john anthony teleconference u.n. foundation senator john kerry and reid … · 2009. 9. 21. · you...
TRANSCRIPT
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John Anthony Teleconference
U.N. Foundation
Senator John Kerry and Reid Detchon
September 15, 2009 11:30 a.m.
Chantelle: This is a recording for the John Anthony
teleconference with the United Nations Foundation, Tuesday,
September 15th, 2009 scheduled for 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
Hello, and thank you for your patience in holding. Welcome to
the United Nations Foundation conference call. I would like to
introduce our speakers for today’s conference. We have Senate
Foreign Relations Committee Chairman, Senator John Kerry,
United Nations Foundation President Timothy Wirth, and Reid
Detchon, Vice President Energy and Climate, United Nations
Foundation.
Please be aware that each of your lines is in a listen-
only mode. At the conclusion of our speakers’ presentation, we
will open the floor for questions. Instructions will be given
at that time on the procedure to follow if you would like to
ask a question. It is now my pleasure to turn this morning’s
conference over to Reid Detchon. You may begin.
Reid Detchon: Thank you, Chantelle and thanks for all of
you who are on the line right now. We will have a couple of
opening comments from Senator Kerry and Senator Wirth and then
go straight to questions. Senator Kerry, this week climate is
getting back in the news again - the major economies forum will
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be meeting here in Washington. Next week the Secretary General
is convening a U.N. summit on climate change and then the G-20
will be meeting in Pittsburgh. What are your hopes and
expectations for this round of progress towards Copenhagen?
John Kerry: Well Reid, first of all, thank you for
helping to organize this and thanks to Tim Wirth and the U.N.
Foundation for helping to be part of this. I am delighted to
be on this call with an old friend, Tim Wirth, who worked
together with me and Al Gore and John Chaffey and a bunch of us
for a number of years on this topic as far back as in the
1980s. This is a critical moment for the climate change
debate in the Senate, in the country as a whole and globally,
internationally because in less than three months from now, 192
nations are going to gather in Copenhagen and hammer out a new
global treaty.
This week and next week, we, the United States, are
playing host to a series of critical meetings, which kicks off
really the final leg of negotiations before December. But the
truth is that what happens now in September in the meetings in
New York and in Pittsburgh is going to really lay a lot of the
foundation for what is achievable in December. The State
Department this week also hosts the Major Economies Forum. And
around these discussions, the United States and China are going
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to continue the bilateral dialogue that has been going on on
climate, energy and the environment.
Simultaneously, my committee, the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, is hosting a breakfast next Thursday for all of the
environment ministers who are here for the G20 and for the New
York activities in order to discuss the status of international
negotiations and the domestic actions in our respective
countries. So with Climate Week next week at the U.N. where
hundreds of government and business leaders from around the
world are going to come to New York to support these
international efforts, a lot of activity will take place, but
there’s a lot of opportunity staring us in the face.
I am looking forward to delivering remarks on the U.S.-
China Climate cooperation in New York on the 21st. And then
later that week, the G20 is going to meet in Pittsburgh with an
ambitious agenda on economic recovery and global rebalancing
and reform of international institutions. So I frankly am a
little disappointed that the climate question is not climate
change financing, is not larger on the agenda in Pittsburgh and
I hope that the progress in New York and even in Pittsburgh,
nevertheless, will address that disappointment, in a sense.
Two countries, the United States and China, are really
going to set the tone for the international climate change
dialogue. And I think the crucial question is can we together,
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can America and China, forge a partnership that is capable of
acting boldly enough to prevent a climate catastrophe. And the
reason, obviously, is the size of our economies and the fact
that we represent the largest emitter in the developed world
and China represents now the number one emitter in the world,
as well as the largest sort of transitional economy, economy
moving from developing country to developed country.
So I just say that these conversations, I think, between
us and China are at a critical stage. I think they need to
speed up. I think they need to focus. I think they need to
come to agreement, as they are trying, on a number of different
possible climate change areas where they could make progress.
And I am very hopeful that over the next month we are going to
see some positive announcements. But one thing that I will
make very, very clear, and I’ve said this when I went to China
a little over two months ago and held meetings there, I’ve said
it in a number of speeches that I’ve made. That we understand
that the United States of America has to lead. We have an
obligation to lead and it is critical that the United States
step up and meet its responsibilities with respect to
Copenhagen.
But China also needs to understand, as well as the
developing world needs to understand, that we cannot enter into
a global treaty without meaningful commitments from China to be
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part of the solution. They can do it on a different level from
the United States, as we have agreed at prior meetings, but it
must be measurable, reportable and verifiable the steps that
they take. And I am confident that China is prepared to take
some steps that will be meaningful with respect to Copenhagen.
