mainstreet - toronto september b

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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,451 Toronto residents by Smart IVR™ on September 8, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of landlines and cell phones. Margin of error: +/- 1.98%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

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September 14, 2015 (Toronto, ON) - A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds support for an Olympic Bid in Toronto slipping. Meanwhile, Torontonians are split when asked about funding infrastructure projects by selling the city’s minority stake of Toronto Hydro. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.98%, 19/20.

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Page 1: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,451 Toronto residents by Smart IVR™ on September 8, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of landlines and cell phones.

Margin of error: +/- 1.98%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

Page 2: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

TORONTONIANS SPLIT ON OLYMPICS AS SUPPORT FOR BID SLIPS

September 14, 2015 (Toronto, ON) - A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds support for an Olympic Bid in Toronto slipping. Meanwhile, Torontonians are split when asked about funding infrastructure projects by selling the city’s minority stake of Toronto Hydro. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.98%, 19/20.

“Mayor John Tory continues to lead Toronto City Council in approval with 62% of Toronto residents indicating they approve of the job he is doing compared to 50% for council,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Disapproval remains low for both the Mayor and council with just 24% disapproving of the Mayor and 3 in 10 disapproving of Council.”

“Support for a Toronto Olympic bid has slipped to 50%, down 8% since the last Mainstreet survey on this issue. Those opposed to the bid has increased by 9% to 47%. As people learn more about the benefits and costs of an Olympic bid, opinions have become more divided. A bid for 2024 may be a risky proposition and with the current climate of economic uncertainty, the city is split.”

“For Mayor Tory the political risks may not be worth it. He would need to win two more terms (2018, 2022) to reap the political windfall of hosting the 2024 Olympics,” Maggi continued.

As the Syrian refugee crisis continues, Mainstreet surveyed Torontonians on ways they are willing to help. 22% say they would make a donation, 58% would donate clothing or other items and 17% say they would consider sponsoring a refugee.

“Torontonians are ready to help in di�erent ways. Ultimately, as they learn more about the requirements to sponsor a refugee many may not follow through, but what is striking is that 4 in 10 Torontonians would not rule out making a financial donation or helping with sponsorship (Not Sure). This suggests Torontonians need more information,” finished Maggi.

Regional margins of error: Downtown +/- 3.49%; Scarborough +/- 3.96%; Etobicoke +/- 4.13%; North York +/- 4.6%

-30-

Available for Interview From Toronto: Quito Maggi, President, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]

ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.

B2

Page 3: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

B3

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3427%30%9%22%12%386

35-4940%26%12%11%12%523

50-6441%24%10%9%16%679

65+36%25%14%9%15%863

Female35%29%12%11%13%1351

Male37%23%11%15%14%1100

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.38%23%11%13%15%621

N. YORK35%24%12%15%15%460

ETOB.30%25%18%17%10%570

D. TOWN39%31%7%10%13%800

TOTAL APPROVAL: 62% (-1%) TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 24% (-) NOT SURE: 13% (-)

62%

24%

13%

Page 4: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

B4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

Mar

ch

April

May

June July

Augu

st

Sept

embe

r

Page 5: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

B5

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3412%37%14%19%18%386

35-4926%30%18%9%17%523

50-6412%33%16%15%23%679

65+13%36%18%15%18%863

Female16%31%18%11%23%1351

Male16%36%15%18%15%1100

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.24%25%11%23%17%621

N. YORK14%36%11%19%20%460

ETOB.8%

42%22%9%19%570

D. TOWN17%33%23%7%

20%800

TOTAL APPROVAL: 50% (+1%) TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 31% (+1%) NOT SURE: 19% (-1%)

50%

31%

19%

Page 6: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

B6

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

January March May July September

Page 7: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

B7

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3436%23%26%2%13%386

35-4936%19%22%11%13%523

50-6424%40%15%6%14%679

65+28%26%19%10%16%863

Female32%27%21%7%14%1351

Male30%28%21%8%13%1100

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.38%26%19%11%5%621

N. YORK33%21%24%6%16%460

ETOB.12%40%17%7%

24%570

D. TOWN35%27%20%5%13%800

TOTAL APPROVAL: 58% (+1%) TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 28% (-1%) NOT SURE: 14% (+1%)

58%28%

14%

Page 8: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

B8

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

January March May July September

Page 9: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Do you approve or disapprove of Toronto selling o� its minority stake of Toronto Hydro to pay for infrastructure projects in the city?

