josé luis machinea executive secretary economic commission for latin america and the caribbean...
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José Luis MachineaJosé Luis MachineaEXECUTIVE SECRETARYEXECUTIVE SECRETARY
Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC)(ECLAC)
Geneva, 6 July 2007Geneva, 6 July 2007
REGIONAL DIMENSION OF REGIONAL DIMENSION OF STRENTHENING EFFORTS TO STRENTHENING EFFORTS TO
ERADICATE POVERTY AND HUNGER, ERADICATE POVERTY AND HUNGER, INCLUDING THROUGH THE GLOBAL INCLUDING THROUGH THE GLOBAL
PARTNHERSHIP FOR DEVELOPMENT PARTNHERSHIP FOR DEVELOPMENT
Dialogue of the Executive Secretaries with the
Economic and Social Council
Projections of the extreme poverty rate up to 2006 indicate that the region is back on track towards the first target of the
Millennium Development Goals (actual progress is greater than the time elapsed)
14.43.4
15.831.6
14.5
40.510.8
50.930.9
18.3
15.96.6
17.1
3.610.3
33.18.4
14.7
60 50 40 30 20 10 0Extreme poverty rate, 2006
LATIN AMERICA (17 COUNTRIES): LEVELS AND PERCENTAGES OF PROGRESS IN REDUCING EXTREME POVERTY BETWEEN 1990 AND 2006 a/
3
-1
73
19
73
42
85
32
52
68
79
66
69
100
100
32
-6
69
-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Venezuela (B.R.)
Uruguay b/
Peru
Paraguay
Panama
Nicaragua
Mexico
Honduras
Guatemala
El Salvador
Ecuador b/
Costa Rica
Colombia
Chile
Brazil
Bolivia
Argentina b/
Latin America
Percentage of progress between 1990 and 2006
Expected progress,
2006(64%)
Source: ECLAC, on the basis of special tabulations of data from national household surveys and projections on the basis of official information from the countries.a/ The percentage of progress is calculated by dividing the reduction (or increase) in the rate of extreme poverty in percentage points observed during the period by half of the 1990 extreme poverty rate. The red line represents the percentage of progress expected in 2006 (64%).b/ Urban areas.
Progress in reducing undernourishment, but there are considerable disparities among
countries
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO); The State of Food Insecurity in the World 2004, Rome, 2004. b/ Urban sector
Latin America and the Caribbean (32 countries): progress toward undernourishment target
(in percentages, by 2000-2002)
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
LAC
Latin
Am
eric
a
Car
ibbe
an
Dom
inic
a
Vene
zuel
a (B
oliv
aria
n R
ep.)
Gua
tem
ala
Pana
má
Arg
entin
a b/
Mex
ico
Dom
inic
an R
epub
lic
Hon
dura
s
El S
alva
dor
Nic
arag
ua
Net
herla
nds
Ant
illes
Sain
t Kitt
s an
d N
evis
Trin
idad
and
Tob
ago
Para
guay
Col
ombi
a
Bol
ivia
The
Bah
amas
Gra
nada
Surin
am
Hai
ti
Bel
ice
Jam
aica
Bra
zil
Cos
ta R
ica
Ecua
dor
Sain
t Luc
ia
Sain
t Vin
cent
and
the
Gre
nadi
nes
Chi
le
Uru
guay
b/
Guy
ana
Peru
Cub
a
Target for 2015 Target for 2015 (100%)(100%)
Progress needed by 2002 Progress needed by 2002 (48%)(48%)
The Global partnership for development
Latin American must continue its efforts to improve growth performance, income distribution and increase the efficiency and financing of social policies to achieve the MDG targets.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Arg
entin
a
Boliv
ia
Bra
zil
Chile
Colo
mbia
Cost
a R
ica
Ecu
ador
El S
alv
ador
Guate
mala
Haiti
Hondura
s
Mexi
co
Nic
ara
gua
Panam
a
Para
guay
Peru
Dom
inic
an R
ep.
Uru
guay
c/
Venezu
ela
(B
.R.)
Tax revenue Social security contributions Other revenues Capital income
The tax burden is too small, but differs sharply across countries
TAX REVENUES (% GDP, 2005)
Tax rev. + SS: 17.9%
Total: 21.9%Caribbean w/o SS (5 countries): 25.5%
The tax burden in the Caribbean is higher, however
The Global partnership for development
Latin American must continue its efforts to improve growth performance, income distribution and increase the efficiency and financing of social policies to achieve the MDG targets.
