market overview: changing the face of weight management as consumers demand natural, nutritious and...
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MARKET OVERVIEW: CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT
VITAFOODS EUROPEMAY 2016
EWA HUDSONGLOBAL HEAD OF HEALTH AND WELLNESS RESEARCH
© Euromonitor International
2
CONSUMER ATTITUDES TOWARDS WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
WEIGHT MANAGEMENT – LATEST TRENDS
PERFORMANCE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
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© Euromonitor International
3CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
2010
-11
2011
-12
2012
-13
2013
-14
2014
-15
2015
-16
2016
-17
2017
-18
2018
-19
2019
-20-1012345678
Growth of HW products compared to their non-HW counterparts 2005-2020, world level
HW Packaged Food HW Soft DrinksNon-HW Packaged Food Non-HW Soft Drinks
Y-o-
y gr
owth
(%) r
etai
l val
ue s
ales
, U
S$ fi
xed
exch
ange
rat
es, c
onst
ant
HW Food and Soft Drinks Continues to Outperform NON-HW Counterparts
© Euromonitor International
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NATURAL Gets Top Billing Among ConsumersCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Is a
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Which of the following factors or ingredients do you look for on food labels and food ingredient labels?
Source: Euromonitor International Global Consumer Trends Survey 2015
© Euromonitor International
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Standard HW Products Struggle at a Time of Strong HW InnovationCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Diet Coke (Coca-Cola Co, The)Diet Pepsi (PepsiCo Inc)
Minute Maid (Coca-Cola Co, The)Glacéau VitaminWater (Coca-Cola Co, The)
SoBe (PepsiCo Inc)Sokenbicha (Coca-Cola Co, The)
Aquarius (Coca-Cola Co, The)Ito En Tennen Mineral Mugi Cha (Ito En Ltd)
Qoo (Coca-Cola Co, The)Capri-Sonne (Deutsche SiSi-Werke GmbH & Co KG)
Suntory Oolong Cha (Suntory Holdings Ltd)Diet Dr Pepper (Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc)
Java Monster (Hansen Natural Corp)Dakara (Suntory Holdings Ltd)
Pocari Sweat (Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd)Pepsi NEX (PepsiCo Inc)
Nokyo Kaju (Megmilk Snow Brand Co Ltd)Hajime (Coca-Cola Co, The)
Suntory Vitamin Water (Suntory Holdings Ltd)
-1,000 -500 0
Worst Performing HW Brands in Developed Markets, Absolute Decline 2010-2015
US$
mill
ion,
fixe
d 20
15 e
xcha
nge
rate
s
© Euromonitor International
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Millennials See Beverages as a Way to Obtain Extra Nutritional Content or Energy
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Monster (Monster Beverage Corp)
Private label (Private Label)
Kenko Mineral Mugicha (Ito En Ltd)
Sparkling Ice (Talking Rain Beverage Co)
Coca-Cola Zero (Coca-Cola Co, The)
Vita Coco (All Market Inc)
Rockstar (Rockstar Inc)
Naked (PepsiCo Inc)
Oishii Mizu (Asahi Group Holdings Ltd)
Iyemon (Suntory Holdings Ltd)
0 1,000 2,000 3,000
Best Performing HW Brands in Developed Markets, Absolute Growth 2010-2015
US$
mill
ion,
fixe
d 20
15 e
xcha
nge
rate
s
© Euromonitor International
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1. More natural, more nutritional content in food; Enhanced natural -free from - ancient grains
2. Weight management key/ backlash against sugar
3. Protein still rules but focus on plant-based sourcing
4. Free From is the word
5. Harnessing Millennial power key to future growth
Ethical Labels the new Health and Wellness?
Top Health and Wellness TrendsCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Ethical Labels of Growing Importance for MillennialsCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
PEOPLE
Clean Label:• All Natural• No Artificial Additives• No Artificial Colours• No Artificial Flavours• No Artificial Preservatives• No Artificial Sweeteners• No Monosodium Glutamate• GMO Free• BPA Free
Origin:• Locally Sourced Prominent
Religious Labels:• Halal• Kosher• Other
Charity/Sponsorship
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Consumers Say No to Empty CaloriesCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Global per capita bread consumption is down by 1.2kg per over 2010-2020. Global per capita fish and seafood consumption is up by 4kg over 2009 and 2019
and eggs are up by 0.5 kg.
