kaleidoscopio ipyc @monexanalisis · monex grupo financiero kaleidoscopio 4 indicadores...
TRANSCRIPT
1MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio
Kaleidoscopio IPyC
IPC 45,529 puntos (-0.9%)
Femsa UBD 161.1 (+1.2%)
Amx L 12.1 (-11.2%)
Elaborado por: Juan Francisco Caudillo
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-50
50
x10
MACD (205.907)
303540455055606570Relative Strength Index (54.9284)
390395400405410415420425430435440445450455460465
x100
C ?
E)
1)
2)
D)
C)
IPC (45,941.52, 45,982.84, 45,189.63, 45,528.93, -412.590)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-2
-10
1
2
3
4MACD (-0.86059)
404550
55606570
Relative Strength Index (46.2439)
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180FEMSAUBD (160.130, 161.830, 157.180, 161.090, +1.95000)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3MACD (0.03326)30
35
40
45
50
55
60Relative Strength Index (39.8455)
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
12.5
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
15.0
15.5
16.0
127.2%
1)
a)
b)
2)c)
AMXL (12.6000, 12.6000, 12.0500, 12.3300, -1.31000)
28 de abril de 2016www.monex.com.mx
@monexanalisis
Fuente: Metastock
2MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 2
Tlevisa CPO 92.8 pesos (-1.0%)
Walmex * 43.4 pesos (+0.9%)
GfnorteO 96.7 pesos (-1.3%)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2MACD (-0.39749)
2025303540455055606570Relative Strength Index (48.3357)
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
38.2%
50.0%
88.6%
a)
b)
c)
TLEVISACPO (94.0000, 94.0000, 92.4500, 92.9400, -0.75999)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0MACD (-0.00980)
35404550556065
Relative Strength Index (57.8356)34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48WALMEX* (42.9600, 43.7000, 42.5500, 43.4000, +0.38000)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-2.0-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.0MACD (0.42258)
303540455055606570
Relative Strength Index (55.0648)
75
80
85
90
95
100GFNORTEO (97.9900, 97.9900, 95.7100, 96.6900, -1.29000)
Fuente: Metastock
3MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 3
Gmexico B 43.8 pesos (+4.7%)
Alfa A 32.8 pesos (-0.3%)
Cemex CPO 13.1 pesos (+0.9%)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5MACD (0.51054)
25303540455055606570
Relative Strength Index (62.2982)
30313233343536373839404142434445464748495051GMEXICOB (41.0800, 44.0000, 41.0800, 43.8300, +1.98000)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
MACD (-0.11866)30
35
4045
5055
60
65Relative Strength Index (50.3026)28.028.529.029.530.030.531.031.532.032.533.033.534.034.535.035.536.036.537.037.5
0.0%
100.0%ALFAA (32.9600, 33.1400, 32.5200, 32.7700, -0.11000)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
-0.5
0.0
0.5
MACD (0.44182)
2530354045505560657075Relative Strength Index (68.7444)
6.57.07.58.08.59.09.5
10.010.511.011.512.012.513.013.514.014.515.015.516.0
