LOGISTICS SUPPORT (POL)

FUEL PROVISIONS

UNIT VESSEL INVOLVED

DURATION (IN HOURS)

ADO (LITERS)

GASOLINE LO

1 LSV 72 38,880 600 1442 JCPV 72 64,800 600 1442 MINERVA

72 95,040 600 144

Total 198,720 1,800 432

HEADQUARTERS, NORTHERN LUZON COMMANDCAMP SERVILLANO AQUINO, TARLAC

CONOPS BRIEF

10 July 2014

Scope

Situation Brief by ACUCS for Intel, U2 Concept of Operations Brief by ACUCS for

Opns, U3 Concept of Support Brief by ACUCS for

CMO, U7 Open Forum Commander’s Guidance

3

SITUATION BRIEF

900 nm

100 nm

N U V A R I A

Devora Island

Lacuha Island

450 nmJ O A

J O A

A I

AI

A I

AI/JOA

ROAD TO CRISIS:• THE RISE TO POWER OF MAURINII ANTONIO DE LOPEZ AS

PRESIDENT OF SRN IN 2003 AFTER A BLOODY COUP DE ETAT LEAD TO THE INTENSIFICATION OF DISPUTE OVER LACUHA ISLAND BETWEEN PHL & NUV

• DE LOPEZ CAUSED FOR THE INCREASED MILITARY SPENDING FOR NAF & RENEWED NATIONALISM OF NUV PEOPLE FOR THE CLAIM OF LACUHA

• RECALLED THE NUV AMBASSADOR TO THE PHL IN FEB 2014 & PUT STRINGENT ECONOMIC MEASURES AGAINST PHL PRODUCTS & SERVICES

• DEPLOYED & CONDUCTED SERIES OF PROVOCATIVE MILITARY EXERCISES NEAR LACUHA

900 nm

100 nm

N U V A R I A

Devora Island

Lacuha Island

450 nm

Friendly SLOCEnemy SLOC

A D I Z

AD

I Z

AD

I Z

ADIZ/SLOCs

S L O C s

S L O C sS L O C sS

L OC

s

WEATHER UPDATE

11 July

11 July

12 July

Legend: 0 - 1 m 1 - 2 m 2 – 3 m 3 – 5 m 5 – 7 m

F O R E C A S T H E I G H T O F WAV E S

12 July 13 July

14 July 15 July 16 July

17 July

IDENTIFIED COG (NUVARIA)

CENTER OF GRAVITY (STRATEGIC) CRITICAL CAPABILITIES

CRITICAL REQUIREMENTS CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES

PRESIDENT DE LOPEZ, SOCIALIST REPUBLIC OF NUVARIA

• STRONG ARMED FORCES • WELL ESTABLISHED INDUSTRIAL

BASE • STRONG POLITICAL BASE• STABLE DOMESTIC ECONOMY

• DWINDLING NATURAL RESOURCES • INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT

STRATEGIC UTILIZATION OF NUVARIA’S INSTRUMENTS OF NATIONAL POWER (DIME- DIPLOMACY, INFORMATION, MILITARY, ECONOMIC)

END STATE: ANNEXATION OF LACUHA ISLAND

IDENTIFIED COG (NUVARIA)

CENTER OF GRAVITY (OPN’L) CRITICAL CAPABILITIES

CRITICAL REQUIREMENTS CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES

JOINT TASK FORCE, NUVARIAN ARMED FORCES

• CONDUCT OF NIGHT TIME JOINT AMPHIBIOUS OPERATIONS

• CONDUCT OF NIGHT TIME JOINT AIRMOBILE OPERATIONS

• COMMAND AND CONTROL• NAVAL TRANSPORT SHIPS• AIR TRANSPORT FOR AIRBORNE

TROOPS • FIGHTER AIR COVER• INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE & RECONNAISANCE (ISR)