So there are other things to discuss here, but my hope is,
I’m working with Barbara Boxer very closely and with a large
group of senators, reaching out. We hope to present our
legislation somewhere over the course of this month or the
earliest part of October, but I hope by the end of this month
we will be ready to present to the Senate and to the country
what we think we ought to be doing. And that is our schedule.
Reid Detchon: Thank you, Senator Kerry. Senator Wirth,
we’ve just heard some of the critical steps that need to go
forward before Copenhagen. You’ve been traveling the world and
your team has been traveling the world talking to negotiators
about the prospects. What do you see as achievable in
Copenhagen and the steps that need to happen before then?
Timothy Wirth: Thank you Reid and let me begin by
thanking Senator Kerry for his longtime commitment in this area
and his very deep understanding of the climate and energy
issue. Probably nobody in the Senate has as much experience or
understanding and thank goodness he has got the key role that
he now has chairing the committee, being in the leadership and
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working with Senator Boxer. We look forward, as I think
everybody in the climate and energy community, to working
closely with him and his group and moving the Senate, which has
to be done.
Let me turn to next week and the Secretary General and
what is happening in New York. As we know, that is the meeting
of the General Assembly. There will be a special session on
climate and energy and then the leaders of much of the
developed world and the move to Pittsburgh, so we have a varied
for the week. So next week is extremely important. The
Secretary General, as we know, has exercised really amazing
leadership. And I say amazing, nobody had any expectation when
he came in to become Secretary General that he from Korea would
be as committed or as knowledgeable. He laid out the basic
themes in Bali on mitigation, adaptation, technology, finance,
the fourth pathways that get us to a climate solution. And he
is now calling for the countries of the world to “seal the
deal” at Copenhagen.
The question, of course, is what does that mean? What are
the components of the deal that get sealed? And as Senator
Kerry said so well, we have opportunity staring us in the face;
what are the specific elements of that? It seems to us that as
you move towards Copenhagen, there are a number of very
specific items in the deal that can be put together. In the
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area of efficiency and access, really mitigation, there is no
question about the fact that we can get universal access to
modern energy services by a date certain that ought to be part
of the mission of the U.N. and the millennium development
goals. And achieving that, we should double the rate of
efficiency around the world and do that by increasing our
percentage of energy efficiency every year. This pays for
itself, it is good economics, it’s very good climate and energy
policy, it is good for everybody. That should be part of the
deal.
Renewables – it seems to us in the discussions we’ve had
all over the world. We can get 20 percent of the global
electricity by renewable by 2020. That is an achievable, very
real part of the deal. In terms of forests, we can reduce the
rate of deforestation by 25 percent early in the next decade
and certainly by 50 percent by 2020. The Norwegians are
leading that effort. That again is an almost non-cost element
of a climate program.
In technology transfer, the opportunities in both natural
gas and carbon coals sequestration are very real. Those are
the most important elements of a technology transfer package.
And finally the finance and that is going to primarily evolve
around adaptation. The poorest people in the world, the
poorest countries in the world are those that are going to be
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impacted the most rapidly by climate change. How do we finance
help for them to adapt and to change and to make this huge
climate impact coming their way more bearable and possible.
Final point, Senator Kerry is absolutely right in talking
about the U.S.-China relationship. We hope that this
administration has the kind of deep rooted negotiation going on
with China that is necessary. The President is going to be in
China in late November. My guess is you certainly can’t come
away from those discussions in China without a pretty clear
commitment from the U.S. So those are the elements of what
seal the deal can mean from the Secretary General’s perspective
and from the U.N.’s perspective. This all fits very neatly in
with the draft legislative ideas that Senator Kerry and Senator
Boxer have been talking about.
So all of this has the opportunity for beginning to merge
together. And like so many people who have been working on
this for a long time, we are very hopeful. We understand the
role that has to be played by the United States and we
understand the importance of the leadership, particularly again
Senator Kerry, who we thank for being with us today and for his
unique and continuing leadership.
Reid Detchon: Thank you, Senator. Chantelle, I think we
are ready for questions.
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Chantelle: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, at this
time we would now like to open the floor for questions. If you
would like to ask a question, please press the star key
followed by the 1 key on your touchtone phone now. Once again,
if you would like to ask a question, please press the star key
followed by the 1 key on your touchtone phone now. Our first
question will come from Dina Capiello [phonetic], Associated
Press.
Dina Capiello: Hi Senator Kerry, Mr. Wirth. How are you
guys today?
Timothy Wirth: Good. Thanks, Dina.
Dina Capiello: A quick question. As you guys both know,
in about 15 minutes, Lisa Jackson and Secretary LeHood will be
at the White House announcing the new regulations for the first
ever greenhouse gas emissions standard for automobiles. With
the Senate bill delayed and Todd Stern just last week
acknowledging that a big divide still exists between developing
countries and developed nations on the international front,
what impact do you think this announcement today, which was
expected, will have in terms of momentum for domestic
legislation and also for international negotiations?
