josh bourone
DESCRIPTION
Measuring the impact of investments remains a main challenge for sustainable finance professionals and, together with Climate Change, an overarching theme at TBLI. Sixteen related workshops offer debate on ESG and Impact Investing trends, private equity, portfolio strategy, food production, emerging markets, sustainable energy or philanthropy investing.TRANSCRIPT
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Energy Efficiency Projects An Alternative to Fixed Income Investments
TBLI Zurich14th of November 2013
Josh Bourone
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Generate Stable Returns for Investors while Financing the Energy Turnaround
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
Politicians pledged to reduce global warming and fight Climate Change, while Institutional Investors are facing a drought of suitable fixed income products.
TBLI Zurich 2013
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SUSI Partners AG
Verwaltungsrat: Jürg Bucher (Präsident), Kai-Uwe Ricke, Prof. Dr. Uwe Krüger, Stephanie Schoss, RA Björn Bajan
Measurable impact in tons CO2 reduced for every investment
Two topics: Climate Change and Infrastructure
Minimal correlation to traditional asset classes while generating stable returns for institutional investors
Renewable Energy Energy EfficiencyEnergy Distribution
and Storage
SUSI Sustainable Euro Fund I(Solar- and Windprojects in
Western Europe; closed)
SUSI Sustainable Euro Fund II(Solar- and Windprojects in
Western Europe, fundraising starts in Q1 2014)
SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund(Financing Energy Efficiency
measures through a contracting model,
presently fundraising)
SUSI Energy Storage Fund(Storage capacity
for utilities, planned for end of 2014)
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
SUSI Partners AG
Founders: Tobias Reichmuth,Otto von Troschke
Board of Directors: Jürg Bucher (President), Kai-Uwe Ricke, Moritz Leuenberger, Prof. Dr. Uwe Krüger, Stephanie Schoss, Björn Bajan
Minimum correlation and stable returns for institutional investors
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Infrastructure as an Ideal Portfolio Diversifier
In the model, the integration of European infrastructure resulted in a considerable reduction of risk atgrowing target returns
Source: Chair of Real Estate Economics, University Regensburg (2011); 633 Infrastructuretransactions were observed from 1993 to 2010 (transaction based index) as a diversifying component in a model portfolio (80% government bonds , 40% short-term government bonds , 40 % long-term government bonds , 10% listed stock, 10% real-estate).
Through allocation into infrastructure an identical estimated portfolio return (with a lower risk exposure) can be generated Incl. Infrastructure
Excl. Infrastructure
Portfolio Return
Allocation Infrastructure
Risk Reduction
Po
rtfo
lio R
etu
rn
Portfolio Risk
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
TBLI Zurich 2013
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The Energy Turnaround – Investment Needs
Switzerland (Goals Energy Strategy of the Government) Renewable Energy: CHF 17 bn (Photovoltaic, Wind Power, Geothermy) Energy Efficiency: CHF 40 bn (until 2035, savings goal of 40%) Grids: CHF 4-5 bn (until 2020, maintenance only, without expansion) Storage: ?
Germany (EU 20-20-20 Goals) Renewable Energy: EUR 300 bn Energy Efficiency: EUR 150 bn (until 2020) Grids: Valuations differ (from EUR 20 bn to 100 bn) Storage: ?
Europe (EU 20-20-20 Goals) Renewable Energy: EUR 2,000 bn Energy Efficiency: EUR 2,000 bn (until 2020) Grids: Valuations differ (EUR 500-2,000 bn) Storage: ?
Source: European Commission (2010); Reichmuth et al. «Financing the Energy Turnaround», NZZ 2013.; European Commission Directorate-General for Energy, 2012;SUSI Analytics 2013
Governments and utilities can not provide the necessary funding for the implementation of the energyturnaround.
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Source: Eco-efficiency. Chapter 6 – Environmental performance of constructions / McKinsey Abatement Curve; Communication from the European Commission: Action Plan for Energy Efficiency: Realising the Potential 2006
Gt CO2
By investing in energy efficiency measures, more CO2 emissions can be reduced per million EUR invested than with any other measure.
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Energy Efficiency Fossil fuel switch
Renewable energies Nuclear energy
Carbon capture and storage Remaining CO2 emissions
Energy Efficiency: the biggest Lever to fight Climate Change
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
TBLI Zurich 2013
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A Market Potential of EUR 2,000 Bn in Europe
Source: European Commission (2010): 2020 Vision: Saving our Energy, Directorate General for Energy and Transport; DENA Deutsche Energie Agentur (2012)
Energy Savings Potential in Europe by 2020 (in TWh)
Estimated savingspotential of 4,117 TWh in Europe
Necessary investments in energy efficiencymeasures of EUR 2,000 bnto reach the 20-20-20 goals of the European Union
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Houshold(residential)
Commercialbuildings
Transport Manufacturingindustry
2008
2020 forecast
The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund is investing in one of the fastest growing markets over the next 20 years.