CEMEXCPO (12.9800, 13.2800, 12.9100, 13.1100, +0.12000)
Fuente: Metastock
4MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Indicadores Estadísticos
IPyC Precio
Emisoras Cierre DIA SEMANA MES 12M 2016 30 Días 30 Días 12 Meses 12 Meses TotalHoy Vs
PrevioPromedio 10d
Hoy Vs
P10dPromedio 30d
Hoy Vs
P30d
IPyC 45,529 -0.9 -0.2 -0.2 0.4 5.9 44,026 46,308 46,308 39,257 389,697,914 56% 195,274,763 100% 235,692,611 65%
AC* 118.3 -0.6 0.3 0.3 22.6 13.0 111.2 121.5 121.5 84.1 951,687 -17% 1,393,053 -32% 1,364,465 -30%
ALFAA 32.8 -0.3 2.7 -5.4 3.2 -3.9 31.4 35.2 38.0 28.6 7,611,953 -10% 6,963,673 9% 8,700,278 -13%
ALSEA* 67.0 -0.1 -0.1 2.6 43.4 11.9 63.3 68.9 69.0 45.0 1,563,002 16% 1,364,544 15% 1,787,959 -13%
AMXL 12.1 -11.2 -11.1 -10.5 -21.8 -0.1 12.9 13.9 15.80 10.87 217,662,076 224% 59,763,732 264% 69,861,240 212%
ASURB 265.2 0.9 5.3 2.3 17.7 8.7 248.0 265.0 278.5 213.6 414,622 43% 351,352 18% 436,747 -5%
BIMBOA 52.1 1.1 4.2 1.2 23.6 13.4 47.7 53.2 54.8 38.4 4,333,401 -42% 3,414,576 27% 3,119,922 39%
CEMEXCPO 13.1 0.9 -0.8 7.3 -14.4 39.0 10.5 10.0 15.7 6.8 38,529,960 4% 38,569,256 0% 53,946,520 -29%
ELEKTRA* 324.1 0.2 0.5 -5.6 -20.8 -14.5 314.0 371.6 412.0 261.0 319,413 -16% 304,778 5% 248,858 28%
FEMSAUBD 161.1 1.2 -1.7 -0.2 14.5 -0.3 158.1 169.8 176.8 133.5 2,252,846 -10% 2,287,383 -2% 3,291,842 -32%
GAPB 158.0 0.4 0.3 4.4 43.9 3.9 145.0 165.5 167.5 106.1 693,950 -24% 928,407 -25% 1,479,877 -53%
GCARSOA1 83.1 1.5 2.9 4.0 28.9 17.1 76.2 87.4 87.4 62.4 749,585 77% 425,297 76% 563,364 33%
GENTERA* 34.1 0.2 1.4 2.1 24.0 2.4 32.2 35.6 37.9 24.2 3,183,591 153% 2,195,383 45% 2,881,927 10%
GFINBURO 34.1 -2.8 -2.0 -2.4 -10.8 9.5 32.8 36.8 39.7 26.9 3,590,245 -9% 2,672,365 34% 3,088,546 16%
GFNORTEO 96.7 -1.3 1.3 -1.6 8.7 1.8 91.6 99.9 99.9 72.2 4,431,963 -42% 6,729,976 -34% 6,444,165 -31%
GFREGIO 103.9 -0.1 2.7 5.5 20.7 17.6 94.8 104.0 105.2 81.0 283,566 -45% 488,800 -42% 494,866 -43%
GMEXICOB 43.8 4.7 5.6 1.9 -7.9 19.1 38.4 45.0 50.0 31.2 15,217,730 370% 6,289,118 142% 8,579,246 77%
GRUMAB 251.1 0.6 0.7 -5.8 32.9 3.9 241.0 283.8 297.0 182.5 632,520 8% 1,134,264 -44% 1,090,203 -42%
ICA* 3.8 -2.3 2.5 -13.6 -72.9 5.9 3.4 4.4 14.3 1.9 2,271,995 146% 1,994,941 14% 2,341,032 -3%
ICHB 72.1 3.0 3.3 19.3 11.9 29.6 53.8 70.3 72.5 51.0 299,878 137% 383,799 -22% 532,560 -44%
IENOVA* 68.0 -0.4 0.7 -5.0 -26.2 -6.0 66.9 73.5 92.3 66.9 910,855 -68% 1,445,737 -37% 1,853,827 -51%
KIMBERA 41.5 -0.6 -4.4 0.5 24.4 2.9 38.8 45.0 45.0 32.4 6,366,093 30% 3,925,962 62% 3,946,078 61%
KOFL 150.2 3.4 0.8 6.3 23.7 21.2 133.0 151.4 151.4 105.7 1,250,238 137% 772,325 62% 1,191,696 5%
LABB 17.3 12.4 23.6 29.2 -0.4 25.0 11.8 15.7 19.2 9.9 14,338,024 311% 3,907,851 267% 3,723,005 285%
LACOMUBC 18.5 1.5 3.2 2.9 #N/A N/A#N/A N/A 17.0 19.6 20.0 14.6 1,290,086 3% 1,151,669 12% 878,259 47%
LALAB 46.8 1.0 1.3 1.9 47.7 16.8 42.3 48.0 48.0 30.9 4,343,492 64% 2,054,405 111% 2,754,995 58%
LIVERPOLC 194.0 0.0 2.0 -2.5 12.2 -7.7 186.8 207.9 249.3 164.0 676,452 -19% 473,691 43% 512,998 32%
