jc-hamo and the operational art joint concepts · unclassified ussocom j59 (cdi) 10 3...
TRANSCRIPT
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
JC-HAMO
and the
Operational Art
Joint Concepts
Overview
(v1.1)
Daniel R. Lane
USSOCOM J59-S
26 April 20191
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Agenda
❑ Agenda
❑ Historical Context – Competition and Campaigning
❑ Competition and the “Competition Continuum”
➢ Legacy Phasing Models
➢ vs. “Conflict Continuum” & “ROMO”
➢ Latest Visualization
❑ Competition and What We Are Competing For
❑ Three Operational Art Joint Concepts
➢ Joint Concepts
➢ Historical Overview
➢ Relationships
❑ JC-HAMO
➢ JC-HAMO, VCJCS, 19 October 2016
➢ Why is HAMO Needed?
➢ JC-HAMO Operational Overview Graphic (OV-1)
➢ “Elements” Shaping Human Behavior, Decision-Making, and Will
➢ Operational Framework
➢ TP & DCR DOTmLPF-P Solutions
❑ Conclusions and Questions
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)Source: Kendrick, Scott. “Joint Concept for Integrated Campaigning Overview.” November 1, 2017.
Source: Kapusta, Philip. “The Gray Zone.” Special Warfare 28. No. 4. Oct-Dec 2015. Accessed January 16, 2018.
Unconventional Measures/Warfare Traditional/Conventional Warfare
Diplomatic Pressure/Political Warfare Irregular Warfare
Historical ContextCompetition and Campaigning
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 4
Legacy Phasing ModelsSource: JP 3-0, Joint Operations, Change 1, January 17, 2017.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
(JC-IC) Competition Continuum
Competition Continuum vs. “Conflict Continuum” and ROMO
(JC-HAMO, JP 3-0) Conflict Continuum &
Range of Military Operations
Incompatible interests and the intention to engage in
behavior detrimental to other strategic actor’s interests
Mutually beneficial relationships between strategic actors
with similar or compatible interests
Use of violence to satisfy interests or react to provocation
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 6
Competition ContinuumLatest Visualization
Source: JP 1, Joint Warfighting, (GO/FO Review, Pre-decisional Working Draft, April 2019, 25)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 7
So…What is CompetitionAnd … What are we Competing For?
“Competition is the interaction among actors in pursuit of the influence,
leverage, and advantage necessary to secure their respective interests.”
Influence is the power to cause an effect in indirect or intangible ways.
Leverage is the application of influence gained or created to achieve an effect or
exploit an opportunity.
Advantage is superiority of position or condition.
The three core concepts of competition – influence, leverage, and advantage –
form the common ways through which an actor secures its interests and are
fundamentally interrelated.
USSOCOM, “Harnessing David and Goliath Orthodoxy, Asymmetry, and Competition,” 2019
https://nsiteam.com/harnessing-david-and-goliath-a-compound-approach-to-the-great-game
So, competition is about actors … people.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Joint Concepts
8
“A joint concept describes a method for employing joint force capabilities to achieve a stated objective or aim within the context of a specified operating environment or against specified joint force challenges.”
Joint concepts propose:- how the joint force, using military art and science, may develop new approaches to conduct joint operations,
functions, and activities.- new approaches for addressing compelling challenges, current or envisioned, for which existing approaches
and capabilities are ineffective, insufficient, or nonexistent, thus requiring reexamination of how we operate and develop the future joint force.
Source: CJCSI 3010.2E, Guidance for Developing and Implementing Joint Concepts, 2016
Development Transition Application
Implementation (DCRs, ICDs, etc.)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
3 “Operational Art” Joint ConceptsHistorical Overview
9
2009 – UK JDP 4, Understanding, introduces human domain (HD) as a term and concept
2013 – Strategic Landpower; Winning the Clash of Wills (White Paper) focuses on HD
2013 – Socialization of HD term & idea
2013 – CDR USSOCOM, ADM McRaven, directs development of SC-OHD
2014 – GEN Odierno discusses with ADM McRaven the need for a JF OHD concept
2015 – CDRUSSOCOM (GEN Votel, later CDRUSCENTCOM) signs SC-OHD
2016 – VCJCS signs JC-HAMO, SECDEF signs SOIE
2018 – NDS uses term “human dimension,” VCJCS signs JC-IC & JC-OIE
2019 – Reflection of Operational Art Joint Concepts in Joint DOTmLPF-P, SOIE in revision
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 10
3 “Operational Art” Joint ConceptsRelationships
The JC-IC is the outer shell as a strategic and operational integrating framework for
achieving desired outcomes using all elements (i.e., DIME-FIL) of U.S. power.
