lucky lanka ipo - capital trust research 275

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Page | 1 Fundamental Analysis Division Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd Lucky Lanka Milk Processing Company Limited IPO Lucky Lanka Milk Processing Co. Ltd Initial Public Offering of Ordinary Shares 38 Mn Voting Shares | 24 Mn Non-Voting Shares Sector: Food & Beverage | Rs.6.00 & Rs.3.00 | July 2014 About the Company The company is engaged in the process of making yoghurt and other milk products, and distributing them island wide under the brand name ‘LUCKY’. The company is the only yoghurt manufacturer with a SLS certification in Sri Lanka. It has its own cold distribution network that consists of 120 delivery vehicles covering the entire Island. Lucky Lanka Milk Processing Company Limited was incorporated on 15 June 2007 as a limited liability Company, and today ‘LUCKY’ is a well established local dairy brand. The company is now entering its growth phase expanding its operations and market share. Case for Investment Growing Earnings: 2015 (F) 2016 (F) EPS (Rs.) 0.38 0.59 +/Growth 270% 57% PE (x) Voting 15.9 10.2 NonVoting 8.0 5.1 NAV (Rs.) 3.64 4.18 PBV (x) Voting 1.65 1.44 NonVoting 0.82 0.72 Company will be almost debt free: Rs.200mn of Interest bearing borrowings will be settled through IPO proceeds. The company will make a significant saving on finance expenses Improved production capacity: Rs.75mn of the IPO proceeds will be used to improve and expand the production capacity of the milk processing plant Increasing Demand for Locally Manufactured Dairy Products: Due to the rising price of imported powdered milk and the recent health hazards of imported dairy; consumers are shifting to use locally manufactured dairy products. Strategies are in place to penetrate new market segments through new distribution channels: This will increase sales and profits Issue price (Rs.) Voting NonVoting 6.00 3.00 No. of shares offered via IPO Voting NonVoting 38.0 Mn 24.0 Mn Total No. of shares in issue subsequent to the IPO Voting NonVoting 200.0 Mn 176.0 Mn 24.0 Mn Resultant Market Capitalization Rs.1,128 Mn Post IPO shareholding Promoter Shareholders Public Holding 75.57% 24.43% Capital to be raised through the IPO Rs.300Mn Opening date of the Issue 07 th July 14 Closing date 24 th July 14 Minimum subscription 1,000 Shares Allotment Structure Category No. of Shares Offered (Mn) *Retail individual Investors 17.10 (45%) Unit Trusts 3.80 (10%) **NonRetail 17.10 (45%) Total 38.00 (100%) *Retail Individual investors – Applications for a value of not more than Rs.100,000 **NonRetail Investors – Applications for a value exceeding Rs.100,000 SUBSCRIBE Medium Term Buy

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        Page | 1  

 

Fundamental Analysis Division 

Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd

Lucky Lanka Milk Processing 

Company Limited ‐ IPO 

Lucky Lanka Milk Processing Co. Ltd Initial Public Offering of Ordinary Shares

38 Mn Voting Shares | 24 Mn Non-Voting Shares

Sector: Food & Beverage | Rs.6.00 & Rs.3.00 | July 2014 

 

About the Company 

The company  is engaged  in  the process of making yoghurt and other milk 

products, and distributing them island wide under the brand name ‘LUCKY’.  

 

The company is the only yoghurt manufacturer with a SLS certification in Sri 

Lanka. It has  its own cold distribution network that consists of 120 delivery 

vehicles covering the entire Island. 

 

Lucky Lanka Milk Processing Company Limited was incorporated on 15 June 

2007 as a limited liability Company, and today ‘LUCKY’ is a well established 

local dairy brand. The company is now entering its growth phase expanding 

its operations and market share.   

 

Case for Investment   

Growing Earnings: 

  2015 (F) 2016 (F)

EPS (Rs.)  0.38 0.59

+/‐ Growth  270% 57%

PE (x)                               Voting  15.9 10.2

Non‐Voting  8.0 5.1

NAV (Rs.)  3.64 4.18

PBV (x)                            Voting  1.65 1.44

Non‐Voting  0.82 0.72

  

Company will  be  almost  debt  free:  Rs.200mn  of  Interest  bearing 

borrowings will be settled through IPO proceeds. The company will 

make a significant saving on finance expenses 

Improved production capacity: Rs.75mn of the IPO proceeds will be 

used  to  improve  and  expand  the  production  capacity  of  the milk 

processing plant 

Increasing Demand  for Locally Manufactured Dairy Products: Due 

to the rising price of imported powdered milk and the recent health 

hazards  of  imported  dairy;  consumers  are  shifting  to  use  locally 

manufactured dairy products. 

