lte revenues pour in from mature markets in 4q12 - insights from the tbr 4q12 telecom vendor...

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TBR TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS RESEARCH, INC. TBR’s Telecom Vendor Benchmark Research Highlights and Outlook Technology Business Research (TBR) Quarterly Webinar Series April 9, 2012

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The TBR Networking and Mobility research team recorded a webinar on Tuesday April 9, 2013,recapping vendor performance as reported in TBR's 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark. The webinar focused on how specific vendor, go-to-market and resource management strategies impact financial performance. TBR Analyst Chris Antlitz and Research Analyst Michael Soper shared their perspectives on the results in the benchmark and provided additional insight into the performance and future of the networking and mobility market. They answered questions covering all aspects of the market, including: 1. Which regions are currently deploying LTE or nearing LTE investment? 2. Have Nokia Siemens and Alcatel-Lucent made progress in their restructuring programs? 3. What is the state of the TIS market following a shift by some vendors to deliver higher value services? For more information visit www.tbri.com Follow us on twitter @TBRInc Michael Soper @MichaelJSoper Chris Antlitz @chrisNMP

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Page 1: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

T EC H N O LO G Y B U S I N ES S R ES EAR C H , I N C .

TBR’s Telecom Vendor Benchmark Research Highlights and Outlook

Technology Business Research (TBR) Quarterly Webinar Series

April 9, 2012

Page 2: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

2 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights and 2013 Outlook: Webinar Presenters

Michael Soper

Networking & Mobility Analyst

Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @MichaelJSoper

Chris Antlitz

Networking & Mobility Analyst

Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @chrisNMP

Page 3: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

3 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

TBR’s Telecom Vendor Benchmark reports deliver unique insight and value through in-depth analysis in a concise, consumable format TBR’s quarterly Telecom Vendor Benchmark report:

• Analysis of leading vendors in the telecom industry.

• Financial modeling and TBR insights to help customers gain a better understanding of vendor business models.

• Evaluation of vendor strategies in the telecom infrastructure, services, and applications markets

• Breakdown of vendor performance in the Americas, EMEA, and APAC regions.

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights and 2013 Outlook: Webinar Overview

TBR Telecom Vendor Benchmark Portfolio

Page 4: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

4 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Key Themes in 4Q12

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights and 2013 Outlook

• LTE offsetting the decline in legacy technology revenues

• Latin America and China will drive LTE in 2013

• Huawei and ZTE building up managed services capabilities as NSN and Alcatel-Lucent

reduce exposure to low-margin services

Page 5: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

5 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Vendors improved their margins due to seasonality and restructuring, while revenues recovered as LTE ramped up in the U.S. and parts of Asia

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: Infrastructure

Cisco

HP

Alcatel-Lucent

Ericsson

NSN

ZTE

Huawei

Samsung

IBMAccenture

Juniper

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

-10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%

Year

-to

-Yea

r R

even

ue

Gro

wth

Operating Margin

4Q12 REVENUE, OPERATING MARGIN & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 6: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

6 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Declining demand for legacy technologies had a lesser impact on vendor infrastructure sales due to the rise in LTE deployments in 4Q12

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: Infrastructure

Alcatel-Lucent

Cisco

Ericsson

NSN

ZTE

Huawei

Juniper

Samsung

HP

IBM

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

$0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0

Year

-to-

Year

Rev

enu

e G

row

th

Revenue (in $ billions)

INFRASTRUCTURE SEGMENT 4Q12 REVENUE & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 7: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

7 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

LTE is helping drive growth in the applications market as operators invest in OSS, IMS and VoLTE

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: Applications

Alcatel-Lucent

Cisco

Ericsson

HP

IBMNSNSamsung

ZTE

Huawei

Juniper

-15%

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80

Year

-to-

Year

Rev

enu

e G

row

th

Revenue (in $ billions)

APPLICATIONS SEGMENT 4Q12 REVENUE & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 8: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

8 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Ericsson is maintaining its edge as Huawei and ZTE build up their managed services businesses and Alcatel-Lucent and NSN focus on restructuring

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: Services

Accenture

Alcatel-Lucent

Cisco

Ericsson

HP

IBM

NSN

ZTEHuawei

JuniperSamsung

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 $4.5 $5.0

Year

-to

-Yea

r Rev

enu

e G

row

th

Revenue (in $ billions)

SERVICES SEGMENT 4Q12 REVENUE & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 9: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

9 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

LTE deployments by Tier 1 operators in the U.S. drove revenue for most vendors, while Latin America will be a growth driver throughout 2013

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: Americas

Alcatel-LucentCisco

Ericsson

HP IBM

NSNSamsung

ZTE

HuaweiJuniper

Accenture

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0

Year

-to

-Yea

r R

even

ue

Gro

wth

Revenue (in $ billions)

