listed insurance companies performance analysis of uae€¦ · out of 30 insurance companies, 9...

31
PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF UAE LISTED INSURANCE COMPANIES FOR NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2019 NOVEMBER 18, 2019

Upload: others

Post on 20-Oct-2020

9 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF UAELISTED INSURANCE COMPANIESFOR NINE MONTHS ENDEDSEPTEMBER 30, 2019

    NOVEMBER 18, 2019

  • ABOUT BADRI

    MANAGEMENT

    CONSULTANCY

    WHAT WE DO

    Badri Management Consultancy is thefastest growing Actuarial ConsultingFirm in the Middle East, recognized forits collaborative approach to workingwith its clients as Profit OptimizingPartners. We are serving as AppointedActuary for over 20 companies in theGCC. In addition we are providingother services including IFRS17Implementations, Development ofERM Framework, Specialized servicesfor Medical Insurance and TPAs,Business Intelligence solutions andEnd of Service Benefits Valuations.

  • VISION

    Solution architectsstrengthening ourpartners to optimizeperformance

    MISSION

    We help our clients be the bestversion of themselves by fosteringpartnerships, challenging normsand providing cutting edgesolutions. We inspire our people toconstantly evolve and chaseexcellence with integrity in adiverse, exciting and growth-oriented culture.

  • CONTENTS

    B A D R I M A N A G E M E N T C O N S U L T A N C YW W W . B A D R I C O N S U L T A N C Y . C O M

    050607

    0910

    Look at The Previous Quarter

    Industry at a Glance

    Gross Written Premium

    Net Earned Premium

    Premiums & Profit Analysis

    12151617182021242526

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit Before & After Investment Income - Overview

    Premium Benchmarked on the Basis of Profitability

    Net Technical Provisions

    Net Reserves as Percentage of Net Written Premium

    Loss Ratio and Combined Ratio Overview

    Expense Ratio

    Return on Equity

    Cash to Invested Asset Ratio

    Insurance Receivables

    Conclusion 27

    About Our Team 29

    11Retention Ratio

    08Conventional Vs Takaful

    Summary 28

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    5

    Look at the Previous Quarter

    The total written premium of the Industry for the half-year ended 2019 was estimated to be AED 13.7

    Billion which shows a growth of 9% from 2018-H1.

    Based on the premium estimations of the past four half-years, CAGR of the Industry from 2016-2019 is

    computed to be 9%.

    The Insurance Industry has exhibited a slightly increasing trend in Loss and Combined ratios in the

    first half of 2019, when compared with the corresponding period of 2018. The Loss and Combined

    Ratios for the market during 2019-Q2 stood at 60% and 90% respectively.

    The Insurance industry represents a total of 30 listed Companies for this report analysis.

    13.7B

    Billio

    n

    9% CAG

    R

    AED

    CAGR

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    6

    Industry at a Glance

    The total written premium of the Industry for the 2019-Q3 was estimated to be AED 18.8 billion which

    shows a growth of 10% from 2018-Q3.

    Based on the premium estimations of the past five years, CAGR of the Industry from 2015-2019 is

    computed to be 8%.

    The Insurance Industry has exhibited a slightly increasing trend in Loss and Combined ratios in the

    nine months of 2019, when compared with the corresponding period of 2018. The Loss and Combined

    Ratios for the market during 2019-Q3 stood at 61% and 92% respectively.

    The analysis carried is for 30 listed Companies of the Industry in this report. AKIC is excluded from

    certain KPIs where it was acting as an outlier.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    -

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3 2019-Q3

    Loss

    & C

    om

    bin

    d r

    atio

    AED

    Bill

    ion

    s

    GWP Loss Ratio Combined Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    7

    Total Gross premiums written by the insurance

    companies in 2019-Q3 stood at AED 18.8 billion an

    increase of 10% from AED 17.1 billion in 2018-Q3.

    The written premium of top 5 companies amounted to

    AED 10.6 billion which makes up 57% of the market

    share for 2019-Q3.

    ADNIC, ORIENT and OIC have maintained their position

    in the top ranks from half-year ended 2019 and year-

    ended 2018.

    The highest growth for the period 2019-Q3 was shown by ABNIC with 102% growth from the corresponding period

    of 2018. AKIC experienced the biggest decline in the written premiums from a business of AED 39 million in 2018-

    Q3 to AED 96 thousand. Excluding this outlier, the biggest decline is experienced by ASCANA, of 17%.

    Overall, the listed companies have shown a sizable growth of 10% in written premiums in 2019-Q3; of the 30

    companies considered, 18 companies displayed an increase in premiums over previous period, while 12 companies

    saw premiums decline.

