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Keynote address: "The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology in particular artificial intelligence, will redefine education. Discover the latest developments in cutting edge schooling from around the world. Be exposed to the greatest risk to the traditional schooling model and what you can do to ‘future proof’ your school. Don’t let your school or organisation be caught on the wrong side of history. The theme of the conference is "Future Ready Student's" with a sub theme of "Inspire teachers, Innovate practice and Impact learning". In organising the conference we have been inspired by Gonski quote: “Schooling should enrich students’ lives leaving them inspired…”

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Page 1: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

• Keynote address: "The Future of Education"Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology in particular artificial intelligence, will redefine education. Discover the latest developments in cutting edge schooling from around the world. Be exposed to the greatest risk to the traditional schooling model and what you can do to ‘future proof’ your school. Don’t let your school or organisation be caught on the wrong side of history.• The theme of the conference is "Future Ready Student's" with a sub

theme of "Inspire teachers, Innovate practice and Impact learning". • In organising the conference we have been inspired by Gonski

quote: “Schooling should enrich students’ lives leaving them inspired…”

Page 2: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Over the Horizon

The Future of EducationBy

Peter HuttonEducator and Futurist

Page 3: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Presenter
Presentation Notes
(1 or 2 slides) Use this and the following slide to show that the original design of schools was very appropriate for the workforce they were preparing students for.
Page 4: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Presenter
Presentation Notes
2 of 2 slides) Use this and the following slide to show that the original design of schools was very appropriate for the workforce they were preparing students for. Interestingly the business owners did not put their own children through such a system. – They were educated by private tutors or in small private schools of less than 50 students in total. The problem is that modern workplaces do not work like this
Page 5: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

• John Carnegie• JP Morgan

“I don’t want a nation of thinkers, I want a nation of workers.”Rockefeller Founder of the General Education Board in 1903

Page 6: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Presenter
Presentation Notes
(1 or 2 slides) Use this and the following slide to show that the original design of schools was very appropriate for the workforce they were preparing students for.
Page 7: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

“Schooling should enrich students’ lives leaving

them inspired…”

David Gonski

Page 8: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

“In Australia, many students are consistently disengaged in class: approximately 40% are unproductive in a given year.”

Grattan Institute 2017

Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://grattan.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Engaging-students-creating-classrooms-that-improve-learning.pdf
Page 9: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

The Cost of Disengagement

Australia is losing a staggering $411,000 for each disengaged young Australians over their lifetime• increasing crime, • clogging health services, • relying on welfare and • reducing tax revenue.Mitchell Institute 2017

Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://www.smh.com.au/national/its-high-stakes-the-real-cost-of-dropping-out-of-school-20170614-gwr1f6.html  Counting the costs of lost opportunity in Australian education report, by Stephen Lamb and Shuyan Huo
Page 10: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
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Presentation Notes
Australia is the wealthiest country is the world as measured by median wealth. That is the middle person in Australia. If we look at average income, then Switzerland are marginally ahead. https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-wealthy-country-australians-are-the-richest-people-in-the-world-20181109-p50eyc.html
Page 11: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

30th out of 38 OECD Countries for equity in education

Presenter
Presentation Notes
So one must ask WHY Australia is one of the most inequitable countries of the 38 OECD nations.
Page 12: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Nature v Nurture

Presenter
Presentation Notes
1940 twins in Aust Based on Naplan Yrs 3-9 “Averaged across domains and grade, genetic factors explained 60 %, shared environment 10 %, and unique environment 30 % of the variation in achievement; these results are very similar to findings from the UK. We found evidence of generalist genes, with 80 % of genetic variation in any given domain due to the influence of a set of genes that affected performance in all domains.” Genetic and Environmental Influences on Literacy and Numeracy Performance in Australian School Children in Grades 3, 5, 7, and 9 Katrina L. Grasby1,2,5• William L. Coventry1• Brian Byrne1,2,3•Richard K. Olson4• Sarah E. Medland5 University of New England
Page 13: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Nature v Nurture

60% Genetic10% Shared Environment 30% Unique Environment

Presenter
Presentation Notes
1940 twins in Aust Based on Naplan Yrs 3-9 “Averaged across domains and grade, genetic factors explained 60 %, shared environment 10 %, and unique environment 30 % of the variation in achievement; these results are very similar to findings from the UK. We found evidence of generalist genes, with 80 % of genetic variation in any given domain due to the influence of a set of genes that affected performance in all domains.” Genetic and Environmental Influences on Literacy and Numeracy Performance in Australian School Children in Grades 3, 5, 7, and 9 Katrina L. Grasby1,2,5• William L. Coventry1• Brian Byrne1,2,3•Richard K. Olson4• Sarah E. Medland5 University of New England
Page 14: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

This is How Local Australian Students Enter University

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Only 26% of all people entering university use their ATAR. This is local students and does not include fee paying international students. Don’t forget only around half of young people go to University anyway, so we are maintaining a system that is effectively designed to sort out the top 13% of students for University entry. Is that really sufficient justification for the impact and stress this creates for young people? http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/Crunching-the-number_Exploring-the-use-and-usefulness-of-the-ATAR.pdf March 2018 Based on 2016 data
Page 15: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Job Shift5 million 40% of the Australian workforce will be replaced by computers by 2035.