John Kerry: Well first of all, the Senate bill, let me
just emphasize, is only marginally delayed. But both because
of my hip surgery, as well as Senator Kennedy’s passing, we
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were unable to meet for a certain period of time. And that is
about the period of time it has been delayed. But I think we
are on schedule in terms of Senate leader Harry Reid’s schedule
for the Senate. We will be proceeding to mark up in October
and the committee and the bill with come out of there and come
to the floor. So we’re going to have this debate in the Senate
and we are going to proceed forward.
Today’s announcement is an important component of it. I
think that it’s important for other countries to see the
seriousness with which this administration and the United
States are taking our responsibilities to reduce emissions and
part of that will come in the transportation sector, which is
outside of the parameters of the Markey-Waxman bill in the
Senate – sort of a separate entity.
So the administration moving forward today through its
executive administrative capacity is a very important component
of sending a message to people that we are going to do this
across our economy in ways that make sense. And I welcome it –
it’s been long overdue and I look forward to the announcement.
Reid Detchon: I think that since we have a hard and fast
deadline for Senator Kerry at noon and Senator Wirth can
continue on a bit after that, let’s focus particularly on
questions for Senator Kerry. Chantelle?
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Chantelle: Thank you and the next question will come from
Andrew Revkin, The New York Times.
Andrew Revkin: Thanks for holding the call – the more of
these the better. In the list that Senator Wirth rattled off
of things that could be accomplished, many of them have been
pledged for a long time under the treaty process, certainly the
adaptation stuff, and it has never come to pass in terms of
money. So one question is what gives you a sense of confidence
that you can get meaningful commitments in both directions,
from the China coming out and on adaptation from the west going
to places like Africa, which is threatening to pull out of the
talks, according to some stuff I just heard.
And one quick additional related thought is many of these
things look like they could be accomplished without a treaty.
You also didn’t mention markets, you know, global cap and
trade, as being a vital component. Are those things so hard to
get that maybe you don't need to push on an actual treaty
outcome in Copenhagen as opposed to other kinds of outcomes?
John Kerry: Well, there are a lot of questions in there,
a lot of questions, but let me try to begin at the beginning
here. As Chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, I will
tell you that I am deeply committed to trying to get the
adaptation component of this accomplished. And I understand
the importance of it. I have been to most of the meetings, the
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key meetings. I was in Posnan, I was in Bali, Kyoto and so
forth, and I understand how critical it is for the United
States – not just the United States, for the developed world,
for the major emitters over the last 150 years who have created
a problem for many countries, which don't emit or are
marginally emitting. And they are going to suffer the greatest
consequences, in many cases, of impact – from sea level rise,
from desertification, from deforestation and so forth.
So we have a new to respond there and it is, incidentally,
not unique to the global climate change issue; it is a
component of America’s foreign policy and has been for years,
to try to provide aid and assistance in a structured form to
many of these endeavors. Some of this, I believe, can be
accomplished through our USAID efforts, by refocusing them and
recalibrating them through this particular effort and some can
be accomplished in the specific financing mechanisms called for
in the protocol.
It is interesting to note that Europe stepped up just a
few days ago in a very significant way committing up to $100
billion or 100 billion Euro, I guess equivalent, and $2 to $15
billion in on an annual basis. So that is a marker, if you
will, which is important for us to take under advisement as we
proceed forward.
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The House bill has a one percent level committed to
adaptation. Some wanted it to be higher and some want it to be
higher today. I met yesterday, for instance, with
representatives of the major evangelical leadership across the
country and they are committed to trying to raise that level.
I am committed to trying to raise it in the Senate and I think
hopefully, we will be able to find a consensus that understands
this is part of the glue that holds this entire effort
together. And I know the administration is committed to trying
to set an appropriate level. So we’re going to try to do what
we can to augment what was accomplished already in the House
efforts and we will see where we wind up.
Reid Detchon: Senator Wirth, would you like to add to
that?
Timothy Wirth: Well, why don't we wait with other
questions and then I’ll come in and just try to do – in
summary, I agree largely with what John said. I don't disagree
with it at all. I would disagree with the premise of Andy’s
question that a lot of these specifics have been promised
before. I don't think that’s true. In the area of efficiency,
renewable, forestation or tech transfer, these are all new and
important elements of the deal and the specifics that come out
of Copenhagen, but we can come back and talk about that.
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John Kerry: Very good. One thing that – on China, we
are, I think, making some progress and I think people need to
look at the glass not as half empty, but as half full in the
following way. China made it very clear to me through top
leadership that they plan to go to Copenhagen and be a
“constructive, positive force.” And the key is to close the
gap with respect to a standard that was agreed on in Posnan and
Bali, which is that while the less developed world will not
have to meet the same level of reductions as the, what are
called Annex One countries, the developed world countries, they
do have to contribute. And they have to have a common and
shared responsibility, which is reducing emissions and to do so
in a way that is measurable, reportable and verifiable.