    Gross Written Premium

    Gross Written Premium

    Retention RatioGross Written Premium

    Gross Written Premium

    Retention Ratio

    Profit before and after Investment Income - OverviewRetention RatioGross Written Premium

    Gross Written Premium

    Retention RatioGross Written Premium

    Gross Written Premium

    Retention Ratio

    Profit before and after Investment Income - OverviewRetention Ratio

    Profit before and after Investment Income - Overview

    Profit before and after Investment Income - OverviewRetention Ratio

    Profit before and after Investment Income - OverviewRetention RatioGross Written Premium

    2% 34%-4%

    13%-27%

    -500

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    ORIENT ADNIC OIC EIC AAAICA

    ED M

    illio

    ns

    TOP 5

    GWP 2019-Q3 GWP 2018-Q3

    14%102%

    92% 0%

    5% 34%-5%

    30%

    11% 4% 15% 6% -4% -12% -3% 63% 4% 19% 0% -9% 67%-17%

    18% -15%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    SALA

    MA

    AB

    NIC

    DIN

    UN

    ION

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    RA

    KN

    IC

    NG

    I

    TKFL

    ASN

    IC

    DN

    IR

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    DH

    AFR

    A

    MET

    HA

    Q

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    OU

    TFL

    AFN

    IC IH

    AM

    AN

    AW

    NIC

    UFI

    ASC

    AN

    A

    GC

    IC

    SIC

    O

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    Others

    GWP 2019-Q3 GWP 2018-Q3

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    8

    The 30 listed companies of insurance

    market of UAE have witnessed a

    significant growth of 10% compared from

    2018-Q3.

    The highest growth over the last five

    periods was witnessed in 2017-Q3 of 15%

    which was due to IA imposed minimum

    and maximum tariffs for Motor LOB

    which were materially higher than the

    existing rates and new benefits for the

    Industry.

    Out of 30 Insurance Companies, 9

    operate as Takaful insurers in the UAE

    Market.

    The proportion of business written by

    Takaful companies in nine months of 2019

    have remained similar to that of

    corresponding period of 2018.

    Although the overall profits before tax

    have witnessed a decline, the listed takaful

    insurers saw a decline of 26% from 2018-Q3

    and the conventional companies exhibited

    no significant changes in profits for the

    period.

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3 2019-Q3

    AED

    Bill

    ion

    s

    GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM GROWTH TREND

    GWP Growth %

    16 14

    33

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    GWP 2019-Q3 GWP 2018-Q3

    AED

    Bill

    ion

    s TAKAFUL & CONVENTIONAL BUSINESS DISTRIBUTUON

    Conventional Takaful

    Conventional Vs Takaful

    11% 10%

    -26%

    0%

    -30%

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Takaful Conventional

    BUSINESS GROWTH FOR CONVENTIONAL & TAKAFUL INSURERS

    Premium Growth Profit Growth

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    9

    Net Earned Premiums

    4%

    -11%

    2%

    22%

    16%

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    OIC ADNIC ORIENT SALAMA EIC

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    TOP 5

    NEP 2019-Q3 NEP 2018-Q3

    Total net earned premiums written by the Listed

    Insurance Companies in 2019-Q3 stood at AED 7.28

    billion with a decrease of 0.8% from AED 7.34 billion

    from the corresponding period of 2018.

    The earned premium of top 5 companies was AED 4.1

    billion which makes up 56% of the market share for

    2019-Q3.

    ADNIC, ORIENT, EIC and OIC have maintained their

    position in the top ranks in net earned premiums as

    well.

    The highest growth of the 2019-Q3 was shown by OUTFL with a growth of 116% from the corresponding period of

    2018. While the biggest decline of 83% was exhibited by AKIC.

    Overall, the market has shown a decline of 0.8% in earned premiums for the nine months of 2019. When compared

    with corresponding period of 2018, 17 companies displayed an increase in net earned premiums over previous

    period, while 13 companies saw net earned premiums decline.

    -19% 51%

    14%

    -34%

    2%13%

    5% 23%-13% -3% 21%

    -16% -52% 2% 2% 1%-2%

    -26%

    -10%90% -19%116%

    1% -4%

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    UN

    ION

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    RA

    KN

    IC

    AA

    AIC

    NG

    I

    ASN

    IC

    AFN

    IC

    TKFL

    AB

    NIC

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    AW

    NIC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    MET

    HA

    Q IH

    DIN

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    DN

    IR

    ASC

    AN

    A

    DH

    AFR

    A

    UFI

    AM

    AN

    OU

    TFL

    GC

    IC

    SIC

    O

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    Others

    NEP 2019-Q3 NEP 2018-Q3

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    10

    Premiums & Profit analysis

    The graph represents the summary of premium and profitability growth of the Companies for the nine months

    ended of 2019. Companies exhibiting profit and/or premium growth rate higher than 50% are not displayed in the

    graph above to avoid distortion in presentation.

