manpowergroup employment outlook survey canada · 2018. 9. 4. · subject: meos q419 – canada –...

SMART JOB NO: 39525 QUARTER 4 2019

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q419 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 39525_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q419 PAgE: 1

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 26.08.19

Manpowergroup Employment Outlook SurveyCanada

Q4 2019


CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the fourth quarter 2019 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 1,930 employers in Canada.

All survey participants were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of December 2019 as compared to the current quarter?”

Contents

Canadian Employment Outlook 1Organization-Size ComparisonsRegional Comparisons Sector Comparisons

global Employment Outlook 13International Comparisons – AmericasInternational Comparisons – Asia PacificInternational Comparisons – EMEA

About the Survey 30

About Manpowergroup® 31Can

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Out

look

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 1


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Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjusted

% % % % % %

16 6 77 1 10 134th Quarter 2018

14 6 79 1 8 121st Quarter 2019

16 3 80 1 13 102nd Quarter 2019

19 3 77 1 16 123rd Quarter 2019

15 6 78 1 9 124th Quarter 2019

’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

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Canadian Employment Outlook

Canadian employers report conservative hiring intentions for the coming quarter. With 15% of employers forecasting an increase in payrolls, 6% expecting a decrease and 78% anticipating no change, the Net Employment Outlook is +9%.

Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal variation, the Outlook stands at +12%. Hiring plans are unchanged in comparison with the previous quarter and remain relatively stable when compared with this time one year ago.

Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating total employment to increase and subtracting from this the percentage expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.

From this point forward, all data discussed in the commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated otherwise.

2 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey


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Participating employers are categorized into one of four organization sizes: Micro businesses have less than 10 employees; Small businesses have 10-49 employees; Medium businesses have 50-249 employees; and Large businesses have 250 or more employees.

Employers expect to grow payrolls in all four organization size categories during the fourth quarter of 2019. Large employers report healthy hiring prospects with a Net Employment Outlook of +26%. Elsewhere, hopeful hiring plans are reported by Medium- and Small-size employers, with Outlooks of +15% and +11%, respectively, while the Outlook for Micro firms stands at +3%.

Organization-Size ComparisonsSmall employers report a slight improvement of 3 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the Outlook for Medium employers remains relatively stable, and employers in both the Micro- and Large-size categories report no change.

In a comparison with this time one year ago, Medium employers report a slight decline of 2 percentage points, while the Outlook for Large employers remains relatively stable. Elsewhere, Outlooks are unchanged for Small- and Micro-size employers.

IncreaseOrganization-Size Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjusted

% % % % % %

Large-Size 250 or more

Medium-Size 50-249

Small-Size 10-49

Micro-Size less than 10

31 8 60 1 23 26

19 8 72 1 11 15

14 7 79 0 7 11

5 4 91 0 1 3

Micro-Size less than 10Micro-Size less than 10

Graph displays Seasonally Adjusted DataGraph displays Seasonally Adjusted Data

Small-Size 10-49Small-Size 10-49 Medium-Size 50-249Medium-Size 50-249 Large-Size 250 or moreLarge-Size 250 or more

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-10

0

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Regional ComparisonsAtlantic Canada

In the final quarter of 2019, employers continue to anticipate a steady hiring pace, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13% for the second consecutive quarter. In a year-over-year comparison, the Outlook improves by 4 percentage points.

Employers in all 10 industry sectors anticipate an increase in payrolls during the next three months. Manufacturing – Durables sector employers forecast the strongest hiring pace, reporting a robust Net Employment Outlook of +33%. Healthy workforce gains are expected in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector with an Outlook of +30%, while Outlooks of +21% and +20% are reported in the Construction sector and the Mining sector, respectively. The Outlook of +19% reported for the Education sector is the strongest in five years, and Public Administration sector employers also report positive hiring plans with an Outlook of +19%. Meanwhile, the weakest labour markets are anticipated in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector, where the Outlook stands at +1%, and in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector with an Outlook of +2%.

Hiring plans strengthen in six of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. The Manufacturing – Durables sector Outlook improves by a steep margin of 24 percentage points, while Education sector employers report an increase of 6 percentage points. Elsewhere, Outlooks are 5 percentage points stronger in two sectors – the Public Administration sector and the Services sector. However, hiring prospects weaken in three sectors, most notably by 20 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector, and by 9 percentage points in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector.

In a year-over-year comparison, hiring intentions improve in five of the 10 industry sectors. Sharp increases of 34 percentage points are reported in two sectors – the Education sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector – while Manufacturing – Durables sector employers report an improvement of 33 percentage points. However, hiring plans are 7 percentage points weaker in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector.

Employers in all seven Atlantic Canada areas expect to grow payrolls during the coming quarter. The strongest hiring prospects are reported in Charlottetown and Halifax with optimistic Outlooks of +28% and +27%, respectively, while Fredericton employers report an Outlook of +17%. Meanwhile, the weakest hiring plans are reported in two areas with Outlooks of +5% – Cape Breton Area and Saint John.