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Carbonates Seen as Culprits in the Rise Of ObesityCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Traditional Low and Mid-calorie Beverages Struggle in Saturated Markets
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
How much sugar is the average global consumer buying?CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
36gAMOUNT OF SUGAR PURCHASED A DAY BY THE AVERAGE GLOBAL CONSUMER IN 2014
2%ANNUAL GROWTH RATE OF SUGAR PURCHASED OVER 2009-2014
37%PROPORTION OF DAILY SUGAR PURCHASED FROM SOFT DRINKS
© Euromonitor International
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Amount of sugar purchased from packaged food and soft drinks varies significantly around the world
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Legend Title5-29g30-54g55-81g82-94g95-127g
© Euromonitor International
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IndiaChin
aEgy
pt
Malays
ia
Turk
ey
Polan
d
Franc
eSp
ainJap
an
Swed
en
Mexico
United
King
dom
Austra
lia
German
y
Netherl
ands
USA0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Daily sugar purchases compared to recom-mended intake, 2014
Sugar (g)5% WHO recommended intake10% WHO recommended intake
Gra
ms
per
capi
ta p
er d
ayConsumers in many countries buy more sugar than is recommended
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
© Euromonitor International
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2010
2015
2020
0.00 10,000.00 20,000.00 30,000.00 40,000.00 50,000.00
Global High Intensity Sweeteners by Type, 2010-2020
Aspartame Saccharin Acesulfame K Sucralose Cyclamate Stevia
Tonnes
PepsiCo To Substitute Aspartame in Diet Pepsi with Sucralose& Ace KCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Source: Euromonitor Ingredients
© Euromonitor International
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Cola carbonates: AR, CL, UK, SE, US, MX
Cola carbonates, US, 2014
Cola carbonates: FI, NL, FR, CA, AU
Non-cola carbonates FR, UK, CH, IE, BE, NL, LX,
PL, AT
Non-cola carbonates: Netherlands, 2013
Nectars, US & UK, 2010
RTD tea, FR, CS, AT, HU
RTD tea: ES (2014), PL (2013)
Powder Milk Drinks, Mexico, 2013
Powder Milk Drinks, Columbia,
2014Speciality Cola, UK Rtd Tea, IT Juice, IT, 2015
Is Stevia THE Answer to Obesity? CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Ketchup, Sweden, 2012
Confectionery, Switzerland, 2013
Jam, Denmark 2013
Soup, Finland 2013
Jellies, Chile, 2013
Table sauce, Australia, 2014
Cereals, Chile 2013
Yoghurt, US, 2013
Yoghurt, US, 2013 and NL 2014
Fromage frais, Norway, 2014
Protein Bar, Austria, 2012
Activia, Hungary, 2013
Reduced Sugar Ice Cream, GR
20%-30% Reduction in Sugar Content Could Put a Halt to Obesity (AoS)CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
THE WORLD OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT IS CHANGING
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Sweden
United Kingdom
Argentina
0 5 10 15 20 25
Retail Sales of Coca-Cola Life
201520142013
US$ mn, current
Coca-Cola Life Off to a Good Start in EuropeCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
32%CONSUMERS TRY TO LIMIT INTAKE OF BREAD, PASTA AND OTHER CARB-RICH FOOD
37%CONSUMERS ACTIVELY MONITOR WHAT THEY EAT TO MANAGE WEIGHT
20%ON A DIET OR TRYING TO LOSE WEIGHT
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Euromonitor International Survey 2015
CONSUMERATTITUDESAND OBESITY
© Euromonitor International
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ArgentinaPhilippines
TurkeyEgypt
IndonesiaMexicoRussiaBrazilIndia
China
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
10 Largest Overweight and Obese Populations in Emerging Markets
(BMI>25)
2009 2014 2019
Million of overweight and obese (15+ years)
Overweight and Obese Populations Set to Grow Twice as Fast in Emerging Markets
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Australia
South Korea
Spain
Japan
Germany
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
10 Largest Overweight and Obese Populations in De-
veloped Markets (BMI>25)
2009 2014 2019
Million of overweight and obese (15+ years)
In the UK alone the cost of obesity and type II diabetes is estimated at approximately £29 billion a year.
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CONSUMER ATTITUDES TOWARDS WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
WEIGHT MANAGEMENT – LATEST TRENDS
PERFORMANCE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
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• 1950’
Eat fat!
• 1980’
Zero calorie!
• Fat burning• Satiety?
Functional Ingredients
Weight Management – Remains Fashion DrivenCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Technology ensures that making a healthy choice has never been easierCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Age 15-34
Age 35-49
Age 50-64
Age 65+
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
% o
f R
espo
nden
ts
Popcorn
Sports Protein Bars
Nuts
Other (Meat Snacks)
Corn Chips
Yoghurt
Meal Replacement
Extruded Snacks
Snack Bars
Potato Chips
Pretzels
Fruit Snacks
0% 2% 4% 6%
US Savoury Snacks Growth
Retail Value CAGR, 2015-2020
Millennial Winner: US Popcorn and High-Protein SnacksCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Q: Do you look for high-protein foods when shopping?