    UFI, OUTFL and DIN exhibited Gross Premium and Profit growth higher than 50% when compared with last year.

    ORIENT

    ADNIC

    OIC

    EIC

    AAAIC

    SALAMA

    UNION

    RAKNIC

    NGI

    TKFL

    ASNIC

    DNIR

    DARTAKAFUL

    WATANIA

    DHAFRA

    METHAQ

    ALLIANCE

    AFNIC

    IH

    AMAN

    AWNIC

    ASCANA

    GCIC

    SICO

    -100%

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    Pro

    fit

    Gro

    wth

    Premium Growth

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    11

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premiums to gross written premium

    The weighted average retention ratio for the 30 listed companies stood at 42% (2018-Q3: 45% and 2017-Q3: 45%).

    The highest retention for the 2019-Q3 was at 79% reflected by AFNIC while the lowest of 15% is exhibited by DIN

    after excluding AKIC, which was acting as an outlier with retention ratio of 1,781%.

    Although there may be exceptions, retention ratios are generally reflective of lines of business being

    underwritten; Motor and Medical generally tend to have high retention ratios while commercial lines such as

    Aviation, Engineering and Fire tend to have lower retention. Also, since this analysis does not segregate Life

    and Non-Life business. The Companies writing higher volumes of life especially IL and PA would also tend to

    show higher retention levels.

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    AFN

    IC

    ASC

    AN

    A

    GC

    IC

    SALA

    MA

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    ASN

    IC IH

    AW

    NIC

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    SIC

    O

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    RA

    KN

    IC EIC

    TKFL

    NG

    I

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    UN

    ION

    OIC

    MET

    HA

    Q

    UFI

    AM

    AN

    DN

    IR

    OR

    IEN

    T

    AD

    NIC

    DH

    AFR

    A

    OU

    TFL

    AA

    AIC

    AB

    NIC

    DIN

    RETENTION RATIO

    Retention Ratio 2019-Q3 Weighted Average Retention Ratio

    Retention Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    12

    The profit growths have declined over the

    period. In 2018-Q3, the profit for the listed

    companies was at AED 1.42 billion. Whereas,

    the current quarter resulted in profits of AED

    1.37 billion, a 3% decline from corresponding

    period of 2018.

    Orient has booked the highest profits

    consecutively. Profit for 2019-Q3 by ORIENT

    amounted AED 353 Million which depicts a

    growth of 1%.

    ORIENT, ADNIC, OIC and EIC have

    maintained their ranks in top 5 when

    compared from the corresponding period of

    2018.

    The profits for the Top 5 companies

    amounted to AED 859 Million which is an

    increase of 6% from 2018-Q3, and the profit

    share of top 5 companies represents 63% of

    the total profit of the listed companies in

    UAE.

    During the nine months of 2019, TAKAFUL-

    EM experienced the highest net losses of

    AED 17.6 million from making profits in the

    corresponding period of 2018. Whereas,

    UFI saw a growth of 198% in profits and

    moved its books from loss making to

    profitable.

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    1%

    -11%

    60%

    12%4%

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    ORIENT ADNIC OIC EIC DHAFRA

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    sTOP 5 COMPANIES

    Profit 2019-Q3 Profit 2018-Q3

    -294%

    76%45%

    -94% 198%

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    OU

    TFL

    GC

    IC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    UFI

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    BOTTOM 5

    Profit 2019-Q3 Profit 2018-Q3

    -10%

    40%

    90%

    140%

    190%

    240%

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3 2019-Q3

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    PROFIT GROWTH TREND

    Profit Growth

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    13

    The total profit for 2019-Q3 amounted to AED 1.37 Billion compared to AED 1.42 Billion recorded

    for 2018-Q3 which shows decline of 3%.

    The highest profit growth of 198% is observed by UFI, which moved their financial position

    from losses in 2018-Q3 to making profits in 2019-Q3. The biggest decline of 294% for the period

    was recorded by TAKAFUL-EM, it recorded losses in 2019-Q3 from making profit when

    compared with corresponding period of 2018.

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Loss Ratio and Combined RatioProfit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    11% 62%

    0% -18% -2%-7% -56%

    -14% -21%

    79% -26%

    -28% -32%-20% 28% 10% 10%

    -62% 139% -64%

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    TKFL

    DIN

    DN

    IR

    SALA

    MA

    AA

    AIC

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    AW

    NIC

    AB

    NIC

    NG

    I

    UN

    ION

    AFN

    IC

    ASN

    IC

    ASC

    AN

    A

    SIC

    O IH

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    AM

    AN

    MET

    HA

    Q

    AK

    IC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    OTHERS

    Profit 2019-Q3 Profit 2018-Q3

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    14

    Investment Income has contributed in generating profits for some companies. Insurance companies that

    recorded losses from their underwriting business were able to make profits from their investments.