In every conversation that I have had with them, and I
think Todd Stern similarly, it has been to reinforce that we
accept the notion that we have agreed on a framework where
their effort, because they are still a developing country –
very powerful, very rich, very big emissions in some places,
but they’ve got a huge proportion of the population that still
lives on less than a dollar a day and is in transition.
And so in recognition of that, we have accepted that they
need to do measurable, reportable, verifiable reductions that
set us all on a glide path where we meet. And this is
obviously subject to the negotiation, where is the meeting
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point where you are all in the same, you know, operating under
the same rule and the same standard. And that obviously has
got to be negotiated. That is what these negotiations are
about.
Timothy Wirth: I think that Senator Kerry and I would
both agree that in this important China negotiation, we don't
want to get hung up on trying to say that the U.S. and China
will reduce the same percentage or the same amount. Those
numbers can just drag us right down and we each have different
histories and different obligations. Where we can agree, and
we ought to focus on those are, for example, an increasing
efficiency. Both the U.S. and China can benefit tremendously
for doing this and setting an example for the world on
renewable and setting standards for the increasing percentage
of renewables and generation of electricity. Both sides can
agree on that.
On various agricultural standards and where agriculture
becomes a sink for carbon, both sides can agree on that. In
technology development and look at the new possibilities, for
example, on shale gas. Both sides can agree on it. So there
is a whole menu where the U.S. and China can together agree
without getting into the almost ideological purity discussions
of who reduces how much. Let’s look at those areas where there
are many, many opportunities for agreement. Again, as Senator
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Kerry said, we have this opportunity staring us in the face.
Let’s grab those opportunities and make those the core of the
Copenhagen outcomes.
John Kerry: And again, I completely – Tim has very well
articulated that opportunity and those possibilities and I
completely agree with what he just said.
Reid Detchon: Thank you, Senator. Chantelle, another
question?
Chantelle: Thank you, gentlemen. The next question will
come from Juliette Alprin [phonetic] from The Washington Post.
Juliette Alprin: I just have a quick question for Tim
Wirth, so if you want to skip me and go to someone who has a
Kerry specific question and then come back to me right after,
that is great.
Reid Detchon: Okay.
Chantelle: Thank you. Okay, our next question will come
from Ann Thompson, NBC News.
Ann Thompson: Senator Kerry and Senator Wirth, good
morning and thank you for doing this. My question is, so as we
watch what happens in the next two weeks basically, what are
the signposts that you are looking for that indicate that we –
what do we have to see happen in the next two weeks that
indicate that we are really on the road to an agreement in
Copenhagen?
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John Kerry: I missed a little bit of the question because
somebody was handing me a “I’ve got to be somewhere” note.
Ann Thompson: I’m sorry, Senator Kerry –
John Kerry: You said what are the signposts?
Ann Thompson: Yes, what has to happen in the next two
weeks that makes an agreement in Copenhagen possible?
John Kerry: Well, I think we have to make – I mean, it
would be good to see China and the United States both publicly
affirm their desire with some specifics as to how they will
proceed to Copenhagen to make it a success and these are some
of the things that can help to do that. And they are along the
lines of the things that Tim Wirth just articulated. I mean,
there’s so much space here for joint cooperation with respect
to energy efficiency, with respect to renewable alternatives,
either research and/or deployment, joint ventures which are
being discussed. I know that Secretary Chu and Secretary Locke
were both over there and there are a number of projects that
are geared up and ready to go forward. If we can lock those
down, that would be helpful.
With respect to finance, I think it would be helpful for
the United States to reassert its commitment to the adaptation
and to the some of the, perhaps even be more specific in terms
of a base amount or a floor, if you will. The question of
financing is critical. Technology transfer, technical
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assistance, that whole arena is ripe for unbelievable joint
cooperative efforts.
So there are just enormous numbers of possibilities here
for cooperation that can lead to an atmosphere of everybody
realizing that this is the moment and that the two largest
emitters in the world are serious about leading people to a
successful outcome in Copenhagen. And any of those sort of
affirmations and/or announcements will help advance this.
Reid Detchon: I know that Senator Kerry has to go now and
let me thank you again.
John Kerry: Let me thank everybody very, very much for
being onboard and I appreciate the reaction that this important
– I think it would be good if we kind of keep this going. I
think post G20 and post my meeting with the environment
ministers, it might be good if we got back –
Timothy Wirth: Early October would be a good time to kind
of review what happened in New York and where we go.
John Kerry: That would be great.
Timothy Wirth: Let’s do that.
