kaihan acetech presentation april 2014

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2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved. www.kaihan.net April 11, 2014 Kaihan Krippendorff www.kaihan.net

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Speech I gave to a group of about 80 technology CEOs in Whistler in April 2014.

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Securing Strategic Partners

April 11, 2014

Kaihan Krippendorff

www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Mohammad Yunus 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Ratan Tata 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Thomas Edison 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Ray Kroc 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Betsy Johnson 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Richard BransonOprah WinfreyElizabeth ArdenDhirubhai AmbaniBill GatesCharles RevsonHenry FordSichir Honda

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net12

Martin Luther King, Jr.Mother TeresaMahatma GandhiNelson MandelaRosa Parks

Mohammad Yunus

Margaret ThatcherBenjamin Franklin 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net13

Elon MuskCEO, Tesla Motors

Tom AdamsCEO, Rosetta Stone

Mark ZuckerbergCEO, Facebook

Arianna Huffington CEO, Huffington Post

Robert Keane CEO, Vistaprint

Wayne GattinellaCEO, WebMD

Sabrina Herrera Cofounder, Genomma LabMarissa MayerCEO, Yahoo

Larry PageCEO, Google

Mark VadonFounder, Blue Nile

Josh LinknerFounder, ePrize

Ann HandCEO, Project FrogSusan LyneCEO, Gilt Groupe

Cory BookerMayor, Newark, NJ, USA

Jeff BezosFounder, Amazon.com 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netOutthinkers see these strategic options others dont see. For example

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Some Victims

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netOutthinkers see these strategic options others dont see. For example

152000 1. GE2. Microsoft3. Dell4. Cisco5. Wal-Mart20051. Dell2. GE3. Starbucks*4. Wal-Mart5. Southwest A.*20101. Apple*2. Google*3. Berkshire H.*4. J&J*5. Amazon*Most Admired Companies ReplacedSource: Fortune Magazine, Most Admired Companies 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Fortune 500 Survival is Falling

Source: What Does Fortune 500 Turnover Mean? Dane Stangler and Sam Arbesman Ewing Marion; Kauffman Foundation, June 2012 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netIf we choose a starting year and an initial slate of companies in the Fortune 500 for that year, we can see at each successive year the number of original companies that still remain. Due to the constant change in the economy, this will necessarily decline. By choosing different starting years and plotting the curves of the decline from year to year, we can see how the pace of this turnover has quickened. For example, the list of Fortune 500 companies in 1955 (black curve) declines far more slowly than the list beginning in 1975 (red curve). 17

S&P Lifespan Shortening

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net18First they ignore you,then they laugh at you,then they fight you,then you win.

Mohandas Gandhi 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netThe option beyond the obvious choices; the option others do not see, will not consider, and will not respond effectively to.The 4th Option 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net21

Go homeWaitCross 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Dick Fosbury 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netDick Fosbury, in the Olympics in Mexico.Runs and falls awkwardly backwards over the bar.Before 1968, it was a straddle, roll or scissors.This guy trained himself to go over backwards.He got up and saw the bar still up At that moment it hit him and crowd that he might win Olympics!Took 8 years for the competition to catch up, 90% go over backwards with the Fosbury Flop now.4th option is something that is difficult for competitors to copy.

Outthinkers are OutliersHeavier than air flying machines are impossible.Lord Kelvin President, Royal Society, circa 1895

Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?Harry M. Warner, CEO of Warner Brothers Pictures, circa 1927

There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in their home.Ken Olsen President , Digital Equipment Corporation,1977

There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom.Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923

The phonograph is not of any commercial value.Thomas Alva Edison (Inventor of the Phonograph), circa 1880

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netInnovations come taking time to imagine creating things that people dont believe are possible. defying what is out of are ordinary ways.Even the last one Edison calling his own invention of having no commercial value shows that we dont even believe in our OWN ability to create disruptive, innovative ideas. We resort back like our classically trained business ways tell us to the single right plan, the best practice, to the way that others are doing.

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2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netInsight 1: 8Ps not 1. Say "in comparison to" one big idea/ a big bet no it is actually lots of Fourth Options. 6 min exercise using 8Ps tool. Transition: so then the Q is HOW do we come up with fourth options?

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2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netInsight 1: 8Ps not 1. Say "in comparison to" one big idea/ a big bet no it is actually lots of Fourth Options. 6 min exercise using 8Ps tool. Transition: so then the Q is HOW do we come up with fourth options?