MEXCHEM* 43.7 -0.6 4.1 1.8 -2.3 13.5 40.5 46.0 48.0 34.2 5,669,934 38% 6,621,813 -14% 3,954,054 43%
NEMAKA 24.2 1.1 -0.5 0.3 #N/A N/A 3.6 22.7 25.0 25.0 18.2 2,086,892 2% 3,180,732 -34% 3,267,909 -36%
OHLMEX* 28.9 0.5 6.4 8.3 -3.9 60.0 24.0 28.9 31.2 15.5 1,724,926 89% 2,102,447 -18% 3,215,456 -46%
OMAB 100.0 0.4 -1.6 6.7 31.6 19.6 90.0 104.5 104.5 71.7 2,168,460 152% 1,071,419 102% 2,282,233 -5%
PE&OLES* 262.7 0.2 2.4 19.6 0.3 48.2 213.0 265.0 290.4 153.2 566,064 183% 492,529 15% 484,684 17%
PINFRA* 217.6 0.6 0.8 -3.1 18.3 7.3 210.0 236.1 236.1 163.0 712,941 183% 549,399 30% 802,638 -11%
SANMEXB 31.8 -1.7 -0.9 2.2 -0.3 5.1 29.3 32.5 33.4 23.5 5,836,764 -34% 3,591,203 63% 4,301,498 36%
SIMECB 56.2 2.1 5.9 22.5 31.4 45.8 42.6 55.4 57.8 35.2 426,455 221% 240,439 77% 278,717 53%
SITESL 10.2 1.4 1.2 -0.8 #N/A N/A -8.9 9.8 10.6 13.4 9.5 1,359,476 -19% 2,049,583 -34% 3,760,679 -64%
TLEVICPO 92.8 -1.0 -1.9 -3.8 -17.4 -1.7 89.9 99.2 124.4 86.4 2,995,429 -53% 2,475,598 23% 3,440,316 22%
WALMEX* 43.4 0.9 8.1 9.8 23.8 1.4 39.2 43.3 46.7 34.4 31,981,350 -53% 26,023,236 23% 26,293,271 22%
Principales Indices 0
Dow Jones (EUA) 17,831 -1.2 -1.0 1.7 -1.5 2.3 17,298 18,168 18,351 15,370 109,092,296 16% 98,912,769 10% 101,802,134 7%
S&P (EUA) 2,076 -0.9 -0.8 1.9 -1.8 1.6 2,022 2,111 2,135 1,810 673,225,408 12% 610,147,091 10% 630,602,941 7%
Nasdaq 100 (EUA) 4,364 -1.2 -2.5 -0.8 -3.4 -5.0 4,355 4,574 4,740 3,787 191,357,664 19% 405,607,709 -53% 428,817,258 -55%
UKX (RU) 6,322 0.0 0.2 3.5 -10.1 1.3 6,062 6,427 7,104 5,500 826,261,824 6% 768,208,288 8% 738,846,329 12%
DAX (Alemania) 10,321 0.2 -0.5 4.8 -12.6 -3.9 9,485 10,474 12,047 8,699 99,071,896 24% 84,830,692 17% 88,591,285 12%
CAC (Francia) 4,557 0.0 -0.3 5.3 -11.9 -1.7 4,229 4,608 5,257 3,892 109,785,808 6% 110,638,721 -1% 119,120,229 -8%
IBEX (España) 9,269 -0.7 0.4 5.5 -20.1 -2.9 8,256 9,360 11,685 7,746 404,938,880 -10% 575,536,877 -30% 466,666,582 -13%
FTSEMIB (Italia) 18,977 1.2 1.6 4.5 -19.4 -11.4 16,778 19,023 24,157 15,773 668,401,856 -10% 748,293,875 -11% 800,741,525 -17%
NKY (Japón) 16,666 -3.6 -5.2 -2.6 -16.9 -12.4 15,472 17,614 20,953 14,866 2,330,777,600 65% 1,607,194,355 45% 1,499,984,282 55%
HSI (China) 21,388 0.1 -0.4 5.0 -24.7 -2.4 20,045 21,654 28,525 18,279 1,736,241,536 35% 1,531,900,557 13% 1,591,944,988 9%
IBOV (Brasil) 54,099 -0.7 2.3 6.4 -3.1 24.8 46,521 54,978 58,575 37,046 504,939,200 31% 458,956,781 10% 450,640,577 12%
IPSA (Chile) 4,023 1.1 1.3 3.6 -1.7 9.3 3,839 4,085 4,148 3,419 229,513,088 -55% 461,009,411 -50% 527,939,321 -57%
Principales Divisas
USD-MXN (Dólar vs Peso) 17.26 -0.3 1.2 -1.0 13.1 0.3 17.10 17.95 19.44 14.99
EUR-USD (Euro vs Dólar) 1.14 0.3 1.2 1.4 3.4 4.5 1.11 1.15 1.17 1.05
GBP-USD (Libra-Dólar) 1.46 0.4 1.4 2.5 -4.8 -0.9 1.40 1.46 1.59 1.38
JPY-USD (Yen-Dólar) 108.12 -3.0 3.4 -4.7 -9.0 -10.1 107.63 113.80 125.86 107.63
