ligo's first observing run: gravitational-wave astronomy on the rise

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LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise Chris Pankow (CIERA / Northwestern University) on behalf of the LIGO Scientific Collaboration and Virgo Collaboration LIGO-G1601533 ICHEP: August 6, 2016 GW Available in this Talk

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Page 1: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Chris Pankow (CIERA / Northwestern University) on behalf of the LIGO Scientific Collaboration and Virgo Collaboration

LIGO-G1601533ICHEP: August 6, 2016

GW Available in this Talk

Page 2: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

• The LIGO and Virgo Collaborations: 1000+ scientists, engineers, and others spread amongst 50+ academic institutions world wide (presence on all continents except Africa and Antarctica)

• Collectively develop and operate a network of three kilometer scale interferometers (LIGO Hanford, LIGO Livingston, Virgo), and a 600m pathfinder interferometer (GEO600)

• Two kilometer scale interferometers under construction (KAGRA collaboration, Japan) or in design process (LIGO India)

The LVC: Who We Are2

R. Williams (Caltech)

Page 3: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

In Case You Hadn’t Heard...

GW150914

“We.. have... detected gravitational waves... We did it!” — Dave Reitze, LIGO Lab Director (February 11, 2016)

3

https://losc.ligo.org/events/GW150914/

Page 4: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Advanced LIGO’s First Observational Run4

C. North (Cardiff)

LIGO Livingston

LIGO Hanford

The Instruments: two near-identical 4 km long Fabry-Perot

dual-recycled laser interferometers

Strain: Differential phase measurement of highly coherent laser beams

translated from perturbations of space-time curvature at the level of 10-18 m along

arms

Page 5: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Advanced LIGO’s First Observational Run5

Seismic motion shot noise

power linecouplings

calibrationlines

Low Frequency: motion of the Earth coupling into motion of

the end test masses

High Frequency: uncertain photon arrival times at

photodetector

Monochromatic Lines: calibration lines, 60 Hz power

line and harmonics thereof

Page 6: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

GW Signal Detection Primer6

Putative strain is embedded in detector noise — cross correlate the model with the data to extract a signal-to-

noise ratio (SNR, ρ) statistic — this maximizes the likelihood (probability of signal vs probability of noise)

Searches maximize likelihood analytically for speed and

over masses/spins by brute force (template banks)

arxiv:1606.04856

d(t) = h(t) + n(t)

Page 7: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

GW Signal Detection Primer7

Putative strain is embedded in detector noise — cross correlate the model with the data to extract a signal-to-

noise ratio (SNR, ρ) statistic — this maximizes the likelihood (probability of signal vs probability of noise)

Searches maximize likelihood analytically for speed and

over masses/spins by brute force (template banks)

arxiv:1606.04856

d(t) = h(t) + n(t)

Page 8: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

O1 BBH Events8

“Chirps” in the time domain (monotonically increasing in frequency vs time)

Lower mass → Higher frequency content / longer “in band”

arxiv:1606.04856

Page 9: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

BBH Masses and Spins9

Parameter Degeneracies: Primarily sensitive to the chirp mass

— leaves large degeneracies along contours of chirp mass

(GW151226 approaching m2 < 3 region)

Frequency content (and thus “length in band” affected by both effective spin and mass

ratio at same order in expansion of radiation

amplitude/phase

equal mass

equa

l mas

s

arxiv:1606.04856

Page 10: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

BBH Masses and Spins10

equal mass

equa

l mas

s

Cosmological Effects:All events at distances with

significant redshifts — all masses need to be adjusted to account for

frequency “stretching” from GW traversing expanding universe

Precession?GW151226 has posterior on “in plane spin” component bounded

away from zero — spin-orbit coupling causes plane of binary to

precess around total angular momentum. Also, at least one BH must be a Kerr black hole (as are

the final remnants in all cases)Phys. Rev. Lett. 116/241103

Page 11: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

BBH Detection11

Signal and Background (Higgs):For a given decay channel (4 lepton), this

shows the background levels and expected Higgs signal decay rates along with the data collected — clear statistical

excess ~125 MeV

Signal and Background (GW):Different parameterization, using a likelihood ranking statistic modeling

background with the expected volumetric (ρ-4) distribution superimposed

arxiv:1606.04856

Phys. Lett. B (716) 1Phys. Lett. B (716) 1

Page 12: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

BBH Detection12

Signal and Background (Higgs):For a given decay channel (4 lepton), this

shows the background levels and expected Higgs signal decay rates along with the data collected — clear statistical

excess ~125 MeV

Signal and Background (GW):Different parameterization, using a likelihood ranking statistic modeling

background with the expected volumetric (ρ-4) distribution superimposed

arxiv:1606.04856

Phys. Lett. B (716) 1Phys. Lett. B (716) 1

Page 13: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

BBH Detection13

Towards Measuring Mass Distributions:

