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Supplemental Information 2: Selected Studies With Positive Quality Scores

Title Authors Year Field Project Goals

ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Exploring subtle land use and land cover changes: a framework for future landscape studies no

Houet, T., Loveland, T.R., Hubert-Moy, L., Gaucherel, C., Napton, D., Barnes, C.A., Sayler, K.

2010 Land use Exploratory Intuitive Backcasting

Influence factors for scenario analysis for new environmental technologies - the case for biopolymer technology

Schwark, F. 2009 Environmental technologies

Decision Tool

Formal Diffusion Theory

Scenario support for effective requirements Alspaugh, T.A., Anton, A.I. 2008 Requirements engineering

Decision Tool

Intuitive SMaRT

Toward Predictive Workforce Planning Future Requirements for Traffic Management Center Operators

Hinkeldein, D.C. 2009 Traffic management Exploratory Intuitive Three stages discussion with 20 experts

A formal framework for scenario development in support of environmental decision-making

Mahmoud et al. 2009 Environmental decision-making support

Decision Tool

Formal Literature review

Stochastic programming and scenario generation within a simulation framework: An information systems perspective

Di Domenica, N., Mitra, G., Valente, P., Birbilis, G.

2007 Information system Decision Tool

Formal Stochastic programming software tool

A Scenario-Based Assessment Model - SBAM Banuls, V.A., Salmeron, J.L.

2007 Environmental long-term technology policies

Decision Tool

Formal Delphi; CIA; Analytic Hierarchy Process

Integral scenarios: Reframing theory, building from practice

Stewart, C.C. 2008 Integral scenarios building

Decision Tool

Intuitive AQAL

Fuzzy formative scenario analysis for woody material transport related risks in mountain torrents

Mazzorana, B., Fuchs, S. 2010 Forestery; Natural Hazard Risk Management

Exploratory Formal FSA

Scenario planning: a tool for conservation in an uncertain world

Peterson, G.D., Cumming, G.S. Carpenter, S.R.

2003 Theoretical - - Conservation planning

Roadmapping 3G mobile TV: Strategic thinking and scenario planning through repeated cross-impact handling

Pagani, M. 2009 Future mobile TV industry

Exploratory Formal Roadmapping

Using neural networks and cognitive mapping in scenario analysis: The case of Turkey's inflation dynamics

Sahin, S.O., Ulengin, F., Ulengin, B.

2004 Theoretical - - REFAR

The art of scenarios and strategic planning: Tools and pitfalls

Godet, M. 2000 Theoretical - - -

Note = 1 Note = 0 Note = -1 *See table 3.2. for more details Qualities: 1: Coverage 2: Consistency

3: Uncertainty assessment 4: EfficiencyTitle Authors Year Field Project Goals

ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools Qualities 1 2 3 4

Identification of a small reliable and efficient set of consistent scenarios

Tietje, O 2005 Theoretical - - FSA, Convergent validity, Combinatorial optimization

Expert-based scenarios for strategic waste and resource management planning-C&D waste recycling in the Canton of Zurich, Switzerland

Spoerri, A; Lang, DJ; Binder, CR; Scholz, RW

2009 Waste management Decision Tool

Intuitive FSA

Facilitating agroforestation of landscapes for sustainable benefits: Tradeoffs between carbon stocks and local development benefits in Indonesia according to the FALLOW model

van Noordwijk, M; Suyamto, DA; Lusiana, B; Ekadinata, A; Hairiah, K

2008 Agroforestation Exploratory Formal FALLOW Model

Scenario analysis of changes in consumption of dairy products caused by a hypothetical causal link between Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis and Crohn's disease

Groenendaal, H; Zagmutt, FJ 2008 Milk industry Exploratory Formal -

Deliberating on statewide energy targets Andrews, C; Jonas, HC; Mantell, N; Solomon, R

2008 Energy management Decision Tool

Intuitive Baseline

Impact of changing wood demand, climate and land use on European forest resources and carbon stocks during the 21st century

Eggers, J; Lindner, M; Zudin, S; Zaehle, S; Liski, J

2008 Forest resources Exploratory Formal Modelling and impact Analysis simulation

Value network dynamics in 3G-4G wireless communications: A systems thinking approach to strategic value assessment

