kone q3 2020elevators and kone 24/7 connected services –roll out of dx class elevators expanded to...
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KONE Q3 2020OCTOBER 22, 2020
HENRIK EHRNROOTH, PRESIDENT & CEO
ILKKA HARA, CFO
Q3 2020 Highlights
• Growing earnings and strong
cash flow in a tough
environment
• Strong development in China,
mixed elsewhere
• Positive development in
customer loyalty
• Raising our ambitions in
sustainability
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation3
GROWING EARNINGS AND STRONG CASH FLOW, INCREASED UNCERTAINTY VISIBLE IN ORDERS RECEIVED
Q3 2020 Key figures
7–9/2020 7–9/2019 ChangeComparable
change
Orders received MEUR 1,931.7 2,007.3 -3.8 % 0.4 %
Order book MEUR 7,914.4 8,399.8 -5.8 % -1.4 %
Sales MEUR 2,587.0 2,557.6 1.1 % 4.9 %
Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 333.1 314.2 6.0 %
Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 12.9 12.3
Adjusted EBIT MEUR 339.8 321.9 5.5 %
Adjusted EBIT margin % 13.1 12.6
Cash flow from operations
(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 600.2 462.9
Basic earnings per share EUR 0.50 0.48 5.3 %
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation4
RESILIENT SALES AND ADJUSTED EBIT, INCREASED UNCERTAINTY VISIBLE IN ORDERS RECEIVED
1-9/2020 Key figures
1–9/2020 1–9/2019 ChangeComparable
change
Orders received MEUR 6,116.4 6,411.5 -4.6 % -3.2 %
Order book MEUR 7,914.4 8,399.8 -5.8 % -1.4 %
Sales MEUR 7,317.3 7,297.2 0.3 % 1.7 %
Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 845.8 836.1 1.2 %
Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 11.6 11.5
Adjusted EBIT MEUR 869.9 869.9 0.0 %
Adjusted EBIT margin % 11.9 11.9
Cash flow from operations
(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 1,539.4 1,163.9
Basic earnings per share EUR 1.27 1.26 0.5 %
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation5
Monthly average number of starts per elevator, data from connected units
Indexed, indicative as data from a limited number of units
Elevator usage is recovering but still clearly below normal levels
1/20205/20191/2019 3/2019 9/2019 9/20207/2019 3/2020
0.8
11/2019 5/2020
1.2
0.07/2020
1.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
Germany, top to bottom -29%, top to current -11%
UK, top to bottom -71%, top to current -37%
Singapore, top to bottom -54%, top to current -18%
Italy , top to bottom -47%, top to current -18%
US, top to bottom -46%, top to current -24%
Q3 2020 Business highlights
▪ Good progress with the KONE DX Class
elevators and KONE 24/7 Connected Services
– Roll out of DX Class elevators expanded to new
areas and also for modernizations
– Momentum improving in 24/7 Connected Services,
24/7 Planner introduced as an add-on
▪ Launch of KONE MonoSpace 300 for low-rise in
the Americas
▪ Net promoter score up in the annual customer
survey
October 22, 20206
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation7
Target for our value chain:
40% reduction in GHG emissions from products’
materials and lifetime energy use (Scope 3) relative to
products ordered by 2030
Targets for our own operations:
50% absolute reduction in GHG emissions from
own operations (Scope 1 and 2) by 2030
Taking stronger action to tackle climate change by setting science-based targets
How to get there:
▪ Further improvements in the energy efficiency
and material circularity of products
▪ Engaging our suppliers on the change
How to get there:
▪ Vehicle fleet transformation
▪ Renewable electricity
KONE PLEDGES FOR CARBON
NEUTRAL OPERATIONS BY 2030SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS
ACROSS THE VALUE CHAIN
We have refreshed our values to define who we are and what we aspire to become
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation8
We care for
each other
We are committed to
our customers' successWe collaborate
as one team
We perform
with courage
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation9
Appointment to the Executive Board
Tricia Weener
Tricia Weener has been
appointed Chief Marketing
Officer and Executive Vice
President, Marketing and
Communications, as of
January 18, 2021.