• LOGISTICS SUPPORT IN TERMS OF PLATFORM FOR INVASION FORCE

• SLOCS

END STATE: OCCUPATION OF LACUHA ISLAND BY THE NUVARIAN ARMED FORCES

Devora Island

Lacuha Island

N U V A R I A

J O A

J O A

CURRENT ENEMY SITUATIONMARCH 2014- TWO VESSELS BLVD TO BE SPY SHIPS ARE ANCHORED NEAR TAKLUBU REEF

MARCH 2014- UAVs WERE SPOTTED IN WESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF LUZON

E E Z

N U V A R I A

Lacuha Island

Devora Island

X

Fighter Wing

X

Fighter Wing

BuchananAir Stn

Ramey Air Base

XXX

Army

Fort Allen

XX

NavalInfantry

Savana Seca Naval Base

XX

Surface Forces

Camp SantiagoMarine Base

ChiefArmedForces

XXXX

MOD

San Juan

250 nm

200 nm100

nm

X

Fighter Wing

WITHIN THE JOA SINCE 21 JUN 14:AIR COMPONENT:• 1 SQDN SU-27• 1 SQDN SU-24• 1 SQDN AN-12MARITIME COMPONENT:• 1 NAVAL INF BDE

• 3 NAVAL INF BN• 2 AIRBN INF BN• 1 LIGHT TANK BN• 1 MRL BN• 1AD BN• 1 ARMD CAV CO• CSS

SOF COMPONENT:• SPF BN

REMAINING FORCES AT NUVARIA• NUVARIAN AIR FORCE AT BUCHANAN

• 5 SQDN SU-27• 6 SQDNS MIRAGE 2000

• AIR FORCE AT RAMEY AIR BASE:• 5 SQDNS SU-24 • 2 SQDNS AN-12

• ARMY HQ & ALL ARMY BDES LOCATED AT FORT ALLEN• NAVAL INFANTRY HQ & 2 NAVAL INF BDES LOCATED AT

CAMP SANTIAGO MARINE BASE

CURRENT ENEMY SITUATION

NAF

SPFMOST LIKELY ECOA

NAF, JTF CONDUCTS OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS IN LACUHA ISLAND BY AIR OPERATIONS FOLLOWED BY AIRBORNE INSERTIONS AND AMPHIBIOUS LANDINGS IN ORDER TO ACHIEVE AIR SUPERIORITY AND OCCUPY THE SAID ISLAND ENDSTATE:

OCCUPATION OF LACUHA PROVINCE BY NAF, JTF/ AIR SUPERIORITY

MOST DANGEROUS ECOA

NAF TO OCCUPY LACUHA ISLAND AND USE THE SAID PROVINCE AS A STAGING AREA FOR THE CONDUCT OF AIR OPERATIONS IN NORTHERN LUZON IN ORDER TO ACHIEVE AIR SUPERIORITY AND DESTROY NOLCOM FORCES IN THE AREA

ENDSTATE:OCCUPATION OF LACUHA PROVINCE & DESTRUCTION OF NOLCOM FORCES

15

CONCEPT OF OPERATIONSBRIEF

COMMANDER IN CHIEF AND CHIEF OF STAFF, AFP UPDATED

PLANNING GUIDANCE

• THERE WILL BE NO FOOTHOLD ON LACUHA• NO DISRUPTION OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

IN THE ISLAND• USE OF ADEQUATE DETERRENCE• ACTIVITIES SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS

PROVOCATION ON THE PART OF NUVARIA

MISSION:

On orders, JTF NOLCOM employing joint forces conducts show of force operation in Lacuha in order to deter enemy aggression and prevent the incursion of NAF JTF within Lacuha Island and any part of NOLCOM AOR.