Posterior distribution for exponent of m1 inferred from three astrophysically

distinguished events — note peak very close to α = 2.35 (black vertical line)

arxiv:1606.04856

Signal and Background (GW):Different parameterization, using a likelihood ranking statistic modeling

background with the expected volumetric (ρ-4) distribution superimposed

Page 14: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Dealing with Multiple Event Categories:Being unsure of the intrinsic source populations and origins, we calculate the event rates for

all three events and take the union to derive the overall event rate of BBH coalescence. Also test distributions of events according to uniform in the logarithm of component mass

and according to the stellar initial mass function: p(m1) ∝ m12.35

BBH Event Rates14

arxiv:1606.04856

Page 15: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Dealing with Multiple Event Categories:Being unsure of the intrinsic source populations and origins, we calculate the event rates for

all three events and take the union to derive the overall event rate of BBH coalescence. Also test distributions of events according to uniform in the logarithm of component mass

and according to the stellar initial mass function: p(m1) ∝ m12.35

BBH Event Rates15

arxiv:1606.04856

Page 19: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

In Context19

Lower Mass (X-ray Binaries)

Some near maximal spin (> 0.9)

GW150914aGW150914bGW150914GW151226aGW151226bGW151226LVT151012aLVT151012bLVT151012

6035 40 45 50 ~

Higher Mass (GW)spins constrained mostly below

maximum

https://stellarcollapse.org/bhmasses

Page 20: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

BNS / NSBH Upper Limits20

Compact Sources: Only BBH detections so far, NSBH and BNS remain elusive, but

expected to constrain models in the next year

https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.07456201520162017 201520162017

Page 21: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Testing GR21

The single-parameter analysis corresponds to minimally extended models, that can capture deviations from GR that predominantly, but not

only, occur at a specific PN order

Graviton Mass: Confined Compton wavelength > 1013 km (best dynamical bound), by testing dispersion in the expected

frequency content of the waveform

Expand Einstein’s equations in velocity (PN order) and

introduce deviations — use MCMC to test for phase

evolution deviations from GR

arxiv:1606.04856

Page 22: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Sky Localization22

Sky Localization: Two detectors with coherence still restricted to partial annulus on

sky

Observation Biases: Optimal location for single detector:

directly overhead — preference to detect over North America

and Indian Ocean

https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.08492

Page 23: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Sky Localization23

Sky Localization Timeline: Sky position information

released within two days — huge follow up program

followed thereafter

Towards Joint Astronomy: If a binary with a neutron star

component is detected, possibility of multi-wavelength

electromagnetic emission as well!

prompt

hours/days

weeks

possible EM emissionduration

https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.08492

Page 24: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

O2 and Beyond24

GW150914 in 2018: Events like GW150914 could have SNR 40 / detector with total SNR ≲ 100 (three detectors)

Page 25: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

GW150914 in 2018: Events like GW150914 will have

SNR 40 / detector with total SNR <=100 (three

detectors)

O2 and Beyond25

Future Detections: Depending on sensitivity,

could optimistically see tens of BBH in O2, perhaps x2

in O3?

Page 26: LIGO's First Observing Run: Gravitational-Wave Astronomy on the Rise

Finally...26

Stay tuned for talk by Lisa Barsotti for the exciting details on how these feats are accomplished with laser interferometry

and the future of the experiment

A. Simonnet (Sonoma State)

Come visit us and see our GW data releases: https://losc.ligo.org/about/

GW150914 Fun Facts

GW15094 Lpeak ~ 50 visible universes

GW150914 ∫ L(t) dt ~ 1054 TeV (3

M☉ c2)