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Let’s work an outbreak Evonne Curran DNurs Author: Outbreak Column JIP Nurse Consultant Infection Control @EvonneTCurran 6 th November 11.30 -12.15

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Page 1: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Let’s work an outbreak

Evonne Curran DNurs

Author: Outbreak Column JIP

Nurse Consultant Infection Control

@EvonneTCurran

6th November 11.30 -12.15

Page 2: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Together we are going to manage a

published outbreak

Please share insights as the outbreak

progresses!

Page 3: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Detection

PreventionSICPs;

What we do every day; Removing recognised

risks

PreparednessIts likely to happen;

Get ready – Practice;

Become able to detect;

This is what it looks like / to do...

ManagementStop transmission;

Investigate how / why & prevent recurrence

DetectionFrom clinical, lab, surveillance data, find outbreaks if present

Outbreak

Page 4: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreak detection

• Goal: detect an outbreak if one is present

• Requirement: accurate situation awareness ASAP

• Situation awareness - 3 levels (Endsley, 1995 onwards)

1. Perception - what is present

2. Comprehension - so what

3. Prediction - what next

Decision-making follows SA

Good SA = Good decision-making

Page 5: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreak Management

• Goal: Stop ongoing transmission find out why, how

& prevent recurrence

• Requirement: Accurate situation awareness

throughout

– As we get more data our SA changes

Page 6: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreak management is a

team pursuit

Page 7: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreak detection

Is it real?

Outbreak: real infections related in time and place

Unrelated cluster of real infections: (chance / surveillance / detection method change)

Related cluster of false infections: (lab error, contaminated kit, poor specimen taking)

No infection outbreak: (people acquired the organism in the setting but did not get sick)

Page 8: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

The lab has phoned

“There is another Pseudomonas aeruginosa from blood in the Haematology unit;

that’s 16 so far this year.”

– Perception: what is happening?

– Comprehension: so what?

– Prediction: what will happen next?

Page 9: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Situation Awareness

• What is you / your team’s perception,

comprehension and prediction?

Perception: There is reported increase in the number

of pts with the same infection (BSI) with the same

species (Pa) in the same place

Comprehension: This is likely to be an outbreak

Prediction: If this is an outbreak...unless action is

taken more cases will arise!

Page 10: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

John Snow

Contradiction:

If this was caused by bad air ‘miasma’

the lungs would be diseased.

The lungs are fine: the guts are rotten.

Insight: Whatever is causing this

disease, the the people are consuming

it...

Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable ways we

gain insights – Gary Kelin, Nicholas Brealey Publishing

Page 11: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreak presentations

Single organism

Single organismMultiple infection

categories

Multiple organisms

GI: Norovirus or CDI

Resp: Legionella

BSI: Pseudomonas, or

S. aureus

SSI, SSTI

BSI, UTI,

Colonisation

SSI or BSI or SSTI

SSI, SSTI

BSI, UTI

Colonisation

Unknown organisms Similar symptoms

Single infection category

Single infection category

Multiple infection

categories

Page 12: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreak possibilities here

Single organism

Single organismMultiple infection

categories

Multiple organisms

BSI: Pseudomonas

aeruginosa sp

SSI, SSTI

BSI, UTI,

Colonisation

BSI: Pseudomonas

aeruginosa spp

SSI, SSTI

BSI, UTI

Colonisation

Unknown organisms Similar symptoms

Single infection category

Single infection category

Multiple infection

categories

Page 13: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Exposure to X

Page 14: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Haematology patients

• Tend.....– Not to have had surgery (recently)

– Not to have wounds

– Not to have urinary catheters

– Not to require endoscopy, bronchoscopy, ERCP

– To have vascular access devices

– To require lots of IV drugs

– Not have other invasive devices

– Can have other sites of infection

– Are exposed to water when they wash

• NB– Eliminate nothing without evidence

– But ALWAYS go for the most common first!

Page 15: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

What Immediate Control Measures?• Let them know you know....

• Isolate known positive patients (contact precautions) TBPs?

• Stop admissions?

• Stop showers?

• Make sure SICPs are being practiced (hand hygiene and use of gloves)?

• Assume environment / equipment contaminated and decontaminate?

Page 16: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

What do you think?

• Active failure – Who has been doing what?

• The conditions that provoked the outbreak?

• Where is transmission occurring?

Page 17: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable
Page 18: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

What do you want to know/do - NOW?

• Background levels of infection in this unit (and outwith)

• Define a case; Count all cases; Describe the cases (find additional cases)

• Look for a recent change in the system

• Present the data– Epi curve,

– Days from CVC to BSI,

– Days from admission to BSI)

– Ward plan (inc sinks, showers and other water outlets)

• Typing on available strains

• Hypothesis

• Consider environmental samples

• Identify procedures of interest - observations of practice (mock)

• Call an expert / ref lab in Pseudomonas

• Are SICPs in place?