Market development
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation11
STRONG DEMAND IN CHINA, UNCERTAINTY IMPACTING DEMAND IN OTHER REGIONS
New equipment market development in Q3/2020
EMEA market Asia-Pacific marketNorth American market
>2/3 of
global
market
(in units)
~20% of
global
market
(in units)
<5% of
global
market
(in units)
- - -
▪ Market declined significantly ▪ Market declined clearly
▪ Market in Central and North
Europe declined slightly, in
South Europe, the market
declined significantly and in the
Middle East, the market
declined clearly
▪ The volumes grew clearly as a
result of high level of activity in
China
▪ In the rest of Asia-Pacific, the
markets declined significantly
- - - Significant decline (>10 %), - - Clear decline (5-10 %), - Slight decline (<5 %), Stable, + Slight growth (<5 %), + + Clear growth (5-10 %), + + + Significant growth (>10 %). Based on KONE’s estimate.
- - + +
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation12
GLOBAL MAINTENANCE MARKET WAS RESILIENT, MIXED DEVELOPMENT IN THE MODERNIZATION MARKETS
Service market development in Q3/2020
North American market
<10% of
global market
(in units)
stable - - -Maintenance Modernization
>25% of
global market
(in monetary value)
EMEA market
~40% of
global market
(in units)
Maintenance
+ - - -
>1/3 of
global market
(in monetary value)
Modernization
Asia-Pacific market
>40% of
global market
(in units)
>15% of
global market
(in monetary value)
++ -Maintenance Modernization
- - - Significant decline (>10 %), - - Clear decline (5-10 %), - Slight decline (<5 %), Stable, + Slight growth (<5 %), + + Clear growth (5-10 %), + + + Significant growth (>10 %). Based on KONE’s estimate.
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation13
Chinese property market in Q3/2020
▪ In units ordered, the new equipment market grew significantly y-o-y
▪ Pricing environment continues to be characterized by intense competition
▪ Exceptionally strong activity in the real estate sector in Q3. Financing environment tightening
for the developers
▪ Infrastructure investments increased to boost economic activity
▪ Real estate investment +11.8% y-o-y in Q3
▪ Residential sales volume +9.9% y-o-y and new starts 3.9% y-o-y in Q3
▪ New home prices in the 70 biggest cities +4.5% y-o-y in September
▪ Consolidation among property developers continues
Q3 Financials
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation15
Mixed development amidst the COVID-19 pandemicSTRONG DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA, RESTRICTIONS AND UNCERTAINTY STILL IMPACTING OTHER MARKETS IN Q3
KONE’s orders received growth at comparable FX rates
New equipment Modernization Maintenance
(repairs orders)
China
Rest of APAC
EMEA
Americas
Total
>10% decline >10% growth2-10% decline 2-10% growth< 2% change
KONE’s sales growth at comparable FX rates
New equipment Modernization Maintenance
China
Rest of APAC
EMEA
Americas
Total7.5% 1.3% 2.1%
October 22, 202016
MEUR
ORDERS RECEIVED GREW SIGNIFICANTLY IN APAC BUT DECLINED CLEARLY IN EMEA AND SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE AMERICAS IN Q3
▪ In Q3, the margin of
orders received was
stable excluding the
positive mix impact
from China
Orders received
5,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
6,000
2014 2015 2018
4,465
1-9/2020
8,400
3,809
2012
6,116
2010 2017
6,813
201920162013
5,496
2011
6,151
7,9597,621 7,554
7,797
2,0071,932
Q3
growth
-3.8%
83 1,932
Q3
2019
Growth
at
comp.
FX
FX Q3
2020
2,007
0.4%
Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation
October 22, 202017
MEUR
ALL BUSINESSES GREW IN Q3, MIXED DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGIONS
KONE has applied new IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016 are not restated and thus not fully comparable.
