kivi presentation fokker 190917 · 2019-09-24 · fokker services independent aerospace services...

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Air travel: shame or challenge???

Dr Peter KortbeekManager Technology Office

KIVI Symposium September 17, 2019


Overview

2

Content

� Introduction of GKN & Fokker

� The Paris treaty

� The burden of air travel success

� Emissions per air travel sector

� Impact on future air transportation

� EU Clean Sky 3 initiative

� Conclusions

My background:- PhD in Physics of University of Amsterdam- Fuel cells, wind energy- Switched to Fokker in 2001, established FMLC, FER, TPRC and SAM XL- Manager Technology Office since 2008

- Focus on Ecosystem, IP & Funding- EU Clean Sky 1, 2 & 3, National R&D programs- Chair HTSM Aeronautics Roadmap


GKN: Leading global tier 1 in Aerospace

2015: Fokker taken over by GKN

GKN in 1759 established by Guest, Keen & Nettlefold

GKN Aerospace: ~18,000 employees, including ~5,000 former Fokker

Total 2018 sales £3.53 billion across three core capabilities

Aerostructures

63% - £2.2bn

Engine Systems

32% - £1.1bn

Special Technologies

5% - £0.2bn


Fuselage, wing, nacelle & pylon,

Inflight opening doors+ empennage

Static & rotating structures

Titanium engine inlet parts

Transparencies

Ice protection systems

Light Weight Missile & Canisters

AEROSTRUCTURES ENGINE SYSTEMS SPECIAL PRODUCTS

Helicopter Landing Gear

Composite load carrying landing gear components (drag brace)

Availability Services, MRO, Conversion and Completion for Mature and Legacy aircraft

LANDING GEARWIRING INTER-

CONNECT SYSTEMSGLOBAL SERVICES

GLOBAL NO. 2

GLOBAL NO. 2

GLOBAL NO. 1

GLOBAL NO. 8

GLOBAL NO. 3

Electrical Wiring Interconnection Systems (EWIS) for aircraft & aircraft engines

GLOBAL BRAND

GKN Aerospace-widest capabilities of any Tier 1


Overview

Fokker AerostructuresLightweight aerostructures & components

5

Design, development and production of smart, lightweight aerostructures: empennages, fuselages and wing movables

2000 Employees

LocationsThe Netherlands,Romania, Mexicoand USA


Overview

Fokker ElmoElectrical wiring interconnections systems

6

Design, development, manufacturing and support of Electrical Wiring Interconnection Systems (EWIS)

1700 Employees

LocationsThe Netherlands, China, USA, Turkey, India and Canada


Overview

Fokker Landing GearLanding gear systems

7

(Co-)design, Manufacturing & MRO of affordable & light weight landing gear systems for helicopters and small-to midsized aircraft

280 Employees

LocationThe Netherlands


Overview

Fokker ServicesIndependent aerospace services provider

8

The world’s most innovative aerospace service provider of affordable and reliable availability solutions to airlines, OEM’s and MRO’s

900 Employees

Facilitiesthe Netherlands, Singapore,USAOfficesAustralia, Kenya, Panama


Climate Challenges

Paris Treaty:

Limit Global Warming

to 1.5°

Input from

Ron van Manen

EU Clean Sky

Head of Unit Strategic

Development


Global CO2 emissions 1965 - 2017

EU 2017 vs. 1990: 22% reduction in emissions*

* Figure excludes maritime and aviation; EU aviation emissions triples in this period….10


Europe’s GHG Emissions Challenge (1.5° scenario)

*

*LULUCF : Land use, land use change and forestry11


The burden of Success:

Aviation is widely expected to continue growing

* Courtesy Airbus: GMF 2018 - 2037

12


ATAG [IATA] goals for 2050: a long way still to go

Year 1990 2000 2005 2017 2050 2050

ATAG

Aviation CO2

Emissions

394* 540* 650** 859 2700 325

Total

Anthropogenic

CO2 Emissions

(MTo)

21615 23803 28366 36790 4323 4323

Aviation as % of

annual CO2

Emissions

1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 >60% ~7.5

%

* Source ICAO

** Source IATA

13

ATAG: Air Transport Action GroupIATA: Int. Aviation Transport AssociationICAO: Int. Civil Aviation Organization


Schematic of the different CO2 reduction targets by 2050

14

Only a highly ambitious technology program will lead to a significant step towards a route to target

SAF: Sustainable Aviation Fuels


Different approaches likely to be needed

90% of flights: < 3000km, = 50% of fuel used

10% of flights: > 3000km, = 50% of fuel used

1% of flights: > 8000km, = 20% of fuel used

15

BATTERIES?