When compared with the previous quarter, Outlooks strengthen in four areas, most notably by 7 percentage points in Cape Breton Area and by 5 percentage points in Halifax. However, hiring prospects weaken in two areas, including Moncton, where employers report a decline of 19 percentage points.

Hiring intentions strengthen in five areas in a comparison with the final quarter of 2018. Considerable improvements of 19 and 17 percentage points are reported in St. John’s and Charlottetown, respectively, while the Halifax Outlook is 14 percentage points stronger. Meanwhile, Outlooks decline by 16 percentage points in Moncton and by 11 percentage points in Cape Breton Area.

+5 (+13)%

Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Don’t Know

% % % %%%

ConstructionAll Industries

EducationFinance, Insurance & Real EstateManufacturing – Durables Manufacturing – Non-Durables MiningPublic Administration ServicesTransportation & Public Utilities Wholesale & Retail Trade

31 13 56 180 2115 10 75 50 13

25 0 75 25 19021 0 79 0 21 3033 0 67 0 33 3314 21 64 1 1-721 7 71 1 20140 0 100 0 190

20 8 72 0 12 170 7 87 6 -7 64 16 80 0 -12 2



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+6 (+10)%



% % % %%%



15 5 75 105 1313 7 79 61 10

13 6 81 7 6017 2 79 2 15 1416 9 75 0 7 119 9 80 2 3016 2 82 0 141415 8 75 7 18210 6 82 2 4 918 12 68 2 6 1812 6 81 1 6 10

Ontario

With a Net Employment Outlook of +10%, employers forecast moderate payroll gains during the next three months. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable when compared with the previous quarter, but decline by 2 percentage points in comparison with the final quarter of 2018.

Job seekers in all 10 industry sectors can expect some hiring opportunities during the forthcoming quarter, according to employers. The strongest labour market is anticipated in two sectors with Net Employment Outlooks of +18% – the Public Administration sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector. Mining sector employers report the strongest hiring prospects in eight years with an Outlook of +14%, and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector Outlook also stands at +14%. Steady hiring activity is anticipated in the Construction sector, where the Outlook is +13%, and in the Manufacturing – Durables sector, with an Outlook of +11%. Meanwhile, Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector employers report the weakest hiring plans with an Outlook of +3%.

Hiring prospects weaken in five of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. The most noteworthy decrease of 6 percentage points is reported in the Public Administration sector, while Outlooks are 5 and 4 percentage points weaker in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Manufacturing – Durables sector, respectively. Elsewhere, Outlooks strengthen in three sectors, including the Mining sector with an increase of 6 percentage points and the Construction sector where employers report an improvement of 4 percentage points.

When compared with this time one year ago, employers in five of the 10 industry sectors report weaker hiring plans. A considerable decline of 13 percentage points is reported in the Education sector, while Outlooks decrease by 8 and 7 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector and the Manufacturing – Durables sector, respectively. However, hiring intentions improve in four sectors, most notably by 10 percentage points in the Mining sector and by 4 percentage points in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector.

Employers in 23 of the 24 Ontario areas expect payrolls to increase in the final quarter of 2019. The strongest labour market is expected in Brampton, where employers report a bright Outlook of +37%. Kitchener/Cambridge Area employers forecast healthy job gains with an Outlook of +27%, while Outlooks stand at +15% and +14% in Cornwall and York Region, respectively. Meanwhile, Belleville employers expect to trim payrolls, reporting an Outlook of -6%, while subdued hiring intentions are reflected in Outlooks of +1% for both Northumberland County and Thunder Bay.

When compared with the third quarter of 2019, hiring intentions strengthen in eight areas. The most noteworthy improvements of 13 and 11 percentage points are reported in Fort Erie and Brampton, respectively. However, hiring plans weaken in 15 areas, most notably by 40 percentage points in Belleville and by 29 percentage points in Northumberland County. The Thunder Bay Outlook decreases by 12 percentage points, and employers report decreases of 9 percentage points in both Hamilton and Toronto.

In a year-over-year comparison, hiring prospects improve in seven areas, most notably by 20 percentage points in Barrie. Considerable improvements are reported in Brampton and Windsor, increasing by 16 and 14 percentage points, respectively, while the Outlook for Fort Erie is 13 percentage points stronger. Meanwhile, hiring plans weaken in 11 areas. Belleville employers report a considerable decline of 20 percentage points and the Niagara Falls Outlook decreases by 17 percentage points. Elsewhere, noteworthy declines of 14 and 13 percentage points are reported in Brantford and Hamilton, respectively.



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Quebec

Job seekers can expect the strongest labour market since the regional analysis began 16 years ago, according to employers who report an optimistic Net Employment Outlook of +25% for the October to December period. Hiring prospects improve by 18 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter and are 7 percentage points stronger year-over-year.

