kindergarten proposal briefing city council 5.24.12

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  • 7/31/2019 Kindergarten Proposal Briefing City Council 5.24.12

    1/22

    Briefing Presentation by Class Size Matters

    to New York City Council

    May 24, 2012

    Potential impact ofProposed Mandatory

    Kindergarten

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    General Implications ofProposal

    Mandatory Kindergarten would lead to an estimatedaddition of 3,000-6,000 students in the NYC public schools(NYT, 3/21/12);

    When DOE closed ACS daycare centers in 2010, 3,000

    more Kindergarten students entered the system;

    IBO cites this development as a major contribution to largeincreases in Kindergarten class sizes;

    Share of Kindergarten students in classes over thecontractual limit of 25 increased from 6.6% to 7.9%, mainlydriven by schools in areas where daycare centers wereclosed.

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    Implications for Existing Pre-K Seats

    Space crunch induced by influx of additionalKindergarten students could produce an increased lossof Pre-K seats

    This occurs during a time of rising demand for Pre-K:28,815 applications in 2011 v. 25,487 in 2010

    In 2011, only 68% applicants were admitted to Pre-K, adrop from 72%; over 9,000 children rejected

    This year the number of Pre-K seats in DOE buildingsdropped to lowest level since 2006

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    Pre-K Seats in DOEBuildings, 2006-2011

    20,374

    21,71021,604

    21,656

    22,014

    21,335

    19,500

    20,000

    20,500

    21,000

    21,500

    22,000

    22,500

    2006-7 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

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    Kindergarten Seats CurrentlyInadequate

    Even without mandatory Kindergarten, there are notenough seats for zoned Kindergarten students

    This has led to Kindergarten waitlists in all boroughs &

    in nearly one fifth of elementary schools

    Additionally, class sizes in K & early grades are highestin 13 years, though lower class size one of few reformsproven to narrow achievement gap and lead to more

    learning for all students

    This is an ongoing crisis which cannot be ignored

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    Wait lists worse in 3 out of 5boroughs this year

    88131

    76

    182

    22

    462

    235

    720

    942

    47

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    Man Bronx Brooklyn Queens SI

    No. of K students on wait lists for zoned neighborhood schools

    2009-2012

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

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    More than 2400 Kindergarten students

    on wait lists in April for zoned schools

    499

    1880

    2569

    2406

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    Zoned Kindergarten wait lists citywide, 2009-2012

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    52%

    29%

    7%

    11%

    5%4%

    14%

    19%

    31%

    6% 5%

    41%

    5%

    41%

    14%

    17%

    7%

    42%

    50%

    30%

    11%

    21%

    9%

    35%

    16%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    2 3 4 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 17 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

    % Elementary Schools with waitlists by district

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    Kindergarten Wait Lists Though some children will drop off wait lists over time,

    numbers show extreme pressures on schools tosacrifice cluster rooms and further increase class sizenot just in K, but in all grades as students move

    upwards

    Furthermore, substantial Kindergarten wait lists exist insome districts with no funded seats in Capital Plan

    Especially large wait lists in District 12 in Bronx andDistrict 21 in Brooklyn where there are NO fundedseats in Capital plan

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    Currently, K enrollment is still growing(gened & CTT)

    64132

    64806

    69268 69273

    71429

    60000

    62000

    64000

    66000

    68000

    70000

    72000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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    K-3 total enrollment also growing

    (gened + CTT)

    266868

    269621

    275490

    278144

    280941

    255000

    260000

    265000

    270000

    275000

    280000

    285000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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    K-3 Class Sizes Largest in 13years

    24.9

    23.2

    22.422.1

    21.7 21.621.3

    21.1 21.0 20.9

    21.4

    22.1

    22.9

    23.9

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    26

    K-3 Class sizes largest since 1998(data sources: IBO 1998-2005; DOE 2006-11)

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    42% of Kindergarteners inclasses of 25 or more

    58%

    39%

    20%

    7% 9%

    20% 21%

    17%20%

    33%

    42%

    8% 9%

    23%

    33%

    40% 41%38% 37%

    40%38%

    27%24%

    16%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    2010 first year since 1998 that more K students in classes of 25 or morethan 20 or less since 1999

    % at 25 ormore

    % at 20 or less

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    % of Kindergarten students in classes

    of 25 or more (by Borough)

    14 14

    23

    17

    27

    17

    38

    31

    4342

    52

    42

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Brook Man Queens Staten I Bronx Citywide

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

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    Background on Capital PlanPromises

    When Mayor Bloomberg introduced his first CapitalPlan in 2005, he said it would achieve the followinggoals:

    Alleviate overcrowding

    Provide space for classes of 20 or less in grades K-3 inall schools

    Eliminate the need for trailers

    NONE of these goals have been achieved, andovercrowding in elementary schools and k-3 classsizes now WORSE than in 2005

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    Elementary Schools MoreOvercrowded than in 2006

    According to the historic Formula in the Blue Book more

    elementary school buildings are overcrowded & 50,000 more ESstudents are in overcrowded buildings than in 2006.

    Utilization Rate

    (Historic) 2006-2007 2010-2011# buildings 100% or

    over 257 306# students 118156 167673% students 24% 33%% of buildings 28% 32%

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    According to target formula, 53% of all

    elementary school students are inovercrowded buildings

    74%

    48%

    41%

    51%

    72%

    53%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    Staten Island Bronx Manhattan Brooklyn Queens Total

    % PS Students in Buildings 100% or over in 2010 -2011(Target)

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    Actual need for new seats

    DOE has explicitly admitted that their estimates showa need for about 50,000 seats, with 16,186unfunded;

    Our estimates of need from building starts alone,

    using City Planning multiplier, is more than 78,000seats , which is likely to be underestimate;

    Doesnt count need to alleviate existing overcrowdingor to reduce class size;

    Doesnt count need to regain lost cluster andspecialty rooms, or eliminate trailers;

    Doesnt count need for more pre-K seats.

    DOE h l b k

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    DOE sharply cut back oncapital plan after Nov. 2010

    25,142 25,142

    30,377 30,377

    50,074

    28,866

    33,888

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    New Seats in capital plan

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    Spending on capacity back loaded to

    FY 14

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    Recommendations Though proposal to make Kindergarten mandatory is

    laudable, this would add thousands of students to analready overcrowded and underfunded system, and wouldundercut expected gains;

    CSM recommends that funding for school capacity projectsbe accelerated and moved from FY 14 to next year;

    Comptrollers office points out that this would add no coststo taxpayers, but would produce 15K additional jobs,potentially save millions in the long term by takingadvantage of low interest rates and construction costs, andcreate more school seats.

    (NYC Capital Acceleration Plan: Creating Jobs Todayby ImprovingTomorrow's Infrastructure, May 2012)

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    Public school parents calling for more schoolconstruction in 1950s

    at Brooklyn Borough Hall