25URBN Revenue History$ Millions

Source: Bloomberg & TIAA-CREF 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netURBN ResultsGrowth5Y Ave.* Revenue CAGR (%)Profitability 5Y Ave.* EBITD Margin (%)* 5 years average as of October 2013** Abercrombie & Fitch, closest peer by market capitalizationSource: Reuters

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

College students onlyUsed clothingArtists not managers in chargeManager freedomEvery store different

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Urban Outfitters Differentiation along 5 of 8 Ps PositionProcess PhysicalexperiencePeoplePlaceProduct PromotionPrice 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netWhat Urban Outfitters has done is the answer to the key questions of 5 of the 8 dimensions.Positioning: how does the company position itself differently than the competition in the minds of its customers? What characteristics do the companys clients closely associate with that company? Urban Outfitters (URBN) is the only retailer of its size focused almost exclusively on college students and the only chain that achieves a type of localization in which every store looks a little different than the other. The store near Harvard University looks & feels different than the store near Stanford University.Product: what product features, design elements, and capabilities are unique relative to the competition? These can be things that are protected by intellectual property rights or not. Urban Outfitters sells used clothes and for new clothes it separates merchandizing from design so that URBNs designers cannot be sure that stores will carry their designs.Processes: what unique processes differentiate the company from its competitors? Process innovations are often overlooked as tactical and operational but they can lead to meaningful and long-term advantages.URBN allows store managers to make decisions on what the store will sell and how it will satisfy customer issuesPhysical experience: how is the sensory experience of the companys customers different than that of its competitors? Do they see, hear, feel, smell, or taste something different?URBN, mentioned above, is able to make every store a little different while its large competitors make every store look and feel the same.People: what peoples policies in uniqueness does the company implement that support its differentiation? People are the foundational support of the companys strategy. This dimension includes all elements of the peoples equation including how people are recruited, trained, engaged, and incentivized.Urban Outfitters hires managers from art programs rather than business schools and choose them based on their aesthetic skills rather than their proven management skills.29

PositionProcess PhysicalexperiencePeoplePlaceProduct PromotionPriceThe 8Ps Simple but PowerfulAnalyze and compare competitors

Map your own points of differentiation how many do you have? How strong?

Look at industry patterniseverybody optimizing the same Ps?

Where is nobody looking?

Can you turn bad into good? 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netThe 8 Ps is an interesting framework to think about innovation and where it can come from.Who has heard of the 4Ps of marketing? We simply added 4 more. Notice at the top is position and at the bottom is people. Why would we do that?

30ObjectivesDefine our vision and goals; our challengesImagine

Choose different leverage pointsDissect

Generate more potential strategiesExpand

Choose disruptive strategiesAnalyze

Decide how to communicate strategySell

The IDEAS Framework 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netOur time today will give us a taste for the framework. We will focus on D, E and some of A.I has been provided to you by your leadership team a particular business challenge thats important for Citis competitiveness and needs to be addressed. Youll find your business challenge in the envelope in front of you. Why dont you take a few minutes to look at the challenge, exchange your initial thoughts with your table neighbours, and clarify among yourself what the question is all about.In a few minutes Ill continue here by introducing you to the 8Ps, our way of dissecting the challenge and finding leverage points your competitors might not look at. We will apply these HABITS to your individual groups situation. And please keep in mind: asking these key questions in solving any problem you and your team faces will enhance your leadership effectiveness.

Alexandra KosteniukHow Do Great Strategists See the Winning Move?

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netChess Champion Alexandra Kosteniuk is known for performing something of a media stunt. She lines up 15 chessboards and invites 15 players to sit in front of each one. They sit and look at the chess boards while she stands and moves from one to the next. When she has played her first move for each of the 15 games, she starts over with the first one and makes her second move. This gives each of her opponents a lot of time to think about their next move, whereas she only has a few seconds. She usually wins all of her matches. She is able to look at the board and know the winning move even though her opponent cannot see the move. She is using her repertoire for strategic framing to perform a mathematical trick; she sees a pattern in how the other is playing the game and says: Ive seen this before, and the way to win is toWhat enables some innovative thinkers to see solutions that others overlook? The answer is that they overcome a mathematical problem by deploying the mental trick. Studies of expertise and expert performance give us insight into how they do this. If you are playing a game that requires onlythat you consider five options, you can easily think through those options. If you are playing a more complex game, however, one in which you must consider 30 or 100 possible options, you run out of short-term working memory capacity, and your mind then starts hiding options from you. It simply doesnt have the capacity to show them all. Experts are able to implement more complex strategies by applying a chunking process. While a novice might think about moving a specific piece to a specific space on the chess board, his expert opponent is thinking about applying higher order approach. Experts play with more higher order patterns or strategic narratives than novices do. To enable you and your team to see options that your competition does not see, you also want to play with the larger and more diverse repertoire of patterns. This means your ability to see strategic options that others dont see has little to do with your innate intelligence or how creative you are. It is simply a function of the number and variety of frames or narratives you bring to the game.32