HYDROGEN

(FUEL CELLS)

+ BATTERIES?BIOFUELS + SYNTHETIC

FUELS + HYDROGEN

INTRODUCE STOP

OVERS?ALTERNATIVE OPERATIONS (STOP-OVERS / REFUELING ETC.)

ADVANCED GAS-TURBINES AND A/C CONFIGURATIONS + SAF

HYBRID PROPULSION: FUEL CELLS / BATTERIES; ADVANCED (E.G. DEP) CONFIGURATIONS

FULL ELECTRIC (BATTERIES OR FUEL CELL POWERED)


CO2 reduction potential through technologies up to 50%

Potential technology based CO2 savings in 2050

(excl SAF)

16


Technology pathways and CO2 reduction potential

Technology based

reduction estimates

17

Medium

Range

<250 pax

Commuter/

Small Reg.

19 - 50 pax

<500 km

Long Range

>250 pax

>8000 km

Urban

Mobility

1 – 4 pax

<100 km

Medium/

Long Range

>250 pax

>3000 km

Short Range

100 - 250 pax

<3000 km

Regional

Short Range

50 - 100 pax

<1500 km

VTOL

5-19 pax

>100 km3000 – 8000 km

Ongoing Research in Flight Physics, Structures/Materials and On-board Systems

Novel Engine Concepts / Ultra-Efficient Gas

Turbines

Innovative Aircraft Configurations

Hybrid Propulsion incl.

Distributed Propulsion

Full Electric Propulsion

30% 30% 40% 80% >80%50-80% 50%30%

Sustainable Aviation Fuels

Eco- / environmentally Optimised Air Transport Operations

>90%

~ 44%~ 19%~ 16%~ 20% ~ 1%

Fuel and CO2 share

1

2

3

4


Innovation drivers have changed

and need to change further

18

capability drivenCitius, Altius, Fortius. . . .

Time

Air

Tra

ns

po

rt E

ffe

cti

ve

ne

ss

1950 20001925 1975

F13 (1919)

2025 2050

A350

Concorde (1969)

Constellation (1943)

18


Getting the

balance right in

bottom-up versus

top-down

19

� Rapidly maturing, demonstrating and de-risking disruptive architectures

� Teaming with the EU brings research and policy together � impact

� Shared & joint technology development bringing all actors together

� Low TRL technology push and high TRL technology pull in one program

Clean Aviation Public-Private Partnership

Under EU Horizon Europe framework


Sustainable [Bio-] Fuels

QuantumECSE

L

Others

Graphene Flagship

FCH

Batteries

National Research & Innovation Programmes

Factories of the Future

Structural Funds (e.g. ESIF)

Digital/AI

‘CS3’

An EU Aeronautics Innovation Architecture

20


New aircraft configurations

Courtesy DLR

Courtesy ONERA

Courtesy TU Delft / NLR


Overview

22

Conclusions

• The continuous growth of air travel may become a serious threat• Disruptive developments needed to avoid future shame for air travel• Different solutions for small SR, medium SR, MR and large aircraft SR, MR

and LR• Fuel and propulsion system drive development

• Huge effort to make air travel sustainable in 2050:• Airframe & engine manufacturers including supply chain

• Air Traffic Management

• Airport Infrastructure

• Fuel suppliers

• The targets can only be can only be met by strong international collaboration and by governmental support


Overview

Thank you for

Your attention


….while building industrial leadership and ensuring mobility

1477 participations (over 800 unique entities)

Environmental

Objectives*

* vs today’s best aircraft

Clean Sky 2: Tackling Key Environmental Challenges

24

kivi presentation fokker 190917 · 2019-09-24 · fokker services independent aerospace services...

Documents