Strategies are in place to penetrate new market segments through 

new distribution channels: This will increase sales and profits 

 

Issue price (Rs.)              Voting

Non‐Voting  

6.00

3.00 

No. of shares offered via IPO 

    Voting

Non‐Voting 

38.0 Mn

24.0 Mn 

Total No. of shares in issue 

subsequent to the IPO 

   Voting

Non‐Voting 

200.0 Mn

176.0 Mn

24.0 Mn 

Resultant Market Capitalization Rs.1,128 Mn 

Post IPO shareholding 

Promoter Shareholders

Public Holding

75.57%

24.43% 

Capital to be raised through 

the IPO Rs.300Mn 

Opening date of the Issue  07th July 14

Closing date  24th July 14

Minimum subscription  1,000 Shares

   

Allotment Structure 

Category No. of Shares 

Offered (Mn) 

*Retail individual Investors  17.10 (45%) 

Unit Trusts  3.80 (10%) 

**Non‐Retail  17.10 (45%) 

Total     38.00 (100%)

*Retail Individual investors – Applications for 

a value of not more than Rs.100,000 

**Non‐Retail Investors – Applications for a 

value exceeding Rs.100,000 

SUBSCRIBE ‐ Medium Term Buy

        Page | 2  

 

Fundamental Analysis Division 

Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd

Lucky Lanka Milk Processing 

Company Limited ‐ IPO 

Shareholding Structure – Ordinary Voting Shares 

Shareholder  Number of Shares 

Shareholding 

Pre IPO  Post IPO 

Mr. Lal K.A. Gunawardena   93,119,850 67.5% 52.9% 

Ms. B.A. Gunawardena   13,302,910 9.6% 7.6% 

Ms. D.A.Gunawardena  13,302,825 9.6% 7.6% 

Ms. N.A.Gunawardena   13,302,825 9.6% 7.6% 

Goh Family Investment Holding  5,000,000 3.6% 2.8% 

Shares offered through the IPO  38,000,000 NIL 21.6% 

Total  176,028,410 100.00% 100.00% 

 

Note:  

During February 2014 5.0mn  shares of  the  company was  issued  to Goh Family 

Investment Holding at Rs.6.00 per  share  (same as  the  IPO price). These  shares 

will be locked in for six months from the date of listing.   

Out of the 133mn non public shareholding, 125.5mn shares will be locked in for 

twelve months from the date of allotment or six months from the date of listing 

whichever is longer and the balance 7.5mn shares will be locked in for six months 

from the date of listing. 

 

Objective of the Initial Public Offer 

1. Rs.200mn of the IPO proceeds will be used for debt retirement  

This will make  the  company almost debt  free, and  reduce  the  finance 

cost significantly.  

 

2. Rs.75mn will be used to improve the existing production plant  

a. Rs.35Mn will be utilized  immediately to build a new cold room 

complex with an ammonia refrigeration system 

b. Rs.30Mn will be utilized to add an extension to the existing UHT 

milk processing building 

c. Rs.10Mn will be invested in new machinery 

 

3. Rs.25mn will be used to finance the following new projects 

a. “Gedarata Kiri”‐ Door‐to‐door selling of Milk 

b. Milk Bar Outlet and School Canteen  

 

 

 

Lucky L

Compa

 

Finan

 

 

 

 

Summ

Year Rs.M

Reve

 +/‐ G

EBITD

 +/‐ G

PAT 

 +/‐ G

EPS (

PE (x

PE (x

DPS (

Divid

Divid

  

ROE (

ROA 

  

 

 

 

 

 

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

Rs.M

Lanka Milk P

any Limited ‐

ncial High

marized Inco

Ended 31st MMn 

nue 

Growth (%) 

DA  

Growth (%) 

Growth (%) 

Rs.) ‐ Post IP

) ‐ Voting 

) ‐ Nonvoting

(Rs.) 