Global Consumer Trends Survey; N = 16,327 ; USA; Result by Age
© Euromonitor International
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Yoghurt, US, 2012
Confectionery, Switzerland, 2013
Yoghurt, US, 2013
Fromage frais, Norway, 2014
Flavoured Milk Drinks, South Korea,
2013
Reduced Sugar Ice Cream, GB
Popcorn (Protein&Fibre) PL
FF Biscuits (Protein&Fibre)
From Passive Weight Management to Active Nutrition; Protein-rich, Non-fat Alternatives for Breakfast and in Between Meals
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Fibre and Protein Pack a Powerful Satiety Punch to Revive Meal Replacement Slimming
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
General Mills Inc Fibre One Protein bars: “Your 3pm craving has met its match!”
Kellogg’s Breakfast to go promotes its high protein and fibre content
SATIETY REMAINS KEY TO LONG-TERM WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
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Carbs Must Deliver Nutrients to Justify Calories: Fibre & Protein Score HighCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
AmaranthQuinoa
Kamut
Barley
Spelt
OatsBulgur
Polenta
Buckwheat
Millet
Teff
High Protein
Other
Gluten free
High fibre,Beta glucans
© Euromonitor International
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CONSUMER ATTITUDES TOWARDS WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
WEIGHT MANAGEMENT – LATEST TRENDS
PERFORMANCE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT
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© Euromonitor International
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2010 2015 20200
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Global Retail Sales of Traditional Weight Management, 2010-2020
Meal Replacement Slimming
Weight Loss Supplements
Slimming Teas
Other Slimming Products
OTC ObesityUS$
mn,
fixe
d ex
chan
ge ra
tes
Meal Replacement Slimming Strongly Outpaced Pill Format CategoriesCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
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Developed Markets Dominate Weight Management Food and BeveragesCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
© Euromonitor International
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2010 2015 20200
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Retail Sales of Global WeightManagement Food and Drinks in Developed
Markets 2010/2015/2020
Other Drinks
Carbonates
Other Food
Sauces
Confectionery
Ready Meals
DairyUS
$ bi
llion
(con
stan
t pric
es, f
ixed
201
5 ex
chan
ge ra
tes)
2010 2015 20200
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Retail Sales of Global Weight Manage-ment Food and Drinks in Emerging
Markets 2010/2015/2020
US
$ bi
llion
(con
stan
t pric
es, f
ixed
201
4 ex
chan
ge ra
tes)
The Gulf Between Developed and Emerging Markets In Weight Management Positioned Food and Beverage Offering
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
© Euromonitor International
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Development of Weight Management 2015: USA vs. IndiaCHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Weight Management Positioned Food and Beverages by Category 2015
Dairy
Carbonates
Ready Meals
Ice Cream
Meal Replacement
Frozen Meat, Seafood, Fruit and Vegetables
Sweet and Savoury Snacks
Confectionery
Biscuits and Snack Bars
SDC
Shelf Stable Meat, Seafood, Fruit and Vegetables
Concentrates
RTD Tea
Bottled Water
Others
Inner Circle:US
Outer Circle: India
© Euromonitor International
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Weight Management is 2nd Largest Food & Beverage Health Trend Globally
CHANGING THE FACE OF WEIGHT MANAGEMENT AS CONSUMERS DEMAND NATURAL, NUTRITIOUS AND CONVENIENT, VITAFOODS EUROPE
Health and Wellness by Health Platform, Global Retail Sales 2015
General Wellbeing US$410.4 bn
Weight Management US$136.1 bn
Digestive Health US$70.3 bn
Energy Boosting US$35.4 bn
Oral/Respiratory Health US$20.7 bn
Endurance US$20.0 bn
Bone and Joint Health US$16.0 bn
Food IntoleranceUS$12.2 bn
Cardiovascular Health US$6.5 bn
Immune SupportUS$2.4 bn
Urinary Tract Health US$0.7 bn
Beauty from Within US$0.3 bn
Brain Health and MemoryUS$0.3 bn
Vision HealthUS$0.1 bn
Note: If a product has a another functional benefit besides being low in calories, it is assigned to the appropriate health platform instead, rather than to weight management.
StretchSUGAR, FAT AND CARBS REDUCTIONTO EMERGING COUNTRIES
ReviewSATIETY INDUCING SNACKS AND NATURAL WM INGREDIENTS IN DEVELOPED MARKETS
Focus on“HEALTHY” AND “NUTRITIOUS” WHENLIMITING CALORIES
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WEIGHT MANAGEMENT (WM)STRATEGIES
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
Q&AEwa HudsonGlobal Head of Health and Wellness [email protected] @ewa_hudson