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© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 1 Lynda Gratton & Tamara Erickson HR DIRECTOR SUMMIT Birmingham : January 2017 @lyndagratton www.hotspotsmovement.com @tammyerickson www.tammyerickson.com

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Page 1: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 1

Lynda Gratton & Tamara Erickson HR DIRECTOR SUMMIT

Birmingham : January 2017

@lyndagrattonwww.hotspotsmovement.com

@tammyericksonwww.tammyerickson.com

Page 2: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 2

There are extraordinary innovations in technology

Page 3: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 3© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 3

© PHOTO: THE GUARDIAN

Page 4: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 4© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2013 ® SLIDE 4

© PHOTO: THE GUARDIAN

Page 5: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 5© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 5

© PHOTO: VICTOR PINCHUK FOUNDATION

Page 6: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 66

Note: Sample of projects awarded. The pink lines indicate where projects are being posted by employers, and the blue lines indicate where the projects are being performed by freelancers.

Thicker lines indicate a higher volume of work. White dots indicate the location of Freelancer’s users. Edges are sampled data from awarded projects in the period indicated.

2015

Page 7: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 7

HollowingOut of Work

SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS

Page 8: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 8

Moravec’sParadox

Computer: Easy Computer: Hard

Human: Hard Human: Easy

Page 9: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 9

SOURCE: AUTOR, LEVY & MURNANE, MIT, 2003

TASKS

ROUTINE

ANALYTICAL

Record KeepingCalculationRepetitive

Customer Services

MANUAL

Picking And Sorting

Repetitive Assembly

NON-ROUTINE

ANALYTICAL

Forming Hypotheses

Medical DiagnosesPersuading /

Selling

MANUAL

Janitorial ServicesTruck Driving

SUBSTANTIAL

SUBSTITUTION

STRONG

COMPLEMENT

NO SUBSTITUTION /

COMPLEMENT

Page 10: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

New Technologies . . .

Allow New Ways of Working

• Make it possible to find almost anyone or anything, anywhere easily and quickly

• Dramatically reduce the cost of communication – transactions, coordination, pattern detection

10 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 11: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Digital Changes How We Get Things Done

11 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 12: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Transaction CostsDetermine Institutional Structure

• Why a firm is of a certain size

• Why activities are performed within the organization’s boundaries

Ronald Coase: The Nature of the Firm, 1937 – Nobel Prize for Economics, 1991

12 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 13: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

• In the 1990s: lower costs of communication facilitated companies’ ability to spin off non-core activities

• Today: lower cost of coordination will lessen companies’ need to “own” resources . . .

Rethinking Processes –Removing “Control” of Resources

. . . including the need to employ workers full-time

13 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 14: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

• Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time

• Organizations will constitute a flexible community of people who work

– A small number of core employees

– A wide community of individuals who have been pre-qualified and contracted

How We Access and Relate to Those Who Work

14 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 15: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Organisation Will Form Around Projects• Few people will have broad organisationally-defined titles

• Titles will be time-bound and action-oriented

• Some people will take on multiple projects at a time

• Some projects will be short (months); others very long (perhaps a decade or more)

• People will have great flexibility in choosing or bidding for assignments on various projects

• Compensation will be tied to the project (‘this project pays x amount’)

15 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 16: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 16

Combined with an unprecedented increase in healthy and productive lives

Page 17: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 17

Life expectancy over 200 years

Source: ‘Broken Limits to Life Expectancy’ by Jim Oeppen and James Vaupel, Science, May 2002, vol. 296.

Page 18: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 18

Oldest age at which 50% of babies born in 2007

are expected to live:

The 100-Year Life

Source: Human Mortality Database, University of California, Berkeleyand Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany

Page 19: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 19

Date of birth at which 50% chance of living to…

Page 20: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 20

NEOTENY – the retention into adulthood of adolescent features

Juvenescence

Page 21: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 21

Save 25% income every year in 401(K)

Pension from social sec. (10%)

Pension = 50% Finalsalary ($112k)Pension

from 401(K) savings (40%)

Work

(44 Years)

Retirement

(35 Years)

Working Longer:

Jane 1998-2098

Page 22: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 22

The Three-stage Life Breaks Up

Page 23: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 23

TANGIBLE INTANGIBLE

PROPERTY VITALITY

PENSION TRANSFORMATION

PRODUCTIVITYSAVINGS

The Importance of Intangible Assets

Page 24: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 24

v

Drafting a Multi-stage Life

Page 25: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

• “Badging” – some way of signifying and communicating on-the-job learning and achievements – will grow

• College degrees will diminish as a currency in the job market

Companies Will Compete for Talent Based on the Commercial Value of Learning

25 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 26: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Younger Workers:Opportunity, Challenge, Meaning, Conditions

Immediate – living each day to the fullest

Seeking challenge and relevance

Careers built around skills, experience, and networks – rather than institutional affiliation

26 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 27: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Older Workers:Looking for Flexible Options to Engage

20s

30s

40s50s

60s

70s

80sCareer

Development

Career Deceleration

Source: Workforce Crisis: How to Beat the Coming Shortage of Skills and Talent by Dychtwald, Erickson, and Morison, April 2006

27 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 28: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

The Most Important Work TodayIs Discretionary

• People have to want to provide extraordinary service

• Individuals must choose to share ideas and work together

• No one can be forced to innovate

28 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 29: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Create Value through Discretionary Effort

Confidence In Your Organisation’s

Unique Identity

An Employee Experience

Consistent with Your Implicit Promise

29 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 30: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

Meaning Is the New Money

Old New

Adopting best practices Crafting unique experiences

Trying to be all things to all people Attracting and retaining people who value what you have to offer

Offering a little of everything Excelling in specific areas that align with your values

30 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 31: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

The Most Important Work Today• Combining different types of knowledge and

expertise to come up with something better

• Harnessing the smallest units of knowledge

• Determining what information to share, with whom

• Tapping individual’s particular knowledge and capacities in ways that contribute to the success of the whole

• Creating insightful relationships with customers, suppliers and others

• Detecting and responding to market and environmental shifts

• Learning

Mobilizing Intelligence

CollaborationInnovation

Openness to New Insights

31 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

Building Intelligent Organisations

Page 32: Lynda Gratton& Tamara Erickson€¦ · • Organizations will tap the best person for the specific task at the specific moment in time • Organizations will constitute a flexible

© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2016 ® SLIDE 32

Building for the Future . . .

Build Intelligent Organisations

32 | © 2017 Tammy Erickson. All Rights Reserved.

@lyndagrattonwww.hotspotsmovement.com

@tammyericksonwww.tammyerickson.com