Source:Baddeley model of short term working memoryConsciousness Phonetic loopVisuo-special sketchpadEpisodic buffer 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netMost humans are able to retain between five and nine items in their short-term working memory. If you go to a grocery store, for example, and only have to buy five things, you may not need a grocery list. But if you have to buy 15 things and do not write a list, youre probably going to forget something. We can really only remember 7 items at a time, +/-2. Thats why phone numbers were originally (before area codes) seven digits. We remember them in three basic ways. Let me give you a number to remember: 60952. Now, how many of you are repeating that number in your head: 60952, 60952?Thats using the phonetic loop method. Now, how many of you are picturing the number in your head? For those, you are using the visuospecial sketchpad method. Now, how about if I asked you to remember the number 2468?You would probably be using another method; in fact if I wanted to add a number to that combination, you could probably anticipate what that number would be, which is?This we call the episodic buffer; or strategic narratives. Its about the story. Seeing the number as a story, you say to yourself Ive seen this before and record it as such, even anticipating what will come next!33Relative number of narratives chess players recognize:

Grand master

Master

Expert 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netResearch into this expertise and expert performance has actually been measured. Master chess players recognize twice as many patterns as when they took up the game; grand masters are able to recognize 10 times as many.For us, its a matter of how many strategic narratives can we bring to the game to find our fourth option and strategic differentiators.34Europe & Americas Fairy talesJapan KoanIndia PuranasChina 36 stratagems

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netWhen we hear Trojan Horse, we dont just see a horse but know the story that comes with it. Those stories in America & Europe are known as fairy tales, in Japan, India other names. Kaihan Krippendorffs research uses the 36 Stratagems as the foundation of these stories or narratives. For the past 12 years, he has been working with this set of strategic narratives found in an ancient Chinese text called the 36 Stratagems. This collection of strategic metaphors was written sometime between 500 and 1500 A.D. Nobody knows the author of the stratagems. They were developed over a period of 1000 years through the process of oral tradition. Our research into the competitive dynamics of corporate competition indicates that the stratagems represent a complete vocabulary for describing and managing competition.35

Identifying Outthinkers

Value creation (TRS) Revenue growth (CAGR)(EBITDA)Profit margin 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net36Core Research

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Narratives to Find a Fourth Option#7Force two-front battle#32Create something out of nothing#22Move early to the next battleground#34Coordinate the uncoordinated#33Be good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netMove Early to the Next Battleground22