60% of young people are currently studying for jobs that will be radically altered by automation.

17 Jobs, 5 Distinct Careers

Presenter
Presentation Notes
40% of jobs are highly likely to be automated. Another 18.6% have a medium probability of being automated. (p. 8) Durrant-Whyte, H. McCalman, L. O’Callaghan, S. Reid, A. and Steinberg, D. “The Committee for Economic Development of Australia” (CEDA), (2015), Australia’s Future Workforce, Ch. 1.4, pp. 60. Available from: <http://adminpanel.ceda.com.au/FOLDERS/Service/Files/ Documents/26792~Futureworkforce_June2015.pdf> https://www.fya.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/How-young-people-are-faring-report-card-2015-FINAL.pdf (p.2)
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Portfolio Employment

Up to 30% of Australians are now in “flexible work”, that include multiple jobs, using a mixture of skills and capabilities.

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Prediction 50% Portfolio by 2030 How Are Young People Faring in the Transition from School to Work? FYA, 2015 https://www.fya.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/fya-future-of-work-report-final-lr.pdf (p. 17) Since the 1990s almost 60% of the growth in jobs across the OECD has been temporary, part-time or self-employed
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Page 18: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Do new technologies create new jobs?

EmployeesAmazonIBMMicrosoftAppleIntelGoogleTesla (incl Solar City)Facebook PayPalEbayNintendoNetflix

TOTAL

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Data collected from public documents JUL2017
Page 19: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Do new technologies create new jobs?

EmployeesAmazon 647,500IBM 366,500Microsoft 135,000Apple 132,000Intel 107,000Google 99,000Tesla (incl Solar City) 45,000Facebook 35,500PayPal 22,000Ebay 14,100Nintendo 6,000Netflix 5,400

TOTAL 1,615,000Figures JAN19

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Data collected from public documents DEC18
Page 20: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

“The Robots are

Coming !”

‘This is NOT a drill’Their mission is currently not clearly definedThey will be ‘smarter’ than any of us They will be ‘smarter’ than ALL of us

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Picture by Banksy We need to start to work WITH them so that we are not overtaken BY them
Page 21: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

“The Robots are

HERE!”

We need to learn to work WITH them, in order not to be overtaken BY them.

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Picture by Banksy
Page 22: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

• Each robot displaces 1.6 human workers

• Each robot increased productivity of each remaining worker by an average of 10%

• 2.25M industrial robots in use

• 30M estimated by 2030

Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06-26/sa-among-worst-hit-by-20m-jobs-lost-globally-to-robots/11245092?sm%20ion=technology
Page 23: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Whispers of the future

Presenter
Presentation Notes
You have to listen carefully Be still, present in the moment
Page 24: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Robot DentistsA robot dentist has carried out the first successful autonomous implant surgery by fitting two new teeth into a woman’s mouth, mainland media has reported.

Although there were human medical staff present during the operation, they did not play an active role while it was being carried out.

Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/2112197/chinese-robot-dentist-first-fit-implants-patients-mouth-without-any-human https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DcKFLYPBLl8&ab_channel=CCTVVideoNewsAgency Source: South China Morning Post SEP 2017
Page 25: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

China Performs Country's First-Ever 5G Remote Brain Surgery

A Chinese surgeon collaborated with Huawei and China Mobile to operate on the brain of a Parkinson's disease patient 3,000 km away using a 5G connection, the first time such an operation has taken place in China.

Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://interestingengineering.com/china-performs-countrys-first-ever-5g-remote-brain-surgery
Page 26: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Presenter
Presentation Notes
Ms Brainmocker 1963 – The Jetsons
Page 27: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Presenter
Presentation Notes
Hangzhou No. 11 High School, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province http://en.people.cn/n3/2018/0519/c90000-9461918.html Hangzhou No. 11 High School started using facial recognition technology last year, when it introduced it for students buying lunch in the canteen. It has since been extended into many areas of school life. For example, facial recognition is used to pay for purchases at the school shop and to borrow books from the school library.
Page 28: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Page 29: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Page 30: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

