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23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations Erich Huang, MD, PhD and Shelley Rusincovitch, MMCi Monday, September 11, 2017, 9:15–10:00 AM

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Page 1: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations

Erich Huang, MD, PhD and Shelley Rusincovitch, MMCiMonday, September 11, 2017, 9:15–10:00 AM

Page 2: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

In this session, the presenters will discuss the foundations and context of learning health systems, including background and relevance to interoperability, evidence generation, bridging of healthcare and research, systems-level improvement, population health, and levels of scale from local to national.

They will also pose ten provocative questions about learning health and future potential intended to fuel thought, engagement, and creativity from the attendees.

Page 3: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Disclosures

• Erich Huang:– Founder, kelaHealth (Startup)– Founder, Stratus Medicine (Startup)

• Shelley Rusincovitch has no disclosures to report

Page 4: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Today’s outline

• Foundations of Learning Health• What Can Learning Health Learn from

Data Science?• Provocations• Discussion

Page 5: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Foundations of Learning Health

Page 6: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Digital Infrastructure for the Learning Health System: The Foundation for Continuous Improvement in Health and Health Care: Workshop Series Summary (2011)https://www.nap.edu/catalog/12912/digital-infrastructure-for-the-learning-health-system-the-foundation-for

Page 7: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Landscape

• LHS is responsive to new capabilities and rapidly-evolving capacity– EHR adoption (accelerated by Meaningful

Use)– Potential benefit from repurposing data– Recognizing where healthcare lags behind

state of the art in other industries

Page 8: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Scale

• National• Networks• Cross-institutional• Regional• Local• Hyper-local

Page 9: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Current Initiatives Leading to an LHS Capability Include:

LHS = “Network of networks that connects islands of expertise”

Page 10: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

The Core Values Underlying a National-Scale, Person-Centered, Continuous-Learning Health System (LHS)

1. Person-Focused

2. Privacy

3. Inclusiveness

4. Transparency

5. Accessibility

6. Adaptability

7. Governance

8. Cooperative and Participatory Leadership

9. Scientific Integrity

10.Value

Page 11: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

PCORnet® : the National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network

An innovative initiative funded by the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI), PCORnet is a large, highly representative, national patient-centered clinical research network.

Our vision is to support a learning U.S. healthcare system and to enable large-scale clinical research conducted with enhanced quality and efficiency.

Our mission is to enable people to make informed healthcare decisions by efficiently conducting clinical research relevant to their needs.

11

Page 12: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Resulting in a national evidence system with unparalleled research readiness

12

For clinical trials

For observational studies

MissingWhite Non-White

Female Male

Missing

22–64 65+0–4

57,000,000122,000,000

5–14 15–21

Pool of patients

Race

Sex

Age

PCORnet represents:

~122 million patientswho have had a medical encounter

in the past 5 years *some individuals may have visited more than one Network

Partner and would be counted more than once

Page 13: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/lrh2.10018/full

Page 14: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

IntentLHS exists as a concept to address challenges• Close the gap with evidence applications• Improve quality• Create continuous systems• Reduce barriers between research and practice• Population health: reaching beyond one patient at a

time• Respect the engagement and autonomy of patients

and caregivers• Recognize the challenges in clinical practice and

difficulties in implementation• Create a system-level appreciation and synergy

Page 15: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27974039

Page 16: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Methods

• LHS draws upon existing knowledge and components, but seeks to apply efficiently and at scale.– Competencies– Learning from technology and data science

Page 17: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28777456

Domains:1. Systems Science2. Research Questions and

Standards of Scientific Evidence

3. Research Methods4. Informatics5. Ethics of Research and

Implementation in Health Systems

6. Improvement and Implementation Science

7. Engagement, Leadership, and Research Management

Page 18: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

What Can Learning Health Learn from Data Science?

