7/27/2019 JAMRS June 2013 Propensity Snapshot_Final.pdf

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12%12%

13% 13%

18%17%

18% 18%

6% 6%7%

8%

Mar-13

Apr-13

May-1

3

Jun-1

3

SNAPSHOT DETAILS

JUNE 2013 YOUTH POLLMONTHLY SNAPSHOT

Note: Youth ages 16 to 21. Significant difference tests were conducted from April 2001 through Fall 2012. *For J une 2013, monthly snapshot estimates were conducted using a rolling average of twoconsecutive months (previous, current). For Mar 2013, Apr 2013, and May 2013, monthly snapshot estimates were conducted using a rolling average of three consecutive months (previous, current,subsequent). Monthly snapshot estimates are not the official Youth Poll metrics.

17%16%

18%18%18%18%

16%17%

13%14%

14%15%

14%14%14%

15%

12%12%

15%

13%

15%16%

15%14%

15%14%

10%

9% 9%

11%

13%12%

13%12%

13%12%12%13%

14%

24%

24%

26% 26%26% 27%

23%

24%

19%

20%

19%20%

18% 18%18%

20%

18%

15%

23%

19%

22%23%

20%

22%

21%21%

14%

13% 12%

15%

17%

15%

17%16%

18%17%

18%18%

20%

10%

9%10%

11%10% 10% 9% 10%

7%

9% 9%10% 10%

8%9%

10%

6%

9%

7%8% 8%

10%9%

7%8%

7%

6%

4% 4%

6%

10%9%

8% 8%

7% 7%

5%

8%8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

Apr-0

1

Aug-0

1

Nov-0

1

Nov-0

2

Jun-0

3

Nov-0

3

May-0

4

Nov-0

4

Jun-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jun-0

6

Jun-0

7

Dec-0

7

Jun-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jun-0

9

Dec-0

9

Jun-1

0

Dec-1

0

Jun-1

1

Dec-1

1

Summer-1

2

Fall

-12

Aggregate Male Female

PROPENSITY: BY GENDER

AlthoughmonthlyestimatesarenottheofficialYouthPollmetrics,theyshowpropensityremaininglowerthantheFall2012metricattheoveralllevelandformales,whilefemalepropensityseemstobestabilizing.

TheproportionofWhiteyouthwhoreportedtheyhaveeverspokenwitharecruiterhastrendeddownward.BlackpropensitydecreasedfromMarchtoApril2013buthasreturnedtotheFall2012level.

MONTHLY SNAPSHOT*

Not official metric

=significant change fromprevious Youth Poll

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JUNE 2013 YOUTH POLLMONTHLY SNAPSHOT

15%15%14%15%15%

18%18%

21%

18%18%

15%15% 16%14%14% 16%13%13%

16%14%14%

16%15%14%15%15%

9% 10%10%12%13%

12%

10%10%

9% 10%10%

20%21%21%21%20%

25%25%29%

25%25%

20%19%20%20%19%

21%

17%15%

21%20%

18%

22%

19%20%20%20%

12%14%

15%

18%16%

14% 13%12%12%11%13%

10%8% 8%

9% 9%11%11%

14%11%11%

10%11%12%

9% 9%11%

9%11%10%

8% 9%

11%11%8% 9%

10%

6% 6% 6% 7%9% 9% 8% 7%

5%7% 7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

Apr-0

1

Aug-0

1

Nov-0

1

Nov-0

2

Jun-0

3

Nov-0

3

May-0

4

Nov-0

4

Jun-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jun-0

6

Jun-0

7

Dec-0

7

Jun-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jun-0

9

Dec-0

9

Jun-1

0

Dec-1

0

Jun-1

1

Dec-1

1

Summer-12

Fall

-12

Aggregate Male Female

COMPOSITE RESERVE PROPENSITY: BY GENDER

SERVICESPECIFIC PROPENSITY

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