    This shows that there is a room for improvement in their underwriting strategies in the market because the

    primary source for generating profits should be from insurance activities for insurance companies.

    ment Income has contributed in generating profits for some companies. Insurance companies that recorded

    losses from their underwriting business were able to make profits from their investments.

    This shows that there is a room for improvement in their underwriting strategies in the market because the

    primary source for generating profits should be from insurance activities for insurance companies.

    Net Technical ProvisionsInvestment Income has contributed in generating profits for some companies. Insurance

    companies that recorded losses from their underwriting business were able to make profits from their

    investments.

    This shows that there is a room for improvement in their underwriting strategies in the market because the

    primary source for generating profits should be from insurance activities for insurance companies.

    Investment Income has contributed in generating profits for some companies. Insurance companies that

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Loss Ratio and Combined RatioProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Loss Ratio and Combined Ratio

    Loss and Expense Ratio OverviewLoss Ratio and Combined RatioProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Loss Ratio and Combined RatioProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    OR

    IEN

    T

    AD

    NIC

    OIC

    SALA

    MA

    EIC

    DH

    AFR

    A

    DIN

    TKFL

    AW

    NIC

    ASN

    IC

    AA

    AIC

    DN

    IR

    AB

    NIC

    AFN

    IC

    UN

    ION

    WA

    TAN

    IA IH

    NG

    I

    MET

    HA

    Q

    ASC

    AN

    A

    SIC

    O

    AM

    AN

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    UFI

    GC

    IC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    OU

    TFL

    AK

    IC

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    PROFIT COMPOSITION - UNDERWRITTING & INVESTMENT INCOME

    Profit Before Investement 2019-Q3 Investement Income 2019-Q3

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    15

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    ORIENT ADNIC OIC SALAMA EIC

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s TOP 5 COMPANIES

    Profit Before Investement 2019-Q3 Investement Income 2019-Q3

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    DH

    AFR

    A

    DIN

    TKFL

    AW

    NIC

    ASN

    IC

    AA

    AIC

    DN

    IR

    AB

    NIC

    AFN

    IC

    UN

    ION

    WA

    TAN

    IA IH

    NG

    I

    MET

    HA

    Q

    ASC

    AN

    A

    SIC

    O

    AM

    AN

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    UFI

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s REMAINING COMPANIES

    Profit Before Investement 2019-Q3 Investement Income 2019-Q3

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    UFI

    GC

    IC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    OU

    TFL

    AK

    IC

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    BOTTOM 5 COMPANIES

    Profit Before Investement 2019-Q3 Investement Income 2019-Q3

    Profit Before & After Investment Income - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - OverviewPremium Benchmarked on the Basis of Profitability

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewPremium Benchmarked on the Basis of Profitability

    Profit (Before Tax) - Overview

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewProfit (Before Tax) - OverviewPremium Benchmarked on the Basis of Profitability

    Profit (Before Tax) - OverviewPremium Benchmarked on the Basis of Profitability

    The above is sorted by profits before investment income

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    16

    Premium Benchmarked on The Basis of Profitability

    The top four companies continued to maintain their positions with respect to profits and gross written premium. This shows that, listed companies like ORIENT, ADNIC, OIC and EIC seem to built up large and profitable books of business.

    Gross Premium Profit

    ORIENT 1 1 #

    ADNIC 2 2 #

    OIC 3 3 #

    EIC 4 4 #

    AAAIC 5 10 (5)

    SALAMA 6 9 (3)

    ABNIC 7 13 (6)

    DIN 8 7 1

    UNION 9 15 (6)

    TAKAFUL-EM 10 30 (20)

    RAKNIC 11 27 (16)

    NGI 12 14 (2)

    TKFL 13 6 7

    ASNIC 14 17 (3)

    DNIR 15 8 7

    DARTAKAFUL 16 25 (9)

    WATANIA 17 21 (4)

    DHAFRA 18 5 13

    METHAQ 19 23 (4)

    ALLIANCE 20 11 9

    OUTFL 21 29 (8)

    AFNIC 22 16 6

    IH 23 20 3

    AMAN 24 22 2

    AWNIC 25 12 13

    UFI 26 26 #

    ASCANA 27 18 9

    GCIC 28 28 #

    SICO 29 19 10

    AKIC 30 24 6

    CompanyRanking

    Indic

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    17

    Total Net reserves as at 2019-Q3 increased by 2% when compared with the corresponding period on 2018-Q3. OIC

    in term of booking technical provisions secured the highest rank. The ranking of top 5 companies when in terms

    of Net technical provisions have remained identical to that of corresponding period of 2018.