The JC-OIE serves as one part (line of effort) of an intermediate shell connecting
the inner doll, JC-HAMO, to the outer shell, JC-IC.
The JC-HAMO is the core element—the center of the Matryoshka Dolls—
as influencing human behavior and will is central to determining outcomes.
While there is no “Joint Concept for Operations in the Physical Environment (OPE),”
it has essentially been the default operating concept of the Joint Force since 1917.
Adapted from draft paper “Smarter Power” by Sara Cobb, Patricia DeGennaro; Randall Munch (~May 21st, 2018)
The ideas of these three recommended revisions to Operational Art
are mutually supporting and are already being informally integrated
into Joint Force thinking, design, and planning, but must be
institutionalized in Joint Doctrine, and the Training and Education of
leaders, planners, and personnel.
One way of visualizing the relationships between the Operational Art
Joint Concepts and their envisioned Joint Forces is as three nested
“Matryoshka dolls.”
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Joint Concept for
Human Aspects of
Military Operations
(JC-HAMO)VCJCS, 19 October 2016
Co-Sponsors: USSOCOM J59, JS J7
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 12
Why is HAMO Needed?
“In today's information age, we must recognize that the essential ‘key terrain’ is the
will of a host nation's population...[This] permits us to gain the trust of skeptical
populations, thus frustrating the enemy's efforts and suffocating their ideology.” Gen J. N. Mattis, USMC
Foreword to Operational Culture for the Warfighter: Principles and Applications, 2008
Senior Level Direction
• JC-HAMO signed by VCJCS on 19 October 2016
• JC-HAMO Transition Plan signed by JS DJ7 on 13 September 2018
• JC-HAMO DCR signed by VCJCS on 5 March 2019
HAMO inculcation of Joint Force Officer and Enlisted Corps will provide improved
understanding, identification, anticipation, and evaluation of relevant actors IOT
influence their will, behavior, attitudes, and decision-making.
DoD Guidance and Efforts
• 2014 onward: Competition: JC-IC requires JF proficiency in HAMO.
• 2017 Information as 7th Joint Function: SOIE & JC-OIE require JF HAMO proficiency.
• 2018 NDS, DPG, & IG issued (Irregular Warfare, Information, & Human Dimension)
• 2018 JP 3-0, Joint Operations devotes attention to OIE and relevant actors
• 2019 NDS IW Annex & draft SOIE require JF proficiency in HAMO & OIE.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
JC-HAMO Overview Graphic(OV-1)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
JC-HAMOFive “Elements” that Shape
Human Behavior, Decision-Making, and Will(i.e., Social, Cultural, Physical, Informational, and Psychological)
14Source: USSOCOM Concept for Operating in the Human Domain (SC-OHD), 3 Aug 2018.