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Move Early to the Next Battleground22I just think a future in which anyone can shoot stuff into space is more exciting than one which only the government can.Elon Musk, founder, Space-X (2003 interview) 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netSpace X was founded in 2002. Kaihan interviewed him one year after the founding. From Wikipedia: Space Exploration Technologies Corporation, or SpaceX, is a space transport company headquartered in Hawthorne, California. It was founded in 2002 by former PayPal entrepreneur Elon Musk. It has developed the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 launch vehicles, both of which were designed from conception to eventually become reusable. SpaceX also developed the Dragon spacecraft to be flown into orbit by the Falcon 9 launch vehicle, initially transporting cargo and later planned to carry humans. On 25 May 2012, SpaceX made history as the world's first privately held company to send a cargo payload, carried on the Dragon spacecraft, to the International Space Station.[4]In order to control quality and costs, SpaceX designs, tests and fabricates the majority of its components in-house, including the Merlin, Kestrel, and Draco rocket engines used on the Falcon launch vehicles and the Dragon spacecraft. In 2006, NASA awarded the company a Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) contract to design and demonstrate a launch system to resupply cargo to the International Space Station (ISS). On 9 December 2010, the launch of the COTS Demo Flight 1 mission, SpaceX became the first privately funded company to successfully launch, orbit and recover a spacecraft. On 22 May 2012, SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket carried the unmanned Dragon capsule into space, marking the first time a private company has sent a spacecraft to the space station. The unmanned, cone-shaped capsule became the first privately built and operated vehicle to ever dock with the orbiting outpost.NASA has also awarded SpaceX a contract to develop and demonstrate a human-rated Dragon as part of its Commercial Crew Development (CCDev) program to transport crew to the ISS. SpaceX is planning its first crewed Dragon/Falcon9 flight in 2015, when it expects to have a fully certified, human-rated launch escape system incorporated into the spacecraft.Besides NASA contracts, SpaceX has signed contracts with private sector companies, non-American government agencies and the American military for its launch services. It has already launched, for a paying customer, a low earth orbiting satellite with its Falcon 1 booster in 2009.[5] The company plans to launch its first commercial geostationary satellite in 2013 from a Falcon 9.Future projects that are in the planning stages or in development include the Falcon Heavy launch system, as well as a NASA robotic mission to Mars in 2018. The Heavy is based on Falcon 9 technology, and if construction goes as planned, it will be the most powerful rocket in the American inventory since the Apollo-era Saturn V. Falcon Heavy can be used to send a crewed Dragon spacecraft on lunar orbiting missions such as the Apollo 8 mission; or be used to send a modified unpiloted Dragon on a Mars landing mission. Musk has stated that his intention for the company is to help in the creation of a permanent human presence on Mars.

Elon Musk has stated the personal goal of eventually enabling human exploration and settlement of Mars.[21] He stated in a 2011 interview that he hopes to send humans to Mars' surface within 1020 years.[21]As of May 2012[update], SpaceX has operated on total funding of approximately $1 billion in its first ten years of operation. Of this, private equity provided about $200M, with Musk investing approximately $100M and other investors having put in about $100M (Founders Fund, Draper Fisher Jurvetson, ...).[22] The remainder has come from progress payments on long-term launch contracts and development contracts. As of April 2012[update], NASA had put in about $400500M of this amount, with most of that as progress payments on launch contracts.[2340Move Early to the Next Battleground22

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netMove Early to the Next Battleground22

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netKamal Quadir42Move Early to the Next Battleground22

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netbKash learned from Africa and saw the next battleground was a model in which regulated banks guaranteed deposits.According to a MasterCard report 89% of Kenyans are familiar with P2P payments and 70% have used such a service. In Nigeria 70% willing to use a P2P servicebKash has 6M+ users, 85k+ agents, 300+ ATMs all operated by BRAC can be used to charge, 150+ branches all BRAC (USAid, Feb 21, 2014(43

Identify and move early to the next battleground.

Where is the next battleground?- Technological trends?- Social shifts?- Geographies?- Buying patterns?- Needs?22Move Early to the Next Battleground 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Narratives to Find a Fourth Option#7Force two-front battle#32Create something out of nothing#22Move early to the next battleground#34Coordinate the uncoordinated#33Be good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

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Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net52Ryan Feit and James Han

Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net53

Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net54We worked with several groups at the publisher Macmillan. In one one-day workshop with their childrens business, a team of about 15 people, spent a day around a board room. We had flip charts handing on the walls, post it notes filled with ideas, triggered by a carefully selected playbook. During that session, the team generated about 100 ideas and sorted through them wastes of time, tactics, winning moves, and bold ideas and the roots of idea emerged that had to do with combining two themes. One one hand, the stratagem of the next battleground opened up the idea that the young romance category was going to grow. On the other, the stratagem coordinate the uncoordinated triggered the idea that there was an opportunity to coordinate the growing community of independent, self-published authors. These two ideas combined to form what became Swoon Reads a revolutionary new platform through which young, independent writers can submit manuscripts, members can review those submissions across topics such as heat, tears, laughs, and thrills. The most popular writers are promoted to the community and published.

Coordinate the Uncoordinated34 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net55

Combine and coordinate independent elements within your environment to orchestrate much greater power.

Who would we like to coordinate?- Customers- Experts- Employees- Real estate- Regulators- Competitors- Driveways- Coordinate the Uncoordinated34

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Narratives to Find a Fourth Option#7Force two-front battle#32Create something out of nothing#22Move early to the next battleground#34Coordinate the uncoordinated#33Be good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Force a Two-Front Battle7

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netAutodesk: The Secret Star Behind Oscar-Winning Visual EffectsBy E.B. Boyd | February 25, 2011

No matter which film walks away with the Oscar for Best Visual Effects on Sunday, one organization that has previously made Fast Companys Most Innovative Companies list will be a clear winner: Autodesk. Every single movie nominated this yearfrom Alice in Wonderland to Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1, [from] Hereafter to Inception to Iron Man 2used its software to craft some portion of their effects.