    Net Technical Provisions Net Technical Provisions

    Net Technical Provisions Net Technical Provisions

    Net Technical Provisions Net Technical Provisions

    Net Technical Provisions Net Technical Provisions

    2%

    -16%

    9%

    7%

    12%

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    OIC ADNIC ORIENT AMAN EIC

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    TOP 5 COMPANIES

    Claims Reserves 2019-Q3 Claims Reserves 2018-Q3

    0%

    12%

    14% 56%

    -4%6% -11% 40% 29%

    8% 7%-5% 8% -38% 23%

    7% 7% -17% -11% 28% -21% 75% 15% -12%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    SALA

    MA

    TKFL

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    AA

    AIC

    NG

    I

    UN

    ION

    ASN

    IC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    AB

    NIC

    AFN

    IC

    AW

    NIC

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    MET

    HA

    Q

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL IH

    DN

    IR

    DH

    AFR

    A

    ASC

    AN

    A

    UFI

    DIN

    OU

    TFL

    GC

    IC

    SIC

    O

    AED

    Mill

    ion

    s

    REMAINING COMPANIES

    Claims Reserves 2019-Q3 Claims Reserves 2018-Q3

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    18

    Net Reserves as Percentage of Net Written Premium

    Aman and Alliance Insurance were observed to be outliers due to their Individual life mathematical reserve

    amounting to AED 22 million and AED 565 million respectively .These proportion of Individual life mathematical

    reserve over net reserves is around 89% and 94% respectively which presents a big proportion in comparison

    to other life companies who have large portfolio of Individual life business. Hence, they have been excluded

    from the above analysis.

    0%

    50%

    100%

    150%

    200%

    250%

    TKFL

    AD

    NIC

    SIC

    O

    DH

    AFR

    A

    MET

    HA

    Q

    GC

    IC

    AA

    AIC

    AW

    NIC

    OIC EIC

    AB

    NIC

    NG

    I

    OR

    IEN

    T

    ASN

    IC

    DN

    IR

    UFI

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    AFN

    IC

    ASC

    AN

    A

    OU

    TFL

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL IH

    RA

    KN

    IC

    SALA

    MA

    UN

    ION

    DIN

    RESERVES AS % OF NET WRITTEN PREMIUMS

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    19

    Weighted average loss and combined ratio

    had a declining trend over the past few

    years until 2018-Q3. This year we have seen

    an increase as compared to the previous

    year. The gap between Combined and Loss

    ratio has also seen an increase to 31% in

    2019-Q3 as compared to 30% in 2018-Q3 and

    28% in 2017-Q3.

    The weighted average loss and combined ratio

    increased slightly when compared to the

    corresponding period of 2018.

    For 2019-Q3, the highest combined ratio of 367% was

    reflected by AKIC whereas the lowest loss ratio was

    also depicted by AKIC with 96%. The company is acting

    as an outlier and is been removed from the analysis

    due to presentation purposes.

    Excluding AKIC, the highest combined ratio is

    exhibited by GCIC at 122% whereas; the lowest

    combined ratio is evident for DHAFRA.

    For Takaful companies we have consolidated the

    policyholders and shareholders P&L for comparative

    purposes. A company is deemed to be profitable from an

    underwriting perspective if the combined ratio is below

    100%.

    Loss Ratio is computed as Net Incurred Claims over Net

    Earned Premium.

    Combined Ratio is calculated as ratio of net Incurred

    Claims along with expenses and net commissions over net

    earned premiums.

    Loss Ratio and Combined Ratio

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    GC

    IC

    OU

    TFL

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM U

    FI

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    RA

    KN

    IC

    AB

    NIC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    NG

    I

    MET

    HA

    Q

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    ASC

    AN

    A

    UN

    ION IH

    AM

    AN

    OIC

    SALA

    MA

    AD

    NIC

    AA

    AIC

    AFN

    IC EIC

    AW

    NIC

    SIC

    O

    ASN

    IC

    OR

    IEN

    T

    TKFL

    DN

    IR

    DIN

    DH

    AFR

    A

    LOSS & COMBINED RATIO

    Loss Ratio 2019-Q3 Combined Ratio 2019-Q3 Weighted Avgerage Loss Ratio Weighted Avgerage Combined Ratio

    78%71%

    63% 59% 61%

    100% 98%92% 89% 92%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3 2019-Q3

    LOSS & COMBINED RATIO

    Loss Ratio Combined Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    20

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and

    GCIC have relatively low loss ratios however, the expenses push the combined ratios well above

    100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies.

