Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,506 Ontarians by Smart IVR™ on November 1st, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Regional margins of error: North:

+/-5.5%; East: +/-4.56%; Southwest: +/-5.14%; South Central: +/- 4.91%; GTA +/-4.83%; Toronto: +/-3.89% 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on

the 2011 Canadian Census.

A2

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.

THUMBS DOWN FOR UNION PAYOUTS

November 3, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Ontarians strongly disapprove of the Government’s handling of teacher negotiations. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.96 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“Ontarians are closely following the province’s negotiations with teachers and they do not like what they see,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “72% of Ontarians say they are following stories about the teachers negotiations.”

The poll found Ontarians disapprove of the government’s negotiations and especially disapprove of the government offsetting the costs of negotiations to teachers unions.

“58% disapprove of the negotiations in general, 71% are opposed to defraying the costs of negotiations to unions, these are some very strong numbers. Recently we’ve heard new messaging that unions will need to submit receipts to be reimbursed, and also that no money has yet been paid out, whether those messages will resonate moving forward remains to be seen but for now Ontarians are not impressed,” finished Maggi.

“Looking at the provincial horserace there has not been a lot of movement. The NDP are up slightly (+1%) and the Liberals are down slightly (-2%) which is within the margin of error. The Greens and are PCs holding steady for now at 5% and 31% respectively,” finished Maggi.

ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

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Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.caFor more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

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LEANING AND DECIDED

ONTARIO NDPONTARIO LIBERAL PARTYPROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEONTARIO GREENSUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3426%19%28%8%19%317

35-4919%22%31%6%23%566

50-6417%24%32%3%

23%751

65+16%25%36%3%

20%872

Female20%24%26%5%25%1294

Male20%20%37%6%17%1212

If a provincial election were held today, which party would you support?

ONTARIO NDPONTARIO LIBERAL PARTYPROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEONTARIO GREENSUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

North23%20%26%6%

24%238

East18%19%34%4%26%461

SW23%18%36%6%16%364

SC20%24%29%7%

20%398

41619%28%29%5%19%634

GTA19%22%31%4%

24%411

ONDP OLP PCs Ontario Green Undecided

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

All Voters Decided & Leaning

20%

22%

31%

5% 21%

25%

28%

40%

7%

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LEANING AND DECIDEDHow closely have you been following stories involving the Ontario government's negotiations with teachers unions?

VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARE OF THESE STORIES

18-3436%37%19%4%4%

35-4934%38%18%5%5%

50-6434%37%20%4%5%

65+31%42%20%4%4%

Female31%41%18%5%4%

Male36%34%20%4%5%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

North35%36%18%5%5%

East38%35%16%6%5%

SW35%35%20%5%4%

SC34%39%20%4%4%

41632%39%20%4%5%

GTA33%41%19%4%4%

34%

38%

19%

5%5%

Very Closely Somewhat Closely Not Too Closely Not At All Closely Not Aware

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LEANING AND DECIDEDAnd, from everything you have seen, heard or read do you approve or disapprove of the Government's negotiations with teachers?

TOTAL APPROVAL: 31% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 58% NOT SURE: 12%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

18-349%

20%21%39%11%

35-4910%22%25%33%11%

50-6410%20%22%34%13%

65+9%21%25%34%12%

Female10%21%23%33%13%

Male9%

20%23%37%11%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

North8%22%23%33%14%

East8%18%28%33%13%

SW9%21%21%38%12%

SC9%23%25%32%10%

41612%21%23%33%11%

GTA10%21%22%36%11%

31%

58%

12%

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LEANING AND DECIDEDRecently, it was disclosed that the Ontario government paid some teachers' unions to defray the costs unions incurred to engage in negotiations. Do you approve or disapprove of the Ontario government paying the

costs of negotiations by public sector unions?

TOTAL APPROVAL: 21% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 71% NOT SURE: 8%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

18-349%11%14%57%10%

35-499%11%19%54%7%

50-649%13%18%53%7%

65+10%11%19%52%8%

Female10%12%19%51%9%

Male9%11%16%57%7%

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

North10%12%21%47%10%

East10%14%15%55%7%

SW11%9%15%56%10%

SC8%13%20%49%10%

4168%14%19%53%6%

GTA9%10%17%56%8%

21%

71%

8%

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SCRIPT

And, if a provincial election were held today, which party would you support?

The NDP led by Andrea HorwathThe Ontario Liberal Party led by Kathleen Wynne

The Progressive Conservatives led by Patrick BrownThe Green Party led by Mike Schreiner

Undecided

How closely have you been following stories involving the Ontario government’s negotiations with teachers unions?

Very closelySomewhat closely

Not too closelyNot at all closely

Not aware of these stories

And from everything you have seen, heard or read do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s negotiations with teachers?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not sure

Recently, it was disclosed that the Ontario government paid some teachers' unions to defray the costs unions incurred to engage in negotiations. Do you approve or disapprove of the Ontario government

paying the costs of negotiations by public sector unions?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not sure

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© 2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.