USD-BRL (Real B. vs Dólar) 3.49 -1.0 2.1 -3.7 18.9 -11.9 3.46 3.72 4.25 2.95
ETFs (pesos)
NAFTRAC (IPyC) 45.6 -0.9 -0.2 0.0 0.6 6.0 44.1 46.4 46.4 39.2 24,999,476 0% 24,905,074 0% 35,021,359 -29%
ANGEL (200% IPyC) 25.8 -1.6 -0.2 -0.3 -13.1 8.4 24.3 26.6 29.7 20.5 92,390 15% 129,876 -29% 177,520 -48%
DIABLO (-100% IPyC) 13.2 0.9 0.2 0.2 -10.0 -6.6 12.9 13.6 16.0 12.9 44,106 223% 246,507 -82% 998,695 -96%
EDC* (300% Emergentes) 914.1 -4.2 -1.8 7.1 -51.4 13.0 788.8 983.8 1,892.0 520.0 25,585 -27% 13,650 87% 19,589 31%
EDZ* (-300% Emergentes) 576.0 3.5 -0.7 -11.4 53.1 -27.3 538.0 753.8 1,333.0 300.0 75,255 -28% 115,584 -35% 122,507 -39%
FAS* (300% Financ. EUA) 482.0 -1.0 0.0 15.2 1.5 -6.9 409.0 492.9 602.0 314.0 1,149 -94% 33,290 -97% 40,075 -97%
FAZ* (-300 Financ. EUA) 657.8 3.4 0.6 -13.5 -10.8 -6.0 633.2 824.0 1,330.0 629.0 6,092 129% 4,947 23% 10,330 -41%
GLD* (Oro) 2,093.3 1.3 2.1 2.1 18.3 19.8 2,010.0 2,143.0 2,325.0 1,660.6 1,191 -18% 1,060 12% 3,779 -68%
SLV* (Plata) 286.2 0.7 1.3 13.3 19.1 25.5 246.0 286.0 295.0 220.9 3,328 191% 8,586 -61% 11,649 -71%
DIA* (Dow Jones) 3,077.0 -1.4 -2.0 0.7 11.4 0.5 3,015.6 3,230.8 3,230.8 2,630.0 1,000 -60% 900 11% 949 5%
SPY* (S&P) 3,582.3 -0.9 -1.6 1.0 11.4 1.1 3,523.0 3,670.0 3,670.0 3,171.2 132,137 88% 41,103 221% 64,401 105%
QQQ* (Nasdaq) 1,838.6 -1.0 -3.4 -1.8 9.4 -5.5 1,850.0 1,962.8 1,978.0 1,633.7 13,309 -99% 206,305 -94% 95,205 -86%
EWZ* (Brasil) 503.9 -0.2 1.3 8.6 -10.5 40.0 418.0 505.0 568.2 323.0 15,853 130% 36,160 -56% 31,910 -50%
EWJ* (Japón) 198.2 -5.5 -6.8 -1.1 -2.5 -5.4 191.9 213.5 213.5 189.8 2,414,431 4275% 829,297 191% 325,903 641%
EWG* (Alemania) 456.5 -0.8 -1.3 3.8 -0.6 0.3 439.4 467.5 473.0 410.3 41,191 -99% 434,994 -91% 257,863 -84%
EWU* (Inglaterra) 281.7 -1.2 -1.0 4.3 -4.6 1.3 268.0 286.7 306.0 259.9 21,100 680% 460,428 -95% 249,400 -92%
EWP* (España) 502.2 -1.7 0.2 5.9 -8.1 2.5 462.0 511.0 567.6 445.4 177,161 24036% 3,119 5581% 3,584 4844%
ERUS* (Rusia) 242.2 0.8 0.8 8.9 2.8 26.2 220.8 242.2 245.3 169.5 85,107 #¡DIV/0! 57,307 49% 24,973 241%
Rendimiento Porcentual Nivel + Bajo / Nivel + Alto Volúmen
Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg
5MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Indicadores Técnicos
IPyC Precio Tendencia Tendencia Fuerza Fuerza
Emisoras Cierre 13 dias 89 días 13 sem 89 sem Corto Plazo Mediano Plazo 13 dias 21 Días 13 Sem 21 Sem Corto Plazo Mediano Plazo
IPyC 45,529 45,520 44,342 44,690 43,593 Alcista Alcista 60 59 58 55 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
AC* 118.3 117.3 111.3 113.8 99.2 Alcista Alcista 57 57 69 66 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
ALFAA 32.8 32.5 32.9 32.8 33.2 Bajista Bajista 53 51 45 45 Neutral Momentum Negativo
ALSEA* 67.0 67.0 63.6 64.7 52.6 Alcista Alcista 54 55 64 64 Neutral Momentum Positivo
AMXL 12.1 13.6 13.1 13.1 13.6 Bajista Bajista 55 56 56 52 Momentum Positivo Neutral
ASURB 265.2 257.1 252.2 254.1 225.1 Alcista Alcista 59 57 51 53 Momentum Positivo Neutral
