law, politics and the messages we send about vaccines
TRANSCRIPT
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The Measles Outbreak
and the Role of VaccineHesitancy
Daniel Salmon, PhD, MPHAssociate Professor
Departments of nternational Health !Health, "eha#ior and Society
Deputy Director, nstitute for VaccineSafety
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Vaccine HesitancyPersons or families $ho%
•Refuse all or some #accines
•Delay some #accines, but accept others
•Accept all #accines, but remain concerned
&
http://www.who.int/immunization/sage/meetings/2013/april/1_
Model_analyze_driversofvaccineonfidence_22_March.pdf
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'http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/imz!managers/coverage/nis/child/figures/2013!map.html
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Parental Practices
• (') #accinated $ith recommendedschedule
•**) planned to #accinate $ithrecommended schedule
• +) #accinated $ith some but not all#accines
• &) intended to not #accinate at all
Kennedy, Health Affairs, 2011
'- parents of children *.- years from &/*/HealthStyles Panel Sur#ey
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77% of Parents Reported Vaccine Concerns
• Painful to receive so many shots (38%)
• Too many vaccines at one doctors visit (36%)
• Too many vaccines if first to years of life (3!%)
• "ay cause fevers (3#%)
• "ay cause learnin$ disailities& such asautism (3'%)
• n$redients unsafe (#6%)
• ot tested enou$h for safety (*7%)• "ay cause chronic disease (*6%)
• +nli,ely to $et diseases (**%)
-ennedy& .ealth /ffairs& #'**
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haracteristics of #nvaccinated $%&ero
'ose() vs. #nder!vaccinated hildren
• #nvaccinated children more li*ely to +e:
, -hite
, elong to households with higher
income
, Married mother with a college education
, ive with children
mith 4ediatrics 200
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0orthern 1alifornia 2aiserPreschool 1hildren Vaccination by
Time Period2002-2005
2006-2009
2011-2012
3nder.mmuni4ed5%'%*%&%'%*%5 seriesby &5 months
(6*) 76&) *&65)
Shot.limiters
8ully mmuni4ed at'- months but ne#er9& in:ections on aday
/6) *6/) &6')
9 * Vaccine
RefusalDia nosis
0A 0A '6+)
ieu 4ediatrics 2015
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6ypes of 78emptions to chool
9mmunization e;uirements 2015
(
http://www.ncsl.org/research/health/school!immunization!
e8emption!state!laws.asp8
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?!200
$1.03!2.13)
78emption 7ase
'ifficult eference
Medium 1.35 $0.=?!1.=1)
7asy 1.53 $1.10!2.1)
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Mean $=5A 9) ates of Eonmedical 78emptions
+y 6ype F 7ase of 78emption 200?,2011 #
Bmer et al. E7DM 2012
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**
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ncrease s o seasefor 1hildren $ith
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Pertussis 0pace1time Clusters 24emptions Clusters
/d5usted* R
3! (#8 !*)
Overlap of
ExemptionsClusters with
Pertussis Clusters
mer& /9& #''8
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Pertussis Space.time 1lusters and
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>hy Are Some Parents
Vaccine Hesitant?
*+
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Post hoc ergo propterhoc
:after this& therefore ecause of
this:& is a lo$ical fallacy ;since thatevent followed this one& that eventmust have een caused y this one
http://dictionary.sensagent.com/post+hoc+ergo+propter+hoc/en-en/
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Risks Percei#ed to be@reater
Less Risk More Risk
Voluntary #s6
n#oluntary
ndi#idual 1ontrol #s6
System 1ontrol
Omission #s6
1ommission
0atural #s6
Manmade
Predictable #s6
3npredictable
0ot Dreaded #s6
Dreaded
8amiliar #s6
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hen 4ediatr
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mallpo8 2=005 0 100A
'iphtheria 21053 1 J==A
Measles 53021C ?2> J==A
Mumps 1?23 1151 ==A4ertussis 200C52 2>??0 >?A
4olio $paralytic) 1?31? 0 100A
u+ella CC5 > J==A
ong. u+ella ynd. 152 0 100A
6etanus 5>0 21 =?A
K.Influenzae type + and 20000 2C J==A
un*nown $ L 5 yrs)
Disease 20th Century Annual Morbidity 201 ! "han#e
$otal 1%0&%'( )0%*& *+!
Comparison of 20th Century Annual and CurrentReported Moridity! "ele#ted $a##ine-
%re&entale 'iseases ( $a##ine Ad&erse )&ents!
*nited "tates! 201+
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mallpo8 2=005 0 100A
'iphtheria 21053 1 J==A
Measles 53021C ?2> J==A
Mumps 1?23 1151 ==A4ertussis 200C52 2>??0 >?A
4olio $paralytic) 1?31? 0 100A
u+ella CC5 > J==A
ong. u+ella ynd. 152 0 100A
6etanus 5>0 21 =?A
K.Influenzae type + and 20000 2C J==A
un*nown $ L 5 yrs)
Disease 20th Century Annual Morbidity 201 ! "han#e
eported to I
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4arentsN 4erceptions +y
hildOs Iaccination tatus
p
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Other 1ontemporary ssues• Trust in corporations and ;o#t lo$
• 8ear of Bpharmaceutical industrial comple=
• @ro$in; interest in natural products . C;reen our#accines
• 1han;in; medical model
, Shared decision makin; 9 paternalism
, More patients in less time
• nternet
• The role of the media
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Media #s6 Science Talkin; aboutVaccines
• Media
, 8ocus on the anecdote
, 8alse "alance
, Sensationalism
• Science
, Dismisses anecdote for data
, 1onsiders and discusses limitations ofstudy
, nterprets $ith caution
&5
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>hat To Do About Vaccine
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>hat To Do About VaccineHesitancy
• 1han;e ho$ the media reports on #accines
• 1han;es to State