Te
mp
ora
l L
en
s
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Develop foundational understanding of the elements shaping human behavior
Develop foundational understanding of the elements shaping human behavior
Deve
lop
fou
nd
atio
na
l un
de
rsta
nd
ing o
f the
ele
me
nts
sh
ap
ing
hu
ma
n b
eh
avio
rDeve
lop
fo
un
da
tio
na
l u
nd
ers
tan
din
g o
f th
e e
lem
en
ts s
ha
pin
g h
um
an
be
ha
vio
r
Monitor
the Environment• Conduct All-Source
intelligence operations
• Engage with partners to
improve understanding
Assess
Impact of
Operations &
Activities• Analyze the elements
that shape human behavior
Plan
Operations
& Activities• Examine Relevant Actor
past behavior
• Select appropriate methods
to influence future behavior
Direct
Operations &
Activities to create
desired effects• Build support for friendly forces
• Deny support and weaken
adversaries
Improve
Understanding
&
Awareness
IDENTIFY EVALUATE
ANTICIPATEINFLUENCE
Relevant Actors
Groups
Populations
Friendly
Neutral
Adversary
Individuals
Goal: Identify
Relevant Actors
and their Networks
Elements that Shape
Human Behavior
Social
Cultural
Psychological
Informational
PhysicalTe
mp
ora
l L
en
s
Goal: Evaluate
Relevant Actors
behavior in context
Goal: Anticipate
Relevant Actors’
decisions
Goal: Influence the
Relevant Actors’
will and decisions
Desired Effects
Assure/Bolster
Protect
Reconcile
Marginalize
Deter
Weaken/Divide
Degrade/Destroy
Ends
Prevent, mitigate, contain,
and win conflict—
and consolidate gains
Methods of Influence
Cooperation
Assistance
Avoidance
Persuasion
Dynamic Narrative
Cyber/EW
Deception
Non-Lethal Force
Lethal Force
JC-HAMO Operational Framework
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
JC-HAMO DOTmLPF-P SolutionsTransition Plan and DCR
D-1 – Develop standardized lexicon that defines HAMO-specific terms (USSOCOM/JS J7, Dec 2018)
D-2 – R/R revisions to JPs WRT extant best practices & key HAMO considerations (USSOCOM/JS J7, Dec 2021)
D-3 – R/R revisions to JPs on developing/communicating narratives (USSOCOM/JS J7, Sep 2022)
D-4 – Develop JDN on extant HADA (USSOCOM/JS J7, Aug 2019)Doctrine D-5 – Recommend updates to JPs on extant HADA (USSOCOM/JS J7, Sep 2022)
D-6 – R/R revisions to JPs to describe a comprehensive counter-radicalization approach (JPLAs, Feb 2024)
D-7 – R/R revisions to JPs to describe how JF supports partners in reconciliation activities (JPLAs, Feb 2024)
D-8 – R/R revisions to JPs to describe how JF supports partners in reconciliation activities (JPLAs, Feb 2024)
Training
T-1 – CJCSN 3500.01 (Chairman’s JTG) to incorporate HAMO in training/exercises (USSOCOM/JS J7, Jun 2019)
T-3a – R/R UJTs to articulate JF HAMO tasks & update UJTL (USSOCOM, Feb 2020)
T-3b – R/R GCC JMETs WRT theater specific HAMO & update JMETL (GCCs, Feb 2021)
T-3c – Identify, develop, and provide individual and unit HAMO overview training (SVCs, Feb 2023)
T-4 – Develop and provide JS J7-approved intel analysis training curricula (DIA, Feb 2022)
LE-1 – Incorporate HAMO as CJCS Special Area of Emphasis (SAE) (USSOCOM/JS J7, Feb 2022)Leadership
& Education LE-2 – R/A/R OPME/EPME curricula to develop understanding and appreciation of HAMO (USSOCOM, Feb 2022)
Policy P-2 – Submit update to DoDD 3000.07, IW & recommend update to DoDI 3000.05, StabOps (USSOCOM, JS J7, Jun 2019) P-1 – Engage, leverage, and support development of an IA Narrative Community of Practice (JS J39, Aug 2020)
P-3 – Review and update security guidance for personnel and security classification guidance (JS J2, Feb 2020)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Conclusions and Questions
Daniel R. Lane
GS-13, Strategy and Analysis Specialist
USSOCOM J59 Concept Development and Integration (CDI) Division
Capability Solutions Branch (J59-S)
7701 Tampa Point Blvd
MacDill AFB, FL 33621
COM (813) 826-3807
MOB (813) 317-4778
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
BACKUPS
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 19
◼ The U.S. military active duty end strength is shown in brown➢ Ranges from a couple hundred thousand in the early 1900s
➢ Peaks at 11 million during World War II
➢ Gradually declines to its current strength of about 1.4 million
◼ Above the strength graph are five conflicts during the past century fitting the traditional war model: ➢ Wars I and II, Korea, Vietnam and Desert Storm.
➢ They feature large, force-on-force engagements by uniformed militaries fielded by nation states.
◼ Below the strength graph are 57 instances when the U.S. military conducted foreign operations.
Source: Kapusta, Philip. “The Gray Zone.” Special Warfare 28. No. 4. Oct-Dec 2015. Accessed January 16, 2018.
http://www.soc.mil/swcs/SWmag/archive/SW2804/October%202015%20Special%20Warfare.pdf
Beyond Armed Conflict
US Commitment and Consolidation
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 20Diplomatic Pressure
Unconventional Measure/Warfare
Source: Kendrick, Scott. “Joint Concept for Integrated Campaigning Overview.” November 1, 2017.