John Kerry: Thanks, everybody.
Timothy Wirth: Thank you so much to Senator Kerry. I am
struck by, just as a background, let me say that I am struck by
the fact that both of us really focus on the China issues –
China, China, China. And that is going to define much of the
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answer, I think Ann, to your question. We may not know in the
next two weeks, but how is the climate going to be related to
China. In the next two weeks, we’ll learn some more on the
language on adaptation and finance. I think there’s language
on adaptation and finance.
We’ll see probably that responsibility coming back from
the G20 more to the U.N. I wouldn’t be at all surprised. And
I think that that will be a positive sign. And I certainly
hope that there is going to be language related to agreements
on forestation, so-called RED – you know, reducing emissions
from deforestation and forest degradation. That is a very
important item. So there are a number of items out there, Ann,
that I think we’ll begin to see taking form in the next month.
If it doesn’t happen, then I think we may be at a time where
there is a lot of rhetorical discussion in Copenhagen.
It’s our hope that we get some very specific building
blocks that come out of these discussions so that there are
very specific returns from Copenhagen. We call it building
blocks. We’re not going to get a total cap and trade program,
like Andy Revkin asked about earlier. You know, that is
something that is down the line two years, three years, five
years globally. I think right now there are a number of very,
very important building blocks to get in line, many of which
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Senator Kerry mentioned and I mentioned in our earlier
comments.
Just one final return on Dina’s question about oil and
CAFE standards. Let’s remember that our emissions are about a
third, a third and a third – about a third coming from the
transportation sector. If we can persist in the energy
efficiency standards that were announced today and add to that
alternative fuels plus natural gas, we’re going to make some
very significant progress. Those are three areas that can be
included in international negotiations, that everybody can lead
up to. They don't have to be part of the Senate legislation
here; it would be helpful if they were, but I think we’ve made
some major steps on CAFE. After twenty years of diddling,
we’ve now got some good steps forward. Juliette, you had a
question? How’s the bebe, that’s the more important thing.
Juliette: I was curious if you could just give us a take
of when you have Ban-Ki Moon, Achim Steiner and Davos Forum
obviously putting a tremendous amount of energy and effort into
kind of closing a deal in Copenhagen, what’s the progress that
you think they have made and kind of the challenges they faced
in getting the world to focus on this and moving towards a
concrete agreement. I was wondering if you could just speak to
that.
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Timothy Wirth: I think the Secretary General has provided
a fascinating and very important umbrella in identifying the
importance of this and the priority of this. It has been his
number one contribution. I think that coming out of UNEP, the
work that has been done there on the kind of economic side of
this, the green job side of it, has been a very, very
significant step forward. We have a lot of work to do, both in
the United States and around the world at really identifying
what is meant by green jobs, what is meant by a green economy.
I and I think Achim Steiner has made a big, big contribution to
that internationally, just as John Podesta and the Center for
American Progress has done a similar sort of thing
domestically.
And then the third part, I think Davos had the toughest
part of the negotiation. He is the person who gets beat up day
in and day out by all of the ideological stuff. And the fact
that he has hung in there as much as he has and kept it all
together I think has been his contribution. So the three of
them have really anchored this very well. I think Helen Clark
is the new head of UNDP. I think in the next round, post-Kyoto
or post-Copenhagen, I think that we’ll find Helen Clark and
UNDP playing a bigger role than they might have done in the
past. So on the international front, those will be the four
horsemen of the next year or two.
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Reid Detchon: Chantelle, I think that we can have another
question.
Chantelle: Thank you. Our next question will come from
Lisa Friedman, Climate Wire.
Lisa Friedman: Hi Senator, thanks for doing this today.
I wanted to go back to China and you know, your comments that
we don't want to get hung up on saying the U.S. and China
should produce the same percentage. I am wondering, what do
you think right now is the congressional buy-in for that idea?
Because there are many members of Congress who are saying that
China should cut ton for ton what the United States is,
whatever the United States cuts.
You know, right now China is talking about this idea of
slowing business as usual emissions, plateauing and peaking.
And, you know, understanding that the dates of all of that are
still in very early and tentative negotiations, what’s your
sense of how politically viable that will be in Congress? Do
you think enough members of Congress will find that acceptable
from China?
Timothy Wirth: That’s a really good question and it is
the toughest part of the whole negotiation, which is why I
think Senator Kerry mentioned it so much and we have put so
much attention on it. I hope that the United States, in its
negotiation, as Billy Hadley [phonetic], the kind of very
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senior people who are able to penetrate and develop the kind of
trust relationships in China and vice versa that will allow us
to come to agreement.