Payroll gains are anticipated in all 10 industry sectors during the upcoming quarter. The strongest labour market is forecast for the Education sector, where the bullish Net Employment Outlook of +44% is the strongest since the sector analysis began in 2004. Employers in both the Public Administration sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector employers anticipate brisk hiring opportunities, reporting Outlooks of +32% and +31%, respectively. The Outlook for the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector stands at +27%, while the Outlook of +26% reported for the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector is the strongest in more than 10 years. Employers in the Services and Manufacturing – Durables sectors both report Outlooks of +25%. Meanwhile, Mining sector employers report the weakest hiring intentions with a modest Outlook of +8%.

Hiring prospects strengthen in nine of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. Education sector employers report a sharp increase of 46 percentage points, while the Outlook for the Public Administration sector improves by 41 percentage points. Outlooks also strengthen sharply in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector and the Construction sector, increasing by 23 and 22 percentage points, respectively, while employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector report an increase of 20 percentage points. However, Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector employers report a quarter-over-quarter decline of 7 percentage points.

Employers in six of the 10 industry sectors report stronger hiring intentions when compared with this time one year ago. A steep increase of 35 percentage points is reported in the Education sector, while Outlooks are 17 and 12 percentage points stronger in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector and the Construction sector, respectively. Meanwhile, Outlooks weaken in three sectors, including noteworthy declines of 19 percentage points for the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and 17 percentage points for the Mining sector.

Workforce growth is expected in all five Quebec areas during the forthcoming quarter. The strongest labour markets are forecast in Quebec City and Cantons de L’Est (formerly Sherbrooke) with robust Outlooks of +32% and +31%, respectively. Healthy job gains are forecast in Montreal, where the Outlook is +22%, and in Monteregie (formerly Granby) with an Outlook of +21%, while the Outlook for Laval stands at +15%.

Hiring prospects strengthen in all five areas when compared with the previous quarter. Sharp increases of 26 and 23 percentage points are reported in Quebec City and Cantons de L’Est (formerly Sherbrooke), respectively, while Montreal employers report an improvement of 14 percentage points.

In a comparison with this time one year ago, Cantons de L’Est (formerly Sherbrooke) employers report a steep increase of 26 percentage points, and Outlooks improve by 7 and 5 percentage points in Montreal and Quebec City, respectively. However, Laval employers report a decrease of 8 percentage points, while the Outlook for Monteregie (formerly Granby) is 7 percentage points weaker.

+22 (+25)%



% % % %%%



21 0 79 210 2325 3 71 221 25

50 8 42 42 44013 7 80 0 6 924 0 76 0 24 2527 0 70 3 272716 10 71 3 8630 10 60 20 32020 0 76 4 20 2540 0 60 0 40 3125 0 75 0 25 26



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% % % %%%



9 11 78 -22 813 6 81 70 7

18 8 74 10 4011 0 89 0 11 1113 10 72 5 3 66 2 92 0 6417 3 80 0 11146 6 88 0 170

12 6 82 0 6 717 3 80 0 14 1815 10 75 0 5 5

+7 (+7)% Western Canada

The weakest hiring pace in three years is expected during the fourth quarter of 2019. Employers report a Net Employment Outlook of +7%, declining by 2 and 5 percentage points in comparison with the previous quarter and this time one year ago, respectively.

Employers expect to add to payrolls in all 10 industry sectors during the October to December period. The strongest labour markets are forecast for the Transportation & Public Utilities sector and the Public Administration sector, where Net Employment Outlooks stand at +18% and +17%, respectively. Steady workforce growth is expected in two sectors with Outlooks of +11% – the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Mining sector – while Outlooks of +8% and +7% are reported by employers in the Construction sector and the Services sector, respectively. The weakest hiring activity is expected in the Education sector, with an Outlook of +4%, and in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, where the Outlook stands at +5%.

Hiring prospects decline in six of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. Hiring plans are 4 percentage points weaker in two sectors – the Public Administration sector and the Services sector – and decrease by 3 percentage points in the Construction sector. However, hiring plans strengthen in three sectors, most notably by 5 percentage points in both the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Mining sector.

In a comparison with the final quarter of 2018, hiring intentions weaken in seven of the 10 industry sectors. Education sector employers report a considerable decline of 13 percentage points, and Outlooks are 10 percentage points weaker in both the Construction sector and the Manufacturing – Durables sector. Elsewhere, Services sector employers report a decrease of 8 percentage points and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector Outlook is 4 percentage points weaker. Meanwhile, Outlooks strengthen in three sectors, including the Public Administration sector where employers report an improvement of 8 percentage points.

In 10 of the 11 Western Canada areas, employers forecast an increase in payrolls during the upcoming quarter. The strongest labour market is expected in Surrey, where the Outlook stands at +20%, and steady job gains are also anticipated in Victoria & Capital Regional District and Red Deer, with Outlooks of +17% and +12%, respectively. Meanwhile, Richmond-Delta employers expect a flat labour market, reporting an Outlook of 0%, and cautious Outlooks of +1% and +2% are reported in Winnipeg and Calgary, respectively.

