LAS CAMPANAS 2005Ann Arbor, September 2005

LABOR, SAFETY, BENEFITS INFRASTRUCTURE NETWORK CHANGE ECONOMY POLITICS?

LABOR, SAFETY AND BENEFITS

Compliance with labor laws has been completed Working hours (has made hiring one assistant in the kitchen

necessary) Rotation of Telescope Operators Holidays

Seniority bonus Five-year periods recognition

Next Contract negotiation in 2007

Safety committee has become more active Winter program Training: Forklift 101, backhoe 101, grader 101 Insurance inspection (fire) passed

(Safety, Cont.)

Other work, safety related: Did a “maintenance external audit” (Electric,

water, vehicles, roads, buildings, etc.) High snow markers; small snow blower to use

around the lodge (maintenance guys fight over it)

Road Maintenance. Planning for new safety barriers. Improving one of the water wells (not really used for

drinking water) Fumigation (more professional and more expensive)

Yearly report from ParamedicsYearly report from Paramedics

Minor work related incidents (minor cuts, object in eye, bruises, minor concussions)

17 cases - 76%

Treated locally without further consequences or work time lost

Work related accidents: Cuts and concussions (an injury

to an organ of the body, usually caused by a violent blow or shaking. Encarta® World English Dictionary © 1999 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. Developed for Microsoft by Bloomsbury Publishing Plc.)

4 cases - 24%

Of these, 2 were derived to La Serena Clinic for medical evaluation and caused loss of work time.

INFRASTRUCTUREINFRASTRUCTURE

• New dorms fully finished and furnished. Still, most of the time we are very tight and in need of more sleeping quarters. Prepare to share.

• Kitchen remodeled (highly necessary).• Planning to increase number of cubicles

for new technical staff.• Clean Room (Alan U.)

• New dorms fully finished and furnished. Still, most of the time we are very tight and in need of more sleeping quarters. Prepare to share.

• Kitchen remodeled (highly necessary).• Planning to increase number of cubicles

for new technical staff.• Clean Room (Alan U.)

BRIDGES TO THE OUTER WORLD

BRIDGES TO THE OUTER WORLD

OUR NETWORK HAS/IS RUNNING OUT OF IP ADDRESSES

COMMERCIAL PROVIDER CAN’T OR IS UNWILLING TO HELP, WITHIN OUR SCHEME

CTIO OFFERS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY

OUR NETWORK HAS/IS RUNNING OUT OF IP ADDRESSES

COMMERCIAL PROVIDER CAN’T OR IS UNWILLING TO HELP, WITHIN OUR SCHEME

CTIO OFFERS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY

MIGRATION TO CTIO’S SPACE

5 Class C (5x256) IP addresses IP Numbering from NOAO’s address space Subnets as needed Upgrading and system administration by CTIO

(accounts, cross mounting disks, dual boot, etc) Gradual transition Costs shared between Magellan, GMT and Small

Telescopes (50, 25, 25 %)

THE ECONOMY

2004-2005 has been a complicated year in terms of financial management of the Observatory. The Exchange Rate Oil Prices Growth of Chilean Economy No signs of instability or crisis in influential countries

Let’s look at some graphs and figures:

Long-Term Evolution of X-change rate

Chilean pesos per US-dollar

2005 EVOLUTION

Preparation of 05-06Budget, used 625, then also

used by Chilean Government

< 535 on 9/15/05

Comparison with 2004Any good reason for a weaker Chilean Peso?

•<Price of of copper>: $1.18 -> $1.26 ------------> $1.30-$1.70

•Growth: 4.5-5.0% -> 5.0-5.5% -------------------> 6.5%

•Growth of investment: 7.1%------------------------> 8 %

•Investment ~ 24% of GNP

•Export: 28.2B$ -> 30.9B$ (May-Sep)------------> $37B$

•Oil: $33 -> $37-----------------------------------------> $60-70 !!!!!

•Controlled increase of inflation:--------------------> 3.5%

•Economic activity (sim. GNP) 3.8%---------------> 6.4%

•Interest rates 2.42%(1-05)---------------------------> 3.4%

Oct. 2004 Sept. 2005

Predictions?

No major change in the short term Exporters are hurting badly (?)

Nov. 05: 542; 07/06: 560; 07/07: 580 Stock market will(?) hit ceiling Price of copper will(?) go down (not soon) Trust in periodic fluctuations of economy Will elections have an effect?

Saving money?Saving money?

Rationalizing travel: --> less flexibility and higher mountain presence.

Better programming of national / international travel --> Reduce special trips.

Fewer observers/telescope: --> saves travel and reduces presence.

Rationalizing travel: --> less flexibility and higher mountain presence.

Better programming of national / international travel --> Reduce special trips.

Fewer observers/telescope: --> saves travel and reduces presence.

The FOOD!

Question: Can we save money by lowering our standards? Do we want to?

YES, we can and NO, we don’t want to????

We are trying to better control the amounts used and avoid waste. We are also bringing in a “resident” nutritionist for 2 shifts.

Should become visible only in the accounting and not in our style.

ROOM and BOARD FOR 05-06(based on 12,349 people on mountain during 04-05)

ITEM CH$ US$ Commissary (food and cleaning

products) 5,674 10.71Salaries and benefits chefs, janitors and paramedics, pump op.) 8,158 15.25Water (diesel, fuel, maintenance) 288 0.54Electricity 3,199 5.98Propane 1,350 2.50

______TOTAL: 34.98

Note that this should have been charged also in 04-05From exchange rate only, will go to $40.80 in 06-07

POLITICS

Elections for President and Parliament in December 2005

Both traditional coalitions and a third very minor group Ruling coalition will almost certainly win Presidential

election May obtain much better standing in Parliament

Let’s have a look at the candidates:

Pick your choice…

~50%18%

18% 3%

Piñera (center right)Social Democrat, center-left

Lavín (center right-right) Hirsh (left et al.)

All indicates that Ms. Bachelet will be the next President

First Chilean female President, social-democrat Daughter of an Air Force general Medical Career (Chile and GDR), military studies in DC Secretary of Health and Secretary of Defense under

Lagos Extremely popular and very charismatic Gets along very well with militaries Well considered by private sector Lagos leaves VERY high standards (~70% approval rate

after 5 years!), difficult act to follow

What happens next?

Mostly, all continues the same:

No major changes in the economical policies Growth continues to be heavily dependent on

external circumstances Social policies continue and social conflicts continue

under control Possible improvement in retirement policies. Possible improvement in conditions of private health

providers