I look at this, Lisa, a little bit as – in our last trip
to China, and we’re going to be there again in a couple of
weeks – I look at this as a kind of a ladder rather than
thinking that there is a single pole that is going to define
the U.S.-China relationship which are a set of numbers. You
are reducing how much. Rather, you look at it as a ladder with
we’re one side, China is the other and running across that
ladder, the rungs are efficiencies, for example, the rungs are
renewables, the rungs are standards for automobiles, the rungs
are natural gas, the rungs are technology transfer. Each of
those is ripe for a lot of cooperation between the two.
On efficiencies, for example, if we were to increase our
efficiency by one and a half percent or two percent per year
over the next ten years and China did the same thing, both of
us would benefit. It would be a positive thing. We could go
into the negotiation saying to everybody let’s all have that
kind of efficiency. If we looked at renewables, we could do
the same sort of thing, setting a long-term standard on
renewables that the amount of electricity that we are going to
generate, 20 percent of it ought to come, for example, from
renewables by 2020. That’s a goal that China can take on, a
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goal that we can take on and would be an important rung on the
ladder.
In the area of deforestation, the Chinese are very, very
concerned about this, have undertaken a major reforestation
effort just as we have put a greater emphasis on the need to
slow deforestation. The two of those can go together with the
Norwegians, for example and we could reach a point of agreement
on a 50 percent goal by 2020 in reducing the rate of
deforestation plus some kind of a reforestation annexed to
that. I mean, these are examples of the areas of cooperation
between the United States and China, Lisa, that I think could
characterize and should characterize the successful outcomes
that Ann asked about or Juliette, that Ann asked about and give
us the opportunity to develop some real momentum.
Will that be enough to be politically acceptable in the
Congress? Well, probably not to those who want to tube the
deal, tube any kind of agreement. But to those who have to
have the ability to explain where we are headed over a long-
term period of time, I think there could be a number of very
specific and important markers, Juliette, that would help very
much with the politics of it. Again, it’s the toughest
relationship and the most important one.
Juliette: Thank you.
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Reid Detchon: Chantelle, I think that we can have another
question.
Chantelle: Thank you. Our next question will come from
Don Hoping, Pittsburgh Post Gazette.
Don Hoping: Hi, Mr. Wirth. Actually, my question was for
Senator Kerry, but perhaps you can address this since you have
touched on the G20 a little bit. Senator Kerry mentioned that
he was a little disappointed that climate change financing was
not bigger on the agenda for the G20 meeting in Pittsburgh.
What do you see, what’s the wish list for the G20 in terms of
financing commitments? You mentioned that you see adaptation
and finance responsibility coming back from the G20 to the
U.N., you think it’s a positive sign, there’s a positive sign
there. What do you think needs to happen here in Pittsburgh
from the G20, what are you looking for?
Timothy Wirth: Well, I think you see the E.U. come in,
they have with a large tentative package. The U.S. has not
made commitments. I think that the U.S. is, between the time
of Pittsburgh and Copenhagen and when they do it, I’m not quite
sure when the President will feel comfortable with that. Maybe
he’ll do it as part of, lead into that in Pittsburgh and then
do it in China. We have to make a commitment to adaptation
that is real, that is going to help the most impacted countries
as they were described by Senator Kerry. We have to do
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something that helps get them going, get the poorest countries
to understand that we’re serious about helping them with
adaptation. That’s a very important part of, as the Secretary
General said, sealing the deal.
I think coming out of Pittsburgh could be the beginning of
an understanding that the economics of efficiency, the
economics of access, the economics of renewables and the
economics of the forest deal all make sense. We have very good
numbers from McKenzie [phonetic]. I think there is going to be
part of that discussion reflected in the Pittsburgh day, at
least I hope so. McKenzie has done such a good job of giving
us a good sense of what’s doable, what is feasible financially.
These are – maybe most importantly, you’re going to have
not only leadership, but finance ministers talking about
climate change. It’s all very nice for those of us who have
been engaged in this for thirty years to be thinking about
climate change. But until you get the guys who control the
exchequer, control the checkbook or the finance ministers
engaged, we’re not going to get anywhere. And they will be
engaged and maybe that will turn out to be the biggest
contribution of Pittsburgh.
Don Hoping: But you don't see any commitment from the
U.S. at that –
27
Timothy Wirth: I just don't know. I don't know, Don. I
think that those commitments won’t be made in Pittsburgh, but
will more likely be made as part of the broader global
negotiation leading into Copenhagen or at Copenhagen because
the finance part of it is so much a part of the overall “deal.”
Again, going back to what the Secretary General said, seal the
deal? Well, finance has to be part of that overall deal and
you want that to be part of the complete negotiation. That
would be my guess, anyway, having done a lot of these
negotiations. I don't have that on any kind of information, I
am just guessing that that will happen.
Don Hoping: Thanks.
Reid Detchon: All right, I think we can continue on down
the queue. Chantelle?