Styles of Warfare
“America’s armed forces have
fought fewer than a dozen major
conventional wars in over two
centuries, they have, during the
same period, engaged in several
hundred military undertakings that
would today be characterized as
stability operations.” Lawrence A. Yates,
The US Military’s Experience in Stability
Operations, 1789-2005
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Beyond Armed Conflict
US Commitment and Consolidation
Source: Kendrick, Scott. “Joint Concept for Integrated Campaigning Overview.” November 1, 2017.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Joint Concept Life CycleSource: CJCSI 3010.2E, Guidance for Developing and Implementing Joint Concepts, 2016
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Joint Concept for Integrated Campaigning(JC-IC) Overview Graphic (OV-1)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Joint Concept for
Operating in the Information Environment (JC-OIE) Overview Graphic (OV-1)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Joint Concept for
Human Aspects of Military Operations (JC-HAMO) Overview Graphic (OV-1)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
JC-HAMO Logic and
Required Capabilities Overview
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
Conduct Mission Analysis
through the Lens of HAMO
Conduct Self Assessments
Understand the Evolving
Operational Environment
through the Lens of HAMO
Determine Information
Requirements
Collect Information
on the Elements Shaping
Actor Decisions/Behavior
Analyze Information
on the Elements Shaping
Actor Decisions/Behavior
Develop Intelligence on
Elements Shaping Human
Decision-Making
Develop Criteria for Relevance
Collect Information on
Prioritized Actors
Analyze Information on Actors
Determine Relevant
Actors & Networks
Integrate HAMO Understanding
Into Operational COAs
Develop MOEs/MOPs that
Account for HAMO Understanding
Develop Branches and Sequels
Based on Relevant Actor
Decisions/Behavior
Incorporate HAMO Insights
into Operational Planning
Plan
Establish Relationships With
Full Range of Partners
Monitor Relevant Actors
Analyze Relevant Actors'
Behavior and Decision-making
Evaluate Actor Behavior
and Decision-making
Determine Relevant Actor
Desired Behavior
Determine How to Address the
Elements that Influence
Relevant Actor Behavior
Identify Parameters,
Indications & Warnings
Forecast Actions
Anticipate Relevant Actors'
Behavior and Decision-making
Develop Info and Intel
Sharing Structure
Coordinate Plans
Synchronize Operation
Execution
Integrate HAMO Understanding
With IA/HC and MN Partners
Educate Forces
Conduct Individual/ Staff /
Unit Training
Assess Commander Knowledge
of HAMO
Prepare the Joint Force
Prepare
Decide to Act
Maximize Partner Contributions
and Mutual Support
Communicate a Narrative to
a Target Audience
Build Partner
Capability & Capacity
Disrupt Support to Adversaries
Enable Reconciliation of Adversaries
Mobilize Individuals, Groups,
and Populations
Utilize Influence Potential
Of Infrastructure and Symbolic Sites
Influence the Will and
Decisions of Actors
Execute
Monitor the Operational Situation
Assess Changes in
Relevant Actors Perceptions
and Behaviors
Modify Plans
Incorporate Lessons Learned
Assess Plans and Operations
Recommend Policy Actions
Assess
JC-HAMO Capabilities Requirements(i.e., HAMO “Activity List”)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 28
JC-HAMO Transition Plan(JS DJ-7, 13 Sep 2017)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 29
JC-HAMO DCR Implementation Plan (1 of 2)
as finalized in JROC-M (013-19, 03052019)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 30
JC-HAMO DCR Implementation Plan (2 of 2)
as finalized in JROC-M (013-19, 03052019)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Relevant Actors”
JS DJ-7: JP 3-0, Joint Operations
31
“The human and automated systems whose behavior the JFC wants to
affect are referred to as relevant actors.
Relevant actors may include any individuals, groups, and populations,
or any automated systems, the behavior of which has the potential to
substantially help or hinder the success of a particular campaign,
operation, or tactical action.