Sales
2,000
1,000
6,000
0
3,000
4,000
9,000
5,000
7,000
8,000
10,000
2016
8,797
2017 2018 1-9/2020
9,982
2012
8,647
4,987
2010 20192013
2,558
2011
5,225
20152014
9,071
6,277
6,9337,334
8,784
2,587
7,317
Q3
growth
1.1%
92
FXQ3
2019
Ne
w e
qu
ipm
en
t
Ma
inte
nan
ce
Mo
de
rniz
atio
n
Q3
2020
2,558
2,587
Growth at comp. FX
4.9%
7.5%
2.1%
1.3%
EMEA 1.4%
APAC 11.1%
Americas -1.1%
Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation
Q3
2019
Gro
wth
Pro
fita
bili
ty
-9
Q3
2020
FX
322
340
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation18
Adjusted EBIT* and adjusted EBIT marginMEUR; %
GOOD DEVELOPMENT IN A TOUGH ENVIRONMENT IN Q3
▪ In Q3, restructuring
costs related to the
Accelerate program:
EUR 6.7 million
* Adjusted EBIT was introduced in September 2017. Adjusted EBIT excludes restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program** KONE has applied new IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016 are not restated and thus not fully comparable.
Adjusted EBIT
725
829
322 340600
1,600
400
0
200
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2011 2012 201820142013 2015 20172016 2019
1,036
1-9/2020
953
1,241 1,237
870
1,112
12.6%
1,2931,206
13.1%
Q3
growth
5.5%
Q3 adj.
EBIT margin
+ Improved
pricing and
cost efficiency
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation19
Cash flow from operations*MEUR
EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG CASH FLOW
▪ Net working capital
contributed positively
to the cash flow in
1-9/2020
▪ Increase in accounts
payable due to strong
recovery in China
▪ Some countries
extending payment
terms for e.g. VAT
payments, impact of
around MEUR 50
▪ Positive development
in advances received
* Before financing items and taxesKONE had adopted IFRS16 from January 1, 2019 onward which improved cash flow from operations as payments of lease liabilities were included in to cash flow from financing activities. The cash flows for comparative periods have not been restated.
Cash flow
463
600
400
800
1,600
1,000
0
200
600
1,200
1,400 1,346
201320122011 2014
1,474
2015 2016
820
20182017 2019 1-9/2020
1,071
1,213
1,509
1,263
1,150
1,550 1,539
Market and business outlook
Market outlook for 2020 (unchanged)
New equipment markets
▪ The Chinese market is expected to grow
▪ In other regions, the new equipment market is expected to decline as a
result of the increased economic uncertainty
Maintenance markets
▪ The maintenance markets are expected to be resilient, excluding the direct
impacts of the lockdown measures
Modernization markets
▪ The fundamental growth drivers are intact but uncertainty in the market
could delay decision-making in modernization projects
October 22, 202021
Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation22
Sales
▪ KONE estimates that in 2020, its sales growth will
be in the range of -1% to 2% at comparable
exchange rates as compared to 2019
Adjusted EBIT
▪ The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in the
range of 12.1% to 12.7%
Business outlook for 2020 (unchanged)
Burdening our resultSupporting our performance
Impacts of COVID-19
outbreak
Subcontracting cost
increases
Investing in our
capability to sell and
deliver digital services
and solutions
Around MEUR -40
impact on EBIT from
exchange rates
Solid order book and
maintenance base
Improved margin of
orders received
Accelerate savings
(MEUR ~50) and
selective cost
containment
October 22, 2020
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation23
There are both headwinds and tailwinds going into 2021
BOOSTING OUR PERFORMANCE
BURDENING OUR RESULT
Strong order book with improved margin in the orders received
Solid growth in service business
Uncertain demand outlook and intensifying competition
Accelerate savings and performance improvements
Geopolitical uncertainties
Discretionary costs resuming to more normal levels
Summary
▪ Strong performance overall in
the third quarter, mixed
development across
geographies
▪ Expecting solid results in 2020
despite the challenging
environment thanks to the
commitment of our people and
the trust of our customers
Appendix
By business By area
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation27
7-9/2019 figures in brackets. Figures in charts are rounded and at historical exchange rates.