When compared with the third quarter of 2018, Outlooks weaken in seven of the 11 areas, most notably by 14 percentage points in Richmond-Delta and by 12 percentage points in Regina. However, hiring prospects strengthen in four areas, including Red Deer, where employers report an improvement of 12 percentage points, and Surrey, with an increase of 6 percentage points.

Employers in 10 of the 11 areas report weaker hiring prospects when compared with this time one year ago. A sharp decline of 23 percentage points is reported in Richmond-Delta, and Outlooks are 10 and 9 percentage points weaker in Winnipeg and Victoria & Capital Regional District, respectively. Meanwhile, Calgary employers report a slight year-over-year improvement of 4 percentage points.



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Employers forecast workforce gains in all 10 industry sectors during the next three months. The strongest hiring prospects are reported in two sectors with Net Employment Outlooks of +17% – the Public Administration sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector – while Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector employers report an Outlook of +16%. Mining sector employers report positive hiring plans with an Outlook of +13%, and Outlooks of +12% are reported in both the Construction sector and the Manufacturing – Durables sector. Meanwhile, Education sector employers anticipate the weakest hiring climate, reporting an Outlook of +8%.

Hiring intentions improve by 7 percentage points in the Mining sector when compared with the previous quarter, while the Education sector Outlook is 3 percentage points stronger. Meanwhile, hiring prospects increase by 2 percentage points in both the Construction sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector.

0

17 5

10 7

17 12

9 5

14

13

9

14

6

12

8

8

13

12

16

9

205 10 15

Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook

Construction

Education

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate

Manufacturing – Durables

Manufacturing – Non-Durables

Mining

Public Administration

Services

Transportation & Public Utilities

Wholesale and Retail Trade

Sector ComparisonsHowever, Public Administration sector employers report a quarter-over-quarter decline of 3 percentage points. Elsewhere, hiring plans remain relatively stable.

When compared with this time one year ago, Outlooks weaken in six of the 10 industry sectors. Manufacturing – Durables sector employers report a noteworthy decline of 6 percentage points while the Outlook for the Services sector is 4 percentage points weaker. Slight decreases of 3 percentage points are reported in two sectors – the Education sector and the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector. Meanwhile, hiring plans strengthen in four sectors. Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector employers report an increase of 4 percentage points, while Outlooks are 2 percentage points stronger in both the Mining sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector.



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ConstructionA steady hiring pace is anticipated during the coming quarter, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +12%. Hiring prospects improve by 2 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter, but are 2 percentage points weaker in comparison with the final quarter of 2018.

EducationJob seekers can expect some hiring opportunities in the final quarter of 2019, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +8%. The Outlook is 3 percentage points stronger in comparison with Quarter 3 2019, but declines by 3 percentage points when compared with this time one year ago.

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+8 (+12)%

+14 (+8)%



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Finance, Insurance & Real EstateEmployers forecast the favourable hiring climate to continue for job seekers in the next three months, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +16%. Hiring plans remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and are 4 percentage points stronger in comparison with Quarter 4 2018.

Manufacturing – Durable GoodsRespectable payroll gains are anticipated in the October to December period with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +12%. However, the Outlook is the weakest in two years, remaining relatively stable when compared with the previous quarter, but declining by 6 percentage points in comparison with this time one year ago.

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+14 (+16)%

+9 (+12)%



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Manufacturing – Non-Durable GoodsReporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%, employers forecast a moderate hiring pace in Quarter 4 2019. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, but decrease by 3 percentage points year-over-year.

MiningEmployers expect steady workforce growth during the upcoming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13%. Hiring prospects are 7 percentage points stronger when compared with the previous quarter and improve by 2 percentage points in comparison with the final quarter of 2018.

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+6 (+9)%

+13 (+13)%



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Public AdministrationJob seekers can expect a positive hiring climate in the October to December period, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +17%. However, hiring plans decline by 3 and 2 percentage points in comparison with Quarter 3 2019 and Quarter 4 2018, respectively.

ServicesWith a Net Employment Outlook of +10%, employers anticipate a fair hiring pace in the final quarter of 2019. The Outlook remains relatively stable when compared with the previous quarter, but declines by 4 percentage points year-over-year.

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+5 (+17)%

+7 (+10)%



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Transportation & Public UtilitiesRespectable payroll gains are likely in the forthcoming quarter, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +17%. Hiring intentions strengthen by 2 percentage points in comparison with both the third quarter of 2019 and the final quarter of 2018.

Wholesale & Retail TradeEmployers expect the moderate hiring pace to continue in the next three months, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%. Hiring plans remain relatively stable both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.

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+12 (+17)%

+5 (+9)%



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global Employment OutlookManpowerGroup interviewed over 59,000 employers in 44 countries and territories to forecast labour market activity* in the fourth quarter of 2019. All participants were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of December 2019 as compared to the current quarter?”