BIMBOA 52.1 50.2 49.5 49.9 44.3 Alcista Alcista 60 56 56 57 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
CEMEXCPO 13.1 12.8 11.1 11.4 12.4 Alcista Alcista 66 67 67 59 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
ELEKTRA* 324.1 323.6 333.6 332.0 378.5 Bajista Bajista 46 45 44 44 Neutral Momentum Negativo
FEMSAUBD 161.1 162.1 163.1 164.4 148.1 Bajista Alcista 39 42 52 54 Momentum Negativo Neutral
GAPB 158.0 157.3 151.2 152.8 124.7 Alcista Alcista 54 54 59 60 Neutral Momentum Positivo
GCARSOA1 83.1 81.2 76.9 78.3 71.8 Alcista Alcista 55 55 59 58 Neutral Momentum Positivo
GENTERA* 34.1 33.9 33.0 33.5 29.4 Alcista Alcista 51 51 55 56 Neutral Momentum Positivo
GFINBURO 34.1 34.8 33.3 33.8 34.5 Alcista Bajista 53 54 56 53 Neutral Neutral
GFNORTEO 96.7 95.6 92.9 93.8 87.8 Alcista Alcista 62 58 55 54 Momentum Positivo Neutral
GFREGIO 103.9 101.3 94.2 95.5 85.6 Alcista Alcista 65 63 68 64 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
GMEXICOB 43.8 41.6 39.6 40.0 41.4 Alcista Alcista 54 56 56 53 Neutral Neutral
GRUMAB 251.1 255.8 261.2 265.7 211.5 Bajista Alcista 38 41 45 51 Momentum Negativo Neutral
ICA* 3.8 3.9 4.5 4.2 11.0 Bajista Bajista 43 44 38 36 Momentum Negativo Momentum Negativo
ICHB 72.1 68.0 60.2 61.4 62.8 Alcista Alcista 74 72 71 63 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
IENOVA* 68.0 68.4 71.2 70.4 72.7 Bajista Bajista 45 45 38 41 Momentum Negativo Momentum Negativo
KIMBERA 41.5 43.2 41.2 41.7 37.1 Alcista Alcista 42 48 65 63 Momentum Negativo Momentum Positivo
KOFL 150.2 147.2 136.0 139.1 132.2 Alcista Alcista 54 57 73 67 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
LABB 17.3 14.1 13.0 13.0 17.9 Alcista Bajista 82 74 57 50 Momentum Positivo Neutral
LACOMUBC 18.5 18.1 17.1 17.7 16.9 Alcista Alcista 56 56 59 #N/A N/A Momentum Positivo #¡VALOR!
LALAB 46.8 45.8 43.4 44.3 37.4 Alcista Alcista 57 57 66 64 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
LIVERPOLC 194.0 191.9 201.5 199.9 187.1 Bajista Alcista 50 47 38 44 Neutral Momentum Negativo
MEXCHEM* 43.7 43.1 40.8 40.9 44.0 Alcista Bajista 58 58 55 51 Momentum Positivo Neutral
NEMAKA 24.2 24.2 23.4 23.6 21.6 Alcista Alcista 46 50 62 62 Neutral Momentum Positivo
OHLMEX* 28.9 27.5 23.4 23.9 25.1 Alcista Alcista 65 64 67 60 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
OMAB 100.0 99.9 91.7 94.1 76.2 Alcista Alcista 53 56 69 66 Neutral Momentum Positivo
PE&OLES* 262.7 247.3 217.1 220.2 256.9 Alcista Bajista 80 72 67 59 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
PINFRA* 217.6 217.5 213.8 217.4 188.3 Alcista Alcista 47 48 55 57 Neutral Momentum Positivo
SANMEXB 31.8 31.5 29.9 30.3 30.3 Alcista Alcista 66 62 63 58 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
SIMECB 56.2 44.8 44.8 45.5 45.5 Alcista Alcista 82 82 67 67 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
SITESL 10.2 10.1 10.7 10.3 11.3 Bajista Bajista 49 46 31 #N/A N/A Neutral #¡VALOR!
