maxat-ii woods hole 17-18 september 1999. overview science drivers lessons of the past focusing on...
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MAXAT-II
Woods Hole17-18 September 1999
Overview
• Science Drivers • Lessons of the past• Focusing on Science and
Innovation
Global context
Mauna Kea, Hawaii
10 m
8 m
8 m
4 x 8m
Chile
8 m
10 m
Global context
2000 2010
NGST NGST ALMAALMA VLA-upgradeVLA-upgrade
Keck-Inter. ESO-VLTI
Keck I&II
UT1,UT2,UT3,UT4 Gemini N&S HET LBT
Phase A
OWL
201520082000 2010
MAXAT CELT
Hubble Space Telescope moved the goal posts
Space
Ground
Detected Detected Telescope Diameter Telescope Diameter . .
Signal Image Width Signal Image Width
Detected Detected Telescope Diameter Telescope Diameter . .
Signal Image Width Signal Image Width
Sensitivity gains for a 21st Century telescope
For background or sky noise limited observations:
S (Effective Collecting Area)1/2 .
N Delivered Image Diameter
S/N x (106)1/2
OH
lin
e
OH
lin
e
V-band0.6 arcsec
Adaptive Optics on 8m -10m Telescopes Globular Cluster
NGC6934
• V (0.55um) band• FWHM of 0.6”
• K (2.2um) band• ~120 exposures
totaling 23min• FWHM of 0.09”
Gemini Optical ImageGemini Optical Image 2.2um (K)Hokupa’a ON
Challenging 8m - 10m Challenging 8m - 10m telescopestelescopes
OH
lin
e
1 R 1 AU 100 AU 0.1 pc 10 pc
Accretion Disks
Protoplanetary Disks
Planets
Molecular Cloud Cores
Jets/HH
GMC
Mo
l. O
utf
low
s
StellarClusters
1 - 10 milli-arcseconds
Observations at z = 2 - 5
AGN
Galactic observations out to1kpc at 10 mas resolution
10 AU
Spectroscopy Imaging
100 pc
Velo
city
dis
pers
ion
R=
10
5 10
4 10
3 10
2 10
1
Flux
Going beyond 0.1 arcsecond astronomy requires resolution and sensitivity
Scientific Drivers for the “Next Generation
Groundbased Telescope”
• Maximize Telescope Telescope DiameterDiameter . . Image DiameterImage Diameter
• For diffraction limitedpixels S/N D2 /
• In the detector limited regime S/N D2
Detector technology (t)
• Gemini 8-M 8 2 x 50• HET 9 60• CHARA 354 5.5• LBT 100 100• Keck 1 & 2 + 165 157 + 11• VLTI + 200 201 + 20
Facility Baseline (m) Collecting Area (m2)
What is the future of O/IR Groundbased Astronomy?
What is the future of O/IR Groundbased Astronomy?
• Gemini 8-M 8 2 x 50• HET 9 60• CHARA 354 5.5• LBT 100 100• Keck 1 & 2 + 165 157 + 11• VLTI + 200 201 + 20• 20 m 20 316• 50-M Telescope 50 1950• OWL 100 7147
Facility Baseline (m) Collecting Area (m2)
- technology enables innovation and, scientific discovery
The Scientific Impact- Modeled characteristics of 20m and 50m
telescope
Assumed detector characteristics
m <m 5.5m <m
Id Nr qe Id Nr qe
0.02 e/s 4e 80% 10 e/s 30e 40%
Assumed point source size (mas)
20M 1.2m 1.6m 2.2m 3.8m 4.9m 12m 20m (mas) 20 20 26 41 58 142 240
50M 1.2m 1.6m 2.2m 3.8m 4.9m 12m 20m (mas) 10 10 10 17 23 57 94
(Gillett & Mountain, 1998)
The Scientific Impact- Relative Gain of groundbased 20m and 50m telescopes compared to
NGST
Gro
un
db
ased
ad
van
tag
eN
GS
T a
dva
nta
ge
1 101E-3
0.01
0.1
1
10
1001 10
1E-3
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
50m R=10,000
20m R=10,000
Wavelength (m)
1 101E-3
0.01
0.1
1
10
1001 10
1E-3
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
50M R=5
20m R=5
S/N
Ga
in
Wavelength (m)
ImagingImaging Velocities ~30km/sVelocities ~30km/s
The impact of technologyThe impact of technology
Kitt Peak 4m c.1970 Gemini 8m c.1998
Mass = 340 tonnesMass = 340 tonnesCost (1998) ~ $64MCost (1998) ~ $64Mscaled to 8m ~ $415Mscaled to 8m ~ $415M
x 10 -100
Mass = 315 tonnesMass = 315 tonnesCost (1998) ~ $88MCost (1998) ~ $88M
Quantifying Innovation- bypassing extrapolation
4m (KPNO) 8m (Gemini) Cost(1998) $61M Scaled cost $415M Actual cost $88M Cost “gain” x ~5
Image quality 1” Image quality 0.1”
Performance “gain” (rel. to diff.) x 5
“innovation factor” ~ 5 x 5 = 25
Changing the “paradigm”- “extrapolation is innovations worst
enemy”
• Why ?– Because the science drives us to this scale– and because modern analytical and control systems
techniques allows us to reduce risk
NASA
HST NGST
Area Raw Open Autoguide Tip/tilt Focus ActiveOptical Design 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065Surface Errors 0.201 0.187 0.187 0.148 0.105 0.046Optical Alignment 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014Self Induced Seeing 0.027 0.027 0.027 0.027 0.027 0.027Dynamic Alignment 0.147 0.036 0.036 0.004 0.004 0.004Wind Shake 0.363 0.363 0.182 0.036 0.036 0.036Meassurement Error 0 0 0 0.025 0.025 0.025Off-Axis Error 0 0 0 0.013 0.013 0.013Non-Linear Effects 3.658 0.636 0.278 0.033 0.033 0.033
RSS Totals 3.658 0.76 0.389 0.169 0.139 0.102
• Telescope error budget, 50% e-e diameter (arcsecs) at 2.2m • System at 45 degrees, wind at 11 m/s, 200Hz tip/tilt sampling• Error budget allocation is 0.100 at Zenith, 0.0123 at 45 degrees
End-to-End modeling works Gemini Systems Review #2, March 1995
GEMINI IMAGE - 8 weeksinto commissioning
Feb ‘99Feb ‘99
Tip/tilt sampling = 100Hz Open loop
Arc
seco
nd
s jit
ter
Pointing accuracy with active control of structure
Innovation Factors
Innovation factor
27 - 70
80
12
20 50m$600M
HST NGST’ ($2.4B) ($1B)
Gemini + MCAO 50m ($100M) ($1B)
VLT OWL ($100M) ($1B)
Keck + LGS AO CELT($100M) ($400M)
5
Baseline Approach - ambitious at the outset
• Diffraction limited telescope D ~ 50m - 100m• Operating wavelengths
0.9m - 3.8mTech. challenge Science challenge
• Operate over 90% of sky (airmass < 2.0)• at full image quality over 75%
• Operate under 90% of site conditions• at full performance under 75% of conditions
• Minimize risk -- if at all possible• Focus on technologies that have the potential to produce the most innovative results
• Multi-conjugate AO• Smart structures• Optical materials and support approaches• Analytical analysis of wind-buffeting• “Cheap” enclosures