let's predict the future: d1 agile thinking
DESCRIPTION
Slides on "Let's Predict the Future: Agile Thinking" for a workshop session on "Predicting the Future" held on 3 June 2014 at the SAOIM 2014 conference in Pretoria, South Africa and facilitated by Brian Kelly, Cetis. See https://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/saoim-2014-lets-predict-the-future-workshop/TRANSCRIPT
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D: We've Predicted the Future! So What?
Let’s Predict the Future!
A half-day workshop at the SAOIM 2014 conference held on Tuesday 3 June 2014 facilitated by Brian Kelly, Cetis
Slides available under a Creative Commons licence (CC-BY)
D1: Let’s Predict the Future! Agile Thinking
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Need for Agility & Flexibility
Dangers that we:• Assume the future is
like today, only faster, bigger, smaller, …
• Fail to transform existing practices
• Fail to recognise implications of political, economic, cultural, … changes
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What Did You Notice?
What did you notice for the first time today?*
Or variants:• What did you notice for the first time this
week / recently?
* Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst
My recent observations:• Buying newspaper using my mobile phone• Being awarded a badge on a computer game• WiFi on buses• Responses to “Who has used a mobile device for
work-related purposes - in bed?”
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What Was The Question?
You overhear someone saying “Have you tried the library?”
What might have been the question?
You overhear someone saying “Have you tried Amazon/Google/…?”
What might have been the question?
Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst
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The Future Backwards
What will we see in the future?Dangers of:
Providing optimistic or pessimistic views based on personal inclinations
No new insights
Need for innovative ways of story-telling such as:
The History of the Web Backwards Forecasting Trends Backwards Reversible, Reverse History and Side-by-
Side Storytelling (Tony Hirst’s blog post)
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Questions
Any questions?