Q3/2020 Sales split
56%
(55%)31%
(31%)
14%
(14%)
44%
(42%)
38%
(38%)
18%
(20%)
New equipment
Maintenance
Modernization
Asia-Pacific
Americas
EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa)
New equipment marketNew equipment orders received in units vs. market development
China’s share of KONE’s orders received and salesMonetary value
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation28
KONE in China
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2006-
2014
CAGR
20182015 20192016 2017 Q3/
2020
H1/
2020
>35%
<20%
<5%
~-5%
KONE
Market>35%
>40%
1-9/2019 1-9/2020 1-9/20201-9/2019
<30% >30%
% of sales% of orders received
~-5%stable
The market grew significantly in
units
KONE’s new equipment orders
grew significantly in units and in
monetary value
>5%<5%
>5%<5%
>5%
<5%
>15%
>20%
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation29
Housing inventoriesNewly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA
Housing salesSales area growth, change Y-o-Y
E&E market
Sources: China NBS, E-house, CREIS, KONE estimates
Chinese property market
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q3
17
Q1
15
Q3
15
Q1
16
Q1
17
Q3
16
Q1
18
Q3
18
Q1
19
Q3
19
Q1
20
Q3
20
19.4%
10.2%
8.4%
Tier-1
Tier-2
sample of lower tier cities
8/2020:
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Q3
18
Q3
16
Q1
16
Q1
15
Q3
15
Q1
17
Q3
17
Q1
18
Q1
19
Q3
19
Q1
20
7.3%
Q3
20
9/2020:
-10
0
10
20
30
Q3
19
Q3
18
Q3
17
Q1
15
Q3
15
Q1
17
Q1
16
Q3
16
Q1
18
Q1
19
Q1
20
Q3
20
11.8%
REI Y-o-Y
E&E market Y-o-Y in units
Q3/2020:
Sales area growth
Significant
growth
Sales by currencies 1-12/2019 Currency impact
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation30
Currencies
Main currencies
EUR
Others
RMB
USDMEUR Q3/2020 1-12/2019
Sales -92.2 153.4
EBIT -8.9 23.3
Orders
received-83.2 134.0
1-9/2020
average
2019
average
Sept 30,
2020 spot
EUR /
RMB7.8872 7.7353 7.9720
EUR /
USD1.1293 1.1214 1.1708
EUR /
GBP0.8823 0.8773 0.9124
EUR /
AUD1.6609 1.6090 1.6438
Balance sheet – assets employed
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation31
The adoption of IFRS 16 increased the 2019 opening tangible assets and interest-bearing net debt by EUR 358 million
MEUR Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019 Dec 31, 2019
Assets employed
Goodwill 1,343.5 1,379.2 1,366.5
Other intangible assets 218.4 254.4 248.2
Tangible assets 690.6 758.2 742.2
Investments 132.6 152.3 139.2
Net working capital -1,200.3 -871.5 -856.0
Assets employed total 1,185.0 1,672.6 1,640.0
Financed by
Equity 2,917.7 2,949.5 3,192.9
Net debt -1,732.7 -1,276.9 -1,552.9
Equity and net debt total 1,185.0 1,672.6 1,640.0
Net working capital
October 22, 2020 Interim Report January-September 2020 | © KONE Corporation32
MEUR Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019 Dec 31, 2019
Net working capital
Inventories 640.9 700.0 648.6
Advance payments received and deferred revenue -1,817.7 -1,808.8 -1,753.8
Accounts receivable 2,133.9 2,182.0 2,232.3
Deferred assets and income tax receivables 802.7 815.4 669.6
Accruals and income tax payables -2,092.8 -1,961.8 -1,848.0
Provisions -138.7 -139.3 -127.1
Accounts payable -873.0 -771.0 -809.8
Net deferred tax assets / liabilities 144.4 112.1 132.1
Net working capital total -1,200.3 -871.5 -856.0