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TRANSCRIPT
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Lindorff
Company Presentation
November 2016
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2
Disclaimer IMPORTANT INFORMATION
Not for distribution in or into the United States, Australia, Canada, Japan or any other jurisdiction in which such distribution would be unlawful.
This presentation is not and does not form a part of any offer for sale of securities. Copies of this presentation are not being made and may not be distributed or sent into the United States, Australia, Canada,
Japan or any other jurisdiction in which such distribution would be unlawful or would require registration or other measures.
This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a prospectus or any offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in the United States or any other jurisdiction and no
securities will be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”).
This presentation is not a prospectus for the purposes of Directive 2003/71/EC (together with any applicable implementing measures in any Member State, the “Prospectus Directive”).
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may be identified by words such as “believe,” “expect,”
“anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “will,” “may,” "continue," “should” and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements herein are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon
further assumptions. Although Lindorff believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies
and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause actual events to differ materially
from the expectations expressed or implied herein by such forward-looking statements. The information, opinions and forward- looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at its date, and are
subject to change without notice.
The financial information herein has not been audited or otherwise reviewed by Lindorff’s auditors.
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3
55%
19%
26%
Northen Europe Central Europe Southern Europe
LTM
Q3’163
LTM Q3’16
Pro forma4
Net revenue 610 686
Adjusted EBITDA2 417 467
EBITDA2 261 310
EBIT2 181 253
● Leading credit management partner for Financial Institutions (FI) in Europe
● Founded in Oslo in 1898 with over 100 years of growth and value creation
● Integrated business model providing solutions throughout the CMS value
chain and across multiple segments
• 51% Debt Collections & Others (payment services, credit analytics, etc.)
• 49% Debt Purchasing
● Leading position in the attractive, high growth FI segment
• FI represents 84% of Estimated Remaining Collections (as of Jun-16)
● Strong culture of compliance, based on highest ethical standards, fair
collection and customer satisfaction
● 4,200 current FTE’s1 with scaled operations in 13 countries
Key facts and figures LTM Sep-16 (EURm)
Lindorff highlights Geographic breadth and scale5
1 Full Time Equivalent employees.
2 Excluding non recurring items and impairments, Adjusted EBITDA is equivalent to Cash EBITDA and represents EBITDA adjusted for non-cash amortisation and revaluations of DP portfolios. 3 Aktua included in reported financials from 1 Jun 2016. 4 Pro forma for acquisitions reflecting full-year effect of Aktua (Spain) as well as two smaller transactions in Italy (Cross Factor) and Spain (Banco Mare Nostrum). 5 Based on YTD Q3’16 net revenues. Geographical breakdown for illustrative purposes only. Northern Europe includes Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, and Russia. Central Europe includes Germany, Netherlands and Poland. Southern Europe
includes Italy and Spain.
Note: 2006-2010 as reported under Swedish GAAP and 2011-2016 as reported under IFRS, excludes impact of discontinued operations in 2011 and 2012
Adjusted EBITDA4 evolution (EURm)
467
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LTM Sep-2016
Leading Credit Management Services company in Europe
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4
Founded by
Eynar
Lindorff
• 27jan12 Tryg insurance outsource in Denmark
• 6mar12 Lindorff acquires collection company from
Santander
• 28mar12 Lindorff acquires a non-performing loan portfolio
from Deutsche Bank
• 28sep12 Lindorff acquires Solveon, a subsidiary of ABN
AMRO
• 24mar14 change company logo and branding
• 18jul14 Altor and Investor sell Lindorff
• 30jul14 Lindorff Spain acquires debt recovery business
from Sabadell
• 8aug14 Expends to Italy and purchases debt portfolio from
DB Italy
• 2015 focus on DP in Russia
• 2015 Lindorff acquires debt portfolio from Nordea in
Sweden
• 2015 Lindorff acquires Casus Finanse in Poland
• 2015 Lindorff acquires NPL from DB
• 2016 Lindorff acquires Aktua
Co-investments
2015-2016
Secured servicing 2015-2016
2003 - 2007
Nordic expansion
European expansion European leadership
2007 - 2013 2013 - 2016
1
1 Entered into long term strategic partnership with large portfolio acquisition and subsequent forward flow. 2 Full time equivalents on-boarded in L5Y through carve-outs.