TLEVICPO 92.8 93.0 94.4 94.5 95.7 Bajista Bajista 51 50 49 48 Neutral Neutral
WALMEX* 43.4 40.7 41.5 41.3 38.2 Alcista Alcista 66 59 46 49 Momentum Positivo Neutral
Principales Indices
Dow Jones (EUA) 17,831 17,927 17,296 17,368 17,060 Alcista Alcista 66 64 62 57 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
S&P (EUA) 2,076 2,084 2,084 2,027 1,988 Bajista Alcista 64 62 60 56 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
Nasdaq 100 (EUA) 4,364 4,488 4,406 4,409 4,243 Bajista Alcista 41 48 54 52 Momentum Negativo Neutral
UKX (RU) 6,322 6,303 6,158 6,165 6,382 Alcista Bajista 56 56 55 51 Momentum Positivo Neutral
DAX (Alemania) 10,321 10,185 9,967 9,916 10,147 Alcista Alcista 62 59 56 52 Momentum Positivo Neutral
CAC (Francia) 4,557 4,510 4,443 4,421 4,539 Alcista Bajista 61 58 54 51 Momentum Positivo Neutral
IBEX (España) 9,269 9,041 8,963 8,865 8,804 Alcista Alcista 70 63 52 48 Momentum Positivo Neutral
FTSEMIB (Italia) 18,977 18,406 18,763 18,459 20,396 Alcista Bajista 59 55 46 44 Momentum Positivo Neutral
NKY (Japón) 16,666 16,979 17,119 16,910 17,518 Bajista Bajista 59 56 51 49 Momentum Positivo Neutral
HSI (China) 21,388 21,192 20,719 20,589 22,527 Alcista Bajista 61 59 55 49 Momentum Positivo Neutral
IBOV (Brasil) 54,099 52,516 47,616 48,508 49,068 Alcista Alcista 65 64 67 60 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
IPSA (Chile) 4,023 3,960 3,824 3,856 3,840 Alcista Alcista 62 62 61 57 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
Principales Divisas
USD-MXN (Dólar vs Peso) 17.26 17.44 17.60 17.66 16.07 Bajista Alcista 42 44 50 54 Momentum Negativo Neutral
EUR-USD (Euro vs Dólar) 1.14 1.13 1.12 1.12 1.15 Alcista Bajista 54 55 54 51 Neutral Neutral
GBP-USD (Libra-Dólar) 1.46 1.44 1.44 1.43 1.52 Alcista Bajista 62 58 47 45 Momentum Positivo Neutral
JPY-USD (Yen-Dólar) 108.12 110.45 113.87 112.94 115.14 Bajista Bajista 56 50 41 42 Neutral Momentum Negativo
USD-BRL (Real B. vs Dólar) 3.49 3.55 3.73 3.70 3.32 Bajista Alcista 43 42 41 47 Momentum Negativo Momentum Negativo
ETFs (pesos)
NAFTRAC (IPyC) 45.6 45.6 44.4 44.7 43.6 Alcista Alcista 61 60 58 56 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
ANGEL (200% IPyC) 25.8 25.7 24.8 25.0 26.1 Alcista Bajista 60 59 55 52 Momentum Positivo Neutral
DIABLO (-100% IPyC) 13.2 13.2 13.7 13.5 15.1 Bajista Bajista 39 40 37 39 Momentum Negativo Momentum Negativo
EDC* (300% Emergentes) 914.1 930.5 836.9 841.2 1,116.4 Alcista Bajista 60 60 55 50 Momentum Positivo Neutral
EDZ* (-300% Emergentes) 576.0 584.5 747.1 719.4 678.3 Bajista Bajista 39 40 41 45 Momentum Negativo Momentum Negativo
FAS* (300% Financ. EUA) 482.0 466.0 434.4 433.2 425.5 Alcista Alcista 73 67 57 54 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
FAZ* (-300 Financ. EUA) 657.8 680.3 800.9 787.3 956.8 Bajista Bajista 34 37 40 44 Momentum Negativo Momentum Negativo
GLD* (Oro) 2,093.3 2,071.7 2,014.4 2,046.4 1,835.5 Alcista Alcista 48 50 56 57 Neutral Momentum Positivo
SLV* (Plata) 286.2 276.1 257.9 261.0 249.2 Alcista Alcista 69 64 65 56 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
DIA* (Dow Jones) 3,077.0 3,128.2 3,020.3 3,059.7 2,741.7 Alcista Alcista 53 55 68 64 Neutral Momentum Positivo
SPY* (S&P) 3,582.3 3,629.1 3,545.5 3,575.6 3,202.8 Alcista Alcista 51 53 64 63 Neutral Momentum Positivo
QQQ* (Nasdaq) 1,838.6 1,905.6 1,884.9 1,895.4 1,673.5 Bajista Alcista 38 43 54 56 Momentum Negativo Momentum Positivo
EWZ* (Brasil) 503.9 489.3 428.8 443.4 473.3 Alcista Alcista 63 63 69 61 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
EWJ* (Japón) 198.2 207.7 203.4 203.5 190.3 Bajista Alcista 61 58 60 58 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
