

33%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

Graduate HS Technical/Vocational PS

Community College (2 years) Bachelor's Degree (4 years)

(-4%)

(+4%)

(-2%)

(+4%)

What is the minimum level of education that you believe students in Duval County today must achieve to be successful in the future?

Page 16: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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Something to watch: Small but significant increase in rating overall performance of ‘Poor’

How would you currently rate the overall performance of Duval County Public Schools?

4%

24%

45%

25%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

Excellent Good Fair Poor

(-4%)

(+6%)

(-1%)

(+1%)

Page 17: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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16%

Recruit, develop, &

retain great teachers and

leaders.

28%

Providing well-rounded

education that includes art,

music, PE, and health services.

Ensure fair, effective and

efficient use of money &

resources.

More see progress in engaging parents & community, providing well-rounded education

29%

Engaging parents,

families & the community in

schools.

12%

Which of the following areas do you think the district has made the most improvement in over the past year?

Page 18: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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-  Fully interactive poll results

-  Sort and filter by subgroups

Learn more on jaxpef.org

Page 19: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

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Next steps

• Full report available on jaxpef.org following 10 a.m. press conference

• Poll administered annually

Page 20: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

Any questions?

Q A&

THANKS FOR LISTENING

Page 21: Jacksonville Public Education Fund 2016-2017 Public Education Perceptions Poll

THANK YOU!

TREY CSAR

Jacksonville Public Education Fund

CONTACT

JAXPEF

JAXPEF

904-356-7757

[email protected]