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http://www.marketgeeks.com Learn day trading chart patterns that will help you become a better day trader. These patterns are simple to learn and apply to most financial markets and time frames.TRANSCRIPT
1. Good day traders and welcome to the premium newsletter for Monday June 17, 2013.
2. Lot’s to talk about today. Let’s first start with the fundamentals and go from there. This week on
Wednesday chairman Bernanke is going to provide further clues as to whether or not the feds
are going to continue or discontinue the bond buying program.
3. More importantly, traders believe the feds will provide more clear clues as to 1. What
indications of economic growth they are looking for and 2. When they are planning to make
their decision. This should provide investors with a better idea of what to expect.
4. One of the reasons why the stock market is rising so high this morning is because investors
believe that the feds will not discontinue the stimuli program in the near future. So once again
negative economic news is interpreted as bullish news. Keep in mind this works in the short
term but eventually the market will begin following rational logic and will manifest itself it the
stock prices in the next few months one way or another.
5. Before Wednesday the only fundamental news that’s going to be released is housing starts and
consumer price index. Both are scheduled for tomorrow before the opening bell. However,
Wednesday which is the big day we have 3 major events. All three announcements are FOMC
related and the final one will be the Chairman’s conference. All meetings occur between 2 and 3
pm eastern time on wed. I highly recommend you do not initiate any positions till after the
announcement. Till wed. wallstreet will be in speculation mode.
6. You can see by looking at the intraday SP chart that the stock market is at a very interesting
level. If it breaks the resistance level it will go down to the 1600 level and resistance becomes
support the market will try and test the previous high price near the 1700 level. I’m afraid till
wed. the U.S. market will be very random without much directional bias.
7. One market I’m very keen on today is the 10 year bond futures market. The contract has a 4X4
entry pattern and technically the trend looks like it’s going to continue down. Also the
fundamentals are in line with higher interest rates so make sure you consider this position on
the 10 year note. If you don’t have a futures account there are a few stocks that track this
contract. Just send me a quick email and I will provide you with a list of the stocks and etf’s that
correlate strongly to interest rates. If you do have a futures account and want to take advantage
of this position I recommend selling short on a stop at the 130 14/32. I would place a buy stop at
the 131 16/32 level. If the position fills I will update you on the profit target.
8. Another market you want to focus on is the gold market. The gold looks like it’s setting up for a
descending triangle. These are very accurate bearish patterns that take several weeks or a few
months to set up. I will attach a link to this email that discusses triangle patterns. The
fundamentals also point strongly down and the only reason the gold market is range bound and
choppy is because the market is very heavily influenced by interest rates. So I’m anticipating a
further breakdown in the gold market in the coming days. I will keep you updated here as well
as things develop.
9. Looking at our open position PFE is up only a few cents from the previous close. Considering that
the stock market is up over 150 points and the fact that this stock is very correlated to the
market demonstrates lot’s of weakness in Pfizer at this time. I still believe the stock will be
coming down in the next several trading sessions and is reaching overbought levels. A correction
is due and we are still in profit target area. Therefore I will hold the position and maintain the
original stop loss level as well.
10. There are a few new set ups for today. I will list them for you, however I’m not initiating any
positions in the stock market till after wed. report from the feds.
a. YUM this is Tricon Global…they are probably the largest fast food restaurant business in the U.S.
including kfc chicken, pizza hut and taco bell. There’s a 4 by 4 set up there
b. HDB is a Indian bank and the stock is very interest rate related. The stock is following the 10 year
bond futures contracts and is highly correlated to it. There’s a 4X4 entry here as well to the
downside.
11. Tomorrow I will finish up the relative strength ATR section that we started last and get ready for
wed. Announcements.. The second part of the week is going to be busy so I want to everyone to
be prepared for it.
12. Good night everyone and I will touch base later tonight or tomorrow morning.
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