For the purpose of military activities intended to inform audiences,
relevant actors may include US audiences; however, US audiences are
not considered targets for influence.” US DoD, Joint Staff, JP 3-0, Joint Operations, 17 January 2017 (Incorporating Change 1, 22 October 2018), III-18
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Relevant Actors”
VCJCS: JC-HAMO & JC-OIE
32
“Individuals, groups, and populations whose behavior has the potential
to substantially help or hinder the success of a particular campaign,
operation, or tactical action.” US DoD, Joint Staff, Joint Concept for the Human Aspects of Military Operations (JC-HAMO), 2016
“Those individuals, groups, populations, and automated processes and
systems that, through their behavior, could substantially impact U.S.
national strategy, policy, campaigns, operations, or tactical actions.” US DoD, Joint Staff, Joint Concept for Operating in the Information Environment (JC-OIE), 2018
◼ Relevant actors may include:
➢ governments at the national and sub-national levels;
➢ state security forces, paramilitary groups, or militias;
➢ non-state armed groups;
➢ local political, religious, civil society, media, & business figures;
➢ diaspora communities;
➢ and global/regional IGOs and NGOs.
◼ Law or policy may further limit the definition of relevant actors
Relevant Actors
Groups
Populations
Friendly
Neutral
Adversary
Individuals
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Human Aspects”VCJCS: JC-OIE & JC-HAMO
“The interactions among humans and between humans and
the environment that influence decisions.” US DoD, Joint Staff, Joint Concept for the Human Aspects of Military Operations (JC-HAMO), 19 October 2016
33
◼ Physical, social, cultural and physical elements that shape human behavior form the
foundation.
◼ Likewise, the foundation affects these elements.
◼ Character, tradition, and nature are all human aspects that suggest how humans
might behave under particular circumstances in the future.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Sociocultural Analysis”JS DJ-7: JP 2-0
34
“Sociocultural Analysis”
“The analysis of adversaries and other relevant actors that integrates
concepts, knowledge, and understanding of societies, populations,
and other groups of people, including their activities, relationships,
and perspectives across time and space at varying scales. US DoD, Joint Staff, JP 2-0, Joint Intelligence, 22 Oct 2013
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Civil Information” JS DJ-7: JP 3-57
35
“Civil Information”
“Relevant data relating to the civil areas, structures, capabilities,
organizations, people, and events of the civil component of the
operational environment used to support the situational awareness of
the supported commander.” US DoD, Joint Staff, JP 3-57, Civil-Military Operations, 1 Oct 2018
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Human Dimension” (HD)JP 1, Joint Warfighting (2019 GO/FO Draft)
Because war is a clash between opposing human wills, the human
dimension is central in war. The human dimension is the combination
of the cognitive, social, and physical aspects of humans, both
individuals and groups. It is the human dimension that infuses war with
its intangibles including intuition, fear, genius, and moral factors. JP 1, Doctrine for the Armed Forces of the Unites States (GO/FO Review Draft, 15 Apr 2019)
36
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
“Human Dimension (HD)”OUSD(I): HD White Paper, 2010
37
“The presence, activities (including transactions—both physical and virtual),
culture, social structure and organization, networks and relationships,
motivation, intent, vulnerabilities, and capabilities of humans (single or groups)
across all domains of the operational environment (space, air, maritime, ground,
and cyber).” “Human Dimension: Analyzing the Role of the Human Element in the Operational Environment,” USD(I) Concept Paper, 15 Sep 2010
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI)
USSOCOM for the Joint Force:
“The Human Domain consists of the people (individuals, groups,
populations) in the environment, including their perceptions,
decision-making, and behavior.” USSOCOM Concept for Operating in the Human Domain (SC-OHD), 3 Aug 2015
“Human Domain” (HD)USSOCOM (2015)—Not accepted by DoD
3
HUMAN GEOGRAPHY
Macro / Strategic
HUMAN TERRAIN
Micro / Tactical
“The study of space, place, people, interactions, and activities.”
“The social ethnographic, cultural & economic, and political elements of the
people with whom the Joint Force is operating.”
“The human domain consists of the people (individuals, groups, and populations) in the
environment, including their perceptions, decision-making, and behavior.” US Special Operations Command’s Concept for “Operating in the Human Domain.” US Department of Defense, US Special Operations Command, USSOCOM Concept for Operating in the
Human Domain (SC-OHD) (Tampa, FL: USSOCOM, 2015), accessed September 24, 2018, http://nsiteam.com/social/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/SOF-OHD-Concept-V1.0-3-Aug-15.pdf. 3.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED USSOCOM J59 (CDI) 39