manpower employment outlook survey - meos q4 2015
TRANSCRIPT
1 May 2023
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 2
MEOS Q4 2015 Summary The national Net Employment Outlook has fallen by two percentage points
to +4%, the weakest result in three years.
Hiring in the North East (-2%) and North West (0%), and Yorkshire and Humber (+3%) remain under the national average.
The Outlook for Finance and Business Services fell for the fifth consecutive quarter and now stands at +4%, its lowest level in three years.
The capital’s Outlook is +8%, a one point fall on the quarter but well above the national average.
Public sector employers slipped into negative territory (-1%) while private sector optimism remains on +5%.
Construction has slipped back to +4% from +7% in the previous quarter, and now stands at its weakest level for a year.
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2014
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
-1
-3
-6-5
-1
1 1 1 12 2
3
10
2 23
6 65
7
5
7 7 76 6 6
4
National NEO
MEOS: Since Q4 2008
2015
Lowest optimism since the fourth quarter of 2012
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 4
Size of company breakdown Companies of all sizes have positive hiring intentions; low levels of volatility Micro, medium and large business all down Small businesses record no change
Large
Medium
Small
Micro
National
18
10
8
4
6
15
8
8
2
4Q4 '15 Q3 '15 -2
-2
n/c
-2
-3
QoQ change
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 5
Industry sector breakdown
2
7
6
4
6
7
7
8
6
6
2
4
4
4
5
6
6
7
9
4
Q4 '15 Q3 '15
QoQ change
-2
+3
-1
-1
-1
-1
n/c
-2
-3
n/c
National
Electricity, Gas & Water
Mining & Quarrying
Manufacturing
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Public & Social
Wholesale & Retail, Hotels & Restaurants
Finance & Business Services
Construction
Transport, Storage & Comms
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 6
Public/private sector breakdown Public sector intentions have dropped six points from +5 to -1. In contrast, private sector hiring remains on +5.
2
5
5
6
-3
-1
5
4
4Q '15 3Q '15
-2
n/c
-5
+1
QoQ change
*Data not seasonally adjusted
National
Private
Public
Not for Profit*
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 7
Regions and nations breakdown
9
7
5
-1
9
2
3
4
9
9
9
8
6
-2
0
0
0
2
2
3
6
8
10
11
12
4
4Q '15Q3 '15
QoQ change
National
East
Wales
East Midlands
London
South East
Yorkshire & The Humber
Northern Ireland
South West
Scotland
West Midlands
North West
North East
n/c
+4
+2
+1
-1
-2
n/c
n/c
-7
+1
-5
-7
-11
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q4 2015
ManpowerGroup | 1 May 2023 8
UK employment intention heat map: Q4 2015
0
-2+2
0+3
+11 0+10
+6+2
+12+8
+8