Growth drivers
Organic
M&A
New market
entries
Carve-outs
2012 2014 2015 2016 1898 2001 2013 2005 2003 2010 2011 2007 2009
x3
x3
Unique track
record
● 10 large transactions in last 5 years
● 1,350 FTEs2 on-boarded
Strong client
relationships
● Trusted and preferred relationships
● IT integration
● Service level agreement structuring
and implementation
● Integrated operations with clients
● KPI reporting
Strong pipeline
Existing markets New markets
Lindorff – a journey of growth and value creation
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5
# of claims1 % 3PC revenues1 DP ERC1
35%
57%
84%
65%
43%
16%
1 Based on FY 2015. Trade and others Financial
Institutions
● Origination
● Operational scalability
● Database and analytics
● Collection strategies
● Standardised processes
● Tangible operational benefits from integrated DC+DP platform include
de-risked portfolio origination, greater operating scale due to internal
debt collection and benefits from larger data assets and analytics
● Data and collection experience from Debt Collection activities across
client segments (incl. trade, utility and other claims) supports analytical
capabilities when purchasing debt portfolios (incl. in FI)
● Typically consumers hold debt across sectors (e.g. credit card, utility
bills, telco or retail invoices)
DC and DP are highly synergetic Trade & other segments provide data & experience
which support success in the core FI segment
Integrated business model provides clear benefits Leveraging scale and data from other sectors supports core FI purchases
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6
Summary overview
Key segment stats – LTM to Sep-2016
128 139
151
189
0
50
100
150
200
2013 2014 2015 LTM Sep-16
Series 1
Steady Debt Collection earnings1 growth
Segment revenue EUR 288m
Segment earnings2 EUR 189m
Value of cases in stock (face value)5 EUR 21bn
Number of cases in stock5 ~4m
49% 47%
4%
Debt PurchasingDebt Collection (incl RES)Other products
47% contribution to group revenue3
53%
8%
39%
Northern Europe Central Europe
Southern Europe1 Owned portfolios, revenues eliminated in consolidation.
2 Earnings calculated as segmental revenue less direct operating costs. 3 LTM Sep-16 revenue. 4 Real Estate Services. 5 Third party Debt Collection, includes RES.
EURm ● Third party servicing
• Traditional contract based servicing with long-term customer
relationships
• Several carve-out transactions with long-term contracts and deep
IT and operational integration with banking clients
● Internal Debt Collection1
• Provides scale and operating efficiency across geographic
platform
Overview of Debt Collection
Geographic mix3
4
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Long, stable Debt Collection relationships
Growth from significant long-standing client relationships
Carve-outs are a long-term growth accelerator
3%
23%
73%
< 5 years 5-10 years > 10 years
10yrs
9yrs
8yrs 8yrs 8yrs
7yrs
3yrs
1yrs
Carveout 1 Carveout 2Carveout 3Carveout 4Carveout 5Carveout 6 Carveout 7Carveout 8
• Established carve-out expertise across geographic markets
• Carve-out transactions typically include entering into long-term
servicing agreements with key banking clients, where Lindorff
integrates into the bank’s collection systems and workflow
• IT & operational integration and carve-out transactions create
foundation for long-term business relationships with key European
banks – beyond contract life
• Stable client base in third party servicing with Lindorff acting as a
long-term trusted partner in collections
• In Northern Europe, some of Lindorff’s largest revenue contributors
and longest-dated relationships go back to the 1980’s
• Northern Europe example: based on the tenure of Lindorff’s top 10
clients in each Nordic market, the average length of client
relationships in third party debt collection services is over 15 years
Remaining duration of Spanish carve-out contracts
