mathematical equation on building a nation after disaster or war
TRANSCRIPT
Mathematical Equationon Building a Nation after Disaster or War
Nation Build™ Training Series
If x + y = zIf w is unknown
nation build
What is the mathematical equation for w?
The Kepner-Tregoe (K.T.) method
Concern Performance Indicator Approach for Resolution
Approach for Resolution
Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Problem Analysis (PA)
Past What is the fault?
Decision Analysis (DA)
Present Correct the future
Potential Problem Analysis (PPA)
Future Prevent faults
Concern # 1.
The Zamboanga City is in war
Performance Indicator # 1.
Total Cost of Damage = Area in sqm of all affected places in
ZamboangaX approximate damages per area
+ total population without means of Livelihood due to war
X approximate losses in earnings
Approach for Resolution # 1.
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern #2
1 thousand families became homeless
126,607 internally displaced people
Performance Indicator #2
Number of damaged homeX cost of each home
+ total homeless populationX cost of recovery per person
(evacuation center space cost andrelief cost for the duration of the
recovery until they can return to their home
Approach for Resolution #2
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern #3
How to find people still missing and the number still increasing
Performance Indicator #3
Number of missing people
Approach for Resolution #3
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern #4
Increasing death toll due to firing, and shooting, and house fire
Performance Indicator #4
Number of people dead
Approach for Resolution #4
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 5
There is no integrating mechanism for distribution among needy areas5.1 Some areas are able to get their supplies while others have not been reached5.2 Families in evacuation centers are now getting sick due to lack of food, water, medicine and beddings.
Performance Indicator # 5
Cost of developing a national distribution system for relief
operations throughout the country
+Cost of designing systems
in evacuation centers
Approach for Resolution # 5
Problem Analysis on 5.1 and 5.2 Decision Analysis on 5.1 and 5.2 Potential Problem Analysis on 5.1
and 5.2
Concern #6
Potential typhoon and victims getting sick of diarrhea, leptospirosis and other diseases.
Performance Indicator #6
Number of victims getting sick
Approach for Resolution #6
Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 7
People may become unruly. They rush, push and they try their best to be first in their desperate plea for helping in getting food for the family.
Performance Indicator #7
Amount of time unproductive due to unruly process.
Approach for Resolution #7
Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 8
Mounds of garbage are found in streets are starting to stink and are adding to the causes of illnesses among the residents.
Performance Indicator #8
Amount of garbage to be collected per area
X number of unpassable areas
Approach for Resolution #8
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 9
Damages to agriculture in Zamboanga.
Performance Indicator # 9
Area in hectares of destroyed agricultural lands
X approximate landsX approximate damage in crops per
hectare+ total population of farmers with no
land to plant X approximate losses in earnings
Approach for Resolution # 9
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 10
Damages to infrastructure have been increasing
Performance Indicator # 10
Total cost of all infrastructure destroyed
Approach for Resolution # 10
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 11
A future rice shortage is being forecasted by Department of Agriculture due to these damages.
Performance Indicator # 11
Forecasted damage per area given strength of typhoon X area expected to be hit
Approach for Resolution # 11
Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 12
There is a need to allocate proper residential zones and vacant zones for floodways and spillways.
Performance Indicator # 12
Cost of zoning
Approach for Resolution # 12
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 13
There is an impeding super typhoon to hit the Northeastern part of the country in two days.
Performance Indicator # 13
Forecasted damage per area given strength of typhoon X area expected to be hit
Approach for Resolution # 13
Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 14
Sustained average of knee-deep flooding in some areas NCR and Northern Luzon since Sept 26, 2009 to present.
Performance Indicator #14
Total cost of damages = Area in sqm of all flooded places in
the affected cities and region X approximate damages per area
+total population without means of livelihood
due to floods X approximate losses in earnings
Approach for Resolution # 14
Problem Analysis Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
Concern # 15
Informal settlers should vacate their houses in the slums
Performance Indicator # 15
Population of informal settlers
Approach for Resolution # 15
Decision Analysis Potential Problem Analysis
“This is what the Lord says: As I have brought all this great calamity on this people, so I will give them all the prosperity I have promised them.”
- Jeremiah 32:42
AuthorityEthical Leadership
ResponsibilityEveryone is a stakeholder
AccountabilityWe are all accountable to what happen in Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao
NATION BUILD™ PROCESS
If x + y = zIf w is nation build
What is the mathematical equation for w?
Mathematical Equation on Building a Nation
W= nation build
X+Y = ZXY + Strategy = Vision