lecture 3: challenges and opportunities in system lsi (2...
TRANSCRIPT
© T. Kuroda (1/50)
Lecture 3: Challenges and Opportunities in System LSI (2) Application and Business
Tadahiro KurodaVisiting MacKay ProfessorDepartment of EECSUniversity of California, [email protected], [email protected]://bwrc.eecs.berkeley.edu/Classes/ee290c_s07http://www.kuroda.elec.keio.ac.jp/
EE290c Spring 2007, Tues & Thurs 9:30-11:00, 212 Cory UCB
© T. Kuroda (2/50)
Challenges and OpportunitiesDevice Level (Physics)
Leakage Problem
Integrated Circuit Level (Electronics)Powerwall (power vs. speed)Variations
Business Level (Economics)Post PC ApplicationsSoC vs. SiP
© T. Kuroda (3/50)
Ten TipsTip 1: Optimize and control VDD and VTH.Tip 2: Total power is minimum when Pleakage/Pactive = 30/70.Tip 3: If you don’t need to hustle, relax and save power.Tip 4: Utilize surplus timing with multiple VDD’s and VTH’s.Tip 5: Total power is minimum when VDDL/VDDH =0.7.Tip 6: Two types are sufficient. Tip 7: Adapt to the change with variable VDD and VTH. Tip 8: Two levels are sufficient. Tip 9: Cooperate across various levels of design hierarchy. Tip 10: Right circuit for the right job.
T. Kuroda, DAC’03 tutorial
© T. Kuroda (4/50)
Tip 1: Optimize and control VDD and VTH
0 0.5 10
0.5
1
Nor
mal
ized
pow
er
VDD [V]
PDYNAMIC
1
2
3
4
5
0N
orm
aliz
ed d
elay
Delay
PSUBTHRESHOLD LEAK
PGATE LEAK
Drain Induced Barrier Lowering (DIBL)
Long L
Increase Drainvoltage
S D
Bar
rier h
eigh
tShort L
S D
Increase Drainvoltage
Courtesy: S. Narendra
© T. Kuroda (5/50)
Trade-off between Power and Delay
012345x 10-7
0
10
20
0.30.50.7-0.1
0.10.3VDD [V] V TH [V
]
Pow
er [W
/gat
e]
Del
ay [p
s]
DDs
V
DD VIVCfaPowerTH
⋅⋅+⋅⋅⋅=−
1002
0.30.50.7-0.1
0.10.3VDD [V] V TH [V
]
( ) 31 .THDD
DD
VVVCDelay
−⋅
∝
Equi-delay
50nm node, FO3 INV
(+ other leakage)
© T. Kuroda (6/50)
Tip 2: Total power is minimum when Pleakage/Pactive = 30/70
0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
V TH
(V)
DD (V)V
Equi-power (solid-lines)0.05 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 =1.0κ 1.2P
1.3
1.4
PleakagePtotal
=30%
κ S =1.00.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
1.1
1.2
1.3
Equi-speed (brokenlines)
PS
VDD
P
Pactive ∝ VDD2
30%
70%
Ptotal
Pleakage ∝ 10 VDD
-VTHs
VDD
P
Pactive ∝ VDD2
30%
70%
Ptotal
Pleakage ∝ 10 VDD
-VTHsPleakage ∝ 10 VDD
-VTHs
-VTHs
© T. Kuroda (7/50)
Pleakage/Pactive = 30/70IBM Power5 Intel Pentium4
Pleak
Pleak
© T. Kuroda (8/50)
Saving Energy by Working as Slowly as Possible
Active
Active
Sleep
E=CVH2
E=CVL2
Cycle
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Tip 4: Utilize surplus timing with multiple VDD’s and VTH’s
1.0
0.5
Supp
ly V
olta
ge R
atio
1.0
0.4
0.5 1.0 1.5V1 (V)
Pow
er D
issi
patio
n R
atio
V2/V1
P2/P1
{ V1, V2 }
V2/V1
V3/V1
{ V1, V2, V3 }
0.5 1.0 1.5V1 (V)
P3/P1
V2/V1
V3/V1
V4/V1
0.5 1.0 1.5V1 (V)
P4/P1
{ V1, V2, V3, V4 }
Tip 4: Utilize surplus timing with multiple VDD’s and VTH’s.Tip 5: Total power is minimum when VDDL/VDDH =0.7.