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Aktua acquisition rationale: new growth platform for Lindorff
Transaction overview and key business highlights
● 430 FTEs and 22 offices across Spain
● Lindorff becomes an end-to-end player which provides competitive advantage for
future business in existing and new markets and geographies
● Santander remains a minority shareholder - key strategic pan-European
relationship
1 Leading and independent multi-client servicer in Spain with a track record
of consistent strong growth
2 Best-in-class bespoke technologies, protocols and data insight
3 Long duration of existing contracts providing earnings visibility
4 Strong pipeline of additional contracts to be won in Spain
Key transaction benefits
Combination of services
and best practices
Secured NPL and Real Estate Servicing
Established customer base in Spain including
banks and international investment funds
High growth and strong pipeline
Balance sheet strength
Access to 13 markets
Large and established customer base
Diversified business model
Aktua amplifies Lindorff’s opportunity to grow in secured and
RES across key geographic areas 5 Opportunity to expand the services and leverage unique capabilities in
other geographic markets
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9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2012 2013 2014 2015
Aktua – solid performance with significant growth potential
Continued growth in debt under management
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep-16
NPL RES
Strong and profitable growth
EBITDA
Aktua’s revenue model based on running fees on managed assets,
with upside potential through success fees
Aktua’s business model designed to capture new market
opportunities and increase debt under management
EURbn EURm
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Overview of Debt Purchasing
Strong collection performance Strong segment earnings1 growth
Key segment stats – LTM to Sep-16
Segment revenue EUR 296m
Segment earnings1 EUR 164m
Estimated Remaining Collections (ERC) EUR 2.5bn
Debt under management (face value)2 EUR 19bn
Return on Debt Purchasing3 17%
ERC by sector 30-Sep-2016
ERC by region 30-Sep-2016
109 115
140
164
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2013 2014 2015 LTM Sep-16
EURm
84%
5%
3% 1%
7%
FinancialInstitutions
Telco Retail Utility Other
55% 26%
19%
Northen Europe Central Europe
Southern Europe
1 Earnings calculated as segmental revenue less direct operating costs. 2 LTM Jun-16. 3 Lindorff’s accounting approach.
104% 109%
99% 109%
101% 103% 98% 105% 103% 102%
104% 106%
110% 107% 104% 113%
102%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
3Q
12
4Q
12
1Q13
2Q
13
3Q
13
4Q
13
1Q14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q16
2Q
16
3Q
16
Average actual collection as % of forecast
105%
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11
Diversified long-term portfolio base provides visibility >1,600 portfolios provide diversified and resilient asset base
Portfolio layering built over more than 20 years provides inherent diversification and stability ERC by vintage1
~8m unique customers
EUR 3,077 avg. claim size
Resilience from granularity of cash flows
>11m accounts
EUR 109 avg. monthly payment3
10%
1%
3%
2%
9%
6%
13% 8%
16%
23%
Pre-2007
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Ja
n/1
1
Ju
l/11
Ja
n/1
2
Ju
l/12
Ja
n/1
3
Ju
l/13
Ja
n/1
4
Ju
l/14
Ja
n/1
5
Ju
l/15
Ja
n/1
6
Ju
l/16
Ja
n/1
7
Ju
l/17
Ja
n/1
8
Ju
l/18
Ja
n/1
9
Ju
l/19
Ja
n/2
0
Ju
l/2
0
Ja
n/2
1
Ju
l/2
1
Ja
n/2
2
Ju
l/2
2
Ja
n/2
3
Ju
l/2
3
Ja
n/2
4
Ju
l/2
4
Ja
n/2
5
Ju
l/2
5
Ja
n/2
6
Ju
l/2
6
Ja
n/2
7
Ju
l/2
7
Ja
n/2
8
Ju
l/2
8
Ja
n/2
9
Ju
l/2
9
Ja
n/3
0
Ju
l/3
0
Ja
n/3
1
Th
ou
sa
nd
s
<2000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Series12016 2
1 ERC as of Jun-2016. 2 Excluding one off re-adjustment of Dutch book in Feb-2014. 3 Excluding payments >EUR 2,500 as proxy for large one-off full payments.