Chantelle: Thank you. My next question will come from
Steve Powers, The Wall Street Journal.
Steve Powers: Hi and unfortunately, my question was for
Senator Kerry, so I think I may have missed my opportunity, but
thanks anyway.
Reid Detchon: Thanks, Steve. Chantelle?
Chantelle: Thank you. Again, to ask a question is star
one on your touchtone phone now. Our next question will come
from Chris Holley, The Energy Daily.
28
Chris Holley: Thank you. Senator Wirth, I wanted to get
back to your amplification on Senator Kerry’s response to Ann’s
question about mileposts over the next two weeks. You
mentioned a decision on finance of sorts from the G20 since the
U.N., language on RED – again, since the U.N. If I heard
Senator Kerry correctly, however, I think he expressed some
disappointment that finance was not given a higher priority, if
you will, on the Pittsburgh agenda. Do you concur with that
and what would need to be done to give it more higher focus?
Timothy Wirth: I tried to answer that, Chris, before in
answering Don’s question about the Pittsburgh meeting. You are
in a negotiation and when you are trying to put, say, ten
disparate pieces together, you know, you are adding a little
bit here and taking a little bit away there and putting
together the overall package. The finance piece is going to be
extremely important to that. And if the G20 in Pittsburgh were
to say this is what we’re going to do or this is where we’re
going to go, you would have then two months – I can guarantee
you, you would have two months following that of people saying
well why isn’t it more or why is it as much as it is.
Everybody would be focused on that number rather than focused
on the finance as one piece of the overall package.
You have to have the overall package in order to, for some
people, to sell the amount of money that will be in the finance
29
section and in order to sell to the disappointed people who are
going to say it ought to be a lot more. Well, it’s not a lot
more because we’ve got the following other pieces. So it’s
part of an overall deal and I’m not at all surprised to see it
moving back into the realm of the Copenhagen negotiations,
which I think it will probably do.
Chris Holley: And if I could follow up briefly on this
issue.
Timothy Wirth: Sure.
Chris Holley: It’s been explained to me by any number of
people over the years at these international meetings that
while China seriously is a world player in the climate change
context, it also has a major role as a powerful spokesman or
ally, if you will, of all of the much smaller, more vulnerable
nations, what we call the G77, Group of 77. And I am told that
these nations, the not China, not India, not Mexico, are very
worried and always have been about the larger developing
nations striking some kind of comprehensive deal with the
western world in a way that leaves these long-standing,
simmering, things that anger the smaller people, like not
paying our commitments under the framework convention, etc.,
etc. How are we going to walk that balance, because we have to
secure a deal with the big guys, but we also have to bring the
little guys along as well?
30
Timothy Wirth: Well, you could turn your question into an
essay and it would be just about right in terms of the dilemmas
of the U.N. How do the big guys, who have 95 percent of the
economy and 95 percent of the emissions and 95 percent of the
military power and 95 percent of – you know, how do they
together, that big 20 or 25, then deal with 150 much, much
smaller countries and recognize and respect their sovereignty?
China has done that quite neatly. The group is called the G77
plus China. And sometimes China is part of the G77 and
sometimes China is plus China.
So they play both roles and increasingly are going to have
to do that. As they do so, what I find interesting, Chris, is
that China has emerged internationally as a country that you
see slowly but surely picking up its responsibilities in terms
of international diplomacy and international responsibility.
You know, they do want to play in the climate area, they are
looking for ways in which to do so. I believe, and from my
visits there and here and discussions, they really want to be a
constructive partner, but they want to do it in such a way that
respects where they come from and respects the needs of the
G77. So their role and how we deal with China – again, there’s
a whole diplomatic piece of the ladder of negotiation.
And I hope that the U.S. government has put into this – I
have always thought that if I was Secretary Clinton or the
31
White House, almost the most important thing that I would do
would be to have in charge of this part of the climate, energy,
security negotiation a very senior person who spent 50 percent
of his or her time in China, 50 percent of his or her time just
thinking about and working on and building this issue, because
it’s so important. We are not going to solve it and work it
all out, but we’ve got to make it work. We have to make it
work. And I was interested that that is where Senator Kerry
sort of stopped and began. That’s what he sees and it is
certainly true today and it will be truer next year and the
year after and the year after that.
Chris Holley: All right. Thank you, sir.
Timothy Wirth: Thank you – good question.
Reid Detchon: Chantelle?
Chantelle: Thank you. Our next question will come from
Chris Sumac, DPA.
Chris Sumac: Hi, Senator. I was wondering if you could
comment briefly on the major emitters meeting that is coming up
this week. Is that something, do you think, is this basically
setting up next week or do you expect something significant to
come out of –
Timothy Wirth: I think you are setting the table and I
think that’s what the major emitters, that meeting has done is
develop trust and develop common language and developed
32
relationships. That is all very important. President Bush
started that, that was important to do and this administration
obviously knows that it has to continue that. But it is, just
as you suggest, I think it is setting the table, it’s not going
to be a place where commitments, I would be surprised if
commitments got made. It sets the table for commitments that
can be made by the time we get to Copenhagen.