© T. Kuroda (10/50)
Tip 7: Adapt to the change with variable VDD and VTH
Montecito (90nm) 1.5-2X performance0.8X powerof Madison-9M (130nm)
IIR DAC
ADC
ADCCalc
-+Plimit
Pcalc
Rpackage
Vdie
Vconnector
IIR DAC
ADC
ADCCalc
-+Plimit
Pcalc
Rpackage
Vdie
Vconnector
Power -> VDDTemp. -> VDDVDD -> f
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Challenges and OpportunitiesDiscuss challenges and opportunities in 3 levels :
1) Device Level (Physics) Leakage Problem
2) Integrated Circuit Level (Electronics)Powerwall (power vs. speed)Variations
3) Application and Business Level (Economics)Post PC ApplicationsSoC vs. SiP
© T. Kuroda (12/50)
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Mainframe
Minicon
EWS
PC
Mobile
ENIAC
100$
1M$
Pric
e of
Com
pute
r Sys
tem
Vacuum Tube
Transistor
IC (Bip.)
LSI (NMOS)
ULSI (Low-Power CMOS)
Military
Science
Science
Engineering
OA
Digital Consumer
Downsizing
VLSI (CMOS)
Everybody
Everywhere
© T. Kuroda (13/50)
Downsizing In FutureComputer:
PC -> Portable -> Wearable -> Implantable($2,000)($200)($20) ($2~$0.2)
OA-> Personal (Quality of Life)General Purpose -> Dedicated
Communications:Office LAN -> Home LAN -> PAN -> BAN
-> Close-range -> Proximity Wired -> (Short-range) Wireless
Ubiquitous ComputingComputer & Communications for Consumer applications
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Wearable Computer
http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~wearable/http://lcs.www.media.mit.edu/projects/wearables/http://www.microopticalcorp.com/
Digital Ink
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Implantable Computer(Human Body)
Prof. Wentai LIU, NC State Univ.http://www.ece.ncsu.edu/erl/erl_eye.html
Non-power-aware designwould cause bulge at eyeball, and heartburn in stomach.
SiliconImaging
Chip
Antenna
RetinalChip
Eyeball
Swallow a ball-semiconductor chip to collect pictures of internal organs.
http://www.ballsemi.com
sight-impaired person
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Implantable Computer (Things)
TicketingCheck-out counterWarehouse managementShipping verificationSecurity Admission control (office, school, hospital …)Logistics managementGate for ski lift, parkExhibition (explanation)Check-in baggage control…
RF-ID, RF-TAG, IC card, sensor network…
© T. Kuroda (17/50)http://www.research.philips.com/InformationCenter/Global/FArticleSummary.asp?lNodeId=712
Ambient Intelligence
© T. Kuroda (18/50)
Ubiquitous Computing
High-endServer
Internet Broadband
Things that think and talkfor better HCI
Wearable,Implantable
Backbone <<upgrading>>
Low power Low cost
Wireless
Access Network<<downsizing>>
Invisible Computers*
* “The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it.”Mark Weiser, “The Computer for the 21st Century,”Scientific American, 265 (3), pp.94-104, 1991.
