lourdes rodríguez, iro, european investment bank november 2005 debt ir, a perspective from the...
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Lourdes Rodríguez, IRO, European Investment Bank
November 2005
Debt IR,
a perspective from the Fixed Income Markets
Not listed => Fixed income securities are the only access to capital markets
Shareholders: EU Member States
AAA rating
Large issuance volume: around EUR 50bn
Regularity: among most frequent issuers
Diversity: in terms of products and currencies (15 used in 2004)
EIB as an issuer: characteristics
2
Summarising complex issuance at EIB
2004
Volume EUR 50 bn
Nr of issues 282
Nr of currencies 15
Core currencies (EUR, GBP, USD)
90%
Structured 20%
Types of structure Over 10 types, many variations
3
In perspective - most frequent issuer in public international market according to IFR (‘Top 250’ 2005)
The challenge – tailoring information to different currency / product market segments, as well as
differing investor needs
Why do we communicate?
Value of debt securities is determined by• macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates• bond characteristics (coupon, yield, “spreads”, seniority, …)• the credit standing of the issuer• existing or anticipated supply of “fungible” debt securities
Investment Grade Sovereigns
Investment Grade Corporate Debt
High Yield Corporate Debt
Information on the issuer
Less important!
Important!
Very important!
rating / characteristics and positioning of the issuer
The value of a debt security is “subjective”
4
Differentiation within rating categories is visible in the variation of spreads: credit differentiation is one factor
This also applies among AAA sovereigns and sovereign surrogates such as EIB
Credit story identifies credit strengths, relative to peers
Therefore appropriate emphasis in Communications is required to duly explain differences
Differentiation beyond the rating
5
Rating “Sector” Issuer Bond ASW
AAA supra IADB 5.5% 01/10 -8
AAA supra EIB 4% 04/09 -11
AAA agency KfW 3.5% 04/09 -8
AAA agency Freddie Mac 3.75% 07/09 +2
AAA sovereign Spain 3.6% 01/09 -11
AAA sovereign Finland 5% 04/09 -12
Why do we communicate?
Source: Market, May 2005
Structuring the team
Importance of investment banks / dealers in a relatively dealer-driven market
However, effective IR activity enables better leveraging of dealers in investor communication
Complex and high frequency international issuance programs lend themselves to use of sizeable in-house teams with specialist origination and IR executives
This contrasts with the traditional Treasury led operation
Organisational issues
6
Who communicates?
1. Diversity of debt products
Equity: one “brand”, one product
Debt: one “brand”, multiple products• Information on the array of products available
Accessibility to listings of outstanding issues and its characteristics
• Documentation: Accessible (before and after issuance) Clarity of the information Is it up to the standards required by our investor
base?
Adapting to the market
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How do we communicate?
2. Different content emphasis – reflects audience needs Equity: shareholder value story, sectoral and market cap factors Debt: credit story / market segmentation, issuance strategy, product
market specifics
3. Trading & transparency differentials Equity:
• Exchange / electronic trading leads –> transparency benefits • Accessible for retail, strong direct participation
Debt: • Electronic platforms important for highly liquid benchmarks• But, dealer-provided liquidity is central• Otherwise strong OTC culture / poor transparency • Relatively large trades / low frequency• Less direct access for retail -> cost issues
Implication: greater demand for information from debt issuer
Adapting to the market
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How do we communicate?
4. IR tools similar than in Equity IR, except in investor data
Prevalence of bearer securities reduces debtholder visibility
Cost for debtholder ID across multiple bonds can be punitive, (which reinforces the importance internal data warehouses)
Integrated data/CRM systems, which allow for the diversity and complexity of the debt securities, not offered by large providers
In terms of consultancy/outsourcing
Adapting to the market
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How do we communicate?
EIB issuer category: sovereign class : “Consolidated European Sovereign Issuer”
Points of differentiation include:• Pan-European exposure “The Way to buy Europe”• Risk diversification via ownership structure: 25 Member States of
the EU
Credit quality: Top “AAA”• Exceptional asset quality• Strong shareholders’ support – EU members States
Minimal headline risk
Mission – activity: “Policy-driven public bank”: promotes EU policies by financing investments that further European integration
Focus on relevant credit strengthsWhat do we communicate?
Standard and Poor’sCredit Quality Index
Ultimate obligors of EIB loansas of 31 December 2004
- The Member States and EU Public Institutions are ultimate obligors for over 50% of the loans
- 78% of EIB loans are backed by a formal guarantee
The index measures the risk embedded in the country loan portfolio of Multilateral Lending Institution.
