Managers as Decision Makers2012*-

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 2012*

Decision MakingProblem Solving2012*

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(Process)

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(Problem) (Questions beyond Questions, QBQ)

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(criteria)2012*

(Weight)2012*

(Criteria)(weight):((2012*

(Alternatives)Amanda2012*

:2012*: :

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Quiz a. b. c. d. 2012*

(Rational)2012*

(Bounded Rationality)2012*

2012*(Escalation of commitment )

To dream the impossible dream, To fight the unbeatable foe, To bear with unbearable sorrow, To run where the brave dare not go.

The impossible dreamTo dream the impossible dream To fight the unbeatable foe To bear with unbearable sorrow To run where the brave dare not go To right the unrightable wrong To be better far than you are To try when your arms are too wearyTo reach the unreachable star This is my quest, to follow that star No matter how hopeless No matter how farTo fight for the right without question or pause To be willing to march into hell for a heavenly cause And I know if I'll only be true to this glorious quest That my heart will be peaceful and calm when I'm laid to my rest And the world would be better for this That one man scorned and covered with scars Still strove with his last ounce of courage To reach the unreachable star! ! - 2012*

(Intuitive decision making)2012*

2012*(Structured Problems) (Programmed Decision)(Policy)(Procedure)(Rules)

(Evidence Based Management, EBMgt)

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2012*()(Unstructured Problems)(Nonprogrammed Decisions)

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Quiz2012*

(Certain)(Risk)

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()(Uncertain) (Maximax) (Maximin) (Minimax)2012*

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Quiz a.b.c.d.e. 2012*

Quiza. b.c. d.2012*

2012*

2012*()(Directive)(Analytic)(Conceptual)(Behavioral)

(Bias)2012*

2012*(Heuristics)(Overconfidence Bias)(Immediate Gratification Bias)(Anchoring Effect)(Selective Perception)

2012*()(Confirmation Bias)(Framing Bias)(Availability Bias)(Representation Bias)

2012*()(Randomness Bias)(Sunk Costs Errors)(Self-Serving Bias)(Hindsight Bias)()

2012*

2012*1.2.3.4.5.6.

Right or wrong?

2012*

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