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Research Scope
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Computer Recognizes HumansCamera detects human: AF, AE, AZ, Security …
Genetic Algorithm (SW) and Dedicated LSI (HW)
Y. Hori and T. Kuroda et al., Symp. On VLSI Circuits 2006
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Head Counting (Passers-by)
Answer: 15 people
© T. Kuroda (22/50)
Head Counting (Crowd)
Answer: 499 people
© T. Kuroda (23/50)
ApplicationsAutomatic focus, exposure, zoom in digital still/video camera for shooting beautiful photo/video.Automatic recoding in an Exif file who’s in picture for enabling search.Homing still/video camera e.g. in an athletic festival.Head counting of passers-by for collecting marketing information and security usages.Remote control of digital consumer products by using finger sign.Sign language translation.Ideal airbag opening by calculating acceleration of people in collision accident.
© T. Kuroda (24/50)
Ubiquitous ElectronicsPr
oces
sor c
ount
per
per
son
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2020Year
Large scale
Office / middle
WS
PC
historicalVac. tube
Transistor
IC
LSI
VLSI
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
Embedded
UbiquitousComputing
System LSI
1000SiP
Electronics is part of environments enhancing convenience and security of daily life.
People use electronics consciously.
AmbientElectronics
Ubiquitous devices
2010
Everybody
Everywhere
Unaware
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Sensor Network
MIT Media Lab Responsive Environment (Joseph Paradiso)Ambient Intelligence Group (Pattie Maes)Human Dynamics (Sandy Pentland)Affective Computing (Rosalind Picard)
ESP (Emotional Social Intelligence Prosthesis)
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Sensor-Net
Life microscope
出典:矢野和男 「センサとは何か」ウェブを越えるそのインパクトwww.hitachihyoron.com/2006/09/pdf/09_Professional.pdf
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Computing Paradigm ShiftShift toward fine-grained, distributed interfaces
• Ubiquitous Computing (PARC/Weiser) • Things That Think (MIT)• Disappearing Computer (EU)• Invisible Computing (Microsoft)• Pervasive Computing (IBM)• Paintable Computing (MIT)• Pushpin Computing (MIT)
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Decentralized Information Exchange by Aroma
50m
Cs
Cn1
②
30m
60m
①
③
④
Cn2
S. Miura, T. Kuroda et al., "Evaluation of Parking Search using Sensor Network," IEEE International Symposium on Wireless Pervasive Computing, Jan. 2006.
8
0 60 120 180 240 300 360 420 480 540
6
4
2
10
Cars
Sear
ch T
ime
(min
)
8
With Aroma
0 60 120 180 240 300 360 420 480 540
6
4
2
10
Random Search
Cars
Sear
ch T
ime
(min
)With Volatile Aroma
© T. Kuroda (29/50)
CMOS Impulse Radio (1Mbps, 1mW)
Transmitter
LNA & clocked correlator
Delay controller
Technology: 0.18µm CMOSLayout area
Transmitter: 0.04mm2
Receiver: 0.38mm2
Transmitter
Receiver
DataClock
ImpulseGenerator
DataClock
ImpulseGenerator
Clocked CorrelatorData
ClockRanging
LNA∫
TemplateGenerator
DelayController
Data
ClockRanging
LNA∫
TemplateGenerator
DelayController
All digital
T. Terada et al., “A CMOS Impulse Radio Ultra-Wideband Transceiver for 1Mb/s Data Communications and ±2.5cm Range Findings ” Symp. on VLSI circuits, 2005.
