levant basin hydrocarbon potential and future development...thermal maturation profile across the...

13
Dr. Michael Gardosh Head of G&G Dept. Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development A presentation for : IAA Conference on Digitalization and Automation in the O&G Industry Tel Aviv June 18, 2018

Upload: others

Post on 04-Oct-2020

6 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Dr. Michael Gardosh Head of G&G Dept.

Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development

A presentation for :

IAA Conference on

Digitalization and Automation

in the O&G Industry

Tel Aviv

June 18, 2018

Page 2: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

CMS Calgary 2018

Outline of Presentation

Status of Offshore Development

Main Drivers for Offshore Success

- Geology

- Markets

- Companies

- Government

Conclusions

Page 3: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Status of Offshore Development

Aphrodite/Ishai

Leviathan

Dolphin

Tanin

Karish

Gaza

Marine

Shimshon

Noa

MariB

Dalit

Tamar

Tamar SW

I s r a e l Oil Field

Gas Field

Pipelines

(under

construction)

Legend:

-2000

CMS Calgary 2018

10 gas fields discovered, most of them in

deep-water

3 gas fields developed (MariB, Noa, Tamar)

and 2 more underway (Leviathan, Karish)

Secured gas reserves in excess of 800BCM

(2P/2C)

65% of electricity made from gas, will

increase to 90%

Several export contracts are signed

Page 4: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

The Levant Basin- An Emerging, World Class Gas Province

CMS Calgary 2018

The activity in Israel is part of a larger

effort to develop the entire Levant

Basin in the eastern Mediterranean

Sea

Approx. 2000 BCM (75 TCF) of gas

discovered in the Levant Basin in

recent years

Ongoing exploration activity is taking

place in Israel, Egypt, Cyprus and

Lebanon

Levant Basin

Calypso

Page 5: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Geology: Basin-Fill, Proven and New Plays

Mediterranean Sea

? ? ?

?

?

? ?

?

Oligo-Miocene (Tamar Sands)

L. Cretaceous

M. Jurassic

U. Miocene / Pliocene

M. Cretaceous

• Thick basin-fill, with various potential source and reservoir rocks and salt cover

• Various types of stratigraphic and structural traps

• 3 proven plays and 2 “new” plays, one of them – Zohr-type- is proven in Egypt/Cyprus

Play Types

Proven

New

Page 6: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Geology: Basin Modelling

Beicip-FranLab 2015-Basin Analysis

Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin

SE NW

• Modeling shows extensive,

shallow biogenic Gas

System and deep

thermogenic Oil System

• High potential for Gas and

Oil Generation

CMS Calgary 2018

Page 7: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Assessment of YTF in place volumes is based on 3D numerical geologic model of oil and

gas generation, migration and entrapment taking into account exploration success

Geology: Yet-To-Find Prospective Resources

OIL GAS TOTAL

OIL TOTAL GAS

Category of

Prospective Oil and

Gas Resources

Jurassic

Middle

+Upper

Lower

Cetaceous

Jurassic

Middle

+Upper

Lower

Cretaceous

Oligo-

Miocene

(ABCD

sands and

equivalent)

MIddle

Upper

Miocen

e

Pliocene

Billions

bbl

Billions

bbl BCM BCM

BCM

BCM BCM Billions

bbl BCM

(2) YET-TO-

FIND in Place

Best Estimate

1.2 5.4 149 340 1089 238 321 6.6 2137

(75 TCF)

Page 8: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Markets: Domestic

Main Factors for Increase in Demand:

Natural growth of population

Closing coal-based electric plants

Wider use in heavy industry and

households

90% of Electricity will be generated from

gas and renewables

Conversion to electric and CNG cars

(No imports of fuel based cars by 2030)

Petrochemical Industry will be

developed Gas Demand Forecast (IHS, 2016)

CMS Calgary 2018

10.7

24.8

Electricity

Industry

Transportation

Petrochem.

BC

M

Page 9: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Markets: Export

Status of Export :

Jordan: two contract are signed (47 BCM)

Egypt: - one contract is signed (64 BCM)

- two more contract are negotiated

for LNG export and domestic

• Europe: feasibility studies for the

EastMed Pipeline are ongoing

(10-20 BCM/Y)

Turkey: one contract is negotiated

(10 BCM/y)

Turkey

Egypt

Jordan

Italy

Cyprus

Greece

CMS Calgary 2018

500 BCM/Y

500 BCM/Y 60 BCM/Y

70 BCM/Y

Page 10: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

• Excellent rate of success in discovering gas in the Tamar

Sands (100%).

• Fast development of the Tamar gas fields (less then 3

years)

• Longest tie-back pipe from the Tamar field to the Tamar

platform

• FPSO is built for the Karish field- the first in the region

• Stable and reliable supply of gas from the offshore fields

CMS Calgary 2018

Tamar Platform

Companies: E&P Activity

Page 11: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

• Resolving Anti-Trust and competition Issues

• Providing conditions for timely development of new gas

fields

• Promoting the expansion of the domestic gas markets

(Closing coal station, supporting CNG+ electric in

transportation, supporting industrial and residential use)

• Promoting export options (EasdMed Pipe etc..)

• Adopting high regulatory standards (1st + 2nd Bid-

Rounds etc..)

• Improving management of data (NDR system)

CMS Calgary 2018

Planned Leviathan Platform

Government: Policy and Regulation

Page 12: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Conclusions:

In the past 10 years the Israeli offshore experienced fast and successful development

of its hydrocarbon resources

The success is the result of several main drivers: favorable geologic conditions,

existence of domestic and export markets, effective E&P programs and government

support

Geologic modeling shows significant potential for additional gas and oil discoveries

These will be successfully developed through the combined effects of all main drivers

CMS Calgary 2018

Page 13: Levant Basin Hydrocarbon Potential and Future Development...Thermal maturation profile across the Levant Basin NW SE • Modeling shows extensive, shallow biogenic Gas System and deep

Thank You !!

CMS Calgary 2018