AMERICAS REGION 4Q12 REVENUE & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 10: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

10 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

European carriers are cutting capex outlays and delaying LTE investment, instead opting for low cost modernizations and opex reduction initiatives

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: EMEA

Accenture

Alcatel-Lucent

Cisco

EricssonHPIBM

NSN

Samsung

ZTE

Huawei

Juniper

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 $4.5

Year

-to

-Yea

r R

even

ue

Gro

wth

Revenue (in $ billions)

EMEA REGION 4Q12 REVENUE & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 11: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

11 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Operators in China cut GSM and 3G spending in advance of LTE buildouts in 2013, weighing down Ericsson, Huawei, ZTE, and Alcatel-Lucent

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights: APAC

Accenture Alcatel-Lucent

Cisco

Ericsson

HP

IBM

NSN

Samsung

ZTE

Huawei

Juniper

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0

Year

-to

-Yea

r R

even

ue

Gro

wth

Revenue (in $ billions)

APAC REGION 4Q12 REVENUE & YEAR-TO-YEAR REVENUE GROWTH

TBR

SOURCE: TBR AND COMPANY DATA

Page 12: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

12 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Key Themes in 4Q12

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights and 2013 Outlook

• LTE offsetting the decline in legacy technology revenues

• Latin America and China will drive LTE in 2013

• Huawei and ZTE building up managed services capabilities as NSN and Alcatel-Lucent

reduce exposure to low-margin services

Page 13: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

13 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

As LTE deployments shift regions, vendors will push into the enterprise space to expand their addressable markets in 2013

TBR Networking & Mobility Practice Syndicated Topics 1Q13: Telecom Vendors

Quarterly Topics TBR Value Proposition Related Reports

Network Function Virtualization

• Determine which vendors are the early leaders in technologies such as software-defined networking and self-organizing networks.

• Evaluate vendor network function virtualization (NFV) road maps.

Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Ericsson, IBM, Juniper, NSN, Samsung, ZTE

LTE Deployments

• Identify which vendors are LTE leaders in revenue and contract count.

• Determine in which regions LTE is being deployed.

• Anticipate the next regional shift of LTE revenue.

Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Ericsson, NSN, Samsung, ZTE

Enterprise Solutions

• Determine which vendors are expanding their addressable markets to cater to the enterprise sector.

• Identify which vendors are making a strategic push into enterprise services, such as consulting and systems integration.

• Analyze which vendors are likely to succeed and which are most likely to spread themselves too thin by catering to the enterprise.

Alcatel-Lucent, Ericsson, Huawei, NSN, Samsung, ZTE

Consolidation

• Track developments in vendor M&As, identifying which players need to acquire to enhance their portfolios or enter new markets.

• Analyze the impact of operator consolidation on the telecom infrastructure and services markets.

Alcatel-Lucent, Cisco, Ericsson, Juniper, NSN, Samsung, ZTE

Page 14: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

14 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

Questions?

Telecom Vendor Benchmark 4Q12 Research Highlights and 2013 Outlook

Page 15: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

15 TBR Quarterly Webinar Series | 4.9.13 | www.tbri.com | ©2013 Technology Business Research Inc.

For further information, please contact:

Kate Price Director, Networking & Mobility Practice [email protected]

Michael Soper Networking & Mobility Analyst Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @MichaelJSoper

James McIlroy Vice President, Sales

[email protected]

Chris Antlitz Networking & Mobility Analyst Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @chrisNMP

@TBRinc

www.slideshare.net/TBR_Market_Insight

www.youtube.com/user/TBRIChannel

Page 16: LTE Revenues Pour In From Mature Markets In 4Q12 - Insights from the TBR 4Q12 Telecom Vendor Benchmark

TBR

T EC H N O LO G Y B U S I N ES S R ES EAR C H , I N C .

About TBR Technology Business Research (TBR) is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, networking equipment, wireless, portal and professional services vendors. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and accurate market research and business intelligence in formats that are tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to further address client-specific issues or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis. TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. To learn how our analysts can address your unique business needs, please visit our website or contact us today.

Contact Us

1.603.929.1166 [email protected] www.tbri.com 11 Merrill Drive Hampton, NH 03842 USA

This report is based on information made available to the public by the vendor and other public sources. No representation is made that this information is accurate or complete. Technology Business Research will not be held liable or responsible for any decisions that are made based on this information. The information contained in this report and all other TBR products is not and should not be construed to be investment advice. TBR does not make any recommendations or provide any advice regarding the value, purchase, sale or retention of securities. This report is copyright-protected and supplied for the sole use of the recipient. Contact Technology Business Research, Inc. for permission to reproduce.