Pagani, M; Fine, CH 2008 Mobile Networks Value

Exploratory Formal Causal loop map

onditional probabilistic estimates of 21st century greenhouse gas emissions based on the storylines of the IPCC-SRES scenarios

van Vuuren, DP; de Vries, B; Beusen, A; Heuberger, PSC

2008 Greenhouse gases Decision Tool

Formal Probabilistic analysis

A fuzzy clustering-based method for scenario analysis in strategic planning: The case of an Asian pharmaceutical company

Pishvaee, MS; Fathi, M; Jolai, F

2008 Strategic planning for pharmaceutical companies

Exploratory Formal Fuzzy clustering-based method

Economic Evaluation Model for International Standardization of Technology

Kim, Y; Kim, HS; Jeon, H; Sohn, SY

2009 Business process Decision Tool

Formal Cost of ownership (COO) model

Digital Media and Dematerialization Hogg, N; Jackson, T 2009 Material intensity reduction

Exploratory Intuitive -

Scenario analysis of alternative vegetation management options on the greenhouse gas budget of two grazing businesses in north-eastern Australia

Bray, SG; Golden, R 2009 Ghg effects Decision Tool

Formal -

Note = 1 Note = 0 Note = -1 *See table 3.2. for more details

Qualities: 1: Coverage 2: Consistency

3: Uncertainty assessment 4: Efficiency


Title Authors Year Field Project goals

ProcessDesign


The scenario generation algorithm for multistage stochastic linear programming

Casey, MS; Sen, S 2005 Theoretical - - Multistage stochastic linear program

Subjective economic risk to beneficiaries in notional defined contribution accounts

Vidal-Melia, C; Dominguez-Fabian, I; Devesa-Carpio, JE

2006 Finance Exploratory Formal Alonso's macroeconomic




ProcessDesign


Impact of Land Bridge on Port Market Area Model Development and Scenario Analysis

Wang, XC; Meng, Q; Miao, LX; Fwa, TF

2009 Transportation Exploratory Formal Impact model

Scenario analysis using Bayesian networks: A case study in energy sector

Cinar, D; Kayakutlu, G 2010 Energy administration Decision Tool

Formal Bayesian networks

The future of trade shows: insights from a scenario analysis

Kirchgeorg, M; Jung, K; Klante, O

2010 Trade Decision Tool

Intuitive Backcasting,CATI method

Scenario Analysis Exploring the Macroeconomic Impacts of Information and Communication Technologies on Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Erdmann, L; Hilty, LM 2010 Ghg emissions Exploratory Formal Bayesian Network

Narratives of the future: Suspending disbelief in forest-sector scenarios

Frittaion, CM; Duinker, PN; Grant, JL

2010 Theoretical - - Storyline

Scenario-based strategy maps Buytendijk, F; Hatch, T; Micheli, P

2010 Strategy Decision Tool

Intuitive Performance management and measurement

Sustainable energy futures: Methodological challenges in combining scenarios and participatory multi-criteria analysis

Kowalski, K; Stagl, S; Madlener, R; Omann, I

2009 Energy administration Exploratory Intuitive Participatory MCA, exploration and forecasting

An integrated scenario-based multi-criteria decision support system for water resources management and planning - A case study in the Haihe River Basin

Weng, SQ; Huang, GH; Li, YP

2010 Water resource management

Decision Tool

Formal MCDA, MOP, AHP

Scenario planning as a tool to understand uncertainty in tourism: the example of transport and tourism in Scotland in 2025

Page, SJ; Yeoman, I; Connell, J; Greenwood, C

2010 Tourism Decision Tool

Intuitive Moffat model

A low-carbon scenario creation method for a local-scale economy and its application in Kyoto city

Gomi, K; Shimada, K; Matsuoka, Y

2010 Energy adminstration Decision Tool

Intuitive Backcasting

Capital growth with security MacLean, LC; Sanegre, R; Zhao, YG; Ziemba, WT

2004 Finance: investment problem

Decision Tool

Formal Stochastic optimization

Simulation and optimization approaches to scenario tree generation

Gulpinar, N; Rustem, B; Settergren, R

2004 Finance: portofolio optimization

Exploratory Formal Non-linear optimization, computational finance

Fuel prices scenario generation based on a multivariate GARCH model for risk analysis in a wholesale electricity market

Batlle, C; Barquin, J 2004 Wholesale electricity market

Exploratory Formal GECA (scenario generator)


scenario 2000-2050Integration of accident scenario generation and multiobjective optimization for safety-cost decision making in chemical processes

Kim, D; Kim, J; Moon, I 2006 Chemical industry Exploratory Formal SWOF, sensitivity analysis

A risk and economic analysis of dirty bomb attacks on the ports of Los Angeles and long beach

Rosoff, H; von Winterfeldt, D 2007 Security Exploratory Intuitive Risk analysis

Compound scenarios: an efficient framework for integrated market-credit risk

De Prisco, B; Iscoe, I; Jiang, YJ; Mausser, H

2008 Portfolio management Decision Tool

Formal Monte carlo simulation

Stochastic Multiobjective Market Clearing of Joint Energy and Reserves Auctions Ensuring Power System Security

Amjady, N; Aghaei, J; Shayanfar, HA

2009 Finance Exploratory Formal Multiobjective mathematicalprogramming, Stochastic optimization.

Particle Filters in Decision Making Problems under Uncertainty

Kostanjcar, Z; Jeren, B; Cerovec, J

2009 Finance Decision Tool

Formal Scenarios trees, Practicle filters

Cash management using multi-stage stochastic programming

Ferstl, R; Weissensteiner, A 2010 Finance Decision Tool

Formal Dynamic stochastic programming

Monte Carlo scenario generation for retail loan portfolios

Breeden, JL; Ingram, D 2010 Finance Exploratory Formal Monte Carlo simulation, ARMA and ARIMA models

Generating scenario trees: A parallel integrated simulation-optimization approach

Beraldi, P; De Simone, F; Violi, A

2010 Theoretical - - Moment-matching technique, multivariate stochastic processes

Tourism travel under climate change mitigation constraints

Peeters, P; Dubois, G 2010 Tourism and transportation

Decision Tool

Formal Backcasting


ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Scenario planning for strategic regional transportation planning

Zegras, C; Sussman, J; Conklin, C

2004 Transportation Decision Tool

Intuitive Cross-impact, Trend-Delphi method, Options Evaluationn

An examination of future scenarios using historical analogy

Dortmans, PJ; Eiffe, E 2004 Theoretical - - FAR

Using scenarios to challenge and change management thinking

Wright, A 2005 Strategy and Quality in Europe


Scenario planning Sabol, T; Delina, R 2004 Theoretical - - What if ''questions - to rehearse"



Studying scenario planning: Theory, research suggestions, and hypotheses

Chermack, TJ 2005 Theoretical - - -

The Avon River Basin in 2050: scenario planning in the Western Australian Wheatbelt

O'Connor, MH; McFarlane, M; Fisher, J; MacRae, D; Lefroy, T

2005 Community social service program administration

Decision Tool

Intuitive Importance and uncertainty chart

Exploring e-government futures through the application of scenario planning

Cairns, G; Wright, G; Bradfield, R; van der Heijden, K; Burt, G

2004 e-Government Decision Tool

Intuitive INTUITIVE LOGIC, TIA, CIA INTERAX1 and BASICS2

Multistage K-Means Clustering for Scenario Tree Construction

Sutiene, K; Makackas, D; Pranevicius, H

2010 Theoretical - - Stochastic programming

R&D Project Portfolio Analysis for the Semiconductor Industry

Gemici-Ozkan, B; Wu, SD; Linderoth, JT; Moore, JE

2010 Semiconductor industry

Decision Tool

Formal Multistage stochastic program

Can internally generated futures accelerate organizational learning?

van der Heijden, K 2004 Strategy Decision Tool

Intuitive

Making sense, anticipation and adaptative learning

Roadmapping for dynamic and uncertain environments

Strauss, JD; Radnor, M 2004 Theoretical - - Roadmapping

1

INTERAX : Interactive Cross-impact Simulation2 BASICS : Battelle Scenario Inputs to Corporate Strategies







ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

A case study of best practice - Visit Scotland's prepared response to an influenza pandemic

Page, S; Yeoman, I; Munro, C; Connell, J; Walker, L

2006 Tourism Exploratory Intuitive MOFFAT model

A general, analytic method for generating robust strategies and narrative scenarios

Lempert, RJ; Groves, DG; Popper, SW; Bankes, SC


Formal Adaptive management

Envisioning Beijing 2020 through sketches of urban scenarios

Song, Y; Ding, CR; Knaap, G 2006 Urban planning Decision Tool

Formal MAUA

Exploring the relationship between scenario planning and perceptions of strategic conversation quality

Chermack, TJ; van der Merwe, L; Lynham, SA


Intuitive Cronbach’s Alpha, Conversation Quality and Engagement Checklist (CQEC).

Global biodiversity scenarios and landscape ecology

Cumming, GS 2007 Climate change Exploratory Intuitive Millennium Assessment

Changing organizational culture with scenario planning

Korte, RF; Chermack, TJ 2007 Organization culture Exploratory Intuitive -

Scenario-driven modular design in managing market uncertainty

Asan, U; Polat, S; Sanchez, R 2008 Product design Decision Tool

Intuitive Modular design, Godet method

Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method

Wright, G; Goodwin, P 2009 Theoretical - - Backward logic, evaluation flexibility

Business Scenario Evaluation Using Monte Carlo Simulation on Qualitative and Quantitative Hybrid Model

Samejima, M; Akiyoshi, M; Mitsukuni, K; Komoda, N

2010 Theoretical - - Qualitative and quantitative hybridmodel; Monte Carlo simulation

Scenario planning in public policy: Understanding use, impacts and the role of institutional context factors

Volkery, A; Ribeiro, T 2009 Public policy Decision Tool

Intuitive Literature review

Thinking inside the box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery

Bryant, BP; Lempert, RJ 2010 Theoretical - - Scenario discovery

Future technology analysis for biosecurity and emerging infectious diseases in Asia-Pacific

Damrongchai, N; Satangput, P; Tegart, G; Sripaipan, C

2010 Healthcare Exploratory Intuitive future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) method

Sustainable land use scenario framework: Framework and outcomes from pen-urban South-East Queensland, Australia

Pearson, LJ; Park, S; Harman, B; Heyenga, S

2010 Land-use planning Exploratory Intuitive MCDA

Applying Scenario Planning to Park and Tourism Management in Sagarmatha National Park, Khumbu, Nepal

Daconto, G; Sherpa, LN 2010 Policy, tourism and landscape






ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Sustainability, foresight and contested futures: exploring visions and pathways in the transition to a hydrogen economy

Eames, M; McDowall, W 2010 Energy consulting service

Exploratory Intuitive Backcasting and multi-criteria

Scenarios for the logistics services industry: A Delphi-based analysis for 2025

von der Gracht, HA; Darkow, IL

2010 Industry Exploratory Intuitive Delphi

The use of scenarios in land-use planning Xiang, WN; Clarke, KC 2003 Land-use planning Exploratory Intuitive -

Why global scenarios need ecology Bennett, EM; Carpenter, SR; Peterson, GD; Cumming, GS; Zurek, M; Pingali, P

2003 Climate change Exploratory Intuitive -

Approaching scenario-based studies: three perceptions about the future and considerations for landscape planning

Shearer, AW 2005 Landscape planning service

Decision Tool

Intuitive -

Scenarios for future agriculture in Finland: a Delphi study among agri-food sector stakeholders

Rikkonen, P 2005 Agriculture Exploratory Intuitive Delphi

Scenario types and techniques: Towards a user's guide

Borjeson, L; Hojer, M; Dreborg, KH; Ekvall, T; Finnveden, G

2006 Theoretical - - Delphi, MFA, CIA

Scenario analysis on dynamic strategy and revelations for chinese enterprises

Song, Y; Yin, L 2007 Dynamic strategy Decision Tool

Intuitive -

Linking scenarios across geographical scales in international environmental assessments

Zurek, MB; Henrichs, T 2007 Theoretical - - Multi-scale scenarios

Participatory scenario development for integrated assessment of nutrient flows in a Catalan river catchment

Caille, F; Riera, JL; Rodriguez-Labajos, B; Middelkoop, H; Rosell-Mele, A

2007 Nutrient flow Exploratory Intuitive Participatory method

Scenario evaluation using two-mode clustering approaches in higher education

Kaiser, MJ; Baier, D 2008 Theoretical - - -

Combining two approaches of integrated scenario development to combat desertification in the Guadalentin watershed, Spain

Kok, K; van Delden, H 2009 Desertification Exploratory Formal Two-mode clustering approaches

Evolving practices in environmental scenarios: a new scenario typology

Wilkinson, A; Eidinow, E 2008 Climate change Decision Tool

Intuitive Multi-agent based approache





ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Foresight analysis of agricultural sector at regional level

Gomez-Limon, JA; Gomez-Ramos, A; Fernandez, GS

2009 Agriculture Exploratory Formal

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

Moss, RH; Edmonds, JA; Hibbard, KA; Manning, MR; Rose, SK; van Vuuren, DP; Carter, TR; Emori, S; Kainuma, M; Kram, T; Meehl, GA; Mitchell, JFB; Nakicenovic, N; Riahi, K; Smith, SJ; Stouffer, RJ; Thomson, AM; Weyant, JP; Wilbanks, TJ

2010 Exploratory Intuitive

Enhancing Business and Technology Foresight with Electronically Mediated Scenario Process

Piirainen, K; Lindqvist, A 2009 Theoretical - - SAGES & IDEAS

Scenario Technique with Integer Programming for Sustainability in Manufacturing

Fugenschuh, A; Gausemeier, P; Seliger, G; Severengiz, S

2010 Sustainble manufacturing

Exploratory Formal Mathematical Modeling

Scenarios for Community-based Approaches to Biodiversity Conservation: a case study from the Wet Tropics, Queensland, Australia

Pert, PL; Hill, R; Williams, KJ; Harding, EK; O'Malley, T; Grace, RA; Dale, AP; Bohnet, I; Butler, JRLA

2010 Land-use planning service

Exploratory Formal Literature review

'Exploratory landscape scenarios' in the formulation of 'landscape quality objectives'

Ramos, IL 2010 Landscape planning service

Decision Tool

Intuitive -

Managing uncertainty: a review of food system scenario analysis and modeling

Reilly, M; Willenbockel, D 2010 Food services Exploratory Formal -

Methodological review of UK and international low carbon scenarios

Hughes, N; Strachan, N 2010 Climate change Exploratory Intuitive -

Experiences of the development and use of scenarios for evaluating Swedish national environmental objectives

Hojer, M Hojer, M; Dreborg, KH; Engstrom, R; Gunnarsson-Ostling, U; Svenfelt, A

2011 Environmental policy


Assessing the sustainability of underground space usage - A toolkit for testing possible urban futures

Hunt, DVL; Jefferson, I; Rogers, CDF

2011 Urban planning services


Managerial insights from service industry models: a new scenario decomposition method

Borgonovo, E; Peccati, L 2011 Management of companies

Exploratory Formal Factor FCSI

Combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenario development: Experiences from the SCENES project

Kok, K; van Vliet, M; Barlund, I; Dubel, A; Sendzimir, J

2011 Theoretical - - Backcasting



ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment

Rounsevell, MDA; Metzger, MJ

2004 Climate change Exploratory Intuitive Literature review

The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis

Swart, RJ; Raskin, P; Robinson, J

2007 Climate change Exploratory Intuitive -

Participatory scenario analysis for integrated regional modeling

Walz, A; Lardelli, C; Behrendt, H; Gret-Regamey, A; Lundstrom, C; Kytzia, S; Bebi, P

2007 Agriculture Decision Tool

Intuitive Matrix impact

Linking futures across scales: a dialog on multiscale scenarios

Biggs, R; Raudsepp-Hearne, C; Atkinson-Palombo, C; Bohensky, E; Boyd, E; Cundill, G; Fox, H; Ingram, S; Kok, K; Spehar, S; Tengo, M; Timmer, D; Zurek, M

2008 Theoretical - - Multiscale scenarios

Assessment of land degradation susceptibility by scenario analysis: A case study in Southern Tuscany, Italy

Marker, M; Angeli, L; Bottai, L; Costantini, R; Ferrari, R; Innocenti, L; Siciliano, G

2008 Land-use planning services

Exploratory Formal -

Assessing market penetration combining scenario analysis, Delphi, and the technological substitution model: The case of the OLED TV market

Tseng, FM; Cheng, AC; Peng, YN

2009 TV manufacturing Exploratory Intuitive Delphi

Three decades of scenario planning in Shell Cornelius, P; Van De Putte, A; Romani, M


Intuitive Real Options

Improving risk assessment by defining consistent and reliable system scenarios

Mazzorana, B; Hubl, J; Fuchs, S

2009 Forestry Exploratory Formal Impact factors

Using scenarios for roadmapping: The case of clean production

Saritas, O; Aylen, J 2010 Metal Manufacturing Exploratory Intuitive Roadmaps

Scenario building: Uses and abuses Durance, P; Godet, M 2010 Theoretical - - Delphi and Reigner's abacus

Revisiting and extending our understanding of Pierre Wack's the gentle art of re-perceiving

Burt, G 2010 Theoretical - - Literature review

Does scenario planning affect performance? Two exploratory studies

Phelps, R; Chan, C; Kapsalis, SC

2001 Company performance

Decision Tool

Intuitive -

Multiple pasts, converging presents, and alternative futures

List, D 2004 Theoretical - - Scenario network

Scenarios for the Austrian food chain in 2020 and its landscape impacts

Penker, M; Wytrzens, HK 2005 Food services Exploratory Intuitive -







ProcessDesign

Methods / Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Methods for developing multiscale participatory scenarios: Insights from southern Africa and Europe

Kok, K; Biggs, R; Zurek, M 2007 Land degradation Exploratory Intuitive Multiscale Participatory Scenarios

Creativity and dysfunction in strategic processes: The case of scenario planning

MacKay, B; McKiernan, P 2010 Strategy Decision Tool

Intuitive Creativity Process

To boldly go where no man has gone before: integrating cognitive and physical features in scenario studies

Heugens, PPMAR; van Oosterhout, J

2001 Theoretical - - -

Using scenarios to make decisions about the future: anticipatory learning for the adaptive co-management of community forests

Wollenberg, E; Edmunds, D; Buck, L

2000 Forest management Decision Tool

Intuitive Creative visioning

Fuzzy scenario analysis in strategic planning Wang, HF; Chang, WY 2001 Theoretical - - Fuzzy scenarios analysis

Semiconductor capacity planning: stochastic modelingand computational studies

Christie, RME; Wu, SD 2002 Manufacturing Exploratory Formal Multistage stochastic programming

The principles of calculus of behavior scenarios of complex systems in the ECS

Kononov, DA 2002 Theoretical - - -

Chance discovery and scenario analysis McBurney, P; Parsons, S 2003 Theoretical - - -

Strategic choices: Swedish climate intervention policies and the forest industry's role in reducing CO2 emissions

Nystrom, I; Cornland, DW 2003 Forest industry Exploratory Intuitive -

An updated scenario typology van Notten, PWF; Rotmans, J; van Asselt, MBA; Rothman, DS

2003 Theoretical - - VISIONS scenarios

Scenario analysis of freight vehicle accident risks in Taiwan

Tsai, MC; Su, CC 2004 Transportation Exploratory Formal -

Multi-view variation modeling for scenario analysis

America, P; Rommes, E; Obbink, H

2004 Technology foresight Exploratory Formal Multi-view variation modeling

A DSS for water resources management under uncertainty by scenario analysis

Pallottino, S; Sechi, GM; Zuddas, P

2005 Water management Decision Tool

Intuitive -

The future of the red metal – scenario analysis

Kapur, A 2005 Copper production Exploratory Formal -

Future scenarios for a sustainable water sector: A case study from Switzerland

Lienert, J; Monstadt, J; Truffer, B

2006 Water management Exploratory Formal -




Title Autors Year Field Project goals

Process design

Methods/Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Emergent scenarios, synergies and suppressions uncovered within conjoint analysis

Gofman, A 2006 Theoretical - - IdeaMap, Dummy Variable Design and Permuted DesignMethod

An interval fuzzy multiobjective watershed management model for the Lake Qionghai watershed, China

Wang, LJ; Meng, W; Guo, HC; Zhang, ZX; Liu, Y; Fan, YY

2006 Watershed management

Decision Tool

Formal comprehensive analyses

Scenario analysis in environmental impact assessment: Improving explorations of the future

Duinker, PN; Greig, LA 2007 Environment impact Exploratory Intuitive Literature review

Impacts of ubiquitous technology advances on energy consumption in Japan

Matsumoto, M; Hamano, J; Tamura, T; Iguchi, H

2007 IT Exploratory Formal Utility function

Scenario analysis of demand in a technology market using leading indicators

Meixell, MJ; Wu, SD 2001 Semiconductor manufacturing

Exploratory Formal Bayesian structure

An approach to scenario analysis of the sustainability of an industrial sector applied to clothing and textiles in the UK

Allwood, JM; Laursen, SE; Russell, SN; de Rodriguez, CM; Bocken, NMP

2008 Clothing and textiles industry

Exploratory Intuitive Delphi

Scenario building as a tool for planning a sustainable transportation system

Shiftan, Y; Kaplan, S; Hakkert, S

2003 Transportation Decision Tool

Intuitive -

The challenge of the future and the institutionalization of interdisciplinarity: notes on Herman Kahn's legacy

Aligica, PD 2004 Theoretical - - Method of Classes of Variables

Assessment of environmental impacts following alternative agricultural policy scenarios

Barlund, I; Lehtonen, H; Tattari, S

2005 Agriculture Decision Tool

Formal -

Multi-level scenarios for exploring alternative futures for upper tributary watersheds in mainland Southeast Asia

Lebel, L 2006 Landscape planning service

Exploratory Intuitive Multi-level scenarios and multi-level uncertainties

New ways for the integrated appraisal of national energy scenarios: The case of renewable energy use in Austria

Madlener, R; Kowalski, K; Stagl, S

2007 Energy program administration

Exploratory Intuitive PROMETHEE method

'Technology foresight towards 2020 in China': the practice and its impacts

Mu, RP; Ren, ZB; Yuan, S; Qiao, Y

2008 Social science research and development services

Exploratory Intuitive Delphi

Ecological scenarios analyzed and evaluated by a shallow lake model

Kardaetz, S; Strube, T; Bruggemann, R; Nutzmann, G

2008 Environmental consulting services

Exploratory Formal EMMO




Title Autors Year Field Project goals

Process design

Methods/Tools

Qualities 1 2 3 4

Introducing Carbon Constraint in the Steel Sector: ULCOS Scenarios and Economic Modeling

Bellevrat, E; Menanteau, P 2009 Steel industry Exploratory Intuitive POLES model

Causal mapping and scenario building with multiple organisations

Goodier, C; Austin, S; Soetanto, R; Dainty, A

2010 Scenario building in organizations

Exploratory Intuitive Causal mapping

Making territorial scenarios for Europe Dammers, E 2010 Theoretical - - Impact analysis

Multi-scale interaction in local scenario-building A methodological framework

Ozkaynak, B; Rodriguez-Labajos, B

2010 Theoretical - - Multi-scale scenarios

Scenario planning as a networking process Roubelat, F 2000 Theoretical - -

The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning

Bradfield, R; Wright, G; Burt, G; Cairns, G; Van Der Heijden, K

2005 Theoretical - - Literature review

Using foresight methods to anticipate future threats: The case of disease management

Ma, S; Seid, M 2006 Healthcare service Decision Tool

Intuitive assumption-based planning (ABP)

Exploring client scenarios associated with scenario planning

Freeman, O; Pattinson, HM 2010 Strategy Exploratory Intuitive -

Hybrid intelligent scenario generator for business strategic planning by using ANFIS

Moayer, S; Bahri, PA 2009 Theoretical - - ANFIS

Generating networks for strategic planning by successive key factor modification

Powell, JH 2001 Theoretical - - FAR

Scenarios, real options and integrated risk management

Miller, KD; Waller, HG 2003 Management of companies

Decision Tool

Intuitive Real options and Integrated risk management

The role of constructivist learning in scenario planning

Chermack, TJ; van der Merwe, L

2003 Theoretical - - Constructivist learning

Correspondence to what? Coherence to what? What is good scenario-based decision making?

Harries, C 2003 Social change Decision Tool

Intuitive-

How to do strategic supply-chain planning Sodhi, MS 2003 Strategy supply chain Decision Tool

Intuitive Qualitative criteria and linear programming

Scenario planning - lessons for practice from teaching and learning

O'Brien, FA 2004 Theoretical - - PEST analysis, TOWS matrix

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