market action report - september 20112

7
A Publication of RMLS , The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community © Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved. Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon September 2012 Reporting Period September Highlights With one exception, all reported measures of real estate activity show improvement when comparing September 2012 with September 2011, while dropping somewhat from August heights. At 1,894, closed sales were 19.4% higher than September 2011 sales of 1,586, while declining 18.0% from the August 2,311 total. This was the best September since 2006 for closed sales. Pending sales also continued to be strong, with 2,058 accepted oers in September, 10.6% more than the 1,861 reported in September 2011, and 13.8% under the 2,387 pendings in August. New listings were just 2.0% under comparing this year to last -- 2,451 to 2,501, but 20.9% lower than the 3,099 new listings entered in August. The unsold inventory returned to its July seing of 4.6 months. Year-To-Date Trends With three-quarters of the year gone, the market recovery is solidifying. Accepted offers are 16.8% above the level they were for the same period last year (19,015 v. 16,275.) Closed sales are 18.0% higher, with 17,468 closed so far this year, compared to 14,803 last year. At 26,771, new listings lag by 3.5% compared to 2011, when there were 27,746. Prices continue to creep up. The average sales price year-to-date of $272,200 is 2.9% higher than the average price in the same period last year, while the 2012 year-to-date median of $230,400 is 3.8% higher than the median last year. Total market time has dropped 20.7% from 145 days last year to 115 days for the rst three quarters of 2012. New Listings Pending Sales Closed Sales Average Sale Price Median Sale Price Total Market Time September 2,451 2,058 1,894 281,400 238,300 102 August 3,099 2,387 2,311 281,700 241,000 97 Year-to-date 26,771 19,015 17,468 272,200 230,400 115 September 2,501 1,861 1,586 268,200 230,800 131 Year-to-date 27,746 16,275 14,803 264,500 222,000 145 September -2.0% 10.6% 19.4% 4.9% 3.2% -22.3% Prev Mo 2012 -20.9% -13.8% -18.0% -0.1% -1.1% 5.2% Year-to-date -3.5% 16.8% 18.0% 2.9% 3.8% -20.7% 2012 2011 Change Portland Metro Residential Highlights *Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. This includes proposed and under construction homes. Inventory in Months* 2010 2011 2012 January 12.6 11.3 7.0 February 12.9 10.9 6.5 March 7.8 7.1 5.0 April 7.3 7.2 4.7 May 7.0 6.8 4.2 June 7.3 6.0 3.9 July 10.8 7.0 4.6 August 11.0 6.2 3.9 September 10.5 6.7 4.6 October 10.7 6.8 November 10.2 6.2 December 7.9 5.3 Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: +1.0% ($269,500 v. $266,700) Median Sale Price % Change: +2.9% ($229,500 v. $223,000) For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

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Real Estate Market Action Report - September 20112

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Market Action Report - September 20112

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon September 2012 Reporting Period

September HighlightsWith one exception, all reported

measures of real estate activity show improvement when comparing September 2012 with September 2011, while dropping somewhat from August heights.

At 1,894, closed sales were 19.4% higher than September 2011 sales of 1,586, while declining 18.0% from the August 2,311 total. This was the best September since 2006 for closed sales.

Pending sales also continued to be strong, with 2,058 accepted off ers in September, 10.6% more than the 1,861 reported in September 2011, and 13.8% under the 2,387 pendings in August.

New listings were just 2.0% under comparing this year to last -- 2,451 to 2,501, but 20.9% lower than the 3,099 new listings entered in August. The

unsold inventory returned to its July sett ing of 4.6 months. Year-To-Date Trends

With three-quarters of the year gone, the market recovery is solidifying. Accepted offers are 16.8% above the level they were for the same period last year (19,015 v. 16,275.) Closed sales are 18.0% higher, with 17,468 closed so far this year, compared to 14,803 last year. At 26,771, new listings lag by 3.5% compared to 2011, when there were 27,746.

Prices continue to creep up. The average sales price year-to-date of $272,200 is 2.9% higher than the average price in the same period last year, while the 2012 year-to-date median of $230,400 is 3.8% higher than the median last year. Total market time has dropped 20.7% from 145 days last year to 115 days for the fi rst three quarters of 2012.

New Listings

Pending Sales

ClosedSales

AverageSale Price

MedianSale Price

Total Market

Time

September 2,451 2,058 1,894 281,400 238,300 102

August 3,099 2,387 2,311 281,700 241,000 97

Year-to-date 26,771 19,015 17,468 272,200 230,400 115

September 2,501 1,861 1,586 268,200 230,800 131

Year-to-date 27,746 16,275 14,803 264,500 222,000 145

September -2.0% 10.6% 19.4% 4.9% 3.2% -22.3%

Prev Mo 2012 -20.9% -13.8% -18.0% -0.1% -1.1% 5.2%

Year-to-date -3.5% 16.8% 18.0% 2.9% 3.8% -20.7%

2012

2011

Chan

ge

Portland Metro Residential Highlights

*Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. This includes proposed and under construction homes.