B9

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3419%5%9%

29%38%386

35-499%16%13%23%39%523

50-6413%26%17%21%23%679

65+15%21%15%23%25%863

Female12%16%17%25%31%1351

Male15%18%10%24%33%1100

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.14%17%13%24%32%621

N. YORK13%16%12%26%33%460

ETOB.15%17%15%26%27%570

D. TOWN14%17%15%22%33%800

TOTAL APPROVAL: 31% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 38% NOT SURE: 32%

31%

38%

32%

Page 10: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Some have suggested Toronto bid to host the 2024 Summer Olympic Games. Critics have said that hosting the games would be very expensive and a wasteful use of tax dollars while supporters say that it is about more than the money and Toronto already has the world-class venues and infrastructure needed to hold the Olympic games. Do you approve or disapprove of Toronto making a bid to host the 2024 Summer Olympics?

B10

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3437%21%20%19%3%386

35-4932%23%17%23%4%523

50-6420%21%22%32%5%679

65+21%22%23%31%3%863

Female27%22%21%26%4%1351

Male29%22%20%26%4%

1100

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.33%18%21%24%4%621

N. YORK32%19%23%23%3%460

ETOB.31%18%21%26%3%570

D. TOWN18%29%18%30%5%

800

TOTAL APPROVAL: 50% (-8%) TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 47% (+9%) NOT SURE: 4% (-)

50%

47%

4%

Page 11: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

If asked, would you make a financial donation to aid refugees from Syria?

B11

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3423%44%33%386

35-4925%18%57%523

50-6419%45%37%679

65+18%46%35%863

Female21%38%41%1351

Male22%38%40%1100

YES: 22% NO: 38% NOT SURE: 41%

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.26%36%38%621

N. YORK21%40%39%460

ETOB.19%39%42%570

D. TOWN20%36%44%800

22%

38%

41%

Page 12: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

If asked, would you make an in-kind donation, such as clothing, to Syrian refugees?

B12

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3462%19%20%386

35-4956%17%27%523

50-6458%20%22%679

65+58%20%22%863

Female59%20%21%1351

Male58%18%24%1100

YES: 58% NO: 19% NOT SURE: 23%

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.60%18%22%621

N. YORK59%18%24%460

ETOB.56%20%23%570

D. TOWN58%21%22%800

58%

19%

23%

Page 13: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

And, if asked would you consider sponsoring a Syrian refugee to come to Canada?

B13

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3419%37%44%386

35-4921%45%34%523

50-6414%36%50%679

65+14%36%50%863

Female17%38%44%1351

Male17%39%44%1100

YES: 17% NO: 39% NOT SURE: 44%

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

SCAR.16%39%45%621

N. YORK17%39%44%460

ETOB.17%38%45%570

D. TOWN18%38%44%800

17%

39%

44%

Page 14: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

Thinking about Toronto City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it is handling its job?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling their job?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

Do you approve or disapprove of Toronto selling o� its minority stake of Toronto Hydro to pay for infrastructure projects in the city?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

Some have suggested Toronto bid to host the 2024 Summer Olympic Games. Critics have said that hosting the games would be very expensive and a wasteful use of tax dollars while supporters say that

it is about more than the money and Toronto already has the world-class venues and infrastructure needed to hold the Olympic games. Do you approve or disapprove of Toronto making a bid to host the

2024 Summer Olympics?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

SCRIPT

B14

Page 15: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

If asked, would you make a financial donation to aid refugees from Syria?

YesNo

Not sure

If asked, would you make an in-kind donation, such as clothing, to Syrian refugees?

YesNo

Not sure

And, if asked would you consider sponsoring a Syrian refugee to come to Canada?

YesNo

Not sure

SCRIPT

B15

Page 16: Mainstreet - Toronto September B

© 2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.