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
= =
TBLI Zurich 2013
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A Market Potential of EUR 150 Bn until 2020 in Germany
Source: European Comission (2010): 2020 Vision: Saving our Energy, Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Energy efficiency is one of the fastest growing markets over the next 20 years in Germany; the largestsavings potenial has been identified in the building sector.
112
9
5215
48
27
61
17
Total 340 TWh
Residential Heating
Residential Electricity
Non-residentialHeating
Industrial Fuel Consumption
Industrial Electricity
Consumption
Passenger Transportation
Freight Transportation
Non-residentialElectricity
Energy savings potential in Germany by 2020 (in TWh)
Estimated annualsavings potential of EUR 33,2 bn only in Germany
=Necessary investmentsin energy efficiencymeasures of EUR 150 bnto reach the EU’s 20-20-20 goals
=
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Increasing Energy Efficiency of Public Infrastructure, Industry and Buildings
Buildings in Europe consume more than 40% of the total energy consumption.
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Savings Potential in the Building Sector
Hospital
-26%
Office
-26%
Restaurant
-41%
Hotel
-41%
Shopping Mall
-49%
School
-52%
Source: Siemens Building Technologies
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
Energy savings result from technical measures that have a pay-back period between 3 to 7 years. Governmental subsidies are rebundant for energy efficiency retrofits to be profitable.
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Reduced Energy Costs:EUR 15 M
Initial Investment:EUR 20 M
Retrofit of Building
Guaranteed Minimum
Savings
70% Savings:EUR 3.5 M p.a.over 10 Years
30% Energy Savings: EUR 1.5 M
Yearly Energy Cost : EUR 20 M
Property Owner Technology Partner
SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
Yearly Savings:EUR 5 M
The Fund investsEUR 20 M and receives over
a period of 10 yearsEUR 35 M (10 x EUR 3.5 M)
The Fund adds a new Source of Financing to a Proven Business Model (Energy Performance Contracting)
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
Note: For illustration purposes only, linkeage to inflation not considered
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Stable Cash-Flows from the First Year after Investing in a Project
Commencement of contract End of contract
Contract duration
Time
Ene
rgy
Co
sts
Energy costs without implementation
Reduction in energy costs for the client
Energy costs after implementation
Energy Saving Contracting (illustration) Cash-Flows for the parties involved (illustration)
3.5
0
3.5
4
3.5
7
3.6
1
3.6
4
3.6
8
3.7
2
3.7
5
3.7
9
3.8
3
1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
5.0 5.0
5.0
0.52 0.58 0.63
-€ 4
-€ 3
-€ 2
-€ 1
€ 0
€ 1
€ 2
€ 3
€ 4
€ 5
€ 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mill
ion
s
Avoided Energy Price Increases
Savings for Customer
Investment/Return SUSI
-2
0
-€ 20
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
The Fund makes yearly distributions comprised of dividends and amortisation – no exit-risk. The resultingdistributions are stable and at least partially inflation adjusted.
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Inflation Protection
The Fund links project returns to price development whenever possible. Projects are individually indexed to:
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Energy Price Index
If a project is linked to an Energy Price Index, usually so-called «floors» are implemented to prevent a decline below the basis price. However, the goal is to index as many projects as possible to a Consumer Price Index.
Increasing amount of indexed projects in the portfolio increase net IRR of the Fund given inflation
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
TBLI Zurich 2013
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Josh BouroneAssociate
SUSI Partners AGFeldeggstrasse 12
CH-8008 ZürichTel: +41 44 386 98 06Fax: +41 44 386 98 09
Thank you for your attention!
TBLI Zurich 2013
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SUSI has realized a reference project in order to demonstrate the validity of the business case.
Key Information
Project: Building retrofit of 5 buildings (portfolio)
Technology Partner: Johnson Controls
Building owner: Principality of Monaco
Project duration: 12 years
Fund’s share of savings: 64%
Net Return: 6.3% (due to relatively high SPV cost for small project size)
Risk: Irrevocable guarantee of payment by the Principality of Monaco
Cost of retrofit: EUR 831,0001
Annual gross revenues: EUR 114,000
Energy Savings
Johnson Controls guarantees savings of 23% of today’s energy consumption (equaling 27% of energy cost) equaling 1,624 MWh peryear. This corresponds to a 35% reduction in carbon emissions and annual carbon savings of 243 tons.
Project Summary
The project shows very stable free cash flows. SUSI is working with a leading ESCO and a credit worthy governmental building owner.The Technology Partner guarantees the minimum savings and the Principality of Monaco guarantees the payments to the Fund overthe project duration. SUSI achieves a very attractive credit-risk-adjusted IRR. The project will generate annual distributions of around12% of investment, allowing the project a safe payback of just over eight years.
1) While this project is not levered, generally projects with excellent solvency can use leverage. The maximum for the avg. leverage is 50%
01 SUSI Partners AG >> 02 Energy Efficiency >> 03 The SUSI Energy Efficiency Fund
Reference Project: AAA-risk and 6.3% net return