Tx:Buffer
LNA
mixer and amplifier
Total0.82mW
Total5.3mW
Continuous
On-Off
Tx:Buffer
LNA Switching
SignalV
V
ON OFF ON
92ns8ns 8ns
LNA
mixer and amplifier
Total5.3mW
© T. Kuroda (30/50)
Extremely Low Power Radio Station
(b) Measured spectrum of received signals
(a) Measured waveforms of transmitted and received signals
Transmitted signal Received signal
Elec
tric
field
inte
nsity
(V/m
)
Frequency (GHz)
10-6
10-5
10-4
10-3
0 0.5 1
Regulation forthe extremely low power radio station
2ns
20mV
2ns
800mV
(b) Measured spectrum of received signals
(a) Measured waveforms of transmitted and received signals
Transmitted signal Received signalTransmitted signal Received signal
Elec
tric
field
inte
nsity
(V/m
)
Frequency (GHz)
10-6
10-5
10-4
10-3
0 0.5 1
Regulation forthe extremely low power radio station
Elec
tric
field
inte
nsity
(V/m
)
Frequency (GHz)
10-6
10-5
10-4
10-3
0 0.5 1
Regulation forthe extremely low power radio station
2ns
20mV
2ns
800mV
10-4
10-2
10-0
60 80 100 120Distance (cm)
Bit e
rror
rate
10-6
VDD.TX=2.5VVDD.TX=1.8V
10-4
10-2
10-0
60 80 100 120Distance (cm)
Bit e
rror
rate
10-6
VDD.TX=2.5VVDD.TX=1.8V
Rea
l dis
tanc
e–
mea
sure
d di
stan
ce (c
m)
Real distance (cm)
-3
0
3
80 1006040200
+2.5cm
-2.5cm
Rea
l dis
tanc
e–
mea
sure
d di
stan
ce (c
m)
Real distance (cm)
-3
0
3
80 1006040200
+2.5cm
-2.5cm
±2.5cm Range Findings, 0.7nJ
© T. Kuroda (31/50)
Historic Change in 100 YearMarconi's first transatlantic wireless experiment by spark gap: Baseband pulse steamsAdvanced electronics carrier modulationAfter one century, back to the pulse-based communication
Heinrich Rudolph Hertz
Hertz’s Experiment, Karlsruhe Univ. 1888
Guglielmo Marconi
Marconi's First Transatlantic Wireless Experiment 12/12/1901
St. John's, Newfoundland, USA
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Short-Range Wireless (10cm-10µm)
Intelligent Tires Wireless Assembly
Giant Window of Opportunity
Source: Jan Rabaey, UCB
© T. Kuroda (33/50)
Memory Bus
Trend of Chip Performance and Pin Bandwidth
Chip Performance
Year70 80 90 00 10
4004
8086
286
Intel386
Intel486
Pentium
Pentium4
X1.70 / year
100
MIP
S [i
nstr
uctio
n/s]
0.01
0.1
1
10
1000
10000
100000
1000000
Pin Bandwidth Data R
ate [MB
/s]
1
10
100
1000
10000
Bus on BoardATA (HDD)
Ethernet
ISA
PCI
PCI-EXSerial ATA
X1.44 / year
Fast Ethernet
Courtesy: Intel, Fujitsu Lab
© T. Kuroda (34/50)
The Gap Is Caused by Topological Difference
TRANSISTOR Scaling Per yearGate length [x] 0.87Voltage [V] 0.87Capacitance [c]~[x2/x] 0.87Current [i]~[v2/x] 0.87Speed [i/cv] 1.15
WIREWire pitch [x] 0.87Chip size [s] 1.06Tracks [t]~[s/x] 1.22Grids [g]~[t2] 1.49
Rent’s rule:Bandwidth demand from a module withcapacity C (grids*speed) grows as C0.7.Required pin bandwidth: x1.45/year
Pin bandwidth1.15 (Speed) x 1.11 (Pin #) = x1.28/year
Periphery
Chip performance1.15 (Speed) x 1.49 (Grids) = x1.71/year
Area
Moore’s Law
Chip perform
ance : 1.71/year
Pin bandwidth : 1.45/year
Scaling:1.28/year
circuitinnovation
Year
Dat
a R
ate
© T. Kuroda (35/50)
Challenges in Wireline Link
’96 ’98 ’00 ’02 ’04 ’06
100G
1T
Dat
a R
ate
[b/s
]
Year’ ’ ’ ’ ’ ’’ ’ ’ ’ ’ ’’ ’ ’ ’ ’ ’
1G
10G
Speed-wall
Stanford (1ch)
Stanford (1ch)
NEC (1ch)
Power/Area-wall
Toshiba(4ch,4W)
Rambus(26ch)
NTT(16ch,8W)
Hotrail(32ch)
NEC (4ch,5W)
NEC (21ch,3W)
NEC (20ch,8W)
TI (20ch,6W)
Intel (32ch,15W)
IBM,Sony,Toshiba (48ch,6W)
Hitachi(1024ch,12W)
© T. Kuroda (36/50)
SoC Improves I/O PerformanceSeparate
chips 891mW
240mW
DRAMLogic & memory
Embedded
DRAMPower 16Mbit
DRAM
Speech codec
Multiplexer