The ManpowerGroup research for the final quarter of 2019 reveals employers expect to grow payrolls in 43 of 44 countries and territories surveyed in the period up to the end of December 2019, with employers in one country forecasting no change to hiring intentions. The strongest hiring prospects are reported in Japan, Taiwan, the U.S., India and Greece, while the weakest hiring activity is expected in Spain, the Czech Republic, Argentina, Costa Rica and Switzerland.

In a comparison with the previous quarter, employers in 15 of 44 countries and territories report stronger hiring intentions, while employers in 23 expect a weaker hiring pace, with no reported change in six. When compared with the fourth quarter of 2018, hiring plans also strengthen in 15 countries and territories, decline in 23 and are unchanged in six.

Employers expect to add to payrolls in 25 of 26 Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA) region countries surveyed during the coming quarter, while employers in Spain expect a flat labour market. In a comparison with the previous quarter, hiring plans strengthen in 10 countries but weaken in 12. When compared with last year at this time, Outlooks improve in eight countries, but decline in 14. The strongest hiring intentions for the coming quarter are reported in Greece and Slovenia, while employers in Spain, the Czech Republic and Switzerland report the weakest hiring sentiment.

Workforce gains are expected in all eight Asia Pacific countries and territories during the October to December 2019 period. When compared with the previous quarter, hiring opportunities strengthen in three countries and territories, but weaken in four. In a comparison with the final quarter of 2018, employers report stronger hiring plans in two countries and territories, but hiring prospects decline in four. The region’s strongest labour markets in the next three months are expected in Japan and Taiwan, while employers in China and Singapore anticipate the weakest hiring pace.

Payroll gains are anticipated in all 10 Americas countries surveyed during the final quarter of 2019. When compared with the prior quarter, Outlooks improve in two Americas countries, but decrease in seven. In a comparison with this time one year ago, hiring intentions strengthen in five countries but weaken in five. Employers in the U.S. and Canada expect the strongest hiring activity during the forthcoming quarter, while the region’s weakest labour markets are expected in Argentina and Costa Rica.

Full survey results for each of the 44 countries and territories included in this quarter’s survey, plus regional and global comparisons, can be found at

www.manpowergroup.com/meos

The next ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey will be released on 10 December 2019 and will detail expected labour market activity for the first quarter of 2020.

* Commentary is based on seasonally adjusted data where available. Data is not seasonally adjusted for Croatia or Portugal.



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%

†EMEA – Europe, Middle East and Africa.

1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity. Please note that this data is not available for all countries as a minimum of 17 quarters worth of data is required.

* Indicates unadjusted data.