    Loss and Expense Ratio Overview

    Loss and Expense Ratio Overview

    Loss and Expense Ratio Overview

    Loss and Expense Ratio Overview

    The above is sorted in respect with loss ratio of the companies. As evident from above UFI and ALLIANCE have low loss ratios well below 100%, however, the expenses push the combined ratios above 100% resulting in underwriting loss for the companies. AKIC have been excluded for the fact that it was an outlier with loss ratio and expense ratio at -96% and 463% respectively.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    AB

    NIC

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    MET

    HA

    Q

    AD

    NIC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    ASN

    IC

    GC

    IC

    OIC

    OU

    TFL

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    AA

    AIC

    NG

    I

    WA

    TAN

    IA IH

    ASC

    AN

    A

    AFN

    IC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    AW

    NIC

    OR

    IEN

    T

    EIC

    SIC

    O

    UN

    ION

    AM

    AN

    DIN UFI

    DN

    IR

    SALA

    MA

    DH

    AFR

    A

    TKFL

    Loss and Expense Ratio

    Loss Ratio 2019-Q3 Expense Ratio 2019-Q3

    The graph comprises of all the expenses recorded for the period by the listed companies, including other operational expenses. Over the years, the listed companies have witnessed a gradual but rising expense trend. If the same trend is to continue in future, the combined ratio for the listed companies will cross 100% mark.

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    30.0%

    35.0%

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3 2019-Q3

    EXPENSE RATIO 5 - YEAR TREND

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    21

    Expense Ratio

    The above ratio has been computed as General and administrative expense as a percentage of Net Earned Premium. According to the above, the highest expense ratio during 2019-Q3 was 56% reflected by SICO, while the lowest expense ratio of 14% being exhibited by SALAMA. The weighted average ratio for the industry stood at 23%. AKIC was excluded from the above as it was an outlier. The larger business written reduces the expense ratios. However, taking earned premiums as base the lowest G&A expense ratio when analyzed by gross written premium for DIN and ABNIC has shifted on higher side. The expense ratio is worked out as: Expense Ratio = General and administrative expense as a percentage of Net Earned Premium

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    SIC

    O

    AM

    AN

    UFI

    GC

    IC

    DH

    AFR

    A

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    AB

    NIC

    TKFL

    AA

    AIC

    OU

    TFL

    AFN

    IC IH

    DIN

    NG

    I

    MET

    HA

    Q

    ASC

    AN

    A

    UN

    ION

    AW

    NIC

    DN

    IR

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    OR

    IEN

    T

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    ASN

    IC EIC

    AD

    NIC

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    OIC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    SALA

    MA

    G&A EXPENSE AS A RATIO OF NET EARNED PREMIUM

    G&A Expenses Ratio 2019-Q3 Weighted Average Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    22

    Expense Ratio

    The highest expense ratio for the 2019-Q3 was recorded by SICO at 30%, while the lowest expense ratio of 4% being reflected by DIN. The weighted average ratio for the industry stood at 9%. It is commonly believed that G&A expense ratio should be analyzed on the basis of gross written premiums for the company hence, the same is included in our analysis. AKIC was excluded from the above analysis because it was an outlier. However, as may be expected, larger companies that have extensive business scale have lower expense ratio, as they have sufficient business to absorb the cost base. Expense Ratio = General and administrative expense as a percentage of Gross Written Premium For Takaful companies, same has been used for comparative purposes and wakala fees is ignored, as wakala fees is a positive in one account and a negative in the other.

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    SIC

    O

    GC

    IC

    AFN

    IC

    ASC

    AN

    A

    AW

    NIC IH

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    UFI

    AM

    AN

    MET

    HA

    Q

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    TKFL

    NG

    I

    ASN

    IC

    DH

    AFR

    A

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    UN

    ION

    SALA

    MA

    WA

    TAN

    IA EIC

    RA

    KN

    IC

    OIC

    AA

    AIC

    DN

    IR

    OU

    TFL

    OR

    IEN

    T

    AD

    NIC

    AB

    NIC

    DIN

    G&A EXPENSE AS A RATIO OF GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM

    G&A Expenses Ratio 2019-Q3 Weighted Average Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    23

    The highest commission expense ratio was for SALAMA at 48%, whereas the lowest commission ratio was recorded by ABNIC at -36%. Industry's average was at 6% for commission expense. The commission expense considered is the net commission (commissions paid less commissions earned); a negative ratio signifies that the commissions earned outweigh the commissions paid. In UAE market, it is common practice for companies to cede out large proportion of commercial lines business and benefit from the reinsurance commissions, which is also evidenced by the low net commission ratio. It is felt that there is an inherent need to optimize reinsurance arrangements so that companies can benefit from underwriting profitable business without passing the risk and reward to re-insurers and just acting as fronting partners; at the same time not effecting their solvency position.

