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A new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia riding polls finds the Conservatives leading in Regina Lewvan, the Liberals ahead in Saint Boniface-Saint Vital & the NDP out front in Saskatoon West. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Polls have a margin of error of 3.83%-3.85%, 19 times out of 20.

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  • Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 639 Regina Lewvan residents, 651 Saint Boniface - Saint Vital residents & 658 Saskatoon West residents by Smart IVR on September 21, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a

    mixture of landlines and cell phones. Regina Lewvan margin of error: +/- 3.85%; Saint Boniface - Saint Vital margin of error: +/- 3.83%, Saskatoon West margin of error: +/- 3.83%, 19 times out of

    20. Results were weighed by age & gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

  • REGINA LEWVAN, SAINT BONIFACE & SASKATOON WEST

    September 25, 2015 (Toronto, ON) A new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia riding polls finds the Conservatives leading in Regina Lewvan, the Liberals ahead in Saint Boniface-Saint Vital & the NDP out front in Saskatoon West. The Mainstreet Postmedia Polls have a margin of error of 3.83%-3.85%, 19 times out of 20.

    REGINA LEWVANIn Regina, we see a lead by the Conservative candidate with 34% a 6 point lead over the NDP. This race may yet tighten up with more than 3 weeks to go, but right now, it looks like Trent Fraser may have enough to win - 80% of his supporters say they wont switch, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.

    SAINT BONIFACE - SAINT VITALIn Saint Boniface, the Liberals have a lead with 33% and 37% among decided and leaning voters. This looks to be a chance for Liberal candidate Vandal to add to the Liberal seat count in Manitoba. We are expecting a dicult climate for the Conservatives in the province particularly in the city of Winnipeg.

    SASKATOON WESTSaskatoon West will be one of those rare three way races that we don't often see in federal or provincial elections in Canada. Although the NDPs Benson leads over Conservative Randy Donaur by 6%, the third place Liberals are not far o with 22%. It's still anybody's to win, with three weeks to go, this will be a fun finish to watch though Benson is favoured, finished Maggi.

    ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

    Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.

    -30-

    Available for phone interview: Quito Maggi, President - quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

    "Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

    A2

  • Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

    A3

    Fraser Weir Browne UndecidedFriesen

    ReginaLewvan

    TRENT FRASER (CPC)ERIN WEIR (NDP)LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)UNDECIDED

    Certain35%29%29%4%15%

    Likely29%28%18%2%

    22%

    Unlikely38%9%3%4%47%

    Might23%28%10%0%39%

    TRENT FRASER (CPC)ERIN WEIR (NDP)LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

    18-3429%32%24%2%13%97

    35-4938%27%16%3%17%137

    50-6432%28%12%5%

    22%175

    65+40%26%13%5%16%230

    Female34%29%13%5%19%385

    Male34%28%21%3%15%254

    All Voters Decided & Leaning

    34%

    17%

    28%

    4% 17%

    40% 1%234%

    5%

  • Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

    And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

    A4

    ReginaLewvan

    STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW

    CPC80%17%3%

    NDP59%29%12%

    LPC54%30%17%

    Fraser Weir Browne UndecidedFriesen

    10%

    9%

    11%

    2%

    68%

  • Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

    A5

    Catellier Selby Vandal UndecidedZaretski

    Saint BonifaceSaint Vital

    All Voters Decided & Leaning

    28%

    21%

    33%

    4% 14%

    33%

    25%

    37%

    5%

    FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)ERIN SELBY (NDP)DAN VANDAL (LPC)GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)UNDECIDED

    Certain28%23%34%3%12%

    Likely25%14%38%3%

    20%

    Unlikely28%5%10%33%24%

    Might13%14%23%0%

    50%

    FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)ERIN SELBY (NDP)DAN VANDAL (LPC)GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

    18-3429%17%36%4%13%89

    35-4925%24%29%5%18%175

    50-6428%23%34%3%12%225

    65+34%22%32%3%10%162

    Female23%23%37%3%13%390

    Male33%19%28%5%15%261

  • Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

    And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

    A6

    Saint BonifaceSaint Vital

    STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW

    CPC81%17%2%

    NDP48%48%4%

    LPC53%39%8%

    19%

    12%

    5%

    4%

    60%

    Catellier Selby Vandal UndecidedZaretski

  • Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

    A7

    RANDY DONAUER (CPC)SHERI BENSON (NDP)LISA ABBOTT (LPC)GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

    18-3417%38%21%14%10%86

    35-4926%27%31%3%13%123

    50-6434%22%16%8%

    20%208

    65+26%27%19%6%22%241

    Female26%31%22%7%14%335

    Male25%32%22%9%12%323

    RANDY DONAUER (CPC)SHERI BENSON (NDP)LISA ABBOTT (LPC)GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)UNDECIDED

    Certain26%31%23%8%13%

    Likely29%39%18%2%13%

    Unlikely15%42%13%10%20%

    Might30%32%23%0%15%

    Saskatoon West

    Donauer Benson Abbott UndecidedToews

    All Voters Decided & Leaning

    26%

    32%

    22%

    8% 13%

    31%

    36%

    25%

    9%

  • Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

    STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW

    And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

    A8

    Saskatoon West

    Donauer Benson Abbott UndecidedToews

    23%

    11%

    13%

    2%

    51%

    CPC81%17%2%

    NDP48%48%4%

    LPC53%39%8%

  • How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight

    Unlikely

    Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

    Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom MulcairLouis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

    Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth MayUndecided

    And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

    Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom MulcairLouis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

    Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth MayUndecided

    Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]

    Strong supporterMight change your mind

    Dont know

    REGINA LEWVAN SCRIPT

    A9

  • How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight

    Unlikely

    Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

    Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom MulcairDan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauGlenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

    Undecided

    And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

    Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom MulcairDan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauGlenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

    Undecided

    Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]

    Strong supporterMight change your mind

    Dont know

    SAINT BONIFACE-SAINT VITAL SCRIPT

    A10

  • How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight

    Unlikely

    Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

    Undecided

    And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

    Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

    Undecided

    Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]

    Strong supporterMight change your mind

    Dont know

    SASKATOON WEST SCRIPT

    A11

  • 2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

    Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

    Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.