Chris Sumac: Thanks.
Timothy Wirth: Thank you.
Reid Detchon: Okay, I think we could be one or two more
question.
Chantelle: Thank you. Our next question will come from
Dean Scott, VNA News.
Dean Scott: Good afternoon. Hello, Senator Wirth.
Timothy Wirth: Dean, hi.
Dean Scott: Lots of good questions and thanks for doing
this today.
Timothy Wirth: Thank you for joining us.
Dean Scott: There have been a number of senators who have
suggested some form of border tariffs might be the price of
their support for the Senate climate bill. And as you know,
others such as Senator Kerry, have rejected that sort of tariff
approach as protectionist. Have you given any thought to what
a compromise might look like to resolve that rift?
33
Timothy Wirth: Well, there is a raging debate about this,
as you know, and is this sort of thing WTO compliant and if
not, how would you make it WTO compliant. I’m not enough of a
trade guru there and every time I go to one of these trade
meetings, I am reminded of days thirty years ago when we were
listening to the high priest of the nuclear establishment
talking about throw weights and vehicles and all of that sort
of that. I mean, the obscurity of what fits in what basket and
what doesn’t has escaped me or at least anesthetized me.
So I can’t tell you in any detail. I would not be at all
surprised that there will be some kind of a vehicle in here
that maybe provides a trigger over a period of time, but we
have to first get to the point of understanding that the
reductions that we all can agree upon might come out of a
different configuration. And that configuration might be the
kind of ladder concept that I was outlining earlier where you
have agreements on efficiency, renewables, forest, technology,
adaptation and so on and that you build your agreement around
that, not around absolute numbers of reduction.
I think that would be much healthier and if we can move in
that direction, then I think we can make some real progress.
If we get stuck on just the sheer numbers that are suggested in
the border tariff idea, then I think we might founder rapidly.
Dean Scott: Thank you.
34
Timothy Wirth: Thank you.
Reid Detchon: Okay, I think we can do one more,
Chantelle.
Chantelle: Thank you, sir. Our last question will come
from Neil McFarquarquar [phonetic], The New York Times.
Neil McFarquarquar: Senator Wirth, one of the things that
you hear from U.N. officials is that they are kind of running
out of time to hammer out the complicated agreement and they
feel like the political will is not there from any country,
really and that countries are spending too much time pointing
fingers at each other as opposed to accepting responsibility
for what they want to do themselves. I sort of feel like
Senator Kerry was just saying that we’re really going to put
the pressure on China as if the U.S. doesn’t pollute. So how
do you overcome that problem of everybody saying other people
at fault and not willing to own up to their own?
Timothy Wirth: Well, I have a view, Neil, which is not a
U.N. Foundation view or a U.N. view. It’s that this is a step
along the way. We are not going to solve the world’s climate
and energy problems in one agreement in Copenhagen. You know,
this is another step in the right direction. We are developing
trust, developing rules, developing the understandings that are
going to be necessary over the next ten, twenty, thirty years.
And that’s the way in which to do this. Of course, those who
35
are impatient for a total cap and trade deal, going back to
Andy Revkin’s question, for example, there isn’t going to be a
global cap and trade deal. But there will be those that
question it and say we don't have the political leadership to
get a cap and trade. Well, you know, you can’t get a cap and
trade almost anywhere under any circumstances, much less
something as complicated as a global cap and trade deal.
But we can, however, get efficiency agreements, we can
have energy access agreements, we can have renewable
agreements. And I think that we have to get our expectations
for Copenhagen lined up in terms of what are the building
blocks that come out of Copenhagen and then where do we go over
the next year, two years, three years. This roadmap is going
to continue for a long, long time and to allow ourselves to try
to have that roadmap get defined by the immediacy of politics
and the immediate return of exactly what happens and who does
what, in Copenhagen, I think, would be a big mistake and would
lead to people saying well Copenhagen isn’t a success. It will
be a success if we put together a number of these building
blocks and that could be the definition of a very real set of
achievements in Copenhagen.
Reid Detchon: Well, that is a good spot to end on. Thank
you, Senator Wirth and thanks for all of you for your calls.
Timothy Wirth: Thank you all for coming.
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Reid Detchon: There will be a mp3 file available of this
call in about an hour. If you would like to get that, contact
John Anthony at the U.N. Foundation. With that, I think I will
just say thanks for participating.
Chantelle: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time
this conference is now ended. You may disconnect your phone
lines and have a great rest of the week. Thank you.
[End of Transcript]