MPEG-4 VideoCodec
HostI/F
DRAM
I/F
PLLCamI/F
DisplayI/F
Pre-filter
VTVT
VT VT
MPEG4 codec
DRAM - logic interface
70% power reduction by DRAM embedding technology
Courtesy: Toshiba
© T. Kuroda (37/50)
DRAM
PC Board
Package
PCBDRAM
SRAM
Analog
CPU
Connection
DRAM
PC Board
Package
PCBDRAM
SRAM
Analog
CPU
Connection DRAM SRAM
Analog CPU
DRAM SRAM
Analog CPU
From SoC to SiPSystem-on-a-Board
CPU
SRAM DRAM
Analog
CPU
SRAM DRAM
Analog
Lower Cost, QTAT
Low power, High speed
System-in-a-Package (SiP)
System-on-a-Chip (SoC)
Mas
k Se
t Cos
t [M
$]
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0.4 0.25 0.2 0.180.15 0.13 90n65n0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0.4 0.25 0.2 0.180.15 0.13 90n65n0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0.4 0.25 0.2 0.180.15 0.13 90n65n
Generation [µm]Source: Intel
ASIC
ASSP
02000400060008000100001200014000
2000 2001 2002Year
Des
ign
star
ts
ASIC
ASSP
02000400060008000100001200014000
2000 2001 2002Year
Des
ign
star
ts
Number of design starts is declining from 1997.
Source: EE Times
© T. Kuroda (38/50)
CANDE Prediction in 2010CANDE 5-Year predictions from 2005 (to be reviewed in 2010) were: 1) IC-Package CAD will be a part of standard design flow 2) India and China will have more EDA startups than U.S.3) Analog Designers will still resist high-level models and languages 4) A complete Open Source RTL-GDS tool flow will exist5) Nearly all EDA tools will take advantage of multi-processors 6) Fewer than 200 commercial chips released in 45 nm technology7) No practical nanotech computing products 8) SPICE-type simulators will still be the workhorse of analog designs 9) Moore's law will be dead
10) System in Package will boom
The CANDE (Computer-Aided Network DEsign)Committee is a technical activity of the IEEE Circuits and Systems Society and IEEE Council on Electronic Design Automation which acts as a working group for electronic computer-aided design. The first CANDE Workshop was held in 1972, organized by Steve Director.http://www.ics.uci.edu/%7Ergupta/cande/predictions.html
© T. Kuroda (39/50)
CANDE Prediction : Actual PerformanceCANDE PREDICTIONS – as rated at the 2001 CANDE WorkshopResults: 19 came true, 4 partially, 15 did notKey: Blue – Correct (not necessarily in 5 years) Green – Did occur partially Red – Did not occur
1986 (6 came true, 1 partially, 3 did not)○ 1. UNIX will be the dominant operating system× 2. General Purpose Parallel machines will replace today’s computers; they will be
designed for high performance on major CAD algorithms (e.g. SPICE, Logic Synthesis, Fault Simulation, Simulated Annealing, Device Simulation)
△ 3. The big problem for CAD will become the validation of specifications× 4. The major developments in CAE/CAD will be in the environments for users○ 5. The test problem will still be considered NP-hard, boring, and unsolved○ 6. Many CAD tools will finally use hierarchy effectively× 7. General silicon compiler not developed yet but targeted silicon compiler for DSP
and other specific applications will be in general use○ 8. SPICE will still be the standard circuit simulator○ 9. CAD Tools will increasingly take into account statistical fluctuations in the
manufacturing process○ 10. Full hand-crafted custom will still be an important part of design
1979 (4 came true, 1 partially, 3 did not)× 1. Design System will be a Network Formed With Dedicated Processors For