COMMANDER’S INTENT:Purpose: To deter enemy aggressionMethod:- Conduct of force build-up- Conduct of naval maneuver and maritime

domain exercises- Conduct of amphibious landing operationsEnd State:

The enemy’s aggression is deterred and the incursion of JTF NAF in Lacuha and other areas within NOLCOM AOR is prevented. The normal socio-economic activities in the island is maintained

Task Organization

JTF “NOLCOM”

- 2 Minerva Cl Corvette

- 1 Hamilton Cl Frigate

- 1 Inchon Class Frigate

- 2 JCPV - 2 LSV

- 6 FA 50- 2 P-3C Orion - 4 Tocano CAS A/C- 4 Sokol- 4 Eurocopter- 12 UH-IH- F 27 Fokker

NTF 93(ME)

3RD TAG, PAF(SE 1)

AFP JSOG(SE 2)

JTF NCR(RES)

- 1 SF Bn- 1 SR Bn - 1 LRC, LRB - 1 FRC - 1 NAVSOU- 1 SOS

- 1 Inf Bn (Airborne)- 1 Mech Inf Bn - 1 MBLT - 12 Close Air

Support Tac Heli - 1 Strategic Air Lift- 1 LSV

Phases of Operations

Phase 0 – Transition to Territorial Defense

Phase 1 – Reorganization and Mobilization

Phase 2 – Deployment

Phase 3 – Show of Force Operations

Sub Phase 3A – MARSURVEX and Naval Maneuvers

Sub Phase 3B – Amphibious Landing Operations

Phase 4 – Reorganization & Consolidation

900

450 mi 450

100 m

i

PHASE 1: TRANSITION TO TERRITORIAL DEFENSE

4 x

6 x

Phase O- Transitiion to Territorial Defense (D-10 to D-5)

Shaping: ISR collects intelligence on enemy movement, location and activities in the area

Decisive: Planning, organization and preparation of crisis action plan at the UC level for the conduct of operations. Sustaining: Simultaneous logistics planning is conducted

CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS

900

450 mi 450

100 m

i

JTF – NCR(Manila)

AFP JSOG(Manila)

NTG 93(NAVFORNORTH)

3RD TAG(Cauayan, Isabela)

2 X 1 x1 x

2 x 2 x 4 x

4 x

6 x 12x

4 x

4 x 4 x 1 x

2 x

Phase 1- Reorganization and Mobilization (D-5 to D-3)

Shaping: ISR collects intelligence on enemy movement, location and activities in the area

Decisive: Planning, organization and preparation for the conduct of show of force opns by tasked units: NTF 93 (ME); 3TAG PAF (SE 1); AFP JSOG (SE2) organize and prepare for the joint naval/air exercises in NE Luzon. Sustaining: Continue conduct of Logistics planning in support of the conduct of joint naval/air exercises by tasked units.

CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS

AFP JSOG(SVNOB)

NTG 93(SVNOB)

3RD TAG(Cauayan, Isabela)

2 X 1 x1 x

2 x 2 x 4 x

6 x

12x

4 x

4 x

4 x

1 x

2 x STA ANA

3rd TAG ACP(Tuguegarao)

3rd TAG ACP(Laoag)

LACUHA

LAOAG

ACP JTF NOLCOM(SVNOB)

Phase 2- Deployment (D-3 to D-1)

Shaping: Continue conduct of ISR mission to monitor enemy movement and activitiesDecisive: .T1: NTF 93 (ME) to redeploy naval assets to SVNOB while 3TAG PAF (SE 1) redeploy air assets to ACP Cauayan, ACP Tuguegarao and ACP Laoag P1: IOT to support the conduct of joint naval and air exercises in the Lacuha area.T2: AFP JSOG (SE 2) to redeploy in SVNOB P2: Support show of force operations during Phase 3.Sustaining: 3TAG to preposition mission essential supplies in ACP Laoag and ACP Tuguegarao while NTF 93 to preposition mission essential supplies for tasked units in SVNOB.

CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS

100 miles

JTF – NCR

AFP JSOG

NTG 93

4 x

4 x

12x

4 x

4 x 1 x

1 xSTA ANA

LACUHA

LAOAG

Nuvaria Exercise Area4 x ATG

2 X

2 X

3rd TAG ACP(Tuguegarao)

3RD TAG(Cauayan, Isabela)

LAOAGSTA ANA

HJTF NOLCOMACP (SVNOB)3rd TAG ACP

(Laoag)

Phase 3- Show of Force Operations (D-day to D+2)Shaping: 3rd TAG, PAF continue performing ISR mission to monitor enemy movement and activities north of Lacuha

Decisive: T1: NTF 93 (ME) and AFP JSOG (SE 2) conducts naval maneuvers in the coast of Lacuha and joint amphibious opns in Calayan Island P1: IOT project force presence in the area

T2: 3TAG PAF (SE 1) conduct MARSURVEX in the north and northeastern part of LacuhaP1: IOT to support the conduct show of force opns in the area .

Sustaining: Respective tasked units provide own CSS support.

CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS

60 NMTST – 6 HRS

AMPHIBIOUS OPERATIONS EXERCISE

AMPHIBIOUS OPERATIONS EXERCISE

AMPHIBIOUS OPERATIONS EXERCISE

CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS

LACUHA

Phase 4 – Reorganization and consolidation (D+3 to onwards)

Shaping: 3rd TAG continue conduct of ISR mission to monitor enemy movement and activitiesDecisive:T1: NTF 93 (ME) conducts SOVPAT/MARPAT utilizing 1 Hamilton Cl and 1 Incheon Cl along North and Northeastern part of Lacuha P1: To project force presence in the areaT2: 3TAG PAF (SE 1) conducts MARPAT within the Lacuha areaP2: To support NTF 93 SOVPAT in the area T3: AFPJSOG (SE 3) be prepared to perform other tasks as directedP3: IOT support continued show of force operations.T4: JTF NCR be prepared to perform other tasks as directedSustaining: All tasked forces reorganize and prepare to redeploy back to their respective stations as directed.

JSOG

UNITS PHASE 0TRANSITION TO TD

PHASE 1REORGANIZATION &

MOBILIZATION

PHASE 2DEPLOYMENT(D-2 to D-1)

NTG 93(ME)

Naval assets and units at respective stations/Naval Operating Forces HQ

1 JCPV; 2 Minerva Class 2 MPAC at Casiguran, Aurora1 LSV; 1 JCPV; 1 Hamilton Cl & 2 MPAC at SVNOB1 LSV & 1 MBde at NFNL

Prepositioning of naval assets at SVNOB

3RD TAG, PAF

(SE 1)

Air assets and units at respective bases /Tactical Operations Group HQs

Air assets at 3rd TAG HQs in Cauayan, Isabela

Prepositioning of air assets at ACP Laoag, ACP Tuguegarao and ACP Cauayan.

Deployment of 1 P3C Orion for the conduct of ISR in Northern Luzon

SYNCHRONIZATION MATRIX

UNITS PHASE 0TRANSITION TO TD

PHASE 1REORGANIZATION &

MOBILIZATION

PHASE 2DEPLOYMENT

AFP JSOG(SE 3)

Planning and equipment refurbishment

Consolidation and mobilization at HAFP JSOG

Redeployed to San Vicente Naval Operating Base (SVNOB)

JTF NCR(RES)

Placed OPCON under NOLCOM eff 03 July 2014

Consolidation and Mobilization at HJTF NCR

Alert on stand by at HJTF NCR as JTF NOLCOM Reserve

SYNCHRONIZATION MATRIX

SYNCHRONIZATION MATRIX

UNITS PHASE 3 PHASE 4

NTF 93

Conduct of naval maneuvers ( 1 Hamilton Cl, 1 Incheon Cl, 2 Minerva Cl )Conduct of amphibious operations in Calayan (1 Mbde, 1 LSV, 2 Minerva)

Conduct of SOVPAT at NE part of Lacuha (1 Hamilton Cl and 1 Inchon Cl)