Quarter 4 2019 Net Employment Outlook

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Japan

Taiwan

United States

India

Greece

Slovenia

New Zealand

Hong Kong

Canada

Australia

Norway

Portugal

Sweden

Brazil

Colombia

Guatemala

Poland

Mexico

Peru

Romania

Bulgaria

Croatia

Hungary

Belgium

France

Germany

Ireland

Israel

Slovakia

Turkey

Austria

Netherlands

United Kingdom

China

Finland

Italy

Panama

Singapore

South Africa

Argentina

Costa Rica

Switzerland

Czech Republic

Spain

Quarter 4 2019Qtr on Qtr Change

Q3 2019 to Q4 2019 Yr on Yr Change

Q4 2018 to Q4 2019

Americas

Asia PacificAustralia

China

Hong Kong

Japan

India

New Zealand

Singapore

Taiwan

EMEA†

Austria

Belgium

Bulgaria

Croatia

Costa Rica

Colombia

United States

Czech Republic

Greece

Hungary

South Africa

SloveniaSlovakia

Poland

PortugalRomania

Canada

Mexico

Peru

Brazil

Argentina

Guatemala

Panama

France

Germany

Finland

Ireland

Netherlands

Norway

Spain

Turkey

Italy

Switzerland

Sweden

Israel

UK

4 (4)1

4 (5)1

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12 (11)1

23 (26)1

16 (15)1

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9 (12)1

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9 (10)1

2 (6)1

3 (4)1

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-1 (2)1

3 (3)1

1 (-2)1

0 (1)1

6 (2)1

-2 (-2)1

7 (5)1

-7 (-7)1

-5 (0)1

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0 (0)1

0 (0)1

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1 (1)1

0 (0)1

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6 (6)1

-8 (-8)1

0 (0)1

6 (7)1 -3 (0)1 -1 (-1)1

7 -16 -2

2 (3)1 1 (-1)1 -4 (-4)19 (9)1 -2 (-1)1 -4 (-4)1

17 (20)1 -7 (-1)1 0 (1)1

2 (2)1 -3 (-1)1 -4 (-4)1

12 (18)1 -12 (-1)1 0 (1)1

6 (7)1 5 (6)1 -9 (-10)1

4 (4)1 2 (0)1 -2 (-2)116 (17)1 -1 (-2)1 0 (0)13 (6)1 -8 (-2)1 -6 (-6)1

8 (9)1 -3 (0)1 -4 (-4)1

10 -2 2

3 (8)1 -16 (-4)1 -12 (-11)1

-7 (0)1

-2 (-2)1

-4 (-2)1

-1 (-1)18 (9)1 -3 (-1)1 3 (2)12 (3)1 2 (2)1 1 (1)1

-5 (-5)110 (9)1 2 (-2)1 -3 (-3)1

1 (1)15 (4)1 3 (1)1 1 (1)1

-1 (1)1

2 (1)14 (4)1

1 (4)1 -6 (0)1 -4 (-4)1

-3 (-3)1

-1 (-1)1

0 (1)1

-4 (-2)1

0 (3)1

-3 (-1)1

0 (2)1

-10 (-2)1

1 (3)1

0 (0)1

5 (5)1

-3 (-3)1

5 (6)1 -4 (-1)1 -2 (-2)1

6 (6)1

-5 (-5)1

2 (2)1

-6 (-6)1

5 (5)1 2 (2)1 1 (1)1

2 (2)1

+26%

+21%

+20%

+19%

+18%

+17%

+15%

+14%

+12%

+11%

+10%

+10%*

+10%

+9%

+9%

+9%

+9%

+8%

+8%

+8%

+7%

+7%*

+7%

+6%

+6%

+6%

+6%

+6%

+6%

+6%

+5%

+5%

+5%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+3%

+3%

+2%

+3%

0%



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



More than 23,000 employers across North, Central and South America were interviewed for the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the final quarter of 2019. Employers expect to add to payrolls in all 10 countries surveyed during the upcoming quarter.

As in every quarter for the past two years, the region’s strongest hiring prospects are reported in the United States. Hiring plans remain relatively stable in comparison with both the prior quarter and the same period one year ago, with employers in all 13 U.S. industry sectors expecting to grow payrolls during the final three months of 2019. The most active labour markets are forecast in the Leisure & Hospitality, Professional & Business Services and Wholesale & Retail Trade sectors. However, hiring sentiment has cooled when compared with the 13-year peak reported in the previous quarter, with Outlooks declining in 10 sectors quarter-over-quarter.

Canadian employers continue to expect steady workforce gains, reporting an unchanged Outlook for the coming quarter. Stronger hiring expectations at the national level in the Transportation & Public Utilities and Public Administration sectors are helping to keep the labour market buoyant, along with the strongest regional hiring plans in Quebec since the region was first measured 16 years ago.

In Mexico, the steady hiring pace of recent years has stalled, according to employers who report their weakest hiring plans in nine years. Despite a five year high reported in Mexico’s Agriculture & Fishing sector, hiring sentiment weakens in the remaining six industry sectors, including the weakest hiring prospects for a decade in both the Commerce sector and the Manufacture sector.

In Central America, employers anticipate soft hiring activity in two of the three countries surveyed. Costa Rican employers report patchy hiring prospects, with employers in three of the six industry sectors expecting to trim payrolls during the final quarter of 2019.

International Comparisons – AmericasEmployers in Panama expect limited payroll gains in Quarter 4 2019, although employers in both the Services and Transport & Communication sectors report slight upticks when compared with the previous quarter. The moderate hiring pace in Guatemala looks set to continue during the coming quarter. Employers in the majority of the country’s industry sectors expect to grow payrolls, headed by positive hiring plans in the Transport & Communication sector.

In South America, Argentine employers report a slight recovery from the upheaval earlier in 2019, expecting modest job gains in the next three months. The labour market is fuelled by an upbeat demand in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector. However, Manufacturing sector employers match their weakest Outlook since the survey began 13 years ago, last seen in Quarter 1 2019.

Brazilian employers expect the moderate hiring pace to continue, with employers in all eight industry sectors and all five regions expecting to grow payrolls during the coming quarter. Hiring prospects are particularly buoyant in the Construction sector, where employers report the strongest hiring plans in more than five years.

While slightly weaker than last year at this time, Colombian hiring sentiment remains relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, with hiring plans strongest in the Agriculture & Fishing and Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sectors. However, Construction and Mining sector employers now report the weakest Outlook of Colombia’s nine industry sectors, declining in comparison with both Quarter 3 2019 and Quarter 4 2019.

In Peru, employers continue to report conservative hiring intentions, remaining relatively stable compared with this time last year. Hiring plans are strongest in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector – reaching a four-year peak – but Manufacturing sector employers expect to trim payrolls in the quarter ahead, reporting the weakest labour market in a decade.



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Brazil +8 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Brazil joined the survey in Q4 2009 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada +9 (+12)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Colombia +9 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Argentina +2 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Costa Rica +2 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Guatemala +10 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mexico +8 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Panama +5 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Panama joined the survey in Q2 2010 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



+17 (+20)%United States of AmericaSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Peru +7 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



For the final quarter of 2019, ManpowerGroup surveyed almost 15,000 employers across eight countries and territories in the Asia Pacific region, and the results reveal that employers in all eight expect to add to payrolls in the upcoming quarter.