    Expense Ratio

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    SALA

    MA

    UFI

    DN

    IR

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    RA

    KN

    IC EIC

    OU

    TFL

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    ASC

    AN

    A

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    GC

    IC

    AM

    AN

    UN

    ION

    OIC

    NG

    I

    TKFL

    AFN

    IC

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    OR

    IEN

    T IH

    AK

    IC

    AW

    NIC

    ASN

    IC

    AD

    NIC

    AA

    AIC

    SIC

    O

    DH

    AFR

    A

    DIN

    MET

    HA

    Q

    AB

    NIC

    COMISSION EXPENSE RATIO

    Commission Expense Ratio 2019-Q3 Weighted Average Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    24

    The shareholders of the listed insurance companies had been experiencing the increasing ROE over the periods. The

    ROE for the period under analysis was at 8%. This is slightly lower from the corresponding period of 2018 however, it

    is stable.

    The highest return on equity of 19% was reflected by AMAN whereas the lowest return on equity of -11% depicted

    by TAKAFUL-EM. The average for the industry was at 8% (2018-Q3: 9%, 2017-Q3: 8%)

    The return on equity is calculated as a ratio of net profit recorded for 2019-Q3 to a total of shareholder's equity

    at the beginning of the period.

    Return on Equity

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3 2019-Q3

    RETURN ON EQUITY TREND

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    AM

    AN

    DH

    AFR

    A

    TKFL

    OR

    IEN

    T

    DIN IH

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    AFN

    IC

    AD

    NIC EIC

    DN

    IR

    OIC

    UN

    ION

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    NG

    I

    SIC

    O

    MET

    HA

    Q

    SALA

    MA

    ASC

    AN

    A

    AB

    NIC

    AW

    NIC

    ASN

    IC

    AA

    AIC

    AK

    IC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    UFI

    RA

    KN

    IC

    GC

    IC

    OU

    TFL

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    RETURN ON EQUITY FOR LISTED COMPANIES

    ROE 2019-Q3 Weighted Avgerage Ratio

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    25

    Cash to Invested Asset Ratio

    Insurance Receivables Cash to Invested Asset Ratio

    Insurance Receivables

    Conclusion Insurance Receivables Cash to Invested Asset Ratio

    Insurance Receivables Cash to Invested Asset Ratio

    The above ratio illustrates the ratio of cash deposits to total invested assets. Weighted average ratio

    for the listed companies of UAE was 36%. With OUTFL having the highest levels of 100% invested assets

    maintained as cash, while the lowest cash ratio was maintained by AWNIC at 9%.

    The asset mix compares the invested assets as a proportion of total assets for the listed companies for the 2019-Q3. AWNIC had the highest proportion of 86% of invested assets, while the lowest proportion of 4% was witnessed by OUTFL. The above chart is sorted according to invested assets for the companies.

    The asset mix compares the invested assets as a proportion of total assets for the listed companies for the first half 2019. AWNIC had the highest proportion of 85% of invested assets, while the lowest proportion of 4% was witnessed by OUTFL. The above chart is sorted according to invested assets for

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    OU

    TFL

    OR

    IEN

    T

    TK

    FL

    RA

    KN

    IC

    ALL

    IAN

    CE IH

    SA

    LAM

    A

    GC

    IC

    UFI

    DH

    AFR

    A

    NG

    I

    AA

    AIC

    UN

    ION

    AFN

    IC

    ASN

    IC

    WA

    TA

    NIA

    ASC

    AN

    A

    DA

    RT

    AK

    AFU

    L

    AB

    NIC

    ME

    TH

    AQ

    AD

    NIC

    DIN EIC

    OIC

    SIC

    O

    DN

    IR

    TA

    KA

    FUL-

    EM

    AM

    AN

    AW

    NIC

    AK

    IC

    CASH RATIO

    Cash to Invested Assets Ratio Weighted Average Cash to Invested Assets Ratio

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    AW

    NIC

    GC

    IC

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    AM

    AN

    AK

    IC

    ASC

    AN

    A

    AFN

    IC

    SIC

    O

    TKFL

    DN

    IR

    NG

    I

    ASN

    IC

    DH

    AFR

    A

    AB

    NIC EIC

    AD

    NIC

    OIC IH

    OR

    IEN

    T

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    MET

    HA

    Q

    DIN

    RA

    KN

    IC

    UFI

    UN

    ION

    SALA

    MA

    WA

    TAN

    IA

    AA

    AIC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    OU

    TFL

    Asset Mix

    Invested Assets Non-Invested Assets

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    26

    The insurance receivables are computed as a ratio of Insurance receivables of the company over gross written

    premium of last 12 months.

    The highest receivable ratio was observed by SICO at 102%, while the lowest receivables were recorded by TKFL

    around 9%.

    AKIC was not included in the above as it was acting as an outlier and was distorting the presentation.