And while Autodesk is best known for its architecture tools, less well known is its Media & Entertainment line of products, which are used to create effects in films, television and video games. The tools are so [highly] valued within the industry that they have been part of the toolbox used to construct scenes in every single film that has won Best Visual Effects at the Academy Awards in the last 15 years.

Autodesks MotionBuilder, for example, was central to last years Avatar. The tool was able to instantly transform the motion data it was capturing into an image of what the characters and scene would look like in the final film. So while Sam Worthington and Zoe Saldana romped around the set in black suits and funny-looking headgear, director James Cameron could watch a monitor where blue Navi characters were performing the scene against the Pandora landscape. That meant he could see the moviein real-timeessentially as it was going to appear in its final form and make any adjustments right there and then.

Autodesks Maya was used to map Brad Pitts performance onto the older version of himself in 2008s The Curious Case of Benjamin Button. MudBox, which was originally created by New Zealands Skymatter and later acquired by Autodesk, was used to sculpt the ape in 2005s King Kong. And Maya was used as far back as 1997, in Titanic, to place virtual characters on top of the doomed ship as it sailed out of harbor. That film also used Inferno, a compositing software that allowed the filmmakers, for example, to add smoke to the Titanics smokestack and have it track tightly with the ships movement.

Much of the core competency Autodesk brings to the table lies in developing complicated mathematical models of how objects look and behave in the real world, then baking that into the software, so that artists and designers can essentially push a button to run an algorithm and have the result applied to the element on screena much more sophisticated version of what happens when you apply an effect to an image in photo editing software.Our job, Jos Stam, senior research scientist at Autodesk and inventor of Maya Fluid Effects, tells Fast Company, is to hide all the math.

But hes humble about the tools ultimate contribution to what viewers see at the movies.We create these tools, he says, and Im always amazed by what the artists can do with them. Its like creating brushes and then seeing a Rembrandt. You can improve the brushes, but it still takes an artist to really create amazing effects.

http://www.fastcompany.com/1731618/autodesk-the-secret-star-behind-oscar-winning-visual-effects58

Force a Two-Front Battle7

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netGoogle is investing in many sectors outside of their core search and advertising business, but yet for the most part the way they plan to succeed in these spaces is through their core business model, leveraging their core capabilities. 59

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Force a Two-Front BattleCloud providersCloud servicesRetailThere is no physical analog for what Amazon.com is becoming. - Jeff Bezos 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net7

Force a Two-Front Battle

ShoesShoesCustomer service 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

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Force a Two-Front BattleTraditional software SoftwareBrokerage

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Force a Two-Front BattleTraditional CPA firmsProjectsResources (Accnts) 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Force a two-front battle7Project your unique capability into a new area.

What is your unique advantage/ capability?

Into what new area could you project this? 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Narratives to Find a Fourth Option#7Force two-front battle#32Create something out of nothing#22Move early to the next battleground#34Coordinate the uncoordinated#33Be good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

EnvironmentEmployeesCommunityGovern-ment /countryShare-holdersCustomersCorporation33Be Good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

33Be Good

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netWal-mart reached a point where in the US it couldnt build a new store without the community rallying against it. It realized this was actually destroying shareholder value. So it has invested billions of dollars on programs to undo this reaction, not just change people opinions but actually alter its business practices so that it becomes a net do dooder for the community and environment. 67

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Be Good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netBest Doctors offers an innovative health benefit. When you get sick and get a doctors diagnosis, you can call Best Doctors if your employer is a client, and get a free second opinion from a network of the best generalists and specialists in the country at no cost to you.

It has grown from about $5M to nearly $100M in revenue in the past ten years. One way it has been able to achieve such phenomenal growth is that it positions itself as being helpful to would-be competitors by doing the grunt work, washing the dirty dishes.

Much of Best Doctors' work is laborious. After an employee from one of Best Doctors' clients, such as Home Depot, Boeing or ConAgra, calls them, a specially trained analyst from Best Doctors collects the patient's medical records. It's the kind of work few have the patience for or skill to embark on. As Evan Falchuk, president and chief strategy officer says, "That can be a nightmare, a lot of work, but we do it well."