Japanese employers report the strongest hiring prospects across the entire Asia Pacific region for the sixth consecutive quarter. Robust hiring prospects in the Mining & Construction and Services sectors continue to fuel Japan’s strong Outlook, buoyed in Quarter 4 2019 by the strongest Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector Outlook in more than two years and the most optimistic Public Administration & Education sector Outlook in 11 years.

In the region’s largest labour market, Chinese employers expect a cautious hiring climate in the coming quarter, reporting their weakest Outlook in two years. Job gains are expected in all six industry sectors and all nine Chinese regions during the next three months, but hiring plans weaken in all sectors and regions in comparison with both the prior quarter and this time one year ago.

While expecting the steady hiring pace to continue in the final quarter of 2019, Hong Kong employers also forecast the weakest hiring plans in two years, with hiring sentiment declining across all six industry sectors both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.

Employers in Singapore anticipate limited payroll gains in the forthcoming quarter, reporting their weakest forecast in two years. The cautious national Outlook

International Comparisons – Asia Pacificis underpinned by employers in the Manufacturing, Services and Transportation & Utilities sectors all reporting their weakest hiring plans in a decade.

Hiring prospects in Taiwan are unchanged when compared with the previous quarter, with employers expecting healthy payroll gains to continue in the October to December period, fuelled by a Mining & Construction sector labour market at its strongest in four years. Optimistic hiring plans are also reported in both the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate and Services sectors for the quarter ahead.

Hiring sentiment in India is the strongest since the start of 2018, with employers in all seven industry sectors and all four regions reporting improved hiring plans for the final quarter of 2019 when compared with the previous quarter. This positive trend is driven in part by employers in both the Public Administration & Education and Wholesale & Retail Trade sectors, who report their strongest hiring intentions in three years.

Respectable payroll gains are anticipated in Australia during the coming quarter, although employers in five of seven industry sectors report weaker hiring intentions when compared with the same period last year, with double-digit declines in both the Mining & Construction and Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sectors.

New Zealand employers expect the steady hiring pace to continue in the next three months. Hiring prospects are slightly stronger when compared with the previous quarter, partly driven by Services sector employers who report their strongest hiring plans in four years.



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



+4 (+4)%China Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Hong Kong +14 (+14)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

+20 (+19)%India Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Australia +12 (+11)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Japan +23 (+26)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


40

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

50

60

New Zealand +16 (+15)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Singapore +5 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Taiwan +20 (+21)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



For the October to December 2019 period, ManpowerGroup surveyed more than 21,000 employers in 26 Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region countries about their hiring intentions. Employers in 25 EMEA countries expect to grow payrolls in the coming quarter, while Spanish employers anticipate a flat labour market.

Employers in all four of Europe’s largest economies expect to increase payrolls during the final quarter of 2019. German employers report relatively stable hiring plans when compared with the previous quarter, forecasting moderate workforce gains for Quarter 4 2019, partly driven by the strongest Public & Social sector Outlook in eight years. However, the Manufacturing sector shows signs of slowing with declines seen in both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year comparisons. A fair hiring pace is also expected in France where Construction sector employers report their strongest hiring intentions since the survey began 16 years ago, and Public & Social sector employers expect the strongest labour market in nine years. Despite ongoing Brexit uncertainty, UK employers anticipate an increase in payrolls during the next three months with a slightly stronger Outlook than reported for the previous quarter. In Italy, employers expect slow-paced payroll gains, with improvements in comparison with the prior quarter and the same period last year, partly fuelled by the strongest Public & Social sector hiring prospects in more than eight years.

The relative stability of labour markets across the four largest European economies is echoed in some of the other Western European markets. Employers in The Netherlands report stable hiring plans in comparison with the previous quarter, with Transport, Storage & Communication sector employers forecasting their strongest hiring plans in eight years. In Belgium, employers anticipate some payroll gains with a slightly stronger Outlook in comparison with the previous quarter, partly driven by the strongest Wholesale & Retail sector Outlook in eight years.

Spanish employers expect the weakest EMEA labour market, anticipating subdued hiring activity in the final quarter of 2019. While job gains are expected in six of the 10 Spanish industry sectors, employers in the

International Comparisons – EMEAConstruction, Manufacturing and Wholesale & Retail Trade sectors expect to trim payrolls, reporting their weakest Outlooks in five years.

In Greece, the upbeat hiring pace is expected to continue in the final quarter of 2019. Greece’s Outlook is the strongest in the EMEA region, partly driven by the strongest Wholesale & Retail Trade sector hiring plans since the survey began more than 11 years ago.

In the Nordic region, employers anticipate a fair hiring climate during the fourth quarter of 2019. Norwegian employers anticipate the strongest hiring pace in eight years, driven in part by an eight-year peak in hiring prospects for the Manufacturing sector and the strongest regional labour market in Greater Oslo for six years. In Sweden, employers anticipate the strongest labour market in two years for the coming quarter. Favourable payroll gains are forecast for the Public & Social sector, with employers reporting their strongest Outlook in seven years. Finnish employers are more cautious, reporting reserved hiring sentiment for the fourth consecutive quarter.