EWG* (Alemania) 456.5 456.8 445.0 445.8 428.9 Alcista Alcista 60 58 62 58 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
EWU* (Inglaterra) 281.7 281.8 277.5 276.8 276.9 Alcista Alcista 66 61 56 53 Momentum Positivo Neutral
EWP* (España) 502.2 491.1 486.4 482.3 503.2 Alcista Bajista 70 63 55 51 Momentum Positivo Neutral
ERUS* (Rusia) 242.2 232.2 215.4 219.2 224.1 Alcista Alcista 74 65 66 59 Momentum Positivo Momentum Positivo
Promedio Móvil Exponencial RSI
Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg
6MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Niveles de Referencia y Termómetro Técnico
IPyC Precio SOPORTE RESISTENCIA
Emisoras Cierre % Inferior % % Superior %
IPyC 45,529 -16.5% 38,000 -7.8% 42,000 44,000 -3.4% 46,000 1.0% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
AC* 118.3 -15.5% 100.00 -8.7% 108.00 113.00 -4.5% 121.00 2.3% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
ALFAA 32.8 -17.6% 27.00 -8.5% 30.00 33.00 0.7% 35.00 6.8% Neutral sobreVENTA
ALSEA* 67.0 -17.9% 55.00 -7.4% 62.00 65.00 -2.9% 70.00 4.5% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
AMXL 12.1 -17.4% 10.00 -0.9% 12.00 13.00 7.3% 14.00 15.6% Neutral VENTA
ASURB 265.2 -20.8% 210.00 -13.3% 230.00 245.00 -7.6% 270.00 1.8% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
BIMBOA 52.1 -19.4% 42.00 -11.7% 46.00 50.00 -4.1% 55.00 5.5% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
CEMEXCPO 13.1 -27.5% 9.50 -16.1% 11.00 12.00 -8.5% 13.80 5.3% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
ELEKTRA* 324.1 -13.6% 280.00 -2.8% 315.00 345.00 6.5% 365.00 12.6% sobreVENTA sobreVENTA
FEMSAUBD 161.1 -13.1% 140.00 -3.8% 155.00 165.00 2.4% 175.00 8.6% sobreVENTA COMPRA
GAPB 158.0 -20.9% 125.00 -11.4% 140.00 155.00 -1.9% 170.00 7.6% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
GCARSOA1 83.1 -21.8% 65.00 -15.8% 70.00 75.00 -9.7% 85.00 2.3% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
GENTERA* 34.1 -18.0% 28.00 -12.1% 30.00 33.00 -3.3% 36.00 5.4% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
GFINBURO 34.1 -11.9% 30.00 -9.0% 31.00 33.00 -3.1% 37.00 8.7% COMPRA Neutral
GFNORTEO 96.7 -19.3% 78.00 -12.1% 85.00 90.00 -6.9% 100.00 3.4% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
GFREGIO 103.9 -17.2% 86.00 -10.5% 93.00 96.00 -7.6% 103.00 -0.9% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
GMEXICOB 43.8 -22.4% 34.00 -13.3% 38.00 40.00 -8.7% 45.00 2.7% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
GRUMAB 251.1 -16.4% 210.00 -4.4% 240.00 265.00 5.6% 285.00 13.5% sobreVENTA Neutral
ICA* 3.8 -33.5% 2.50 -20.2% 3.00 3.50 -6.9% 4.50 19.7% sobreVENTA sobreVENTA
ICHB 72.1 -23.8% 55.00 -16.8% 60.00 64.00 -11.3% 75.00 4.0% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
IENOVA* 68.0 -14.7% 58.00 -8.9% 62.00 72.00 5.9% 77.00 13.2% sobreVENTA sobreVENTA
KIMBERA 41.5 -18.2% 34.00 -8.5% 38.00 42.00 1.1% 45.00 8.3% Neutral sobreCOMPRA
KOFL 150.2 -18.1% 123.00 -11.4% 133.00 140.00 -6.8% 150.00 -0.1% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
LABB 17.3 -30.7% 12.00 -22.0% 13.50 16.00 -7.6% 18.00 4.0% sobreCOMPRA Neutral
LACOMUBC 18.5 -18.9% 15.00 -10.8% 16.50 18.50 0.0% 19.50 5.4% sobreCOMPRA
LALAB 46.8 -27.4% 34.00 -14.6% 40.00 42.50 -9.2% 48.00 2.5% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
LIVERPOLC 194.0 -12.3% 170.00 -3.1% 188.00 208.00 7.2% 220.00 13.4% VENTA Neutral
MEXCHEM* 43.7 -17.6% 36.00 -8.5% 40.00 44.00 0.7% 48.00 9.8% sobreCOMPRA Neutral
NEMAKA 24.2 -13.2% 21.00 -6.9% 22.50 25.00 3.4% 27.00 11.7% COMPRA sobreCOMPRA