Source: Standard & Poor’s (Credit Report, March 2005)
0
2
4
6
8
10
2000 H1 2004
EIB MLI Average
Banks24%
Member States
33%
EU Public Institutions
18%Corporates17%
Community Budget
8%
Loan quality in perspective – an exampleWhat do we communicate?
Funding strategy:
• Pursuit of liquidity across comprehensive yield curves
• Close attention to secondary market performance
Types of products:
• Sole supranational benchmark issuer across the curve in the three core currencies: EUR, GBP and USD
• Tailor-made plain vanilla and structured issues in various currencies
Market characteristics:
• Responsiveness: to the market in terms of timing, product and maturity selection
• Quality of execution – Transparency – Liquidity - Performance
Funding strategy and positioning
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What do we communicate?
Introducing presence in a currency- an example
€ 5bn 2006
€ 2.6bn 2007
€ 6.1bn 2008
€ 5.5bn 2009
€ 5bn 2010
€ 5bn 2007
€ 5bn 2012
€ 5bn 2005
€ 5.5bn 2008
€ 5bn 2013
€ 5bn 2007
€ 5bn 2020
€
(A trademark of EuroMTS)
EIB IN EUR
2004: EUR 17.4bn via 54 transactions
Ground-breaking 15-year EARN benchmark
As of Oct 2005
€ 5bn 2037
2005 Highlights: EUR 18.3bn via 84 transactions
Ground-breaking 30-year EARN benchmark
Record issuance of structured transactions (around 50% of issuance in EUR)
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What do we communicate?
€ 5bn 2015
Selling points for a market segment – an example
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EUR Benchmarks – Euro Area Reference Notes (EARNs)
Total benchmark outstanding approx. EUR 64 bn
Diversified exposure to all EU sovereigns (a reminder)
Sovereign class liquidity and tight bid-offer spreads
Most heavily traded quasi-sovereign on MTS system
Transparency: Electronic trading on leading platforms
Liquidity maintenance in the secondary market (e.g. EUR 474 million
increase of EARN 3.25% Oct 08)
What do we communicate?
A variety of value drivers other than credit may be considered:
issuer positioning and commitment in this segment macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates
bond characteristics (coupon, yield, “spreads”, seniority, …)
relative value
supply of comparable debt securities
Selected topics during an issueWhat do we communicate?
What do we communicate?
EARN 2015 is launched at a moment of…
… limited government supply
… low yield in short maturities
and offers…
… good value versus core governments
EARN 2015 fits the market environment
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Selected topics during an issue – an example
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2035 2038
EIB Italy Spain Netherlands France Germany
bps
EARN 2015
Good value versus core governments
Source: CSFB, as of Sep. 9th 2005
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Selected topics during an issue – an exampleWhat do we communicate?
Investors Analysts
Rating agencies
Internal audiences
Specialized press
Same audiencesTo whom do we communicate?
Top Borrowers as voted by Banks
No.1 Most impressive borrower of 2004No.1 Best Supranational / AgencyNo.1 Most innovative Borrower
Overall Deals of the Year 2004:
No.1 EUR 4bn 4.625% April 2020No.5 USD 1.5bn 4.625% May 2014
Deals of the year by category:
No1. EURO Sovereign / Supranational / Agency EUR 4bn 4.625% Apr. 2020
No.1 USD Sovereign / Supranational / AgencyUSD 1.5bn 4.625% May 2014
Currencies:
Deal of the year in New Zealand Dollar (NZD 200m 6.5% Sep 2014)No.2 Emerging Markets (HUF 46bn 9% Jul 2007)
• Borrower of the Year 2004• European Borrower • Agency / Supranational Borrower• Supranational / Sovereign /
Agency bond
Best Supranational Borrower in Western Europe 2004
• Institutional Performance Award 2004
• 3 Deals of the Year:
• JPY 50bn Japanese CPI-Linked Notes• EUR 190m/EUR 250m CMS Spread Target
Redemption Notes• EUR 625m CMS Periodic Capped FRN
Best Borrower in CEE for the year 2004
• Best bond deal in local currency USD 75m / RUB 2.1bn 2010 Synthetic Transaction
• Best bond deal in a G7 currency EUR 4bn 4.625% April 2020
And deal specific awards:
Press convey recognition among dealers for EIB
The Way to Buy Europe