Inventory in Months*2010 2011 2012

January 12.6 11.3 7.0February 12.9 10.9 6.5March 7.8 7.1 5.0April 7.3 7.2 4.7May 7.0 6.8 4.2June 7.3 6.0 3.9July 10.8 7.0 4.6August 11.0 6.2 3.9September 10.5 6.7 4.6October 10.7 6.8November 10.2 6.2December 7.9 5.3

Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months

Average Sale Price % Change: +1.0% ($269,500 v. $266,700)Median Sale Price % Change: +2.9% ($229,500 v. $223,000)

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

Page 2: Market Action Report - September 20112

2© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

AREA REPORT • 9/2012Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon

1 Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares September 2012 with September 2011. The Year-To-Date section compares 2012 year-to-date statistics through September with 2011 year-to-date statistics through September.

2 % Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (10/1/11-9/30/12) with 12 months before 10/1/10-9/30/11).3 Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31

days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

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141

N Portland 331 124 30 89 29.0% 66 234,100 68 1,149 835 24.4% 760 228,900 220,000 2.3% 8 357,500 37 144,300 26 456,100

142

NE Portland 601 252 65 201 15.5% 218 277,800 95 2,539 1,913 18.3% 1,794 285,200 250,000 3.9% 18 432,700 28 204,300 64 337,300

143

SE Portland 778 309 114 261 8.3% 229 241,600 62 3,233 2,416 17.8% 2,225 228,000 193,000 3.4% 39 325,600 47 109,200 86 341,400

144 Gresham/

Troutdale 586 147 51 107 -19.5% 100 216,300 133 1,673 1,133 6.3% 1,055 194,400 177,000 -2.6% 6 376,000 105 222,500 28 219,500

145 Milwaukie/

Clackamas 819 196 92 158 8.2% 155 267,200 81 2,338 1,490 22.0% 1,361 248,400 230,000 2.8% 9 512,000 91 179,100 4 283,700

146 Oregon City/

Canby 571 121 66 99 -1.0% 93 246,900 109 1,383 910 7.6% 854 238,100 221,200 3.1% - - 79 124,500 14 245,900

147 Lake Oswego/

West Linn 668 163 64 134 32.7% 95 453,500 137 1,753 1,110 23.1% 1,005 422,900 369,900 -1.5% - - 32 217,600 6 376,200

148

W Portland 951 283 126 244 34.8% 228 420,200 119 3,084 2,127 13.7% 1,937 410,900 345,000 0.9% 9 342,400 61 195,200 29 446,000

149

NW Wash Co. 348 109 43 102 29.1% 93 366,700 62 1,273 994 24.4% 887 355,400 340,000 -0.9% 3 192,000 28 239,300 4 319,300

150 Beaverton/

Aloha 552 207 55 178 1.7% 167 220,500 96 2,132 1,709 12.6% 1,577 216,100 197,000 1.9% 6 158,500 23 217,000 31 300,500

151 Tigard/

Wilsonville 761 208 84 194 7.2% 162 279,300 91 2,289 1,660 19.9% 1,523 283,900 257,800 -0.2% 3 551,700 35 285,400 13 350,500

152 Hillsboro/

Forest Grove 516 156 36 145 -2.0% 142 220,800 115 1,689 1,385 20.9% 1,277 213,300 195,000 0.5% 18 249,500 38 506,700 30 217,600

153

Mt. Hood 137 16 8 17 41.7% 9 230,200 126 200 109 32.9% 94 188,800 169,500 -5.2% - - 9 83,000 - -

155

Columbia Co. 372 57 35 48 -23.8% 47 150,600 139 707 430 6.2% 391 164,600 157,000 0.5% 5 135,000 26 113,000 3 101,800

156

Yamhill Co. 698 103 79 81 39.7% 90 223,700 189 1,329 794 14.1% 728 207,500 173,000 0.4% 8 354,500 58 232,100 12 179,400

Year-To-Date

COMMERCIAL LAND MULTIFAMILYRESIDENTIAL

Year-To-Date Year-To-DateCurrent Month Year-To-Date

Page 3: Market Action Report - September 20112

3© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

NEW LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

new residential listings

over the past three

calendar years in the

greater Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

total active listings over

the past three calendar

years in the greater

Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL

LISTINGSPORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the active

residential listings over the

past three calendar years in

the greater Portland,

Oregon metropolitan area.JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

2010 12,449 13,101 14,042 14,182 14,372 14,752 15,271 15,200 14,714 13,805 13,103 11,6112011 11,697 11,746 11,458 11,621 11,825 11,817 11,970 11,276 10,666 10,012 9,451 8,6122012 8,514 8,256 8,391 8,523 8,742 8,799 9,041 9,014 8,689

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Active Residential Listings

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC2010 15,724 16,496 17,491 17,699 17,832 18,180 18,750 18,710 18,174 17,205 16,533 14,5862011 14,815 14,869 14,544 14,736 14,973 14,921 15,000 14,269 13,579 12,852 12,283 11,1672012 11,175 10,939 10,957 11,146 11,465 11,448 11,709 11,629 11,263

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

17,500

20,000

Total Active Listings

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

New Listings

2010 2011 2012

Page 4: Market Action Report - September 20112

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.4

This graph represents

monthly accepted off ers

in the Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area over

the past three calendar

years.