Page 19: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Define a case: place, organism + / -

symptoms, time period

1. Any patient in hospital X with Pseudomonas

aeruginosa since 1 / 1 / 2007

2. Any patient from whom Pseudomonas aeruginosa

has been isolated from any specimen in the

haematology ward in hospital X since 1/1/2007

3. Any patient from whom Pseudomonas aeruginosa

has been isolated in blood in the haematology

ward since 1/1/20071

2

3

Page 20: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Count all the cases (find additional cases)

– where are you going to look?

• In the ward

• Patients transferred to another care facility

• In the computer (look back)

• In the community those discharged home

• In neighbouring facilities

• In the country

Page 21: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Background levels of the organism

Does not appear to be increasing elsewhere in the hospital

Not reported by other hospitals

Insights?

No new changes:

Procedures,

Kit,

Environment,

Staff

M to F reflectspatient

population

Page 22: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable
Page 23: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

What are you going to sample?

• Environment:

– Shower heads / Water

• Equipment:

– Could have showed they were ‘minging’

• People:

– Are other patients colonised?

Page 24: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

PFGE (2006 & 2007 results)

• 8 different PFGE types from blood 3 >1

– Type I = 7

– Type III = 17

– Non I or III = 6

• Shower heads

– Type I = 2

– Type III = 0

– non-type I or III = 2

Inference?

Page 25: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

What are your Procedures of Interest?

• Did not disinfect pre access

• Frequent disconnection of CVCs and PVCs

• Where nurses handled syringes / other equipment

prior to IV – Flower vases

• Access to disinfectant poor

• Disposal of sharps and trays – poor

• No unusual water practices noted

IV & SICPs & how they use water

Page 26: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Place of interest – where IV prep took

place

• Administration sets were placed near sinks or

‘randomly around the bed’

• Where nurses handled syringes / other equipment

prior to IV – Flower vases

• Access to disinfectant poor

Page 27: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

What is your hypothesis now?

• Most likely due to.......

Page 28: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Update your SA

• What is happening:

• So what:

• What next: (more control measures?)

Page 29: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Situation awareness

• What is happening: – IV procedures are facilitating contamination of drugs, of IV

catheters and infecting the patients

– The environment is conducive to high-level contamination with all micro-organisms; in particular Gram negative organisms

• So what:– Patients are at risk because IV procedures are unsafe

• What next: – More cases unless IV procedures changed

Page 30: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Their control measures....

• Disinfection pre access

• Keeping disconnected admin sets away from sinks

(!!!)

• Put flowers on the windowsills

• Adding chlorhexidine to Flower water (!!!)

• Cleaning shower heads and descaling – built in

filters

• Feedback of audit data

Page 31: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable
Page 32: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

“A second audit was performed 53 weeks later”

“Flowers were banned and easy access to alcohol provided”

“Routine shower head cleaning instigated”

“No hand hygiene data were available”

Page 33: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

If outbreak is due to poor IV procedures, then improvements should

have impacted on other organisms?

Further Audit

Further Control Measures

Recognition & Control Measures

Insight

Page 34: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Further Audit

Further Control Measures

Recognition & Control Measures

Page 35: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

This was not provoked by a system change.

What are the outbreak provoking conditions?

Page 36: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Entropy & Inertia

Inertia: Unwillingness or inability to adapt to

changing situation

Entropy:

‘Inevitable and steady deterioration of a system or society

Weakly managed systems tend to become less organized and

focused.

Need to constantly work on maintaining an organisation’s

purpose, form and methods.’

Good Strategy Bad strategy: the difference and why it matters Richard Rumfelt

Page 37: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Over time.....

a lack of system monitoring within and

outwith the clinical area...

Lack of SA amongst frontline staff

Page 38: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable
Page 39: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Five things -

you would have done different

1. Find out which IV procedures

2. Data1. Days from insertion to infection

2. Days from injections to infection

3. Types of infusions (propofol)

4. Ward layout – mark showers, cases, pt stays (always one room?)

3. Ongoing audit / support / feedback (Environment / Procedures)1. Difficult to embed new habits quickly

2. DMAIC

3. BSI

4. E&T – re IV procedures; how do we check competency, policy

5. Find out - is there another way to do it?

6. Case control study

Page 40: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Outbreaks

Single organism

Single organismMultiple infection

categories

Multiple organisms

BSI: Pseudomonas

aeruginosa sp

SSI, SSTI

BSI, UTI,

Colonisation

BSI: Pseudomonas

aeruginosa spp,

CNS?

SSI, SSTI

BSI, UTI

Colonisation

Unknown organisms Similar symptoms

Single infection category

Single infection category

Multiple infection

categories

Page 41: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Hindsight bias

Foresight ≠ Hindsight

Who was right from the beginning

be honest?

Hindsight is not equal to foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgement under uncertainty Fishhoff, B. Journal of

Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance vol 1 (3) 1975 288-99

Page 42: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Our outbreak was:

An outbreak of Pseudomonas aeruginosa

bacteraemia in an haematology department

Dan Med J 2015; 62 (4)

Page 43: Let’s work an outbreak … · Together we are going to manage a published outbreak Please share insights as the outbreak progresses! ... Seeing what others don’t: the remarkable

Thank you for helping me work

the outbreak !