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LakeForecast.org: All Eyes on Lake Water Quality Katie NicholasWatershed Coordinator

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Page 1: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

LakeForecast.org: All Eyes on Lake Water Quality

Katie Nicholas‐Watershed Coordinator

Page 2: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

The picture can't be displayed.The picture can't be displayed.

Healthy Lakes. Healthy Community.

Vision

Page 3: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

359 mi2 watershed

28 municipalities  

370,000 people

29 mi2 of lake area

58 miles of shoreline

22 public beaches

>3,200 lakefront property owners

Page 4: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

What’s our purpose?

• Fill monitoring gap

• Minimize risk• Increase awareness

• Status of our lakes

Page 5: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Volunteer Sites# samples (# sites)

Page 6: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Lake User Risks

E. coli Bacteria Blue‐green Algae (Cyanobacteria)

Page 7: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

LakeForecast.org

• Purpose– Better inform beachgoers of more real‐time site conditions

– Encourage more consistent testing and data collection

Page 8: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Beaches

• Purpose– Increase confidence in beach safety through E. coli bacteria monitoring

• Parameters– 2013, 2014, 2015

Page 9: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1

10

100

1000

10000

Precipita

tion in 48 ho

urs p

receed

ing sampling (In

)

E. coli Con

centratio

n (M

PN/100

 ml)

Date (m/dd/yy)

48 hr precip E. coli (MPN/100 ml) E. coli Beach Closure

James Madison Beach 2014 E. coli Data

Page 10: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

5/19/15 6/8/15 6/28/15 7/18/15 8/7/15 8/27/15

Precipita

tion in 48 ho

urs preced

ing sampling (In

)

E. coli Con

centratio

n (M

PN/100

mL)

Date (m/dd/yy)

Esther Beach 2015 E. coli Data48 hr precip E. Coli E. coli Beach Closure

Page 11: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Post‐Rain Monitoring Blitz: July 13, 2015

1 10 100 1000 10000 100000

BB ClarkeBernie’s

BrittinghamEsther*

Goodland County Park*Governor Nelson State Park

HudsonJames Madison*

Lake Kegonsa State ParkLake Mendota County Park

Maple BluffMarshall

McDaniel ParkMemorial Union

Olbrich*Olin‐Turville

Picnic Point BeachSchluter BeachSpring Harbor

TenneyVilas*

Warner*WillowWingra

Log E. coli Concentration (MPN/100mL)

• 24 samples collected 

• 19 > EPA advisory threshold

• 14 closures

Page 12: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

End‐of‐Pier

• Purpose– Collect data that may be useful in modeling the formation and movement of blue‐green algal blooms 

• Parameters– Weekly 

Page 13: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Visual Observations

Page 14: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

5/21/14 6/10/14 6/30/14 7/20/14 8/9/14 8/29/14 9/18/14 10/8/14

Tem

pera

ture

(ᵒF

)

Date (m/dd/yy)

MendotaPier15 Water Temperature 0

20

40

60

80

100

1205/21/14 6/10/14 6/30/14 7/20/14 8/9/14 8/29/14 9/18/14 10/8/14

Tur

bidi

ty (

cm)

Date (m/dd/yy)

MendotaPier15 Water Turbidity

Data Summary MendotaPier15 Lake Mendota

Number of Observations 95 455

% of Observations When Algae Present 6.3% 13%

Average Water Turbidity 83.9 cm 87 cm

Average Water Temperature 70.8 °F 73.5 °F

Average Total Phosphorus 0.059 mg/L 0.064 mg/L

Incr

easi

ngm

urki

ness

MendotaPier15 Results

Page 15: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Photo credit: Scott Resnick

Page 16: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Plans for Future

• Near‐shore– Beaches– End‐of‐Pier

• Off‐shore• LakeForecast.org

– Crowdsourcing

Page 17: Katie Nicholas Watershed Coordinator€¦ · Josie & Peter Cyffka JunaleeLy Lake Forecasting Stewards Allen Arntsen, Claire and Ava David Schroder Dick Pearson George Benton Harmon

Thank You!Karen FallerKen XavierKirk & Betsy SwensonMadeline MurphyMatt MelvinNatalie MarshallRhonda ArriesSarah BalzSilke Schmidt & Dan PhaneufTheresa Vander WoudeWoody KnepprethZak Redding & Kirsten Johnson

ContributorsBarb TiedjeCarroll SchaalChin WuCorinna GriesCraig BarabasDavid WebbDick LathropEmily StanleyGina LaLiberteJennifer Lavender BraunJohn Reimer

Jon StandridgeJordan BarretteJosh HerritzKirsti SorsaMark GahlerPat GorskiPaul BlockPaul HansonPhil GaeblerSteve CarpenterTim Asplund

PartnersCity of MadisonDane CountyMIOsoftPublic Health Madison & Dane CountyUW‐Madison Center for LimnologyUW Space Science and Engineering CenterUW‐Madison Morgridge CenterWisconsin DNRWisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene

CLA InternJustin Chenevert

Tom SmithSasha Kerlow

MonitorsAlan AuselAlec McCannAndy KajcsaraczBill LammBrenda BirdBowen PrinceCaitlin SoleyCarla & Glen SchubertCarol GillenCarolyn BetzCraig OstromDaniel AdamsDea Larsen ConverseDeanna LettsDebbie & Eli DurcanEric ChristensonJerry JendrisakJim CordrayJim WilcoxJosie & Peter CyffkaJunalee Ly

Lake Forecasting StewardsAllen Arntsen, Claire and AvaDavid SchroderDick PearsonGeorge BentonHarmon & Nell RayJacob StampenJan Van VleckJoan KirkhuffJohn TyeKathy CarlJill BallJuliette SchickKen WalzKitty BrussockLaura GrahamLeigh MeierMark JungMel McCartneyMike HornParker WallerRobert Gilbert