PENDING LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

closed sales over the past

fi ve calendar years in the

greater Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

CLOSED SALES PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

average market time for

sales in the Portland,

Oregon metropolitan area

over the past three calendar

years.

DAYS ON MARKETPORTLAND, OR

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Pending Sales

2010 2011 2012

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Closed Sales

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

020406080

100120140160180200

Average Total Market Time

2010 TMT 2011 TMT 2012 TMT

Page 5: Market Action Report - September 20112

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.5

This graph represents the average and median sale price for all homes sold in

the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.SALE PRICE PORTLAND, OR

$175,000

$195,000

$215,000

$235,000

$255,000

$275,000

$295,000

$315,000

$335,000

$355,000

$375,000

Sep-

03D

ec-0

3M

ar-0

4Ju

n-04

Sep-

04D

ec-0

4M

ar-0

5Ju

n-05

Sep-

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5M

ar-0

6Ju

n-06

Sep-

06D

ec-0

6M

ar-0

7Ju

n-07

Sep-

07D

ec-0

7M

ar-0

8Ju

n-08

Sep-

08D

ec-0

8M

ar-0

9Ju

n-09

Sep-

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9M

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0Ju

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Sep-

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0M

ar-1

1Ju

n-11

Sep-

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2Ju

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Sep-

12

Average and Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price Median Sale Price

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

200000

220000

240000

260000

SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

Clark County Metro Portland, OR

This graph shows the

median sale price over

the past 12 months in

the greater Portland,

Oregon, metropolitan

area and Clark

County.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

PORTLAND, OR

Page 6: Market Action Report - September 20112

$ 162,500

Yamhill County

$ 225,800N Portland

$ 249,500 NEPortland

$ 217,000 SEPortland

$ 192,500GreshamTroutdale

SandyCorbettFairview $ 231,300

Mt. Hood:Zigzag

WelchesRhododendron

WemmeBrightwood

Government Camp

$ 240,000Milwaukie/Gladstone/Boring/ClackamasEstacada

$ 218,400

Oregon City

Canby

Molalla

Beavercreek

$ 369,900

Lake Oswego

West Linn

$ 355,000 West Portland

$ 355,000

North Washington County

Sauvie Island

$ 192,000

Beaverton

Aloha

$ 255,500

Tigard/Tualatin

Sherwood

Wilsonville

$ 200,000

Hillsboro

Forest Grove

$ 162,500

Columbia County

$182,500 Heights

$106,500Cent. Vancouver

$180,000Cascade Park

$171,3005 Corners

Orch.

$185,000HazelDell

Minnehaha

$174,500Felida

$225,000Salmon Creek

$235,000Camas/Washougal

$259,000

Brush Prairie

Hockinson

$244,400

Ridgefield/La Center

$220,000

Battle Ground

$260,000

N/NE Clark County$160,000

Woodland

MEDIAN SALE PRICESeptember 2012

PORTLANDMETRO

6© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

SW WASHINGTON

Page 7: Market Action Report - September 20112

MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on fi gures generated by RMLS™.

Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, Mid-Columbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County.

RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991.

E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™, (503) 236-7657. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

Steve Lucas, Chairman of the BoardKurt von Wasmuth, President/CEOChristina Smestad, Editor

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

Lane County: FlorencePO Box 414

Florence, OR 97439(541) 902-2560

Fax: (541) 902-1341

Curry CountyPO Box 6307

Brookings, OR 97415(541) 469-0219

Fax: (541) 469-9695

Lane County: Eugene2139 Centennial Plaza

Eugene, OR 97401(541) 686-2885

Fax: (541) 484-3854

Southwest Washington1514 Broadway, Suite 101

Vancouver, WA 98663(360) 696-0718

Fax: (360) 696-9342

Douglas County3510 NE EdenbowerRoseburg, OR 97470

(541) 673-3571Fax: (541) 673-6581

Corporate8338 NE Alderwood Rd, Suite 230

Portland, OR 97220(503) 236-7657

Fax: (503) 230-0689

Mid-ColumbiaPO Box 1088

Hood River, OR 97031(541) 436-2956

Fax: (541) 387-6657

Eastern OregonPO Box 751

Hermiston, OR 97838(541) 567-5186

Fax: (541) 289-7320

Coos County1946 Sherman Ave., Suite 101

North Bend, OR 97459(541) 751-1070

Fax: (541) 751-1083

Salem4035 12th Street Cutoff SE, Suite 110

Salem, OR 97302(503) 587-8810

Fax: (503) 585-3817

This graph represents the median sale price for all

condos sold in the last three calendar years in the

Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE CONDOS

PORTLAND, OR

$120,000

$145,000

$170,000

$195,000

$220,000

$245,000

Median Condo Sale Price

2010 2011 2012

This graph shows the number of closed sales by quarter

for the Portland, Oregon, metropolitan area.

QUARTERLY CLOSINGS

PORTLAND, OR

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Quarterly Closings

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter