listed infrastructure funds: comparing and contrasting ... · listed infrastructure funds:...
TRANSCRIPT
Private & confidential
ircp.com
Creating Real Value.
Listed Infrastructure Funds:
Comparing and contrasting subsectors Presentation to Sheffield Life & Pensions Society
23 September 2015
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InfraRed Capital Partners
Contents
Introduction to InfraRed
Listed Infrastructure Funds compared
HICL: social & transport infrastructure
TRIG: renewables infrastructure
Speakers
Harry Seekings,
Director – Infrastructure
Richard Crawford,
Director – Infrastructure
This document is issued by InfraRed Capital Partners Limited (“InfraRed”). This
document is for information and convenient reference, and does not constitute an
offer or solicitation for, or advice that you should enter into, the purchase or sale
of any security or other investment product or investment agreement, or any other
contract agreement or structure whatsoever. Please refer to slide 15 for more
important information.
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InfraRed Capital Partners – Business Overview
Managing over US$8 billion of investors’ equity, we are a leading global investment
manager focused on infrastructure and real estate.
We create real value for our investors, project partners, communities and end users.
International Presence
Primary
Secondary
Europe
Asia
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InfraRed Advises Two Listed Investment Companies
101 36
Source: InfraRed, as at 21 September 2015
www.hicl.com www.trig-ltd.com
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Defence Sixth
Form College
(UK)
High-Speed Line
(Netherlands)
Kicking Horse
Canyon Highway
(Canada)
HICL: Investment focus and examples
Social Infrastructure - Hospitals
- Schools
- Government Buildings
Transport Infrastructure - Rail
- Roads
Other infrastructure, e.g.
- Electricity transmission lines
Source: InfraRed
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TRIG: Investment focus
TRIG invests in:
Onshore windfarms
Solar PV
Geographical focus:
UK
Northern Europe
Source: InfraRed
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TRIG: Examples of Investments
Wind portfolio acquired June 2015 Solar portfolio acquired Aug 2014
Parley Court Farm
24.2 MW
Egmere Airfield
21.2 MW
Penare Farm
11.1 MW
62.5 MW 41.4 MW
138.0 MW
50.6 MW
64.4 MW
75.9 MW
Source: InfraRed
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HICL TRIG
Why do the
assets exist?
Government-sponsored infrastructure
development
Decarbonisation
Energy Security
Technology development
What is
owned?
Contract to design, build, finance,
[operate] & maintain
The power station
An interest in the land
Asset life
Contract typically ~25-30 years
No residual interest / value
Subsidy: 15-25 years
Land lease: 25-40 years
Leverage Typically 80-90% at project-level
Sources
Bank loans
Bond market
Multi-lateral (European
Investment Bank)
Typically 0 - 75% geared
Sources same
Underlying Investment Characteristics
Source: InfraRed
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0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cash flows
Value
Construction
Phase
Years
(Illustration Only)
Typical timing for operational, yield-focused investment
Operation & Maintenance Phase Bidding
Phase
-3 -2 -1 1 2 3
Financial
Close
(Development)
Cash flow from interest on and
repayment of shareholder loans,
and equity dividends
Increased equity
dividend payments
once senior debt is
repaid
Typical Investment Cash Flows
Source: InfraRed
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Typical Investment Risks
HICL TRIG
Revenue
Usually availability-based
May be usage-based
Power sales and
Government-driven subsidy
Performance
risks
Construction and O&M normally
passed down to subcontractors
Counterparty risk (e.g. insolvency)
Production (weather)
Power prices
O&M/lifecycle subcontracted
Operations Manager: RES
Inflation Usually a hedge between revenues
and costs
Some inflation-linking of returns
Same
Interest
rates
Interest on debt facilities either fixed
or hedged
Deposit rates typically floating
Same
Tax Subject to change Same
Political
risks
Assets used in delivery of essential
services
Risk of repatriation seen as low
Regulatory change
Source: InfraRed
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HICL TRIG
Directors
valuation
DCF using 7.9% discount rate1 DCF using 9.0% discount rate1
Valuation
considerations
Risk profile of project
Assessment of quality of cash flows
Macro-economic assumptions (e.g.
inflation, interest rates)
Supply / demand
Plus
Energy yield
Power prices
Residual Value
None Potential for extension /
repowering
Market Cap £2.0bn2 £0.7bn2
Premium to
NAV
12%3 3%3
Yield ~4.9%4 ~6.0%4
Portfolio Value vs. NAV vs. Market Cap
1. Weighted average discount rate used to value portfolio as at 31 March 2015 for HICL and 30 June 2015 for TRIG, the dates of the most recently published accounts / NAV
2. Source: Morningstar (as at 21 September 2015)
3. Premium of market capitalisation at 21 September 2015 over NAV at 31 March 2015 for HICL and 30 June 2015 for TRIG
4. Target dividends for year ending 31 March 2016 (HICL) and 31 December 2015 (TRIG) as a percentage of respective share prices at 21 September 2015
Source: InfraRed
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Market Dynamics
HICL TRIG
Origination
Off-market relationships
Asset auctions
Same
Competition
Other listed funds
Unlisted funds
Direct investors (e.g. pension funds)
Developers (development stage
projects)
Same
Stage of
evolution
Mature market
Interest in asset class shows no sign
of diminishing
Source of future deal flow evolving
Market still maturing, with
strong deal flow
Source: InfraRed
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HICL TRIG
Estimated investor base – by classification
Source: InfraRed. Investor classification compiled from shareholder registers as at June 2015 (HICL) and July 2015 (TRIG)
50%
10%
30%
6% 4%
30%
10%
30%
19%
11%
Retail Multi-managers Pension Funds Insurance companies Other
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Providing attractive long-term, inflation-linked, cash-covered income with
demand for uncorrelated yield
Operational portfolios – defensive across economic cycles
NAV upside from surplus cash re-investment
Importance of expertise and hands-on approach to management
Listed Infrastructure Investment: In Summary
www.hicl.com www.trig-ltd.com
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Important Information
This document is issued by InfraRed Capital Partners Limited (“InfraRed”). This document is for information and convenient reference, and does not constitute an offer or solicitation for, or advice that
you should enter into, the purchase or sale of any security or other investment product or investment agreement, or any other contract agreement or structure whatsoever.
This document is being distributed in the UK to, and is directed only at, persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of "investment
professionals" in Article 19(5) of, or a person falling within Article 49(2) (High Net Worth Companies, etc.) of, the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 of the United
Kingdom (all such persons together being referred to as "relevant persons"). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or this document or any of its
contents. The information in this presentation is given in confidence and the recipients of this presentation should not engage in any behavior in relation to qualifying investments or related investments
(as defined in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 ("FSMA") and the Code of Market Conduct made pursuant to FSMA) which would or might amount to market abuse for the purposes of
FSMA.
InfraRed has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which have not been independently verified. All charts and graphs are sourced or derived from
publicly available sources or proprietary data. Except in the case of fraudulent misrepresentation, InfraRed makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) of any nature or accept any
responsibility or liability of any kind for the accuracy or sufficiency of any information, statement, assumption or projection in this document, or for any loss or damage (whether direct, indirect,
consequential or other) arising out of reliance upon this document. Statements made in this document relating to HICL Infrastructure Company Limited & The Renewables Infrastructure Group or any
other product or investment (the “Products”) are intended as a summary and not a complete description and may be subject to change. InfraRed is under no obligation to keep current the information
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of the investment. Figures included in this document may relate to past performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and there can be no assurance that the
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investors domiciled or with a registered address in the EEA. This may either be through the direct or indirect offering or placement of shares or units in an AIF managed by it or when another person
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InfraRed Capital Partners Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, with firm reference number 195766. Registered in England No. 3364976, Registered Office: 12 Charles
II Street, London, SW1Y 4QU, United Kingdom.