On the other hand, the developed world must be ready to assist all developing countries, not only the least developed ones, in achieving the Internationally Agreed Development Goals.
Since Monterrey, ODA flows have increased …
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
US
$
bill
ion
s
Years
Monterrey Consensus
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
OD
A
as
a p
erc
en
tag
e o
f d
on
or
GN
I
…but are still far below the target
Projected
Source: OECD data base (2007)
Monterrey target (0.7% of GNI)
Recent developments ODA flows have increased but still
fall far short of the Monterrey targets.
Channelling ODA towards low-income countries and focusing on social spending.
Channeling ODA to low-income countries and …..
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Pe
rce
nta
ge
s
.
1970-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2005
Low-income countries Lower-middle-income countries Upper-middle-income countries
N.B: Does not include Iraq, which accounted for 33% of total ODA in 2005.
ODA, 1970-2005(Averages)
…focusing on social spending
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1973-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2005
Social sectors Production sectors Finances Infrastructure Government institutions
Source: ECLAC, on the basis of OECD (2007). Government institutions include budget support, emergency assistance and external debt operations.
ODA TO PRODUCTIVE SECTORS, 1973-2005 (Percentages)
Recent developments
ODA flows have increased but still fall far short of the Monterrey targets.
Channelling official assistance towards lower-income countries and focusing on social spending.
Latin America and the Caribbean have lost ground in terms of their relative share (from 12.5% in 1990 to 9% in 2005).
Recent developments ODA flows have increased but still
fall far short of the Monterrey targets.
Channelling official assistance towards lower-income countries and focusing on social spending.
Latin America and the Caribbean have lost ground in terms of their relative share.
Lack of clearly defined objectives, strategies and instruments to support middle-income countries.
There are a number of reasons why the importance of ODA for middle-income countries, particularly those in the region, should not be
underestimated: From a national perspective:
• Slow and volatile growth makes it necessary to guard against economic and social setbacks.
• Most countries’ financial and trade linkages with the global economy are vulnerable.
• Countries do not exhibit an equal capacity to access the international financial system.
• Institutional weaknesses hinder the implementation of economic and social policies and are an obstacle to social cohesion.
• Difficulties in building up technological capacities and productive development.
• Poverty is widespread (60% of the poor and 50% of indigents live in upper-middle-income countries).
From a more global viewpoint:• Stability and growth in those countries
produce significant externalities for the other economies of the region or subregion.
• Countries can support the provision of global or regional public goods: diffusion of knowledge, trade integration, environmental sustainability.
• These countries are part of the international aid and cooperation system, and their role as recipients and donors should be strengthened.
There are a number of reasons why the importance of ODA for middle-income countries, particularly those in the region, should not be
underestimated:
In addition to benefiting from ODA, middle-income countries should also contribute to the cooperation
system
Direct ODA donors: Brazil has forgiven debts totalling about US$ 1.15 billion.
New financing mechanisms such as global taxes (Brazil and Chile).
South-South cooperation:• Macroeconomic coordination.• Mechanisms to support liquidity in times of
crisis.• Development financing through regional
and subregional development banks.• Technical cooperation.
The ways in which middle-income countries are integrated into the global
economy are important in terms of leveraging ODA
Improved access and regulatory frameworks in the international economic system• Trade• Finance • Technology
Strengthened representation in global economic institutions.
The Global partnership for development
For Latin America and the Caribbean, a region made up primarily of Middle Income Countries, prospects for economic growth ride largely on lowering trade barriers in the industrialized countries and fostering a fair global trading system.
José Luis MachineaJosé Luis MachineaEXECUTIVE SECRETARYEXECUTIVE SECRETARY
Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC)(ECLAC)
Palacio do ItamaratayPalacio do ItamaratayBrasilia, 17-18 May 2007Brasilia, 17-18 May 2007
OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE AND THE FIGHT ASSISTANCE AND THE FIGHT
AGAINST POVERTY AND HUNGER IN AGAINST POVERTY AND HUNGER IN LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Regional Consultations on the Economic and Social Council Annual Ministerial Review
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Brazil