By putting together medical data that other doctors do not, Best Doctors can give its network of expert doctors a more complete picture and thus a better chance of making the right diagnosis. Evan says that when other doctors make a mistake in their diagnosis Best Doctors finds something wrong in about 20% of the cases they investigate the "key issue is cognitive; you give them [doctors] partial information and rush them, they get it wrong." By doing the tough data-gathering work few others flock to, Best Doctors gives its physicians more information and more time.

Google grew into the number one search business by doing search when others (Yahoo! and Alta Vista) didn't want to do it anymore. Microsoft became the world's dominant operating system by offering an OS when few others wanted to take on the hassle. If you can do something no one else wants to do, you avoid competition.

Try to think of one thing that people in your industry would gladly outsource and consider becoming the best at that one thing.68

33Be Good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net4_BrightFarmsFor slashing the distance from farm to market by building farms on grocers rooftops. Farmers markets are great. But the truth is, most people shop at the supermarket. BrightFarms works with supermarkets to plant lettuce, tomatoes, and herbs on site (or very nearby), which cuts transport costs and waste for the grocer and adds days to the shelf life of perishable foods in customers refrigerators. This spring, the company will debut a 100,000-square-foot rooftop farm, the largest in the world, in Brooklyns Sunset Park, which will produce 1 million pounds of produce annually.

6933Be Good

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The Holstee Manifesto 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Adopt a strategy that benefits others.

How can you create strategic power by pursuing a good strategy?Be good33 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Narratives to Find a Fourth Option#7Force two-front battle#32Create something out of nothing#22Move early to the next battleground#34Coordinate the uncoordinated#33Be good 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Create Something Out of Nothing32

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Create Something Out of Nothing32Julie Pickens 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netThe 4 Questions That Help You See--And Dominate--A Market OpportunityYouve heard the story before, a generic narrative with a thousand faces, the sort of entrepreneurs heros journey (http://www.amazon.com/Joseph-Campbell-The-Heros-Journey/dp/B000K7UEMW). A woman stops working to take care of her children and is exposed to a whole new set of consumer needs that only new parents are privy to. Her entrepreneurial drive to get back to work fights against motherly instincts and she just cant help it she comes up with something that all mothers in the world would want to have and no one is providing! So she launches a funky, new company/brand that sells organic baby food or hypoallergenic baby socks. Its just a hobby, something to give her some grownup interaction, but the worlds moms demand more and more, so the hobby becomes a fully operational business.Well, Julie Pickens story may sound the same, but it is beautifully different in at least four ways. You can download my entire interview with Julie for free on my website (go to http://www.kaihan.net/tools.html and click on Interviews). Like the Hero Mom Entrepreneur, Julie, founder and CEO of Boogie Wipes (http://www.boogiewipes.com/our-story/), was fully engaged in a successful career, helping her father run his sales and distribution company. When her family sold its business, she got involved in several franchises including Cold Stone Creamery. After she had three girls, she decided to do the mom thing for a while and take her foot off the gas. Her aha moment hit when she decided she wanted a natural alternative to the usual perfumed antiseptic baby wipes. She searched for wipes treated with saline and when she couldnt find any, Julie decided to explore creating it herself. This is where her story veers. Instead of making some in her basement for home use and sharing them with her friends as the Hero Mom Entrepreneur is supposed to do, Julie made four uncommon choices to outthink even the largest, most well-funded baby consumer products companies. As a result of these four choices, Julies company now owns its category niche, holds a position too expensive for competitors to copy, and has inked a collaboration partnership with Proctor & Gamble to bring her creativity and innovation into yet a larger opportunity.Outthinking your competition begins with looking past the obvious choices, beyond the logical, reasonable ones your competition and industry experts have settled on, and choosing something different. Here are four strategic patterns that Julie put in place to set her on her path to success:Focus on what others ignore: Julie and her business partner recognized the wipes market was saturated, so instead of jumping in to compete for babys bottoms, they decided to design baby saline wipes for use on babys noses. What are your competitors ignoring and what would happen if you embraced that?Command an input: From day one, Julie began working on building proprietary technology. She and her business partner pooled together $20,000 and hired a chemist to formulate a product. Then they refined and refined. The result? A patent that severely complicates any competitors efforts to copy their innovation and create a similar wet wipe or tissue. What critical input would your competitors need to copy you and how could you control that?Step in where others step out: When Julies company Boogie Wipes (www.boogiewipes.com) launched in 2008, they enjoyed a nice headwind. Some traditional pharma companies with cold and cough solutions were pulling off the shelves because of health concerns, and customers were looking for natural solutions. Saline wipes were perfectly positioned to fill this gap. How are competitors reacting to market trends and what opportunity does this create for you?Create repeated occasions: Venture capitalists put a higher value on repeated revenue than on one-time revenue. You should too. So look to attach to, or create, repeated occasions. Julie shared with me, [We looked at] how people are using tissues. Most people use it to blot their face or blow their nose. A lot of people buy it for the cute box. I sort of took all those elements and said, If we are going to talk about expanded use, what would we do? This gave her one of her boldest ideas yet. She licensed Proctor & Gambles Puff brand to create the first wet tissue, which was just launched, available at Target, under the name Puff Fresh Faces (http://www.puffsfreshfaces.com/). What repeated occasion can you link to or create?Ask these four questions, and you may see an opening past the competition. What are others ignoring? What input can you control? Where are others stepping away? What repeated occasion can you create?And then? Plan, says Julie. There are a lot of great ideas but how you make them come to life is you plan. Be ready to dig your heels in and know its going to be a ton of work. People look at me like a deer in their headlights when I say this, but write a business plan, create a pro-forma [financial projection].This last piece of advice is so good, it would make an entrepreneurship professor cry.75