Consolidation and reorganization

3rd TAG PAF

Conduct of MARSURVEX (6 FA 50)Conduct of Close Air Support Exercises during amphibious operations (4 Tocano CAS Aircraft)

Conduct MARPAT (2 FA 50 per sortie)

Consolidation and reorganization

Deployment of P3C Orion for ISR mission

SYNCHRONIZATION MATRIX

32

UNITS PHASE 3 PHASE 4

AFP JSOGParticipation in amphibious operation exercises in Calayan Island

Be prepared to conduct deep operations on ordersReorganization and consolidation at SVNOB

AFP JTF NCRBe prepared to be deployed on orders

Be prepared to be redeployed on orders

Risk Assessment

33

HAZARDS (ENEMY)

INITIAL CONTROL MEASURE

RESIDUAL

PROB EFFECT RISK PROB EFFECT RISK

Aerial Attack L Cr EH Force ProtectionOPSEC, IO U N Lo

Naval Attack U N Lo Force ProtectionOPSEC U N Lo

Covert Attack by SPF U N Lo Intel Opns

Security Patrols U N LoElectronic Warfare (Jamming of C2) L Cr H OPSEC L Mo MComputer Network Attacks L Cr H OPSEC L Mo M

Legend: C – Catastrophic Cr – Critical Mo – Moderate N - NegligibleF – Frequent L – Likely O – Occasionally S – Seldom U - UnlikelyEH - EXTREMELY HIGH H - HIGH M - MEDIUM Lo - LOW

Risk Assessment (COA 1 - Light)

34

HAZARDS (Others) INITIAL CONTROL MEASURE

RESIDUAL

PROB EFFECT RISK PROB EFFECT RISK

WeatherDisturbance L Cr H Monitoring

Mitigation L Mo LNatural Disaster L Cr H CONPLAN L Mo M

High Troop Casualties U N Lo Force Protection

OPSEC L Mo M

Low Troop Morale O Mo H IO

Morale & Welfare O Mo LLow Mission Essential Supplies L Cr H Stockpiling of

critical items S Mo LWeakening of Political Support U Mo L Stakeholder

Engagement/IO U Mo L

Legend: C – Catastrophic Cr – Critical Mo – Moderate N - NegligibleF – Frequent L – Likely O – Occasionally S – Seldom U - UnlikelyEH - EXTREMELY HIGH H - HIGH M - MEDIUM Lo - LOW

INFORMATION OPERATION CONCEPT OF SUPPORT

IO Support Concept

Purpose: to conduct information campaign that will win the support of the populace and international community, and to confuse and break the will to fight of the enemy

Method: Public Affairs (PA), Information Support Affairs (ISA), Electronic Warfare (EW), Computer Network Operations (CNO), and Operations Security (OPSEC)

End State: reduce C2 and decision-making capability of the enemy and protect and enhance the military forces decision-making processes

IO Support Concept

Theme: “One Country, One Nation, One People”

THEME 1: The GPH/AFP stands united with the rest of the nation against invasion/ incursion of Nuvarian Armed Force

 

Message 1a. “Nuvaria’s aggressive actions in the Lacuha Island deprives us the freedom of navigation under the international law.”

Message 1b. “The arrogance being displayed by Nuvaria in Lacuha Island is detrimental to peace and stability in the region.”

 

THEME 2: Nuvaria’s aggressive actions in the Lacuha Island is an assault on our nation’s dignity, we should unite to protect our national interests

 

Message 2a. “The PH has the sovereign rights in its territory. Nuvaria’s agressive actions are unreasonable and must not be tolerated.”

Message 2b. “All gov’t agencies must act as one in the defending our territory and preserving our sovereignty”.

IO Support Concept

Theme: “One Country, One Nation, One People”THEME 3: Nuvaria’s action in the Lacuha Island is a challenge to international policing body

 

Message 3a. “Nuvaria’s aggressive actions in the Lacuha will only worsen the tension existing in the region.”