    The weighted average insurance receivables for the listed companies works out to be 29% for the 2019-Q3.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    SIC

    O

    MET

    HA

    Q

    AB

    NIC

    UN

    ION

    RA

    KN

    IC

    DH

    AFR

    A

    ASN

    IC

    TAK

    AFU

    L-EM

    GC

    IC

    DA

    RTA

    KA

    FUL

    EIC

    UFI

    WA

    TAN

    IA IH

    DIN

    NG

    I

    OR

    IEN

    T

    DN

    IR

    AFN

    IC

    OU

    TFL

    AD

    NIC

    ALL

    IAN

    CE

    AW

    NIC

    AA

    AIC

    SALA

    MA

    OIC

    AM

    AN

    ASC

    AN

    A

    TKFL

    Insurance Receivables

    Insurance Receivables

    Conclusion Insurance Receivables

    Conclusion Insurance Receivables

    Conclusion Insurance Receivables

  • www.b a dr i co nsu lt a nc y. co m

    27

    The listed companies of UAE recorded a positive growth of 10% in Gross Premiums in the nine months ended of 2019 from the corresponding period of 2018. However, a slight contradicting trend in Net earned premiums is observed with Net earned premiums declining by 0.8%. The profits in the nine months of 2019 have observed a decline of 3% when compared with the corresponding period of 2018. The total premiums written, by the listed insurance companies, during 2019-Q3 amounted to AED 18.8 billion, as compared to the premium written in the corresponding period of 2018 of AED 17.1 billion. The average premium retention ratio was at 42% for 2019-Q3. Total Profit by the listed insurance companies, for the period 2019-Q3 amounted to AED 1.36 Billion compared to profits of corresponding period of AED 1.4 Billion. The average loss ratio for all companies analyzed was 61% and average combined ratio was at 92%. This was slightly higher than witnessed in 2018-Q3 (loss ratio 2018 Q3: 59%, combined ratio: 89%)

    Conclusion

  • GWP GROWTH T IM E L I N E

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3

    13.5 Bi l l ion

    2019-Q3

    14.7 Bi l l ion 16.6 Bi l l ion 17.09 Bil l ion 18.7 Bi l l ion

    S U M M A R Y

    2 0 1 9 - Q 3

    CombinedRatio

    Loss Ratio

    PRO F I T GROWTH T IM E L I N E

    2015-Q3 2016-Q3 2017-Q3 2018-Q3

    235 Mil l ion

    2019-Q3

    733 Mil l ion 1.17 Bil l ion 1.42 Bil l ion 1.36 Bi l l ion

    CAGR

    GWP Growth

    8%

    92%61%

    ABNIC

    HighestGrowth in

    GWP

    102%

    UFI

    HighestGrowth in

    Profi t

    198%

    B A D R I M A N A G E M E N T C O N S U L T A N C YW W W . B A D R I C O N S U L T A N C Y . C O M

  • ABOUT OURTEAM

    UAE/OMAN

    ACTUARIAL

    KSA

    ACTUARIAL

    EOS

    Our team has grown to 60 at end of September 2019 and on abroad level divided into the following focus areas.

    MEDICAL

    BUSINESS

    INTELLIGENCE

    25 STAFF

    9 STAFF

    8 STAFF

    8 STAFF

    5 STAFF

    SUPPORT FUNCTIONS 5 STAFF

  • GET IN TOUCH WITH US !

    D I S C L A I M E R

    The data represented in our report was gathered from publiclyavailable information, and the financial statements released by thecompanies. We have undertaken an analysis of the Key Performance Indicators(KPIs) of the listed insurance for the 2019-Q3. The data has beenextracted from 2019-Q3 financial statements of those companieswhich were publicly listed. While we have tried to ensure accuracy in the data input andevaluation process, in view of the natural scope for human and/ormechanical error, either at input or during analysis, we accept noliability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors,inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of this publication. If youcome across an error or have a query, do write to us.Due to limited information we are unable to segregate between lifeand non-life. Once all companies start publishing financial statementswith uniform level of segregation, this can be done.In certain cases, we needed to combine certain items together forcomparison purposes. E.g. Where XOL  Reinsurance Premium hasbeen shown separately we have added it to Reinsurance Premiumexpense and deducted from Net Earned Premium.

    www.linkedin.com/company/badri-management-consultancy

    +971-4-3207-250

    http://www.badriconsultancy.com/http://www.linkedin.com/company/badri-management-consultancy

  • F E E D B A C K

    Badri Management Consultancy is proud to present the 2019-Q3 report. We have adedicated team that is working on research to bring you research reports. Our doorsare open for your feedback, and we welcome them. Feel free to inquire about thereport. To get in touch with our team contact us at [email protected]

    GET IN TOUCH WITH US !

    www.badriconsultancy.com/

    www.linkedin.com/company/badri-management-consultancy

    +971-4-3207-250

    http://www.badriconsultancy.com/http://www.linkedin.com/company/badri-management-consultancy

    Cover page Updated (18, nov)First 2 pagesContent pages After About BadriQ3 REPORTS BGW - MSInfographics (4)Last three pages