EURm
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12
25%
16%
10% 4%
Norway ECE¹ Sweden Denmark
Northern Europe – Region snapshot
● Robust historical footprint with long established customer relationships
● Proven ability to leverage Debt Collection relationships to acquire portfolios
● Operational efficiency and digitalisation key commercial success factors, providing added
value for clients
● Focus on expansion in value added services and payment services. Several new
partnerships established
Key regional highlights
Contribution to group revenue (LTM Sep-16)
Revenue – L3Y Business mix
(LTM Sep-16 revenue)
305 309 306 335
-
75
150
225
300
375
2013 2014 2015 LTM Sep-16
45%
47%
8%
Debt Purchasing Debt Collection
Other Products
55%
Key statistics
1 Consists of Finland, Russia, Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania.
EURm
Revenue (LTM Sep-16) Number of FTEs in region
EUR 335m 1,403
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11%
6% 2%
Germany Netherlands Poland
97 92
115 119
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2013 2014 2015 LTM Sep-16
79%
20%
1%
Debt Purchasing
Debt Collection (incl. RES)
Other
19%
● Strong footprint in Germany through two historical acquisitions and a carve-out from a large
European Bank
● Dutch footprint initially established through two carve-outs of a large Dutch bank and
leading retailer
● Recent entry in Poland through acquisition of Casus Finanse
Key regional highlights
EURm
Key statistics
Contribution to group revenue (LTM Sep-16)
Revenue – L3Y Business mix
(LTM Sep-16 revenue)
Central Europe – Region snapshot
Revenue (LTM Sep-16) Number of FTEs in region
EUR 119m 870
[255]
[255]
[255]
[0]
[0]
[0]
[14]
[100]
[99]
[217]
[209]
[199]
[14]
[100]
[99]
[123]
[157]
[151]
[66]
[181]
[228]
[166]
[213]
[204]
[134]
[135]
[135]
[253]
[181]
[40]
[255]
[90]
[90]
[176]
[196]
[193]
Body Text
Background
Message Box,
Table Highlight
Heading Boxes
Primary Eight
Chart Colours
Page Setup
Width: 29.7cm (11.69”)
Height: 21.0cm (8.27”)
Prints as A4
Page Setup should
only be changed if
banker requests a
specific size. If this is
the case, note the
banker name and
instructions in this box
14
25%
1%
Spain Italy
45
74
114
160
-
30
60
90
120
150
180
2013 2014 2015 LTM Sep-16
26%
29%
71%
0.5%
Debt Purchasing
Debt Collection (incl. RES)
Other
EURm
● Exceptionally large market opportunity with in excess of EUR 600bn NPLs (incl. foreclosed
assets) across Spain and Italy
● Track record of growth and consolidation in Spain through landmark bank carve-outs
(Santander, Banco Mare Nostrum, Banco Sabadell)
● Proven valuation capabilities across secured and unsecured asset classes
● Ability to follow the assets – Lindorff manages the NPLs but also provide real estate services
for banks on foreclosed assets
● Solid platform to capitalise on the large Italian opportunity
• Replicate successful Spanish model in Italy
Key regional highlights Key statistics
Contribution to group revenue (LTM Sep-16)
Revenue – L3Y Business mix
(LTM Sep-16 revenue)
Southern Europe – Region snapshot
Revenue (LTM Sep-16) Number of FTEs in region
EUR 160m
1,594
[255]
[255]
[255]
[0]
[0]
[0]
[14]
[100]
[99]
[217]
[209]
[199]
[14]
[100]
[99]
[123]
[157]
[151]
[66]
[181]
[228]
[166]
[213]
[204]
[134]
[135]
[135]
[253]
[181]
[40]
[255]
[90]
[90]
[176]
[196]
[193]
Body Text
Background
Message Box,
Table Highlight
Heading Boxes
Primary Eight
Chart Colours
Page Setup
Width: 29.7cm (11.69”)
Height: 21.0cm (8.27”)
Prints as A4
Page Setup should
only be changed if
banker requests a
specific size. If this is
the case, note the
banker name and
instructions in this box
15
261
47 2 310
156 467
Reported EBITDAExcl. NRIs
Full year impact ofAktua
Full year impact ofCross Factor and BMN
Pro Forma EBITDAExcl. NRIs
Portfolio Amortisation& Revaluation
Pro FormaAdjusted EBITDA
Pro forma Adjusted EBITDA
LTM Sep-16 (EURm)
● Aktua’s reported LTM EBITDA to Sep-16
of EUR 65m (2015 EBITDA: EUR 51m)
• 4 months included of EUR 18m
• Resulting pro forma adjustment for
8 months of EUR 47m
● Actual performance for Aktua has
exceeded management expectations
● Reflects the full year
impact of Cross
Factor acquisition
and BMN carve-out
1
1 Equivalent to Cash EBITDA.