Message 3b. “Nuvaria’s aggressive action only proves its disregard to the international laws”

 

THEME 4: ASEAN and the Pacific region nations must stand as one to peacefully settle the Nuvaria’s aggressive actions

  

Message 4a. “The ASEAN and the Pacific region nations must work together to resolve Nuvaria’s actions peacefully.”

Message 3b. “The bullying and aggression employed by Nuvaria against PHin Lacuha Island is a part of its strategy to secure Nuvaria domination over the region.

IO Support Concept

Theme: “One Country, One Nation, One People”

THEME 5: AFP Forces are ready and capable to protect our country

 

Message 5a. The AFP is working in support of Maritime Law Enforcement Agencies to protect our fisheries and defend our territory. Message 5b. The AFP is working alongside law enforcement and local leaders to protect our territory. 

THEME 6: The AFP is a professional force   

Message 6a. The AFP routinely conducts joint operations among its Major Services to enhance inter-operability.

Message 6b. The AFP’s actions are defensive in nature and are in reaction to a violation of our law and international law.

IO Support Concept

Phase 0 – Transition to Territorial Defense

- Develop/ formulate themes and messages

- Establish legitimacy of operations with emphasis on UNCLOS and other international laws

- Appropriate Joint Task Force Organized (Ground, Maritime, and Air Components) and interoperability ensured

IO Support Concept

Phase 1 – Reorganization and Mobilization

- TF components respective area occupied and respective IO tasks (PA, OPSEC, EW, ISA, CNO) performed

- Establishment of safe lines of communication

- Monitor enemy hostile lines

IO Support Concept

Phase 2 - Deployment - Project strong formation of JTF NOLCOM (PA

and ISA)- Support deterrence operations (EW and ISA)- Intensify messaging and counter messaging

adversary propaganda- Intensify cyber security measures

IO Support Concept

Phase 3 - Show of Force Operations- Intensify information dissemination of friendly

forces activities in the JOA- Conduct offensive EW- Conduct defensive EW- Conduct cyber attack against NAF information

system- Prevent the enemy forces from disrupting

friendly forces communications

IO Support Concept

Phase 4 – Reorganization and Consolidation- Disseminates the JTF NOLCOM rehabilitation efforts - Support the stabilization activities/ efforts of the

government to bring back normalcy in the area- Assess IO strengths and weaknesses

CMO Support Concept

Purpose: to conduct CMO activities that will win the support of the populace and break the will to fight of the enemy

Method: Public Affairs (PA), Information Support Affairs (ISA), Civil Affairs (CA)

End State: bring back normalcy in the AOR

CMO Support Concept

Phase 0 – Transition to Territorial Defense

- Plan for the JTF NOLCOM CMO support concept

- Develop themes and messages in support to JTF NOLCOM operational activities

- Plan for CMO refresher training activity for all CMO operators in coordination with all concerned 7’s of all the units under NOLCOM

CMO Support Concept

Phase 1 – Reorganization and Mobilization

- Organize CMO Team to support JTF NOLCOM

- Conduct CMO refresher training

- Develop linkages with stakeholders in the area

- Educate JTF NOLCOM personnel on social, political, cultural and religious sensitivities in the area

CMO Support Concept

Phase 2 - Deployment- Augment CMO Team to operating troops

- Intensify messaging and counter messaging adversary propaganda

- Coordinate with LGU / LGA re CMO activities particularly on CA

- Coordinate with tri-media re PA activity

- Utilize Quad-media relative to all CMO activities

CMO Support Concept

Phase 3 – Show of Force Operations

- Conduct massive ISA activity focusing on the legitimacy of the actions of the nation

- Maximize utilization of Quad-media relative to ISA activities

- Coordinate LGU / LGA for the conduct of MEDCAP to affected areas

CMO Support Concept

Phase 4 – Reorganization and Consolidation

- Recall operators for the future activities

- Conduct post operations survey on target audience analysis

- Assess CMO strengths and weaknesses

SUSTAINMENT SUPPORT