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Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 1

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Page 1: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS

Loveland City School DistrictFinancial Forecast Overview

Loveland Board of Education Meeting

October 20, 2015

Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant

1

Page 2: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 2

Agenda

• March 23, 2015 Forecast Update Review• Health Insurance• State Funding Quandary

• F.Y. 2016 through F.Y. 2020 Forecast Summary• Forecast Detail Notes

Page 3: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 3

March 23, 2015

• Preliminary health insurance renewal presented possible good news for July 1, 2015 premium level.• State Funding Quandary

• The Governor’s formula introduced in February, 2015 would have dramatically changed state share calculations.

• Subsequent to the March 23, 2015 Loveland Board meeting the Ohio House introduced their version of a funding formula which also would have reduced state share for “wealthier” districts.

• In the end – neither was used and stability was legislatively added to Loveland’s formula calculation.

Page 4: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 4

Health Insurance

• Consortium used one-time cash reserves.• Health care inflation marches on.• Possible larger increases in FY 2017.

• Will monitor health of consortium this year.

Excerpt from Page -2 of May Update

Page 5: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 5

State Funding Formulas – March, 2015State Share Percentage

• Governor’s Formula added taxpayer income penalty.

• Later House version did as well.

• Loveland’s state share in FY 2009 was 33%

The legislative process has focused on the concept of penalizing districts with higher taxpayer income. That rhetoric continues today.

Loveland’s median taxpayer income is $50,879, statewide the median is $32,180.

Excerpt from Page 3 of May Update

Page 6: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 6

State Funding “Guarantee” – March, 2014Prior year – 2013 or 2015?

• When the school funding formula was introduced in FY 2014 there was a focus to wean districts off the guarantee. The legislature set prior year guarantee funding at the FY 2013 level.

• Loveland CSD was on the formula and had formula gains. Without moving the guarantee year past FY 2013 the district would not capture the higher funding as a threshold.

• The final formula changed the guarantee year to FY 2015 which provided a higher guarantee and stability for Loveland.

• The legislation provided for a 100% guarantee of the FY 2015 level.

Page 7: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 7

State Funding Comparison

• Current formula • uses higher per pupil funding level.

• Calculates pupil wealth using prior year enrollment.

• Added graduation bonus and 3rd grade bonus.

• Transportation increased

With last year’s formula the district’s funding could drop to the FY 2013 level of $10,533,017.

The current formula reset the funding guarantee to the FY 2015 Level of $12,366,420.

District’s Declining Enrollment Trend is lessened.

Page 8: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 8

Revisiting FY 2016 Projections

• The Current Fiscal year 2016 Projections• now reflects more favorable state funding.

• The current forecast for FY 2016 has -0.3% overall variance in expenditures.

• Returns recession’s PI costs to the general fund.

• Continues the district’s instructional supply and capital planned investments from October, 2014

Page 9: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 9

Current Forecast Summary

• State funding enables the district to establish stabilizing cash reserves.

• Provides limited opportunity for one-time investments.

• Continued trend toward revenue shortfall.

Page 10: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 10

The Public Finance Resources Team

Matt Bunting, Consultant, has over 25 years of experience in the public finance sector. This includes 15 plus years as a school district treasurer, and 11 years with the Auditor of State where he led financial, legal compliance, and Federal single audits of government entities. Matt has served as interim school treasurer several times, as well as worked with Ernie and Stacy to test their forecasting software and instruct at their yearly seminars. He holds an Associates Degree in Accounting from Hocking College, and is a Certified Government Financial Manager.

Ryan Ghizzoni, Consultant, began his career with the Auditor of State’s Office and has served as a school district treasurer for the past 10 years. During his career, he has been the recipient of six Association of School Business Officials International Meritorious Budget Awards and was the recipient of the Ohio Association of School Business Officials 2011 Outstanding Treasurer of the Year Award. Ryan holds a Bachelors of Business Administration from the Youngstown State University, and is a Certified Administrator of School Finance and Operations.

Debra Hoelzle, Chief Operations Officer, provides direct services to clients, and oversees the day-to-day operations of PFR. She brings with her operational experience from both the public and private sectors, including a school district and multiple corporations in the financial services industry. Debra holds her Masters of Business Administration from Ohio University, and her Bachelors of Science in Business Administration from The Ohio State University.

Stacy Overly, Consultant, provides direct financial services to clients. He has over 20 years of experience serving as school district treasurer, including 15 plus years of developing financial forecasting tools, and providing instruction and training opportunities attended and used by over two hundred of Ohio’s public school treasurers. Stacy works with clients to analyze trends and review local economic data to help determine a long-term operating strategy for the organization. He holds his Masters of Business Administration and his Bachelors of Business Administration in Finance from Ohio University.

Mike Sobul, Consultant, brings 30 years of experience in public finance and tax analysis. Currently a school district treasurer, Mike spent nearly 25 years with the Ohio Department of Taxation where he led revenue forecasting efforts and provided analysis , training, and fiscal services to schools and local governments. Mike holds a Masters Degree in Public Policy from the University of Michigan and a Bachelors Degree in Economics and Political Science from Wittenberg University.

Ernie Strawser, Consultant, provides direct services to our public finance clients. He has over 30 years of public finance experience as a CFO, consultant, and developer and instructor of financial forecasting techniques and tools which have been used by over two hundred Ohio school district CFOs. Ernie works with clients to facilitate their understanding of local financial results , trends, and strategies. He holds both a Masters of Science in Administration from Central Michigan University and a Bachelor of Science in Finance from Ohio University.

Page 11: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 11

Services• Five Year Forecast Software More than a compliance

document• Cash flow monitoring• Modeling scenarios• Graphics and dashboards• Planning tool

• Consulting Maximize your effectiveness• Financial consulting and cash flow monitoring• Forecast review and analysis, “what if” planning• Presentations to key stakeholders• Special Projects

• Data Interpretation Data driven decision making• Multi-year data sets to identify trends• Benchmark analysis reports to see how you compare• Graphics that are easy to read, understand and explain• Data driven decision making

Page 12: Loveland City School District Financial Forecast Overview Loveland Board of Education Meeting October 20, 2015 Ernie Strawser, PFR Consultant PUBLIC FINANCE

PUBLIC FINANCE RESOURCES: EMPOWERING THE PUBLIC'S FINANCIAL LEADERS 12

PFR Contact Information

Ernie StrawserConsultant

Public Finance Resources, Inc.

PO Box 1822Columbus, OH 43216

[email protected]: 614-732-5948

 

Debra HoelzleChief Operating Officer

Public Finance Resources, Inc.

PO Box 1822Columbus, OH 43216

[email protected]: 614-732-5948

 

www.PFRCFO.com