Eastern European employers report mixed hiring expectations for the upcoming quarter. In Slovenia, the positive hiring pace is expected to continue, with employers reporting one of the most optimistic forecasts for the entire EMEA region, reflecting the strongest forecasts since the survey began in the Mining & Quarrying and Public & Social sectors. The Polish Outlook continues to offer some opportunities for job seekers, however forecasts weaken nationally and across most industry sectors from this time last year. Meanwhile, the Romanian Outlook for the next three months is the weakest in four years, with employers reporting considerable declines in hiring expectations for the Manufacturing, Transport, Storage & Communication and Wholesale & Retail Trade sectors from both the prior quarter and Quarter 4 2018. Slovakian employers also report the weakest hiring prospects in more than four years, fuelled by considerable declines in the Construction, Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services, Manufacturing and Transport, Storage & Communication sectors since the final quarter of 2018.



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Austria +4 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Belgium +6 (+6)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Bulgaria +6 (+7)%

Bulgaria joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Croatia +7%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Croatia joined the survey in Q2 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



France +6 (+6)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero2010 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Germany +8 (+6)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Finland +1 (+4)%

Finland joined the survey in Q4 2012 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Czech Republic +2 (+2)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Greece +12 (+18)%

20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019



-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Hungary +6 (+7)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Hungary joined the survey in Q3 2009 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Ireland +6 (+6)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Israel +5 (+6)%

Israel joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Norway +9 (+10)%

20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019



-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Poland +8 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Netherlands +5 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Italy +3 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


20

-20

-10

0

10

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Portugal +10%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Portugal joined the survey in Q3 2016 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Romania +3 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Slovakia +3 (+6)%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Slovakia joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Slovenia +16 (+17)%

Slovenia joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Switzerland +2 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Sweden +9 (+10)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Spain -1 (0)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

South Africa +4 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



Turkey +2 (+6)%

Turkey joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20102009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

United Kingdom +5 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook


-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60



CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforces during the next quarter. ManpowerGroup’s comprehensive forecast of employer hiring plans has been running for more than 55 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment activity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey:

Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area of focus.

Projective: The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the world, asking employers to forecast employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.

Independent: The survey is conducted with a representative sample of employers from throughout the countries and territories in which it is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from ManpowerGroup’s customer base.

Robust: The survey is based on interviews with over 59,000 public and private employers across 44 countries and territories to measure anticipated employment trends each quarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed across specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.

Focused: For more than five decades the survey has derived all of its information from a single question:

For the Quarter 4 2019 research, all employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked the same question, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of December 2019 as compared to the current quarter?”

About the Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey

MethodologyThe ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is conducted using a validated methodology, in accordance with the highest standards in market research. The survey has been structured to be representative of each national economy. The margin of error for all national, regional and global data is not greater than +/- 4.0%.

The margin of error for the Canadian survey is +/- 2.2%.

Net Employment OutlookThroughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook. Net Employment Outlooks for countries and territories that have accumulated at least 17 quarters of data are reported in a seasonally adjusted format unless otherwise stated.

Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for all participating countries except Croatia and Portugal. ManpowerGroup intends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for other countries in the future, as more historical data is compiled. Note that in Quarter 2 2008, ManpowerGroup adopted the TRAMO-SEATS method of seasonal adjustment for data.


CLIENT: MANPOWER


SIZE: US LETTER



ManpowerGroup® (NYSE: MAN), the leading global workforce solutions company, helps organizations transform in a fast-changing world of work by sourcing, assessing, developing and managing the talent that enables them to win. We develop innovative solutions for hundreds of thousands of organizations every year, providing them with skilled talent while finding meaningful, sustainable employment for millions of people across a wide range of industries and skills. Our expert family of brands – Manpower®, Experis®, Right Management® and ManpowerGroup® Solutions – creates substantially more value for candidates and clients across 80 countries and territories and has done so for over 70 years. In 2019, ManpowerGroup was named one of the World’s Most Ethical Companies for the tenth year and one of Fortune’s Most Admired Companies for the seventeenth year, confirming our position as the most trusted and admired brand in the industry. See how ManpowerGroup is powering the future of work: www.manpowergroup.com

About ManpowergroupAbout ManpowerGroup CanadaWith nearly 30 offices strategically located across the country, ManpowerGroup Canada’s staffing services include administrative, industrial, skilled trades and contact centre personnel as well as the assignment of contract professionals in information technology, scientific, finance, engineering, telecommunications and other professional areas under the Experis brand. More information can be found on the following websites, manpower.ca and experis.ca

Manpower, 4950 Yonge Street, Suite 700, Toronto, Ontario, M2N 6K1Tel: 416 225 4455www.manpower.ca

© 2019, ManpowerGroup. All rights reserved.

manpowergroup employment outlook survey canada · 2018. 9. 4. · subject: meos q419 – canada –...

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