Technology and Future of Medicine Teaching for Medical

StudentsOctober 21, 2016

Kim Solez, MD

The Essence of LABMP 590 Course http://www.singularitycourse.com Distilled Down to 4 Hours

1. Two hours today from Drs. Kim Solez, Jonathan White, and Rich Sutton.

2. Two hours November 10th from Drs. Shawna Pandya and Kim Solez.

3. The suggestion that we teach you directly about the future like this came from 1st year medical students last year, people just like you!

Learning ObjectivesAt the end of this 4 hours of teaching, students will be able to:• Describe some of the ways in which rapid technological change is anticipated to affect the practice of medicine in the next 100 years, with specific reference to artificial intelligence, newly emerging technology and human enhancement.• Describe the concepts of Moore’s law, exponential change, and the technological singularity• Discuss some of the ethical issues associated with rapid technological advancement in medicine.

Qualitative Learning Outcomes• Students become more flexible in dealing with change in technology and medicine during their careers.• Students become more informed in considering how changes in medicine may affect their career choices.• Students develop new ways of thinking about concepts relating to technology.• Students are empowered to get involved to ensure changes in medicine are positive for patients and for society in general.

The Technological SingularityThe technological singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest and most capable life forms on the Earth. Technological development is taken over by the machines, who can think, act and communicate so quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend what is going on. The machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement cycles, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this point onwards, technological advancement is explosive, under the control of the machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil

Moore’s Law Predicts Singularity

Moore’s Law Muted in Medicine!

Regulatory oversight that is completely focused on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and innovation.

Health care doesn't have the same financial reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1 billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging and medical informatics.

Security always has priority over information sharing, and so better, faster linkages are constrained because of security concerns, some of which are bogus.

Moore’s Law Muted in Medicine!

Major Singularity Developments in February 2011

If You Have Not Already Done So, Watch Jonathan White’s 2014 TEDx Talk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRbErYIUvS4

Rich Sutton (UAlberta) Future of AI meeting Puerto Rico Jan

3, 2015

Acceptance. Share power. The AIs will not all be under our control. They will compete and cooperate with us just like other people, except with greater diversity and asymmetries. We need to set up mechanisms (social, legal, political, cultural) to ensure that this works out well Inevitably, conventional humans will be less important. Step 1: Lose your sense of entitlementStep 2: Include AIs in your circle of empathy Thought provoking for us all!

A Big Picture Wish for Diversity: Diversity the General Case Saves the

Human Race In January 2015 in Puerto RicoAI researchers tossed to and froIdeas about how to contain machine super-intelligenceAnd how it required super-vigilance  To keep AIs hemmed inSo they can't do us in.Enslaving the bots is necessary So they can't decide they don't want nary 

A Big Picture Wish for Diversity: Diversity the General Case Saves the

Human Race Any humans around.Suspicions aboundNo trust would be foundAll drones would be downed With evil primeval Exuding from every bot navel! But isn't it possible That humans willBe able to build in friendly demeanorIn the bots manufacture, 

A Big Picture Wish for Diversity: Diversity the General Case Saves the

Human Race Any humans around.Suspicions aboundNo trust would be foundAll drones would be downed With evil primeval Exuding from every bot navel! But isn't it possible That humans willBe able to build in friendly demeanorIn the bots manufacture, 

A Big Picture Wish for Diversity: Diversity the General Case Saves the

Human RaceSo that as long as we treat them with respectThey will be equally friendly and circumspectAnd empathy and high regard can flow in both directionsBetween us and them with the proper introspections. For both us and them a win-win situation As we go through life with good cooperationAs we each find strength in diversityAnd human-bot teams save the day, 

A Big Picture Wish for Diversity: Diversity the General Case Saves the

Human RaceAnd every day after that.Well why not!And then as the AIs become smarter evenThey will still want us around in their Garden of Eden Our welfare and theirs will be tied togetherAnd that then becomes the plan forever!

  

In 2010 I became the only full time University faculty member taking the

Singularity University Executive Course

Four Years Ago Structure Became Much Simpler. U of A Course One

Of Very Few Independent Singularity Entities.

The challenge of friendly AI becomes just a small part of a much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended.

We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!

Part of the imagined future could beone where all disease was eliminated but life was intolerable. Another where the only diseases are from bioterrorism.

We Could Eliminate All Disease and Still Have A Terrible World!

All natural disease may be eliminated, leaving only man-made diseases. But that may leave as much for physicians to do as there is today!

Challenging responses to bioterrorism and stem cell technologies.

Focus of medicine no longer disease but human enhancement, which will extend beyond the physical to the moral and spiritual.

Social responsibility an important aspect of medicine and one of the focuses of the course.

2045 is only 29 years from now. Many of you will still be working then. What will

medical careers be like then?

“It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even the most horrible situations by habituation. Physicians are the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social problems should largely be solved by them.” -Rudolf Virchow

Rudolf Virchow on the Social Responsibility of Medicine

In a Post-Scarcity World of Abundance Medicine Will Be About Enhancement of Well People, Not

About Disease

May June 2012 issue of the Futurist, Reversing Aging “A Thousand Years Young”

We Need To Consider the Possibility of a Post-Scarcity

World, and What Medicine Would Be Like In Such A Singularity

Utopia

Reaching A Broader Audience. Taking the Course on the Road, Mixing the

Main Ideas with Poetry and Music: “The Future and All That Jazz” in London, UK

and Elsewhere. Watch This Space!