Kan havvind skape en ny grønn vekstnæring for Norge?

Jon Dugstad, Director Wind & Solar

• Merger of INTSOK and INTPOW

• Independent non-profit foundation

• 250 partners/members

Founders

Government

• Ministry of Petroleum and Energy

• Ministry of Trade and Fisheries

• Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Trade organisations:

• Energy Norway

• Federation of Norwegian Industries

• Norwegian Oil and Gas Association

• Norwegian Shipowners’Association

• The Norwegian Confederation of Trade Unions

Industry

• Statoil

• Statkraft

Vision

Norwegian Energy Partners will strengthen the long-term

basis for value creation and employment in the

Norwegian energy industry by facilitating international

business development.

How?

We map capability, technology and competitivenessof the Norwegian suppliers to match with industry and client demand internationally.

We add competitiveness and reduce risk ofinternational business development.

Havvind – et globalt vekstmarked

… med base i Europa!

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

1995 1998 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Cu

mu

lati

ve in

sta

lled

ca

pa

city

(G

W)

Ann

ua

l ins

talle

d c

ap

aci

ty (

GW

)

15,780 MW Installed capacity

4,419 Grid-connected turbines

94 Grid connected sites

… med store forventninger om videre vekst (15-20% p.a.)

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

GW

Europa USA Kina Others

Kostnadsreduksjonene raskere enn forventet!

Sources: BEIS, DONG Energy, Bundesnetzagentur, NEV, Energinet.dk, Danish Energy Agency

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

LC

OE

(€

/MW

h)

Offshore wind NNG (UK) EA1 (UK) Horns Rev 3 (DK)

Borssele 1&2 (NL) Vesterhav (DK) Kriegers Flak (DK) Borssele 3&4 (NL)

Triton Knoll (UK) Hornsea 2 (UK) Moray Firth (UK)

Source: BVG Associates

156

145

124 122

102

7869 68

62

85

65 65

2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017

Walneyextension

Race Bank EastAnglia

BorkumRiffgrund

Horns RevIII

BorsseleI & II

KrigersFlak

BorsseleIII & IV

Cluster 1 TritonKnoll

Hornsea II Moray

Kilde: Wind Power Monthly/BEIS

-… har gjort havvind konkurransedyktig!

Source: BVG Associates

70% av kostnadene erknyttet til BOP og drift og vedlikehold

3%

28%

19%

12%

35%

4%

Environmental surveys

0.1%

Consenting and development services

0.5%

Site investigations

0.5%

Project management

2.1%

Turbine assembly1.2%

Blades5.1%

Drive train5.2%

Power conversion8.3%

Large fabrications1.3%

Towers3.5%

Small components3.0%

Subsea cables4.8%

Transmission3.2%

Substation structures

2.1%

Turbinefoundations

7.6%

Secondary steelwork1.4%

Installation ports and logistics

0.6%

Turbine and

foundationinstallation

4.9%Cable installation

2.4%Substation installation

0.4%

Installation equipment and

support services3.0%

Onshore works0.6%

Maintenance and inspection services

14.8%

Vessels and equipment16.4%

O&M ports3.8%

Ports and logistics0.2%

Marineoperations

3.3%

Salvage and recycling0.0%

Project management0.1%

Wind turbine supply

Balance of plant

Installation and commissioning

Operation, maintenance

and service

Decommissioning

Source: BVG Associates

Development and project

management

Technology, Supply Chain and Expenditure

© BVG Associates 2017

• Global annual expenditure for offshore wind in 2022 will be

approximately €25,7 billion

• Expenditure between 2018 and 2022 will be about €108,3

billion

• 27% of all offshore spend by 2022

• A € 600 billion market until 2030

• The rated power of turbines has increased over a 15-

year period, from 2MW to 9,5MW.

• Monopile foundations will continue to be widely used.

Jacket and gravity base foundations will be used in

rocky soil conditions or deeper waters.

• In 2017, the first large-scale floating foundation

project was installed in the UK.

• 66kV array cables were first installed on a project in

2017 meaning capacity of a string can be increased

and electrical losses can be reduced.

• Higher voltage transmission will be used for larger

projects further from shore, or where 'clusters' feed

into central HVDC transmission systems.

• Move towards 'third generation' jack-up installation

vessels to perform lifts in higher wind speeds.

• SOVs and drones will become more widely used for

larger projects located further from shore.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

'18 '19 '20 '21 '22

Exp

en

ditur

e (€m

illio

n)

Project development Turbine

Foundation Array cable

Transmission Turbine installation

Foundation installation Array cable installation

Transmission installation OMS

Source: BVG Associates

170 of ca. 260 Norwegian Energy Partners´ partners are interested in offshore wind

Er det noe for oss?

Våre styrker

Store komplekse prosjekter

Marine operasjoner

Havmiljø og materialstyrker

Offshore drift og vedlikehold

Teknologi og risiko

HMS kultur

Tilgjengelige ressurser

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

NOKbn

Total10largestNorwegianco´s Other MarketShare

• Norsk markedsandel fra 5 til 10% i 2030

• Internasjonal omsetning 3-doblet neste 10 år

• Omsetning nærmer seg 50 milliarder i 2030

En norsk havvindindustri!

Flytende havvind “first mover advantage”30% Norsk innhold i Hywind Skotland

- Engineering av understell og tårn og

system

- Innkjøpstjenester

- Transport av understell

- Forberedelse til sammenstilling av turbin

med understell og generatorer

- Tauing, forankring, drift

- Statisk og dynamiske kabler og tilbehør

- Sikkerhetstjenester, verifikasjon og

garantiundersøkelser

Et hav av forskjellige konsepter…

Jon Dugstad – Director Wind & Solar

jon@norwep.com

Mulighetene er enorme,

bare begrenset av vår evne til å utnytte dem!