master narratives & global climate change
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Master Narratives & Global Climate Change. IPCC. Charlie Vars Dave Bella Court Smith. January 29, 2013. Why so much debate?. IPCC Working Groups. (WG I) assesses the physical scientific aspects of the climate system and climate change - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Master Narratives &
Global Climate Change
Charlie VarsDave BellaCourt Smith
IPCC
January 29, 2013
Why so much debate?
(WG I) assesses the physical scientific aspects of the climate system and climate change
(WG II) assesses the vulnerability of socio-economic and natural systems to climate change
(WG III) assesses options for mitigating climate change and for activities that remove greenhouse gasses from the atmosphere
IPCC Working Groups
Working Group I (Stockholm, Sweden)
23-26 September 2013
Working Group II (Yokohama, Japan)
25-29 March 2014
Working Group III (Berlin, Germany)
7-11 April 2014
Synthesis Report (Copenhagen, Denmark)
27-31 October 2014
The Working Group Reports and Synthesis Report 2013/2014.
2007
Chapter1: Introduction2-4: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface, Ocean, Cryosphere (Ice)
5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles7: Clouds and Aerosols8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing9: Evaluation of Climate Models10: Detection and Attribution : Global to Regional11: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections and Irreversibility13: Sea Level Change14: Climate Phenomena and Future Regional Climate Change
WG I - IPCC Science Outline
SK-II
IPCC WG I Science
IPCC WG II Impact
Socioeconomic
IPCC WG III Policy & Action
Options
Observed impacts, with detection and attribution
Projected integrated climate change impacts, regional variation by scenario and time slice
Assessing impacts, vulnerabilities, and risks, key drivers (including extremes)
Alternative development pathways, multiple interacting stresses, uncertainty, valuation of impacts and adaptation
Adaptation and managing risks, practical experiences, lessons learned, barriers, observed and expected limits to adaptation, avoiding maladaptation, planned and autonomous adaptation, potential and residual impacts, thresholds and irreversible changes
WG II - IPCC Impact Assessment Themes
I. INTRODUCTION· Historical, current and future trendsII. FRAMING ISSUES 2. Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Response – policies, uncertainty and risk 3. Social, Economic and Ethical Concepts and Methods 4. SustainableIII. PATHWAYS FOR MITIGATING CLIMATE CHANGE 5. Drivers, Trends and Mitigation - Co-benefits, tradeoffs, geoengineering 6. Assessing Transformation Pathways – macroeconomy, technology portfolios 7. Energy Systems 8. Transport 9. Buildings 10. Industry 11. Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) 12. Human Settlements, Infrastructure and Spatial PlanningIV. ASSESSMENT OF POLICIES, INSTITUTIONS AND FINANCE
WG III - IPCC Policy Outline