OHLMEX* 28.9 -23.8% 22.00 -16.9% 24.00 26.00 -9.9% 29.00 0.5% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
OMAB 100.0 -18.0% 82.00 -13.0% 87.00 92.00 -8.0% 105.00 5.0% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
PE&OLES* 262.7 -27.7% 190.00 -20.1% 210.00 240.00 -8.6% 265.00 0.9% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
PINFRA* 217.6 -19.6% 175.00 -12.7% 190.00 215.00 -1.2% 235.00 8.0% Neutral sobreCOMPRA
SANMEXB 31.8 -18.2% 26.00 -11.9% 28.00 30.00 -5.6% 33.00 3.8% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
SIMECB 56.2 -19.9% 45.00 -11.0% 50.00 55.00 -2.1% 60.00 6.8% VENTA COMPRA
SITESL 10.2 -11.9% 9.00 -7.0% 9.50 10.50 2.8% 11.50 12.6% VENTA
TLEVICPO 92.8 -15.9% 78.00 -3.0% 90.00 100.00 7.8% 105.00 13.2% Neutral Neutral
WALMEX* 43.4 -17.1% 36.00 -7.8% 40.00 43.00 -0.9% 46.00 6.0% COMPRA COMPRA
Principales Indices
Dow Jones (EUA) 17,831 -15.9% 15,000 -8.0% 16,400 17,000 -4.7% 18,000 0.9% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
S&P (EUA) 2,076 -16.7% 1,730 -7.5% 1,920 1,980 -4.6% 2,100 1.2% MANTENER sobreCOMPRA
Nasdaq 100 (EUA) 4,364 -15.2% 3,700 -4.9% 4,150 4,300 -1.5% 4,600 5.4% VENTA COMPRA
UKX (RU) 6,322 -13.0% 5,500 -8.3% 5,800 6,000 -5.1% 6,450 2.0% sobreCOMPRA Neutral
DAX (Alemania) 10,321 -17.6% 8,500 -10.4% 9,250 9,500 -8.0% 10,500 1.7% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
CAC (Francia) 4,557 -16.6% 3,800 -12.2% 4,000 4,250 -6.7% 4,600 0.9% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
IBEX (España) 9,269 -15.8% 7,800 -11.5% 8,200 8,600 -7.2% 9,300 0.3% COMPRA COMPRA
FTSEMIB (Italia) 18,977 -22.0% 14,800 -15.7% 16,000 17,000 -10.4% 18,800 -0.9% MANTENER sobreVENTA
NKY (Japón) 16,666 -13.0% 14,500 -7.0% 15,500 16,500 -1.0% 17,800 6.8% VENTA MANTENER
HSI (China) 21,388 -13.5% 18,500 -8.8% 19,500 20,500 -4.2% 22,000 2.9% COMPRA Neutral
IBOV (Brasil) 54,099 -26.1% 40,000 -19.6% 43,500 47,500 -12.2% 55,000 1.7% sobreCOMPRA COMPRA
IPSA (Chile) 4,023 -13.0% 3,500 -9.3% 3,650 3,800 -5.5% 4,000 -0.6% sobreCOMPRA sobreCOMPRA
Termómetro Técnico
Corto Plazo Mediano Plazo
Rango de Fluctuación NEUTRAL
Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg
7MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Análisis Técnico
8MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Dirección de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil
Carlos A. González Tabares Director de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil T. 5231-4521 [email protected]
Daniela Ruíz Zárate Analista Económico T. 5231-0200 Ext. 0019 [email protected]
Fernando E. Bolaños S. Gerente de Análisis / Industrial, Petroquímico, Telcos T. 5230-0200 Ext. 0720 [email protected]
J. Roberto Solano Pérez Analista Bursátil / Construcción, Vivienda y Fibras T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4451 [email protected]
Verónica Uribe Boyzo Analista Bursátil / Alimentos y Bebidas T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4782 [email protected]
Giselle N. Mojica Plascencia Analista Bursátil T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4287 [email protected]
Laura Villanueva Ramírez Analista Bursátil T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4768 [email protected]
Stephany Ramírez Rojas Analista Deuda Corporativa T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4262 [email protected]
J. Francisco Caudillo Lira Analista Técnico Sr. T. 5231-0016 [email protected]
Astianax Cuanalo Dorantes Analista Sr. de Sistemas de Información T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4790 [email protected]
Directorio
9MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Disclaimer