9 APRIL 2019

Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://theoutline.com/post/7289/are-the-kids-all-right-these-school-surveillance-apps-sure-want-to-tell-you On a recent Friday night, Mark Nelson, a vice principal at a large public school in California, was at a colleague’s birthday party when his cell phone rang with news of a student in acute crisis.  The student had gone onto his school district-issued iPad and composed an email to the school counselor, but it wasn’t the counselor who had read the email and called Nelson; it was an employee of Gaggle,.Gaggle screens students’ electronic documents, communications, and calendars for things like bullying, violence, and suicidal ideation (as well as less severe transgressions, like swearing). When the student hit send, the message was flagged by Gaggle artificial intelligence, then reviewed by a human screener at the company, who rated it at the highest level of urgency. This triggered the phone call to Nelson, who then called law enforcement to intervene. For this student and for the small handful of other students in crises that school personnel would not otherwise have known about, Nelson has found Gaggle to be a useful tool for getting help to kids who need it.
Page 31: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
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The Development of Robot Enhanced Therapy for Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder (DREAM) https://www.dream2020.eu/general-public/ DREAM is an EC-funded project that will deliver the next generation robot-enhanced therapy (RET). It develops clinically relevant interactive capacities for social robots that can operate autonomously for limited periods under the supervision of a psychotherapist. DREAM will also provide policy guidelines to govern ethically compliant deployment of supervised autonomy RET. The core of the DREAM RET robot is its cognitive model which interprets sensory data (body movement and emotion appearance cues), uses these perceptions to assess the child’s behaviour by learning to map them to therapist-specific behavioural classes, and then learns to map these child behaviours to appropriate robot actions as specified by the therapists.
Page 32: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Micro & Nano -credentialing• Computer courses• MOOCS• Build a portfolio

What can you do?

How do we know?

Page 33: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology
Presenter
Presentation Notes
https://er.educause.edu/articles/2018/6/using-telepresence-robots-to-support-students-facing-adversity Sheldon OCT 2010 Https://medium.com/@oleksii_kh/https-medium-com-oleksii-kh-robotics-in-education-are-we-there-yet-52c424bc555a “VGo”
Page 34: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Machine assisted instruction

• One on one and in small groups• No judgement• No testing required• Gamification• Interactive holograms• “Common mistakes” identified and

corrected early• Demonstrated application to the real

world

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The Japanese education ministry will launch a pilot program in 500 schools in April 2019 to improve English speaking proficiency in schools. Japan has proposed improving English skills ahead of the surge in tourists expected during the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. “The results of the trial were fascinating. It appeared that students were less scared to use a foreign language to chat with a robot because they knew that it wouldn’t judge or laugh at them.” https://www.sbs.com.au/news/ai-robots-to-boost-english-in-japan
Page 35: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

World School – We Learn• Outside the legal definition of school• No government funding• Staff and volunteers verified on

Blockchain• Lessons available free on line• Truly Global Education• Assessment recorded by Micro-

credentialing• University entrance by learning

portfolio• What could $20,000pa buy?

Presenter
Presentation Notes
IPFS – Interplanetary File System = Distributed peer-to peer web
Page 36: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Preparing ourselves for “strategic uncertainty”

It’s like training in a space program: You don’t know how, or when, or with whom you will fly, but you are prepared …this personalized methodology can be made accessible to everyone

GELP – Global Educators Leadership ProgramMOSCOW 2017

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Summary Report GELP – Global Educators Leadership Program MOSCOW 2017 “Transforming Education for Complexity: Why, What and How” Preparing ourselves for “strategic uncertainty”: personal resilience (physical / psychological health) + mindfulness (attention to attention) + metacognition (“training in a space program: you don’t know how or when or with whom you fly but you are prepared” — this personalized methodology can be made accessible to everyone)
Page 37: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Embrace Complexity& Learn to sit with Uncertainty

• Identify your assumptionsDig deep. Almost everything is built on assumptions

• Create mini-tests to explore them

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Two genuine 2020 skills Even a little anxiety
Page 38: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Where to start?

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Culture
Page 39: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

• Decide to TAKE CONTROL • Get informed but not too much

Read/ discuss/ observe/ argue/ hypothesise/ test/ evaluate/ review

• Operate in the Grey Space• Actually DO SOMETHING• Start with those who the current system doesn’t work for• Find your voice – Advocate • Join the FSA

Advice to EdRevolutionaries

Presenter
Presentation Notes
file:///C:/Users/Peter/Downloads/Getting%20Ready%20for%20School%20Begins%20at%20Birth.pdf
Page 40: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

Advice to EdRevolutionaries

• Don’t jump to simplistic solutions

• Educate Parents/ Administrators• Work with what you can control• Surround yourself with others • Debrief regularly• Move if necessary• Rise as high as you can as fast as

you can

Page 41: Keynote address...•Keynote address:"The Future of Education" Journey over the educational horizon. Learn about the concept of multiple futures, emerging futures and how technology

The theme of the conference is "Future Ready Student's" with a sub theme of "Inspire teachers, Innovate practice and Impact learning".