end Yield (%

end Yield (%

(%) 

(x) 

2012

Mn

rocessing 

 IPO 

lights & R

ome Statem

March 

PO 

%) 

%) 

2013

EBITD

Ratios 

ment 

2014 2015

DA

Fundame

Capital TR

2

           68

             8

               

             0

           24

            

            

            

            

1

0

5 F  2016 F 

ental Analysi

RUST Researc

 

2012

81.7           

88.0           

 4.8          

0.02          

48.9          

      ‐           

      ‐           

      ‐           

      ‐           

 

1.7%

0.7%

 

40.0

80.0

120.0

Rs.M

is Division 

ch (Pvt) Ltd

2013

 841.8      

23%

 105.3      

20%

   18.2      

276%

   0.09      

   66.1      

          ‐       

          ‐        

          ‐   

          ‐       

 

5.9%

2.5%

 

2012

n

2014 

      896.5   

7% 

      135.7   

29% 

        20.3   

12% 

        0.10   

        59.1   

              ‐     

        0.01   

0.2% 

              ‐   

  

5.6% 

2.7% 

  

2013

Profit Afte

2015 F 

          986.2 

10% 

          164.9 

21% 

            75.3 

270% 

            0.38 

            15.9 

               8.0 

            0.04 

0.6% 

1.3% 

  

10.3% 

8.6% 

  

2014 2015

er Tax

        Page 

  2016

      1,134

15

          188

14

          118

57

            0.5

            10

              5

            0.0

1.0

2.0

14.1

11.1

5 F  2016 F 

| 3  

6 F 

4.1 

5% 

8.4 

4% 

8.2 

7% 

59 

0.2 

.1 

06 

0% 

0% 

  

1% 

1% 

  

        Page | 4  

 

Fundamental Analysis Division 

Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd

Lucky Lanka Milk Processing 

Company Limited ‐ IPO 

Summarized Statement of Financial Position 

As at 31st March Rs.Mn 

2012 2013 2014  2015 F  2016 F 

Non‐Current Assets           557.1          536.2          513.2          588.2           663.2 

Current Assets           123.4          183.6          252.6          289.7           402.7 

Total Assets           680.5          719.8          765.8          877.9       1,065.8 

Equity           292.2          310.2          360.5          728.3           835.7 

Non‐Current Liability           166.2          194.6          123.3              7.0               7.0 

Current Liabilities           222.1          214.9          282.0          151.6           160.9 

Total Equity & Liability           680.5          719.8          765.8          886.9       1,003.6 

               

NAV per share (Rs.)  ‐ Post IPO             1.46            1.55            1.80            3.64             4.18 

PBV ‐ Voting             4.11            3.87            3.33            1.65             1.44 

PBV ‐ Nonvoting                  ‐                   ‐                   ‐              0.82             0.72 

Gearing Ratio [Debt/(Debt + Equity)]  44% 45% 39%  4%  0% 

Current Ratio              0.56            0.85            0.90            1.91             2.50 

               

 

Valuation & Recommendation   

Repayment  of  interest  bearing  borrowings  will  make  a  significant  saving  of 

finance cost. Thus, the net profit margins will significantly improve.  

The demand for  locally manufactured dairy products  is  increasing as more and 

more consumers are shifting  to  local brands  to counter  the price  increase and 

health hazards of imported dairy products. Hence, the company is operating in a 

growing industry.  

Scheduled  expansion  of  production  capacity,  penetrating  in  to  new markets 

through  new  distribution  channels;  will  improve  future  earnings  of  the 

company. Based on a conservative forecast the share  is  issued at a forward PE 

of 16.0x (voting) and 8.0x (Non‐voting) based of FY2014/15 earnings. 

  

Lucky Lanka FY 2014/15(F) 

Food & Beverage Sector 

Market 

Voting  Non‐Voting     

PE (x)  15.9  8.00  22.77  17.33 

PBV (x)  1.65  0.82  5.03  2.06 

 

The information and the opinions contained herein were compiled by Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd, and are based on information obtained from reliable sources in good faith. However, such information has not been independently verified and no guarantee, representation or warranty expressed or implied is made by Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd and its related companies as to its accuracy or completeness. This report is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Neither Capital TRUST Research (Pvt) Ltd nor its related companies, directors and employees can be held liable whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or the information contained herein

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