Ingvar Kamprad Create Something Out of Nothing32 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netThen in 1955, Ingvar Kamprad had another setback. Competitors, feeling threatened by his growing success, grouped together and pressured suppliers to stop supporting him. Unable to source supplies and banned from trade fairs, Kamprad's sales were drying up. He responded by buying his own exhibition centres, creating different furniture exhibits to give visitors choice - even though every exhibit was owned by him. The IKEA store was born

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Create Something Out of Nothing32

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Create Something Out of Nothing32

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Add a new piece the board.

What would you like to create/ add to the game?- New categories?- New occasions or needs?- New customers?- New suppliers?- New distributors?- New regulations?Create something out of nothing32 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

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2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Narratives to Find a Fourth Option#7Force two-front battle#32Create something out of nothing#22Move early to the next battleground#34Coordinate the uncoordinated#33Be goodHow can you project into a new sector?What can you create?Where is the next battleground?Who could you coordinate?How can you be good? 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Impossible is a word to be found only in the dictionary of fools.

Napoleon Bonaparte 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

It's not that I'm so smart, it's just that I stay with problems longer.

- Albert Einstein 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Make the impossible possible

Dont build handsetsRisk of noWiFiCustomer Service toocostlyEach of these looked like show stoppersMotorolaEarlyadoptersNo one provides serviceDavid Morken, CEO Bandwidth.com

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.netHere is an example. Bandwidth.com which had built one of the largest competitive local exchange carriers (CLECs) saw something was wrong. They know that you can make phone calls with your native dialer directly using WiFi. But no one was doing it. Why? Because the industry value chain was motivated to drive people to use their data plans. So you had skype and other apps that helped people make VOiP WiFi calls, but you could not directly dial from your phone. So they decided to create republic wireless. They got into the Android OS layer and altered it to allow direct WiFi calls. It would search for WiFi and if it found it would route your calls through that. When you are not near WiFi, they use a data service. But no one was going to open either OS to let them build an app I wish I could just offer software to anyone with an unlocked phone, which means they needed to actually build a hand-set and alter it, and they didnt know how to do that. If they COULD build a ahdn set, there was a risk that they would lose money on people who are not around WiFi. And finally, the customer service challenge would be too huge. All of these hurdles looked like show stoppers. But then tafter months, they convinced Motorola to build a hand set for them with an altered OS. They did market research and found that people were actually away from WiFi rarely and for their early adopters WiFi would be even more prevalent. Finally, they tested the hypothesis others dont do customer service. They found it to be true. Other mobile service providers push custoemrs heavily to use self service. 84

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Mohammad Yunus 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Ratan Tata 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Thomas Edison 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Ray Kroc 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

Betsy Johnson 2013 Kaihan Krippendorff All Rights Reserved.www.kaihan.net

[email protected] @kaihanWork out your Fourth OptionEmail me to get presentationSign up for newsletterAccess tools and videosContact us for more support

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