Page 19: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to
Page 20: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to
Page 21: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

COST CONSTRAINTSIMPLEMENTATIONDATA-DRIVEN

Page 22: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Inpatient AdmissionsOutpatient Visits

Surgeries/EndoscopiesER visits

Hospital Labs

63,3121,280,51485,24866,8605,428,178

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Page 24: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Necessary butnot sufficient

Page 25: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

… IT’S STILL EARLY IN THE EVOLUTION…

Page 26: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

< 1 pound

Page 27: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

inference

population &precision healthapplications

EHR

Page 28: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to
Page 29: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

“5 Tool Player”

Page 30: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

“Catcher with a bad elbow converted to 1st baseman”

IDENTIFYING PREVIOUSLY HIDDEN VALUE

Page 31: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

AN ACADEMIC HEALTH SYSTEM THAT LEARNS

Page 32: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

Academic Glory

Page 33: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

Academic Glory

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

Academic Glory

Page 34: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Academic Glory Academic Glory

SCALABLE?IMPLEMENTABLE?

Page 35: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

SERVICE SERVICE

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

INTEGRATED APPLICATIONS

Page 36: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

SERVICE SERVICE

INTEGRATED APPLICATIONS

{DATA SCIENCE

Page 37: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

SERVICE SERVICE

INTEGRATED APPLICATIONS{DATA SCIENCE

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

Novel Platform

Compute Stack

Data Stack

Application Stack

Output

HARDENING

Page 38: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Knowledge among computer scientists about how to think of and approach the analysis of data is limited, just as the knowledge of computing environments by statisticians is limited. A merger of the knowledge bases would produce a powerful force for innovation.

—Bill Cleveland on Data Science (2001)

Page 39: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

academicexercise

real world implementation

DUKE HEALTH DATA SCIENCE

Page 40: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

NIGHTMARE #1

Page 41: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

Book of Genesis

8 — “Therefore its name is called Babel,

because there the Lord confused the

language of all the earth; and from there the

Lord scattered them abroad over the face of

all the earth.”

Page 42: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

http://spectrum.ieee.org/computing/software/the-2016-top-programming-languages

BTW: MUMPS/Cache isn’t even a blip

Page 43: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to
Page 44: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

‘“Well Frank, now that you've discovered that I was correct about patient monitoring, what are you going to do with all this expensive computer equipment we bought you".

I looked at those steely blue eyes and said that I needed his help. He recommended that I learn some medicine, so that I would be better prepared to support doctors in what they did, instead of what they said they did.”’

—Frank Starmer

Page 45: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

https://opensource.com/article/17/6/duke-university-using-containers-and-devops

DevOps and Continuous Integration

Page 46: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Provocations

Page 47: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

First Provocations (with thanks to Ed Hammond)

1. Can learning healthcare exist with only a single patient?2. Can we achieve learning health without first understanding the clinical setting?3. Are we any good at understanding a healthy state?4. What does learning health not encompass?5. Do we have the necessary standards available to achieve true comparability of data?

Page 48: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Second Provocations (with thanks to Ed Hammond)

6. Why is learning health any different from any other initiative?7. If you only write a paper about it, how does it count as learning health?8. Are tomorrow’s quality measures going to be adequate to measure learning health?9. Is the current state of technology ready for learning health?10. Is learning health ready to insert itself into a torrent of change and rapid evolution?

Page 49: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

“What we do is fall in love with words. But instead we should be thinking: What do we want to accomplish?”

—Ed Hammond

Page 50: Learning Health: Foundations, Future, and Provocations23rd Annual Conference September 11-12, 2017 Durham Convention Center 23rd Annual Conference ... levels of scale from local to

23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Continuing the conversationVisit the website for the Duke Center for Health Data Science:

https://healthdatascience.duke.edu

Download these slides on GitHub:https://github.com/rusincovitch/portfolio

Tweet at us:@erichhuang and @rusincovitch

Drop us an e-mail:[email protected] / [email protected]

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23rd Annual ConferenceSeptember 11-12, 2017Durham Convention Center

Contact Information

Shelley Rusincovitch, MMCiInformatics Architect

Duke Clinical and Translational Science Institute (CTSI)

[email protected]

Twitter: @rusincovitch

LinkedIn: @rusincovitch

Erich Huang, MD, PhDAssistant Dean of Biomedical Informatics

Duke University School of Medicine

[email protected]

Twitter: @erichhuang

LinkedIn: @erichhuang