Specific Functions× 2. Heavy Emphasis on Testability and Test Generation During the Design Phase○ 3. Integrated Verification Tools for Checking at Each Step in the Design Cycle○ 4. Much Greater Use of Canonical Circuit Forms (PLA, ROM) Via Design Aids○ 5. The Design Station is Highly Interactive for all Phases and Includes Graphics△ 6. Sets of Compatible Software will be Used for Design and Verification△ 7. Circuit and Process Simulation Programs are Closely Linked to an Ongoing
Process Data Storage System× 8. Layout will be Manipulated in Symbolic Form
1996 (4 came true, 1 partially, 5 did not)× 1. Windows NT will be the only OS for commercially viable CAD applications× 2. X86 machines will ship as more than 50% of EDA platforms× 3. More than 80% of the CAD effort will be directed toward software and “FPGA”-based
programmable hardware○ 4. EDA companies will distribute all their products (tools, libraries, etc,) on the Internet△ 5. The hardware/software co-design problem will have become the driving system-level
problem× 6. “Pay per use” EDA tools will be in widespread use○ 7. Tool suites for mainstream designers will be a significant fraction of total EDA○ 8. Portable voltage will be 1.8 – 1.2 V, driving significant new circuit design and EDA
challenges× 9. The IP crisis will be solved by an open IP industry and a mix-and-match standard○ 10. Software will have become 60 to 80 % of the overall cost of an embedded system
1991 (5 came true, 1 partially, 4 did not)○ 1. Hardware/software co-design will be one of the most important design problems○ 2. Support will still be the biggest hidden cost for both CAD vendors and customers× 3. MCM CAD becomes a reality× 4. MCM will enable new CAD and semiconductor businesses△ 5. Internal CAD will make a come-back○ 6. There will be tools for validation of specifications× 7. Partitioning will emerge as a commercial product○ 8. The telecommunications industry will provide the most challenging problems in CAD○ 9. SPICE algorithms still dominate circuit simulation× 10. Frameworks will be provided by computer vendors
http://www.ics.uci.edu/%7Ergupta/cande/predictions.html
© T. Kuroda (40/50)
Chip Stacking and Wire Bonding in SiP
Courtesy: Toshiba
© T. Kuroda (41/50)
From Periphery to Area
MPU
Memories
Sensor / RF / Analog
Bonding (Conv.) Through Si Via (Future)(+) area contact:
large # of connections(~10000)short distance(~0.1mm)
(-) expensive process / reliability issue(-) low yield due to Known Good Die
issue : difficult to test in fine pitch(-) scaling limit due to mechanical
contacts (~10µm pitch)
(+) low cost, practical(-) peripheral contact:
small # of connections(~100)
long distance(~10mm)
© T. Kuroda (42/50)
From Mechanical to Electrical
TSV Wireless Interface
Proposalwireless transceiver arrays
(-) process(-) KGD(-) scaling limit
(+) no addition in process, no reliability issue(+) KGD solvable : easy to attach and remove(+) high density channels (below 10µm pitch)(+) 3D scaling scenario (thinning a chip)(+) channels through active devices (+) low power : no ESD protection required
© T. Kuroda (43/50)
Communication Bottleneck Resolved in SiP
DRAM
SRAMAnalog CPU
DRAM
SRAMAnalog CPU
DRAM
PC Board
Package
PCB
DRAM
SRAM
Analog
CPU
Connection
DRAM
PC Board
Package
PCB
DRAM
SRAM
Analog
CPU
Connection
Chip perform
ance : 1.71/year
Pin bandwidth : 1.45/year
Scaling:1.28/year
circuitinnovation
Year
Dat
a R
ate
Chip perform
ance : 1.71/year
Pin bandwidth : 1.71/year
Year
Dat
a R
ate
Electrical Area Interface for 3D Integrati
© T. Kuroda (44/50)
Area Interface for 3D Integration
Thru
Si V
iaCapacitiveCoupling [3]
Wired Wireless2
Chi
ps(F
ace-
to-F
ace)
Ove
r 3-S
tack
ed
Chi
ps
[2][1] Ezaki (ISSCC’04) [2] Burns (ISSCC’01) [3] Kanda (ISSCC’03) [4]Mizoguchi (ISSCC’04)
Micro-Bump [1]
InductiveCoupling [4]
© T. Kuroda (45/50)
Infinitive Possibility in LSIIntegration 4x / 3yrs
0.3B transistor in 2003 (> American Population: 0.3B)7.5B transistor in 2007 (> World Population: 6B)30B transistor in 2010 (> Neuron in Human Brain: 14B)
LSI will evolve beyond your imagining and create future society and civilization. The real thrill in investigating LSI can be found in making dreams of future civilization come true. Although LSI is called as “rice of industry”, market size of semiconductor industry is still only 0.5% of GWP (cf. 3% in automotive industry). Percentage of market size of semiconductors in electronic equipments is less than 20%. Semiconductor is a new technology, only 50 year old from establishment of Feachild by R.Noyce and G.Moore. The market has not digested it yet. Even if CMOS scaling will slow down, there is large room for semiconductor industry to continue to develop.
© T. Kuroda (46/50)
“Optimism is an essential ingredient for innovation. How else can the individual welcome change over security, adventure over staying in safe place?”
Robert Noyce
“The best way to predict the future is to invent it.”
Alan Kay
Create Bright Future
© T. Kuroda (47/50)
Demand of New AgeKnow How -> Know What -> Know Who
’90s : Know how to make (craftsman)’00s : Know what to make (visionary)Future : Know who to work together (producer)
human circuit will be valuableDevice -> Circuit / System -> Business
System design (total design) Business power (for plan and proposal)
Role of AcademiaSpecialize and segmentalized disciplines -> Interdisciplinary and integrated knowledge
© T. Kuroda (48/50)
Summary (1)Challenges and opportunities in system LSI are discussed in 3 perspectives: device, integrated circuit, application and business.Scaling of CMOS integrated circuits is becoming very difficult, due to rapid increase in power dissipation.Post-CMOS device for mass production is not on the horizon. Even though speed of technologyimprovement may be slowed down compared to that before, the semiconductor industry and technology will continue to develop and improve remarkably. We will be entering the golden era of opportunities for both technology and industry.10 tips for low-power CMOS design are introduced.(revisit in Lecture 4 and 5)
© T. Kuroda (49/50)
Summary (2)Computers and communications will be scaled further, merged together, and materialized in consumer (human centric) applications.Computers will be small terminals that are implanted in every thing. They will be connected to a network by short-range wireless technologies. In order to make this ubiquitous electronics possible, intelligent interface based on low-power, high-speed CMOS design is inevitable.Conventional CMOS interface is facing speed-wall, power-wall, and area-wall.Opportunity in CMOS impulse radio for short-range communications (historical change) is discussed.
© T. Kuroda (50/50)
Summary (3)Inductive/capacitive-coupling inter-chip link for 3D SiP integration is introduced as emerging technology.(further discussion in Lecture 6 & 7)Integrated design engineering through system, circuit, device, process, lithography, and packaging, will be essential, as well as extended learning and knowledge. The era transited from ‘Know-How (craftsman’s age)’ to ‘Know-What (visionary’s age)’, and will transit to ‘Know-Who (producer’s age)’.